各位朋友中午好，我是帮主郑重。最近全球资本市场被一股"数字现金"热潮席卷，稳定币概念股像坐了火箭一样往上蹿，但我注意到一个有意思的现象 ——散户在疯狂追涨，基金却在偷偷撤离。这到底是怎么回事？今天咱们就来好好唠唠。 首先得搞清楚，这个让市场疯狂的"稳定币"到底是啥。简单来说，它就像是加密货币世界的"定海神针"，通过锚定美元、黄金这些稳定资产，让价格不再 像比特币那样上蹿下跳。比如Circle公司发行的USDC，每一枚都对应着银行里实实在在的美元储备，这就解决了传统加密货币波动太大的痛点。 最近的市场有多疯狂呢？Circle作为美股稳定币第一股，6月初上市时发行价31美元，短短三周就涨到263美元，涨幅接近750%，市值一度超过470亿美 元。韩国的Kakao Pay更夸张，一个月内股价翻了三倍，但就在散户蜂拥而入的时候，全球基金却在抛售，主力资金净流出超过40亿韩元。这种"冰火两重 天"的景象，让我想起了当年元宇宙概念炒作时的场景——散户追得热火朝天，机构却在悄悄撤退。 为啥会出现这种分化？咱们先看看股价暴涨的逻辑。首先是政策东风，美国参议院刚通过《GENIUS法案》，要求稳定币必须100%用美元或美债储备， ...

Core Insights - The financial technology ETF (516860) has shown strong performance, with a 1.49% increase recently and a 13.88% rise over the past week [1] - The Hong Kong regulatory environment for stablecoins is evolving, with the introduction of the "Hong Kong Digital Asset Development Policy Declaration 2.0," indicating a shift towards a more structured digital asset market [1] - Leverage funds are increasingly investing in the financial technology sector, with a net financing amount of 174.80 million yuan this month [1] Performance Metrics - As of June 27, 2025, the financial technology ETF has achieved a 108.34% increase in net value over the past year, ranking 8th out of 2888 index stock funds [2] - The ETF's highest monthly return since inception was 55.92%, with an average monthly return of 10.19% and a historical three-year holding probability of 97.25% [2] Risk and Recovery - The Sharpe ratio for the financial technology ETF is 1.61 as of June 27, 2025, indicating a favorable risk-adjusted return [3] - The ETF has experienced a relative drawdown of 0.44% this year, with a recovery time of 79 days, the fastest among comparable funds [3] Fee Structure and Tracking Accuracy - The management fee for the financial technology ETF is 0.50%, and the custody fee is 0.10%, which are among the lowest in comparable funds [4] - The tracking error for the ETF over the past month is 0.039%, indicating the highest tracking precision among similar funds [4] Index Composition - The CSI Financial Technology Theme Index (930986) includes major companies such as Tonghuashun, Dongfang Caifu, and Runhe Software, with the top ten stocks accounting for 52.03% of the index [4]

Group 1 - Digital currency concept stocks are experiencing significant gains, with companies such as Xiongtai Technology (300546) and Yuxin Technology (300674) rising over 10% [1] - Dongxin Peace (002017) and Cuiwei Co., Ltd. (603123) have reached the daily limit increase, indicating strong market interest [1] - Other companies like Youbuxun (300531) and Sifang Jichuang (300468) are also seeing upward movement in their stock prices [1] Group 2 - There is a notable influx of dark pool funds into these stocks, suggesting increased investor activity and potential interest in the digital currency sector [2]

Core Insights - The report highlights the recent developments in the financial market, including the performance of major indices and sector trends [4][12]. - It emphasizes the impact of government policies on various industries, particularly in the context of digital assets and environmental initiatives [6][8]. Financial Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3424.23, down 0.7%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.34% to 10378.55 [4]. - The report notes a total trading volume of 15,411 billion, with 3,227 stocks rising and 1,662 falling, indicating a slight contraction in market activity [12]. Industry Developments - Hong Kong has introduced a new digital asset policy, accelerating the ecosystem for stablecoin applications, with related stocks including Jingbeifang (002987) and Sifang Jingchuang (300468) [8]. - The offshore engineering equipment industry is being catalyzed by new policies, with companies like Hailanxin (300065) and Yaxing Maolian (601890) positioned to benefit [8]. - Platinum prices have surged to a 10-year high, significantly outpacing gold, with related stocks such as Gebijia (835438) and Guiyan Platinum (600459) highlighted [8]. Company Focus - Wenkang New Energy (688779) is focusing on the development of solid-state battery materials, achieving cumulative shipments of over 100 kilograms for some products [10]. - Zhongji Renjian (301508) has established a testing facility for new energy batteries, capable of meeting the demands for solid-state battery testing [10]. - Changliang Technology (300348) is actively researching digital solutions related to stablecoins [10]. Market Review and Outlook - The report indicates that the market is experiencing a slight contraction, with a notable performance in industrial metals and technology sectors, while banking and oil sectors are facing declines [12][13]. - The report suggests that the market is showing resilience, with strong support levels for the Shanghai Composite Index, indicating a lower probability of significant downturns in the short term [12]. - There is a strong interest in technology sectors such as chips and lithium batteries, suggesting a continued aggressive investment approach in these areas [13].

2025 年 06 月 30 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：66 分（较热） 相关研究 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（较热） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 66 分，市场情绪处于"较热"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1。 ▌ 热点主题追踪 1、储存主题：据《科创板日报》报道，继韩系两大存储 原厂先后放出 DDR4 停产时间，美光确定已向客户发出信件通 知 DDR4 将停产，预计未来 2~3 个季度陆续停止出货。Trend Force 数据显示，5 月 DDR4 单月涨幅 53%，创 2017 年以来最 大涨幅。相关标的：江波龙（ 301308 ）、兆易创新 （603586） 2、能源金属主题：刚果金公布，2025 年 6 月 21 日起， 战略矿产市场监管局(ARECOMS)董事会采取了重大监管措施， 鉴于市场上库存量持续高企，已决定将临时禁令的期限自本 决定生效之日起再延长三个月，适用于刚果所有源自采矿的 钴 出 口 。 相 关 标 的 ： 华 友 钴 业 （ 603799 ） 、 天 齐 锂 ...

Group 1 - The State Council, led by Premier Li Qiang, emphasizes the need for high-level technological self-reliance and innovation, aiming to strengthen key core technologies and maintain development initiative [1] - The Ministry of Commerce confirms ongoing communication between China and the US regarding the London framework, with China approving certain export applications and the US lifting some restrictions [2] - The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges propose to adjust the price fluctuation limit for risk-warning stocks from 5% to 10% [4] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China suggests increasing the intensity of monetary policy adjustments to maintain ample liquidity and encourage financial institutions to boost credit [5] - The General Administration of Customs announces the conditional resumption of seafood imports from certain regions in Japan [6] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is taking action against Nanjing Yuebo Power System Co., Ltd. for information disclosure violations [9] Group 3 - Hong Kong's Financial Secretary announces that regulations for stablecoins will take effect on August 1, aiming to create a favorable market environment for their application [10] - A-share companies are actively engaging in stablecoin-related activities, with companies like Tianfeng Securities and Yuxin Technology making significant moves in the virtual asset space [13][14] - Several companies, including Huahai Qingke and Yiwei Lithium Energy, are planning substantial investments in new projects, indicating a focus on growth and expansion [15][16]

Industry News - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has announced administrative penalties against Nanjing Yuebo Power System Co., Ltd. for information disclosure violations, holding both the company and individuals involved accountable [5] - The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges are seeking public opinion on adjusting the price fluctuation limit for risk-warning stocks on the main board from 5% to 10%, aligning it with other stocks on the main board [5] - The Hong Kong Financial Secretary stated that regulations for stablecoins will take effect on August 1, aiming to create a favorable market environment and promote the application of stablecoins in various scenarios [5] - The market for computing power leasing is currently experiencing a downturn, with prices for graphics card rentals halved compared to the peak earlier this year, indicating a challenging market environment [6] - The State Administration for Market Regulation has conducted a special inspection of food additives, revealing violations in the use of food additives in various food categories [6][7] - The global supply of vitamin D3 raw materials is constrained, leading to a continuous price increase, with domestic market prices reaching 660 yuan per kilogram, a new high for the year [7] Company News - DaPu Micro's initial public offering application has been accepted by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, marking it as the first unprofitable company to be accepted on the Growth Enterprise Market [8] - China Rare Earth Group has clarified that recent personnel changes among its directors and executives are based on operational needs and have not affected ongoing work [9] - Hikvision has been ordered by the Canadian government to cease operations in Canada under the pretext of national security, to which Hikvision has expressed strong opposition [9] - China Eastern Airlines Group's former chairman is under investigation for serious violations of discipline and law [9] - EVE Energy announced plans for its wholly-owned subsidiary in Malaysia to invest up to 8.654 billion yuan in a new energy storage battery project [10] - Sifang Jingchuang reported that a board member has completed a share reduction plan, reducing holdings by 276,300 shares, accounting for 0.05% of the total share capital [10] - Hengbao Co., Ltd. announced that its actual controller has completed a share reduction plan, with a reduction ratio of 1.37% [11] - The People's Bank of China has updated the major changes in the licensing information of non-bank payment institutions, indicating a decrease in the shareholding ratio of a major shareholder in Lakala Payment [11] - Bona Film Group announced plans for significant share reductions by its shareholders, with one shareholder planning to reduce holdings by up to 40.9764 million shares, accounting for 3% of total share capital [11]

2025 年 06 月 29 日 计算机 政策持续推进，加快建设加密货币新生态 大陆：数字人民币和稳定币双管齐下，RWA 成为重要金融工具 美国：GENIUS 法案获参议院通过，金融生态持续拓展 6 月 17 日，美国参议院以 61 票赞成、37 票反对的表决结果通过了 《指导和建立美国稳定币国家创新法案》（简称 GENIUS 法案）。这是 美国国会首次在参议院层面通过专门针对稳定币的监管立法，。6 月 25 日，美国联邦住房金融署(FHFA)命令住房贷款机构，考虑将加密 货币作为住宅抵押贷款风险评估的资产。这一指令有望继续推动加 密货币在美国普及。此外，美国加密货币交易所 Coinbase 宣布成为 首个获得 CFTC（美国商品期货交易委员会）批准，提供 24/7 全天候 比特币和以太坊期货交易的合规平台。我们认为，伴随 GENIUS 法案 的推进，以及加密货币衍生品和抵押贷款等金融工具的推出，美国加 密货币金融生态持续拓展。 香港：发布数字资产发展政策宣言 2.0，政策体系逐渐完善 6 月 26 日，香港特区政府发表《香港数字资产发展政策宣言 2.0》， 重申特区政府致力将香港打造成数字资产领域中的全球创 ...

智通财经6月29日讯（编辑 笠晨）稳定币热度在全球范围内不断攀升，随着近期美国、中国香港相继推出稳定币相关法规，中国科技公司积极布局稳定币业 务、国泰君安国际正式获批提供虚拟资产交易服务，资本市场上稳定币相关概念股票活跃……但国际清算银行近日发布的报告则"泼了冷水"，对稳定币发 出"警告"。 政策开闸、效率跃升与战略卡位，共同驱动国内企业对稳定币业务的看好。稳定币利用区块链技术，能实现跨境支付"秒级到账、成本骤降90%"，直击传统 国际汇款痛点，满足企业巨额跨境交易（如跨境电商）的效率需求。根据德意志银行的数据显示，截至2025年5月30日，全球稳定币总市值已经达到2497亿 美元，五年增幅超过1100%。花旗预测2030年稳定币规模达1.6-3.7万亿美元。近期，国内外"稳定币"领域大事件频发，刺激稳定币板块连续上扬。Wind数据 显示，近一月，万得稳定币指数已大涨62.27%。 | 合首页 | SBEFF 8 | F5-稳定币指数 8841912.WI | V | सेनावे | 8日 13 | 5分 15分 30分 60分 ▼ | F9 不复权 超级盈加 画线 工具 (7) | 稳定而指数 | 186 ...

Core Viewpoint - The new stablecoin regulatory framework effective from August 1 in Hong Kong provides a clear landscape for investors in the virtual asset sector, indicating that issuers, licensed exchanges, and related financial and technological service providers will be direct beneficiaries of this compliance-driven market [1][2]. Market Overview - The global stablecoin market has surpassed $230 billion, with major players like Tether and Circle dominating the space, holding nearly 87% of the market share through their USD-pegged stablecoins USDT and USDC, which are valued at over $150 billion and $60 billion respectively [3][4]. - The stablecoin market is categorized into four types: fiat-backed, crypto-backed, commodity-backed, and algorithmic stablecoins, with fiat-backed stablecoins being the most prevalent and the focus of Hong Kong's regulatory efforts [4][8]. Profitability and Business Models - The profitability of stablecoin issuers is primarily derived from reserve asset returns, with companies like Circle investing over 80% of their reserves in short-term U.S. Treasury funds, generating significant interest income [11][14]. - The business model of stablecoin issuers relies on utilizing large user reserves for low-risk investments, with profitability closely tied to the scale of reserves and short-term interest rates [14][15]. Competitive Landscape - The competition in Hong Kong's stablecoin market will center around the most robust and regulatory-favored fiat-backed stablecoins, as the issuance licenses become a critical factor for success [8][16]. - Key players in the ecosystem include issuers, licensed exchanges, traditional brokers, and infrastructure providers, each with distinct roles and revenue models [16][22]. Key Participants - Notable candidates for stablecoin issuance licenses include Standard Chartered, Ant Group, and JD.com, with various projects focusing on different aspects of the market such as cross-border payments and DeFi [17][18]. - Licensed exchanges like OSL are crucial for the circulation and trading of stablecoins, with a significant portion of their revenue coming from digital asset trading and SaaS services [19][22]. Conclusion - The regulatory framework in Hong Kong is set to create a structured environment for stablecoin operations, and companies that can secure licenses and leverage technology and customer bases will be well-positioned to capitalize on the emerging digital finance landscape [22].