Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing "involution" competition across various industries in China, emphasizing the need for a unified national market and the government's efforts to regulate and guide this competition to ensure a healthy market environment [2][4][11]. Group 1: Involution Competition - The "involution" competition has escalated from e-commerce and automotive sectors to electronics, food, steel, and cement industries, leading to a detrimental cycle where companies sacrifice profits for market share [2][4]. - The Chinese government, through multiple departments, is actively implementing measures to address this "involution" competition, aiming to break the cycle and promote a healthier market order [2][5][11]. Group 2: Government Measures - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has introduced guidelines to prevent local governments from offering illegal incentives in areas such as finance, taxes, and resources, focusing on both constraints and guidance [5][6]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) is targeting key industries like automotive and steel to encourage structural adjustments and the elimination of outdated capacities [6][11]. - The State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) is conducting targeted actions against unfair competition across a wide range of sectors, including e-commerce and food, to ensure fair market practices [6][9]. Group 3: Price Governance Framework - Recent reforms in the Anti-Unfair Competition Law aim to establish a fair competition review system, prohibiting practices that disrupt market order through below-cost pricing [8][9]. - The NDRC and SAMR are working on revising the pricing law to address predatory pricing and ensure that service pricing is also regulated, enhancing the legal framework for market supervision [9][10]. Group 4: Achievements and Future Directions - Initial results from the government's "combination punches" against "involution" competition show improvements in industries like steel and construction materials, with a gradual recovery in upstream supply chain prices [11]. - The article highlights the need for further reforms in performance evaluation and fiscal systems to eliminate local protectionism and market barriers, which are essential for the successful establishment of a unified national market [11].

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing "price war" across various industries in China, driven by intense competition, has led to a detrimental cycle where companies sacrifice profits to gain market share, prompting government intervention to establish a fair competitive environment and promote a unified national market [1][2]. Group 1: Government Actions - Multiple government departments, including the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT), and State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR), are implementing comprehensive measures to combat "involution" in competition [2][3]. - The NDRC has issued guidelines to prevent local governments from offering illegal incentives related to finance, taxes, land, and resources, while also promoting mergers and the elimination of inefficient production capacities in industries like refining and steel [3][4]. - The MIIT is focusing on key industries such as automotive and photovoltaic sectors, encouraging structural adjustments and the elimination of outdated capacities, with initiatives like a 60-day payment commitment from major automotive companies [3][4]. Group 2: Regulatory Framework - The recent revision of the Anti-Unfair Competition Law aims to establish a fair competition review system, prohibiting platform operators from forcing sellers to price below cost, thereby addressing the issue of "involution" [5][6]. - The NDRC and SAMR are seeking public input on amendments to the pricing law, which will further link the regulation of "involution" with price governance [5][6]. - Experts believe that the revised pricing law will work in conjunction with anti-monopoly and anti-unfair competition laws to create a more comprehensive market regulation system, fostering a fair competitive environment [6][7]. Group 3: Market Impact - Initial results from the government's "combination punches" against "involution" have shown positive effects, with improvements in capacity management and structural optimization in industries like steel and construction materials, leading to a gradual recovery in upstream prices [6][7]. - The pricing strategies in the automotive, e-commerce, and food delivery sectors are becoming more rational, with a noticeable decrease in chaotic promotional activities [6][7]. - The Central Economic Committee has reiterated the need for legal governance of low-price competition and the orderly exit of outdated capacities, indicating ongoing efforts to regulate the market [7].

Core Viewpoint - The Guangdong financial regulatory authority has initiated measures to combat "involution" competition in the banking and insurance sectors, aiming to maintain industry order and promote sustainable development [1][4]. Group 1: Banking Sector Initiatives - The Guangdong Banking Association has established a "1+3+N" system to address "involution" competition, which includes a negative list from regulatory bodies and self-regulatory measures from industry associations [2]. - Various banking associations in Guangdong are actively implementing self-regulatory measures to combat "involution" competition, focusing on price competition in core business areas like deposits and loans [3]. - A large bank in Guangzhou has communicated the regulatory spirit regarding "involution" competition to its frontline operations, indicating a commitment to rational and healthy competition [3]. Group 2: Insurance Sector Actions - The Guangdong Insurance Association has convened meetings to address "involution" competition, emphasizing the need for self-regulation and adherence to business norms [4][5]. - A self-regulatory charter has been released by the Guangdong Insurance Association, outlining strict cost management and measures to resist malicious price wars [5][6]. - The charter specifies actions against price competition, including prohibiting the provision of benefits outside of insurance contracts and limiting fees to intermediaries [5][6].

Report Industry Investment Ratings - The outlook for stock index futures is "oscillating with a slight upward bias", for stock index options is "probability of volatility decline is relatively high", and for treasury bond futures is "maintaining oscillation" [7][8][10] Core Viewpoints - The sentiment in the stock market has recovered, with the Shanghai Composite Index approaching the 3500-point mark, and there are signs of incremental funds entering the market. The stock index option market shows signs of recovery, but there may be risks of decline in both volatility and the index. The treasury bond futures market is expected to maintain an oscillating trend, and attention should be paid to the central bank's operations [7][8][10] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Views Stock Index Futures - Yesterday, the equity market oscillated upward, with the Shanghai Composite Index approaching the 3500-point mark. Non-metallic materials, telecommunications, and electronics led the gains, while banks and public utilities, which were relatively strong yesterday, ranked lower. The market rotation speed remains relatively fast. The sentiment has recovered, with market trading volume enlarging to around 1.5 trillion, significant increase in futures positions and narrowing of discounts, and the number of limit-up stocks remaining at around 70. There is a risk of missing out on the market, and if the market continues, attention can be paid to the possibility of adding long positions in IM contracts on dips. The operation suggestion is to wait and see [7] Stock Index Options - Yesterday, the underlying assets rose again, with the GEM ETF leading the gains, rising 2.32%, and the SSE 50 ETF rising 0.6%. Driven by the rise in the underlying assets, the liquidity in the options market recovered rapidly, with the trading volume increasing by about 95%, and the trading volume of the GEM ETF options exceeding that of the 300 ETF options. Most contracts saw a slight increase in volatility. There may be risks of decline in both volatility and the index. The volatility trend strategy is to pay attention to the morning volatility and short volatility on rallies, and the main strategy is the covered call strategy [8] Treasury Bond Futures - Yesterday, treasury bond futures declined across the board. The strong performance of the equity market suppressed the intraday performance of the T main contract, but there was a slight rebound in the market at the end of the session, indicating that short sellers may have some profit-taking motivation. In the cash bond market, the central bank further net withdrew funds, and the funding rate may not decline further. With the tax payment at the middle of the month and the MLF withdrawal, the funding liquidity may fluctuate more. The market lacks catalytic factors in the short term, and the odds may decline after the previous decline in interest rates to a low level. The operation suggestions include maintaining an oscillating trend strategy, paying attention to short hedging at low basis levels, appropriately paying attention to basis widening, and the mid-term strategy of steepening the yield curve has higher odds [8][10] Economic Calendar - It lists the economic data release schedule for the current week, including the retail sales annual rate in the Eurozone in May, the CPI and PPI annual rates in China in June, the M2 money supply annual rate in China in June, the cumulative new RMB loans in China in June, and the cumulative social financing scale in China in June [11] Important Information and News Tracking - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission's Chief Executive Officer, Leung Fung Yee, said at the Bond Connect Anniversary Forum 2025 that they have been actively cooperating with mainland regulatory authorities to promote the inclusion of RMB stock trading counters in the Hong Kong Stock Connect. The technical preparations are progressing smoothly, and they aim to announce the implementation details to the market soon. They also hope to establish an offshore treasury bond commercial repurchase market in Hong Kong. A new round of anti-"involution" competition has begun, covering both traditional industries such as steel and cement and emerging industries such as photovoltaics, new energy vehicles, and lithium batteries. The anti-involution policy should be implemented gradually and tailored to different industries [12] Derivatives Market Monitoring - It includes data on stock index futures, stock index options, and treasury bond futures, but specific data details are not provided in the text [13][17][29]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the agricultural sector [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes the need to combat "involutionary" competition and optimize pig production capacity, as highlighted in the recent meeting of the Central Financial Committee [1][17] - The overall pig farming industry is currently profitable, with self-breeding and self-raising models showing increased profits [18][23] - The poultry sector is experiencing price declines, particularly in broiler chickens and chicken seedlings, indicating a potential for price recovery in the future [19][36] Summary by Sections Agricultural Data Tracking - The national average price for lean meat pigs is 14.82 CNY/kg, up 3.9% from last week, while the average wholesale price for pork is 20.58 CNY/kg, up 1.7% [21][22] - The average weight of pigs for slaughter has decreased to 90.05 kg, down 0.6% week-on-week [26] - The price of 15 kg piglets has decreased to 36.77 CNY/kg, down 1% from last week [29] Pig Farming - The average profit for self-breeding pigs is 119.72 CNY/head, an increase of 69.48 CNY/head from last week, while the profit for purchased piglets is -26.26 CNY/head, an increase of 105.45 CNY/head [23][24] - The report suggests monitoring the impact of recent policy changes on pig prices and inventory behavior [18] Poultry Farming - The average price for broiler chickens is 6.75 CNY/kg, down 3.7% from last week, and the average price for chicken products is 8.45 CNY/kg, down 1.2% [36] - The price for broiler chicks has dropped to 1.36 CNY/chick, down 20% from last week [31] Crop and Agricultural Products - The approval of genetically modified varieties is expected to lead to commercial sales, with potential growth opportunities for industry companies [19] Livestock Support - The report notes increased price volatility in agricultural products, with leading feed companies likely to replace smaller competitors due to their advantages in procurement and scale [19]