Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural sector [4] Core Views - The report is optimistic about the reversal of the beef cycle, recommending investments in pet products and Hai Da Group, while focusing on undervalued leading companies in the pig and poultry sectors [3] - The pork production capacity is expected to remain stable, with strong support for pig prices in 2025 [1][3] - The beef market is showing resilience during the off-season, with expectations for a bullish cycle in 2025 [1][3] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Overview and Data Summary - Weekly pig price as of July 4 is 15.29 CNY/kg, up 5.01% week-on-week [1] - Chicken prices are experiencing a decline, with broiler prices at 6.18 CNY/kg, down 10% week-on-week [1] - The average beef price is 59.35 CNY/kg, stable week-on-week and up 27.63% year-on-year [1] 2. Fundamental Tracking 2.1 Pork - Pork prices are expected to maintain low volatility, with a forecast for continued market stability in 2025 [1][14] 2.2 Poultry - The parent stock of broilers is decreasing, indicating a structural change in consumption [1][15] 2.3 Beef - The beef market is expected to benefit from a cyclical upturn, with prices remaining strong [1][16] 2.4 Soybean Meal - Current soybean prices are stable at 3926 CNY/ton, with soybean meal prices at 2928 CNY/ton, up 0.76% week-on-week [2][16] 2.5 Corn - Corn prices are expected to see moderate increases, with current prices at 2443 CNY/ton, up 0.37% week-on-week [2][16] 2.6 Sugar - Sugar prices are slightly increasing, with current prices at 6050 CNY/ton, up 0.33% week-on-week [2][16] 3. Company Profit Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Companies such as Guangming Meat Industry, Muyuan Foods, and Hai Da Group are rated as "Outperform" with respective EPS forecasts for 2025 [4]

Core Insights - Multiple listed pig companies released their sales reports for June, indicating a general decline in sales prices and varying performance in sales volume and revenue among different companies [1][3][4] Group 1: Sales Performance - Muyuan Foods reported sales of 7.019 million pigs in June 2025, a year-on-year increase of 58.35%, with a sales revenue of 12.799 billion yuan, up 27.65% year-on-year [3] - Wens Foodstuff Group sold 3.0073 million pigs in June 2025, with a revenue of 4.92 billion yuan, showing a decline in sales volume and average price compared to May [3][4] - Shennong Group's sales volume decreased to 219,000 pigs in June 2025, with a revenue of 385 million yuan, reflecting a drop in both sales volume and price [4] Group 2: Price Trends - The average selling price of Muyuan Foods' pigs was 14.08 yuan/kg in June 2025, down 20.59% year-on-year [3] - Wens Foodstuff Group's average price for pigs was 14.39 yuan/kg, showing a year-on-year decline of 5.40% [3] - Shennong Group's average price for pigs was 14.35 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.55% from May [4] Group 3: Cost Control and Efficiency - Many pig companies have managed to control breeding costs effectively, enhancing operational efficiency despite the overall low price trend [5][6][7] - New Hope reported a recent cost of 13 yuan/kg for fattened pigs, while Tianbang Bio aims to reduce costs to below 12.8 yuan/kg by the end of 2025 [7][8] - Muyuan Foods highlighted its cost advantage in piglet sales, contributing positively to its profitability [8]

Core Viewpoint - The sales reports for June from multiple listed pig companies indicate a general decline in both sales prices and volumes, with notable variations among different companies [3][5][6]. Group 1: Sales Performance - Leading pig company Muyuan Foods reported sales of 7.019 million pigs in June 2025, a year-on-year increase of 58.35%, with a sales revenue of 12.799 billion yuan, up 27.65% year-on-year [5]. - Another major player, Wens Foodstuff Group, sold 3.0073 million pigs in June 2025, with a revenue of 4.92 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year price decline of 20.50% [6][7]. - Shennong Group reported a sales volume of 219,000 pigs in June 2025, with a revenue of 385 million yuan, reflecting a decrease in both sales volume and price compared to May [8]. - Dabeinong's sales figures for June 2025 showed a total of 666,100 pigs sold, generating a revenue of 1.078 billion yuan, with a decline in sales price [9]. Group 2: Cost Control and Efficiency - Despite the overall low prices in the pig market, many companies have managed to maintain effective cost control through refined management practices [11][12]. - New Hope reported that its recent operating cost for fattened pigs is around 13 yuan per kilogram [13]. - Tianbang Biological aims to reduce its breeding costs to below 12.8 yuan per kilogram by the end of 2025, with a target of 6.5 to 7 million pigs for the year [14]. - Haida Group has made significant progress in reducing overall breeding costs due to its established breeding model and advantages in feed research and development [15]. - Muyuan Foods claims to have a cost advantage in piglet sales, contributing positively to its profitability [16].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that meat product prices are under pressure, leading to declining sales for breeding companies in June [1][2] - Wens Foodstuff reported sales of 104 million meat chickens in June, generating revenue of 2.288 billion yuan, with a chicken sales average price of 10.29 yuan/kg, showing month-on-month declines of 3.40%, 8.30%, and 4.28% respectively [1] - In June, Wens Foodstuff sold 3.0073 million pigs, with a revenue of 4.92 billion yuan and an average price of 14.39 yuan/kg, reflecting month-on-month changes of -4.69%, -7.57%, and -1.98% [1] Group 2 - New Hope reported sales of 1.33 million pigs in June, with a revenue of 1.871 billion yuan and an average price of 14.18 yuan/kg, showing month-on-month declines of 0.29%, 5.12%, and 2.81% respectively [1] - Juxing Agriculture announced sales of 419,900 pigs in June, with a revenue of 742 million yuan, and a 3.4% decrease in average price, while sales volume increased by 28% [2] - Xiangjia reported sales of 4.298 million live poultry in June, generating revenue of 68.1782 million yuan, with a significant decline in sales price due to market sluggishness [2] Group 3 - The industry is experiencing a seasonal consumption lull, with pig prices maintaining a fluctuating trend, and expectations for better performance in the second half of the year [2][3] - The report suggests that the supply of pigs will see limited growth by 2025, and high-quality pig enterprises may still achieve considerable profits [3] - The industry is currently operating at a marginal profit, with large pig enterprises focusing on increasing capacity utilization to reduce breeding costs [3]

7月7日晚间，沪深两市多家上市公司发布公告，以下是第一财经对一些重要公告的汇总，供投资者参 考。 【品大事】 斯康达：公司董事长兼总经理李月杰和董事朱春城被采取刑事强制措施 工业富联二季度净利润预增约五成 工业富联(601138)发布2025年半年度业绩预告，预计上半年实现归母净利润119.58亿元—121.58亿元， 同比上升36.84%到39.12%；预计第二季度实现归母净利润67.27亿元到69.27亿元，同比上升47.72%— 52.11%，均创下同期历史新高。业绩大幅增长主要得益于AI相关业务的爆发，在第二季度AI服务器营 收同比增长超过60%，800G交换机营收达2024全年的3倍。 华友钴业：上半年净利同比预增55.62%到67.59% 瑞斯康达(603803)公告，7月5日，公司收到相关人员家属通知，因涉嫌违规披露、不披露重要信息罪， 根据《中华人民共和国刑事诉讼法》第八十二条的规定，北京市公安局朝阳分局决定对公司董事长兼总 经理李月杰和董事朱春城采取刑事强制措施，其中朱春城已被取保候审。经与有关部门了解，上述涉嫌 违规披露、不披露重要信息事项与2023年9月中国证监会对公司做出的行政处罚系同 ...

| 证券代码：603477 | 证券简称：巨星农牧 | 公告编号：2025-062 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：113648 | 债券简称：巨星转债 | | 乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司 2025 年 6 月养殖业务销售情况简报 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 2、上述销售数据来源于公司内部统计，未经审计，与定期报告披露的数据 之间可能存在差异，上述销售数据仅作为阶段性数据供投资者参考。因四舍五入， 以上数据可能存在尾差。商品猪销价为当月销售均价。 3、生猪市场价格的大幅波动（下降或上升）与动物疫病是生猪养殖行业的 系统性风险，对任何一家生猪养殖生产者来讲都是客观存在的、不可控制的外部 风险，可能会对公司的经营业绩产生重大影响。 | 产品 | 销售量（万头） | 销售量同比增减（%） | | --- | --- | --- | | 生猪 | 41.99 | 85.88 | 注：2025 年 6 月，公司销售生猪 41.99 万头，其中商品猪销售 41.49 万头、 仔猪销售 0.50 ...

Core Insights - The company, Juxing Agriculture and Animal Husbandry (603477), reported a significant increase in pig sales and revenue for June 2025, with sales reaching 419,900 heads, representing a year-on-year growth of 85.88% [1] - For the first half of 2025, the cumulative pig sales volume was 1,909,600 heads, generating a total sales revenue of 3.432 billion yuan [1] Sales Performance - June 2025 pig sales volume: 419,900 heads [1] - June 2025 sales revenue: 742 million yuan [1] - First half of 2025 cumulative sales volume: 1,909,600 heads [1] - First half of 2025 cumulative sales revenue: 3.432 billion yuan [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [2][45]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in pig prices, reaching a new high since the Spring Festival, with a current average price of 15.37 CNY/kg, up 4.8% week-on-week [3][4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on quality pig farming companies and the opportunities in the livestock support and pet food sectors, as the pet food industry remains vibrant with leading brands performing well [3][4]. - The report anticipates a notable improvement in overall profitability in the agricultural sector for the first half of 2025, particularly in pig farming, feed, pet food, and animal health sectors [3][4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shenwan Agricultural, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Index rose by 2.5%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index which increased by 1.5% [3][4]. - The top five gainers in individual stocks include Muyuan Foods (+4.9%), Shennong Group (+4.0%), and Xiaoming Co. (+4.8%) [3][4]. Pig Farming - Pig prices have shown a strong upward trend, with the average price reaching 15.37 CNY/kg, marking a significant increase from previous months [3][4]. - The report discusses the reasons behind the recent price surge, including a reduction in supply pressure and increased second fattening activities [3][4]. Poultry Farming - The report notes a decline in broiler chick prices, with the average price dropping to 1.14 CNY/chick, down 7.3% week-on-week [3][4]. - Broiler prices have also decreased, with the average price for live chickens at 3.37 CNY/kg, reflecting a weak market [3][4]. Animal Health - The report highlights a recovery in demand for vaccines, with a 15.8% year-on-year increase in vaccine issuance from January to May 2025 [3][4]. - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring new vaccine varieties and the potential growth in the pet health sector [3][4]. Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wen's Food Group, and Shennong Group for potential investment opportunities [3][4].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The supply contraction and macroeconomic catalysts are expected to provide strong support for pig prices in Q3 2025. The average selling price of pigs on July 4 was 15.37 yuan/kg, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.71 yuan/kg and a 4.84% rise [12][13] - The central economic committee's recent meeting emphasized the need to promote high-quality development of the marine economy, which is expected to benefit the aquaculture sector [21][36] - The agricultural index outperformed the market by 1.14 percentage points during the week of June 27 to July 4, with the agricultural index rising by 2.55% compared to a 1.40% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [32][34] Summary by Sections Supply and Demand Dynamics - The average daily slaughter volume of pigs was 133,800 heads, a decrease of 7,300 heads from the previous week, indicating a seasonal decline in demand due to rising temperatures [12] - The supply side continues to contract due to previous over-culling and losses from piglets after the Spring Festival, which is expected to support prices [12] Price Trends - The average price of pigs increased to 15.35 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week rise of 0.63 yuan/kg. The price of piglets decreased to 31.33 yuan/kg, down by 0.27 yuan/kg [6][39] - The price of corn increased to 2,511 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 8 yuan/ton, while soybean meal prices decreased to 2,926 yuan/ton, down by 27 yuan/ton [4][16] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and New Hope Liuhe, which are expected to benefit from the improving investment logic in the pig sector [27] - In the feed sector, companies like Haida Group and New Hope are recommended due to domestic market benefits and strong overseas demand [27] Market Performance - The aquaculture sector led the market gains, with stocks like Guolian Aquatic Products rising by 12.22%, Shennong Technology by 7.31%, and Dongrui Co. by 6.92% during the week [32][35]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the agricultural sector [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes the need to combat "involutionary" competition and optimize pig production capacity, as highlighted in the recent meeting of the Central Financial Committee [1][17] - The overall pig farming industry is currently profitable, with self-breeding and self-raising models showing increased profits [18][23] - The poultry sector is experiencing price declines, particularly in broiler chickens and chicken seedlings, indicating a potential for price recovery in the future [19][36] Summary by Sections Agricultural Data Tracking - The national average price for lean meat pigs is 14.82 CNY/kg, up 3.9% from last week, while the average wholesale price for pork is 20.58 CNY/kg, up 1.7% [21][22] - The average weight of pigs for slaughter has decreased to 90.05 kg, down 0.6% week-on-week [26] - The price of 15 kg piglets has decreased to 36.77 CNY/kg, down 1% from last week [29] Pig Farming - The average profit for self-breeding pigs is 119.72 CNY/head, an increase of 69.48 CNY/head from last week, while the profit for purchased piglets is -26.26 CNY/head, an increase of 105.45 CNY/head [23][24] - The report suggests monitoring the impact of recent policy changes on pig prices and inventory behavior [18] Poultry Farming - The average price for broiler chickens is 6.75 CNY/kg, down 3.7% from last week, and the average price for chicken products is 8.45 CNY/kg, down 1.2% [36] - The price for broiler chicks has dropped to 1.36 CNY/chick, down 20% from last week [31] Crop and Agricultural Products - The approval of genetically modified varieties is expected to lead to commercial sales, with potential growth opportunities for industry companies [19] Livestock Support - The report notes increased price volatility in agricultural products, with leading feed companies likely to replace smaller competitors due to their advantages in procurement and scale [19]