Core Viewpoint - The food sector experienced significant movement on December 2, with companies such as Anji Food and Huifa Food reaching their daily price limits. Group 1: Company Performance - Huifa Food (603536) saw a price increase of 9.99%, reaching 14.87, with a market capitalization of 3.6 billion [2][3] - Anji Food (603696) also increased by 10.00%, reaching a price of 14.63 [3] - Haixin Food (002702) recorded a rise of 10.05%, with its current price at 8.76 [3] Group 2: Market Trends - The food sector showed a broad upward trend, with several companies like Xiwang Food and Zhu Laoliu increasing by over 5% [2] - Other companies such as Gaisi Food, Yuanzhu Shares, and Sanquan Food also experienced price increases, indicating a positive market sentiment in the food industry [2]

Industry Overview - The carbon quota allocation mechanism is linked to production output without a total carbon emission cap, focusing on intensity-based dynamic adjustments [1][2] - The allocation mechanism is based on the experience of the power generation industry, implementing free quota distribution based on carbon emission intensity control, with total quotas dynamically associated with industry production levels [2] - New key emission units in the steel, cement, and aluminum smelting industries must complete the first quota clearance for 2024 by 2025 [1][2] Company Tracking - Longking Environmental has seen significant shareholding increases from Zijin Mining, with stable leadership transitions expected to enhance Longking's business [3] - China Water Affairs reported a revenue of HKD 5.183 billion for FY26H1, a decrease of 12.9% year-on-year, with a net profit of HKD 571 million, down 24.4% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in connection and construction activities [3] - The company has reduced capital expenditures by 31.8% to HKD 1.243 billion in FY26H1, while maintaining a dividend of HKD 0.13 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.8% [3] Solid Waste Sector Insights - The solid waste sector has shown strong fundamentals in Q3 2025, with a 12% increase in net profit and a 2.7 percentage point increase in gross margin [3] - Free cash flow in the solid waste sector reached RMB 13.3 billion in Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 28%, with capital expenditures down 12% [3] - The average waste incineration companies' output per ton increased by 1.8% year-on-year in H1 2025, indicating operational efficiency improvements [3] Water Sector Insights - The water sector is expected to experience a cash flow turnaround, with significant increases in free cash flow anticipated starting in 2026 [4] - Recent water price reforms in major cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen are expected to enhance revenue and profitability for water companies [5] - Recommended companies in the water sector include Yuehai Investment and Xingrong Environment, with a focus on improving cash flow and dividend payouts [5] Industry Tracking - The sales of new energy sanitation vehicles increased by 61.32% year-on-year in the first ten months of 2025, with a penetration rate of 18.02% [6] - The average price of biodiesel remained stable, while net profits per ton have declined [6] - Lithium carbonate prices have risen, improving profitability in lithium battery recycling [6]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that southbound funds have increased their holdings in Yuehai Investment (00270.HK) by 114,000 shares on December 1, 2025, marking a trend of consistent net increases over recent trading days [1] - Over the past five trading days, southbound funds have increased their holdings for four days, resulting in a total net increase of 2,006,000 shares [1] - In the last twenty trading days, there have been fifteen days of net increases, totaling 16,716,000 shares acquired by southbound funds [1] - As of now, southbound funds hold 520 million shares of Yuehai Investment, which represents 7.95% of the company's total issued ordinary shares [1] Group 2 - Yuehai Investment Co., Ltd. primarily engages in water supply and wastewater treatment as an investment holding company [2] - The company operates through seven divisions, including water resources, property investment and development, department store operations, power generation, hotel management, toll roads and bridges, and other treasury services [2]

王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 傅浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 站玩人行业 证券分析师 联系人 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务号 — 申万公用环保周报(25/11/24~25/11/28) 本期投资提示: 公用事亦 2025 年 12 月 01 日 相关研究 多地规范售电批零价差 欧亚 第12年 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 电力：广东发函规范售电批零价差。广东电力交易中心发布关于征求广东电力零售市场交易结算 有关事项意见的函（广东交易函〔2025〕11 号)。自 2026 年起，拟对各售电公司月度平均度电 批零差价高于差价收益上限 0.01 元/千瓦时的部分，按照 1:9 比例由售电公司与零售用户分享。今 年以陕西、安徽、四川、山东、新疆为代表的多个省区相继出台针对售电公 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment outlook for the public utilities and environmental sectors, particularly in the context of recent regulatory changes and market dynamics [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the regulatory measures in various provinces aimed at standardizing the retail price differences in electricity sales, which is expected to stabilize market expectations and improve the profitability of electricity sales companies [3][7]. - It notes the fluctuating natural gas prices globally, with U.S. prices rising while European prices are declining, indicating a complex supply-demand landscape influenced by geopolitical factors and seasonal demand [12][22]. - The report provides specific investment recommendations across various segments, including hydropower, thermal power, nuclear power, green energy, and gas-related companies, reflecting a diversified approach to capitalize on emerging opportunities [10][37]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity: Regulation of Retail Price Differences - Guangdong has issued guidelines to regulate the retail price differences, proposing a sharing mechanism for excess profits above a set threshold starting in 2026 [7]. - Several provinces have introduced detailed policies to manage retail price differences, aiming to prevent excessive profits by electricity sales companies and ensure fair pricing for consumers [8][9]. - The report emphasizes the need for a shift from aggressive pricing strategies to a service-oriented business model for electricity sales companies, which could stabilize market expectations [9]. 2. Natural Gas: Global Price Fluctuations - As of November 28, U.S. Henry Hub spot prices reached $4.59/mmBtu, reflecting an 11.13% weekly increase, while European prices, such as TTF, fell by 5.37% to €28.75/MWh [12][13]. - The report notes that U.S. natural gas demand has surged due to cold weather, despite record production levels, leading to a tightening supply-demand balance [16]. - In Northeast Asia, LNG prices have decreased to $10.90/mmBtu, down 6.52% week-on-week, driven by weak demand and high inventory levels [31][34]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Hydropower: Favorable autumn floods are expected to enhance hydropower generation capacity for the winter and spring, with recommendations for major hydropower companies [10]. - Thermal Power: The diversification of revenue sources in thermal power companies is highlighted, with recommendations for integrated coal and power companies [11]. - Nuclear Power: The report suggests focusing on nuclear power companies due to stable cost structures and expected growth from new approvals [11]. - Green Energy: The introduction of new market rules for renewable energy is expected to stabilize returns for green energy operators [11]. - Gas and Environmental Companies: Recommendations include integrated gas trading companies and environmentally focused firms benefiting from regulatory changes [37].

Market Overview - On November 28, A-shares saw all three major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.21%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.72%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.71. The total market turnover was 983.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 113.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with over 3,500 stocks rising [2]. Company Highlights - Haixin Food experienced a significant surge, hitting the daily limit and achieving a turnover rate of over 38% with a transaction volume of 1.123 billion yuan by midday. This marked the third consecutive day of limit-up trading for the company [4]. - Haixin Food announced that its stock price had deviated significantly, with a cumulative increase of over 20% over two trading days. The company stated that its recent operational conditions remain normal, with no significant changes in the internal or external business environment. The company highlighted two key operational achievements: a strategic breakthrough in new channel expansion by entering the Sam's Club system, which enhances brand reputation and pricing power, and a year-on-year growth in its snack food business [7]. Industry Trends - The dairy sector showed strong performance, with Sunshine Dairy and Yantang Dairy both hitting the daily limit. Sunshine Dairy began its surge at 10:48 AM, reaching the limit within one minute, while Yantang Dairy followed suit, hitting the limit within five minutes around 11 AM [9]. - A report from Huatai Securities indicated that the essential consumer goods sector has significant room for structural upgrades domestically and opportunities for overseas expansion. The report noted that leading companies have been increasing their dividend rates, providing a threefold advantage of dividend yield support, long-term growth potential, and low valuation elasticity in a low-interest-rate environment. The current allocation ratio and valuation percentiles for the essential consumer goods industry are at historical lows, suggesting a favorable entry point for investments [13].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a slight increase on November 28, with the metal sector leading the gains [1][3] - The Hang Seng Index continued to fluctuate around the 26,000-point mark [11] A-share Performance - Major indices in the A-share market saw varying degrees of increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3,883.46, up 0.21%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 12,967.66, up 0.72% [4] - The metal sector led the gains, with a peak increase of nearly 2%, particularly driven by lithium mining stocks [4][5] - Notable performers included Alloy Investment (000633) hitting the daily limit, and several other lithium-related stocks such as Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240) and Longda Shares showing increases over 5% [5] Individual Stock Movements - Hai Xin Food (002702) exhibited extreme volatility, initially hitting the daily limit down before rapidly recovering to hit the limit up, showcasing a "地天板" (limit down to limit up) pattern [9] - The stock had previously experienced three consecutive trading days of limit up, indicating strong market interest [9] Sector Performance - Other sectors such as steel, electronics, machinery, agriculture, and power equipment also saw increases exceeding 1% [5] - Conversely, sectors like banking, beauty care, and coal experienced declines [5] Hong Kong Market Dynamics - The Hang Seng Index was reported at 25,884.42, down 0.24%, with notable fluctuations in individual stocks [12] - Pop Mart continued to lead gains among Hang Seng constituents, with a rise exceeding 5% [12] - China Shangcheng experienced significant volatility, with a drop of over 30% during the session, following a previous day's decline of more than 70% [12] Fujian Sector Developments - The Fujian sector saw multiple stocks surge, including Fujian Cement (600802) and Xiamen Tungsten (600549), which hit the daily limit [6] - The recent "14th Five-Year Plan" released by Fujian emphasizes deepening state-owned enterprise reforms and enhancing core competitiveness [8]

Core Viewpoint - Hai Xin Food experienced significant stock price volatility, with a rapid drop followed by a surge to the daily limit, indicating strong market interest and trading activity [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On November 28, Hai Xin Food opened low but quickly hit the daily limit, with a trading volume exceeding 37% and a transaction amount over 1 billion [1]. - The stock had previously experienced two consecutive days of hitting the limit up [3]. Group 2: Company Announcements - Hai Xin Food issued a stock price fluctuation announcement stating that it had not discovered any significant undisclosed information affecting stock trading prices, and that its recent operational conditions remained normal [3]. - The company highlighted strategic breakthroughs in new channel expansion, particularly entering the Sam's Club system, and reported year-on-year growth in its snack food business across major retail channels [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - In response to inquiries about potential revenue pressure in the fourth quarter, Hai Xin Food indicated that the fourth quarter is typically a peak season due to traditional demand and preparations for the Spring Festival [4].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights significant growth in the environmental protection industry, particularly in the sanitation equipment and lithium battery recycling sectors, driven by increasing demand for new energy vehicles and rising lithium prices [1][3][7]. Industry Overview - Sanitation Equipment: In the first ten months of 2025, sales of new energy sanitation vehicles increased by 61.32%, with a penetration rate rising by 6.33 percentage points to 18.02%. Total sanitation vehicle sales reached 60,675 units, a year-on-year increase of 4.61%, with 10,931 units being new energy vehicles, marking a 63.32% increase [1][7]. - Lithium Battery Recycling: The price of lithium carbonate has risen, improving profitability. As of November 21, 2025, the weekly price of lithium carbonate was 92,400 (up 8.4% week-on-week), with cobalt and nickel prices at 405,000 and 116,700 respectively [1][7]. Investment Recommendations - Key Recommendations: Companies such as Hanlan Environment, High Energy Environment, Green Power Environmental Protection, and others are highlighted as key investment opportunities [2][4][5]. - Suggested Focus: Attention is drawn to companies involved in carbon monitoring and CCER asset appreciation, as well as those engaged in plastic recycling and energy-saving projects [3][4]. Financial Performance - Solid Waste Sector: The sector showed a 12% increase in net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with a gross margin improvement of 2.7 percentage points. Free cash flow reached 13.3 billion, up 28% year-on-year [5][6]. - Water Sector: The water sector is expected to see a significant improvement in free cash flow, with a projected increase in dividend payout ratios as cash flow stabilizes [6]. Market Trends - Carbon Emission Quotas: The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has implemented a carbon emission quota scheme for the steel, cement, and aluminum industries for 2024 and 2025, which is expected to enhance the demand for carbon monitoring equipment [3][4]. - Price Adjustments: Recent price adjustments in water services in major cities are anticipated to support revenue growth and improve investment returns [6].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for various sectors within the energy industry, particularly hydropower, green energy, nuclear power, and gas companies, indicating potential growth opportunities [6][18][41]. Core Insights - In October 2025, the total electricity consumption in China reached 857.2 billion kWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 10.4%. The growth was primarily driven by the tertiary sector and residential electricity usage, with significant contributions from industries related to big data and AI services [6][9][10]. - Natural gas prices exhibited mixed trends globally, with U.S. prices rising while European prices saw a slight decline. The report highlights the ongoing high demand for LNG in Northeast Asia, which has led to price increases in that region [20][28][41]. - The report emphasizes the importance of various energy sectors, recommending specific companies based on their performance and market conditions, such as hydropower, green energy, nuclear power, and gas companies [18][41]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity Sector - The electricity consumption in October 2025 was 857.2 billion kWh, with the first, second, and third industries and residential usage showing year-on-year growth rates of 13.2%, 6.2%, 17.1%, and 23.9% respectively [11][12]. - The tertiary sector's electricity consumption grew significantly, particularly in the internet data service industry, which saw a 46% increase [9][10]. - The report notes that the rapid growth in residential electricity usage was influenced by temperature variations, with some regions experiencing over 60% growth [6][9]. 2. Natural Gas Sector - As of November 21, 2025, the Henry Hub spot price in the U.S. was $4.13/mmBtu, reflecting an 18.33% weekly increase, while European gas prices showed slight declines [20][21]. - The report indicates that U.S. natural gas supply and demand remain robust, contributing to the upward price trend, while European prices are stabilizing due to balanced supply and demand [20][28]. - Recommendations for investment include companies in the gas sector that are expected to benefit from cost reductions and increased demand [41]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Hydropower: Continued high growth in hydropower generation is expected, with recommendations for companies like Guotou Power and Chuan Investment Energy [18]. - Green Energy: The report suggests focusing on companies like Xintian Green Energy and Fuhua Co., which are expected to benefit from stable returns and increased operational efficiency [18]. - Nuclear Power: The approval of new nuclear units is anticipated to support growth, with recommendations for China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power [18]. - Gas and Environmental Companies: The report highlights the potential for gas companies to recover profitability and suggests focusing on integrated gas traders [41].