对此，中国有色金属工业协会硅业分会分析，此轮提价主因是多晶硅企业超一年以上亏损运营，为清库存导致价格已 远低于综合成本，为符合"不低于成本销售"的价格法规要求，硅料企业一次性提价至综合成本线之上。 上游硅料的集中涨价也迅速传导至中游。7月9日，各尺寸N型硅片报价迎来临时调涨，涨幅普遍在8%-12%。 中信证 券电力设备与新能源分析师林劼认为，后续电池、组件以及部分辅材环节或将进行顺价和涨价，渠道商和电站终端在 供应链涨价预期下也可能加快采购或适当增加库存。 "推动产业链价格回升是实现光伏行业'反内卷'的有效措施和重要的第一步，随着行业回归规范化有序竞争，以及潜 在供给侧改革政策逐步完善和落地，光伏基本面底有望得以夯实，落后产能出清长效机制逐步规范和形成。"林劼表 示。 新华财经上海7月11日电（谈瑞、周子涵）7月以来，A股光伏板块迎来久违的强势反弹行情。截至7月11日收盘，中 证光伏产业指数（931151）月内涨幅达到7.66%。龙头成份股表现尤为亮眼，弘元绿能同期大涨25.93%，通威股份上 涨21.73%，大全能源、双良节能、晶澳科技、晶科科技等涨幅也均超过16%。 此轮大涨的核心驱动力，源于近期政府层面 ...

截至2025年7月11日收盘，中证光伏产业指数(931151)下跌0.48%。成分股方面涨跌互现，罗博特科 (300757)领涨6.38%，横店东磁(002056)上涨2.88%，协鑫集成(002506)上涨2.80%；双良节能(600481)领 跌4.82%，大全能源(688303)下跌4.04%，聚和材料(688503)下跌3.22%。光伏龙头ETF(159609)下跌 0.24%，最新报价0.42元。拉长时间看，截至2025年7月11日，光伏龙头ETF周线三连阳，累计涨幅达 13.75%。 光伏龙头ETF紧密跟踪中证光伏产业指数，中证光伏产业指数从主营业务涉及光伏产业链上、中、下游 的上市公司证券中，选取不超过50只最具代表性的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映光伏产业上市公 司证券的整体表现。 值得注意的是，该基金跟踪的中证光伏产业指数估值处于历史低位，最新市净率PB为1.78倍，低于指数 近3年82.54%以上的时间，估值性价比突出。 数据显示，截至2025年6月30日，中证光伏产业指数(931151)前十大权重股分别为阳光电源(300274)、隆 基绿能(601012)、TCL科技(000100)、 ...

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-07-11 供应端：工业硅现货价格持稳。据SMM数据，昨日华东通氧553#硅在8700-8800（0）元/吨；421#硅在9000-9200 （50）元/吨，新疆通氧553价格8200-8400（100）元/吨，99硅价格在8100-8300（50）元/吨。 SMM统计7月10日工业硅主要地区社会库存共计55.1万吨，较上周环比减少0.1万吨。其中社会普通仓库12.4万吨， 较上周环比减少0.2万吨，社会交割仓库42.7万吨（含未注册成仓单及现货部分），较上周环比增加0.1万吨。 消费端：据SMM统计，有机硅DMC报价10300-10600（0）元/吨。SMM报道，本周国内DMC底部价格小幅上调至 10700元/吨，华东单体企业本周报价10700元/吨，较上周上涨400元/吨，其他单体企业报价上调至11000元/吨左右。 在此带动下，DMC下游各产品价格有小幅上调。 策略 基本面短期稍有好转，供应端西北大厂减产，西南开工低于往年，消费端环比有一定提升。但行业总库存水平较 高，反弹后有套保压力，且短期停产企业及西南丰水期均有复产可能，终端消费并未改善，基本面偏弱。工业硅 期货 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent trend in the photovoltaic industry indicates a recovery in silicon material prices, driven by industry self-discipline and favorable policies [1][2][4] Group 1: Silicon Material Price Trends - The latest data from the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association's Silicon Industry Branch shows that silicon material prices have continued to rise, with multi-crystalline silicon N-type raw materials and N-type granular silicon prices increasing by 6.92% and 6.27% respectively [1] - Multi-crystalline silicon prices have been significantly adjusted, with a price increase of 25% to 35%, bringing the price range to 45,000 to 50,000 yuan per ton [1] - The mainstream price for N-type dense materials has reached 39 yuan per kilogram, reflecting a 14.71% increase from the previous week [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Sentiment - The photovoltaic sector has seen a positive market response, with several companies' stock prices reaching new highs following a recent industry meeting that addressed low-price competition [2] - Analysts express optimism regarding policy-driven structural optimization and market environment improvements within the industry [2] - Although new orders are limited, the execution of previously signed orders has strengthened, indicating a stabilization in the silicon material market [2][3] Group 3: Supply and Demand Conditions - The supply-demand situation for silicon materials has shown signs of improvement, with June's domestic multi-crystalline silicon production at approximately 102,000 tons, matching demand without new inventory accumulation [3] - The total domestic production for the first half of the year was about 596,000 tons, a significant year-on-year decrease of 44.1% [3] - The forecast for global multi-crystalline silicon demand in 2025 is around 1.4 million tons, with domestic demand expected to be approximately 1.3 million tons [3] Group 4: Industry Outlook - The current policies are focused on market regulation and resource concentration, which may lead to the faster elimination of high-cost production capacities [3] - The industry is expected to undergo a structural transformation towards refined management, with a significant improvement in supply-demand dynamics anticipated post-2026 [3] - The ongoing "anti-involution" movement serves as a test of comprehensive cost strength among companies, with those facing long-term inventory accumulation and cash flow issues at risk of production halts [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is facing severe price competition, leading to significant losses for companies, prompting a call for "anti-involution" measures to ensure sustainable development and product quality improvement [1][3][10]. Industry Overview - The Central Economic Committee has mandated the regulation of low-price competition in the photovoltaic sector, aiming to enhance product quality and facilitate the exit of outdated production capacity [1][10]. - The photovoltaic sector has seen a strong rebound in stock prices since early July, with companies like Tongwei Co., Ltd. and Longi Green Energy experiencing significant gains [1]. Financial Performance - Longi Green Energy reported a revenue of 82.58 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decline of 36.23%, with losses exceeding 8.6 billion yuan, marking a staggering drop of 180.15% [3][6]. - The gross margin for Longi's silicon wafer and rod segments was reported at -14.31%, a decline of 30.19%, while the module and battery segments had a gross margin of only 6.27%, down 12.11% [5][6]. Market Dynamics - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, leading to excessive competition and price drops that have resulted in many companies operating at a loss [3][7]. - The price of photovoltaic glass has significantly decreased, with a 24% drop for 2.0mm glass and an 18% drop for 3.2mm glass expected in the first half of 2025 [7][10]. Production Adjustments - In response to the ongoing price competition, major photovoltaic glass manufacturers have agreed to collectively reduce production by 30% starting in July [8][10]. - Many silicon wafer manufacturers are also planning to cut their operating rates by approximately 40% to mitigate losses and stabilize prices [10]. Regulatory Response - The manufacturing sector's recent meetings have emphasized the need for comprehensive governance of low-price competition and the promotion of product quality to achieve healthy and sustainable industry growth [1][10].

光大期货分析指出，继光伏行业座谈会上明确提出"治理行业低价无序竞争，推动落后产能有序退出， 加快推动产业高质量发展"之后，近期市场消息端传言较多， 一是多晶硅将进行成本摸排定价，低于最低成本价或面临处罚；二是7月多晶硅原定复产取消，行业或 通过收储、协会制定标杆成本价以及将光伏从制造品作为能源品定位等多方面路径实现产能逐步出清， 消息端不确定性较大，后期关注具体的落地情况。 除此之外，昨日多部门印发《关于促进大功率充电设施科学规划建设的通知》，鼓励打造智能有序大功 率充电场站，建立大功率充电场站与配电网高效互动机制，因地制宜配建光伏发电和储能设施。多重举 措使得多晶硅基本面存明显改善预期，市场资金主动流入推涨期货盘面。 此外，据券商中国报道，从昨晚开始，市场即流传一则"小作文"，其主要内容涉及"硅料收储可能会于 近期落地"。事实上，该传闻已经在5月份发酵过一次。彼时有消息指出，六大头部硅料厂商正在探讨并 购相关产能，通过雪藏尾部产能实施更大力度的控产，将用近3个月过渡期形成方案；同时六大龙头已 进一步达成减产挺价共识，并设置了每吨4.5万—5万元的挺价区间。当时，智通财经还证实了硅料大厂 集体协商整合行业的计 ...

2、钧达股份：公司研发中心已建立基于N型技术的BC产品实验线，下步将进入中试阶段，实现N型BC 产品线量产，推动N型产品升级。 3、通威股份：目前公司已实现TOPcon、HJT、背接触(BC)电池、钙钛矿/硅叠层电池等技术路线研发的 全面布局，并在N型电池方面持续突破。 4、东材科技（601208）：公司一直坚持技术创新，探索差异化光伏产品的发展战略。目前，公司已有 相应的产品应用到BC电池。 7月8日，BC电池概念股集体大涨，截至收盘，板块涨幅超过4%。个股方面，通威股份（600438）、钧 达股份（002865）等多股收于涨停。 BC电池，又称背接触电池，是一种将正负极金属接触全部集成在背面的太阳能电池技术，其正面无栅 线设计可吸收更多太阳光。该技术兼具美观性与高发电效率，尤其适用于分布式光伏及工商业屋顶场 景。截至2025年4月，其量产效率已突破27%，理论效率极限达29.1%。 消息面上，近期光伏行业"反内卷"成为市场热议的焦点。工信部召开第十五次制造业企业座谈会，强调 依法依规、综合治理光伏行业低价无序竞争，引导企业提升产品品质，推动落后产能有序退出。这一政 策信号不仅提振了市场对光伏行业良性发展的 ...

7月3日，工业和信息化部主持召开第十五次制造业企业座谈会，会议聚焦加快推动光伏产业高质量发 展，听取光伏行业企业及行业协会情况介绍和意见建议。会上，14家光伏行业企业及光伏行业协会负责 人作交流发言，围绕企业生产经营、科技创新、市场竞争、行业生态建设等方面进行交流，介绍企业基 本情况、面临的困难和问题，提出政策建议。 隆基绿能相关负责人表示，在当前行业阵痛期，光伏企业都深刻理解政策层治理低价竞争、推动产能优 化的决心，这为技术领先企业创造了结构性机遇。隆基绿能将充分发挥原创技术的全球领先优势，加速 高效产品商业化，以差异化技术突破价格 "内卷" 困局。 天合光能有关负责人表示，产能整合要充分发挥龙头企业的主导作用，避免无序竞争；要保护创新，尊 重知识产权，让龙头企业能够通过创新获得竞争优势；要尊重市场规律，对于被市场淘汰的落后产能应 退尽退。 晶科能源有关负责人也表示，近期，国内明确指出解决 "内卷式" 竞争的重要性和紧迫性。此次工信部 高规格会议则充分体现出主管部委对治理光伏行业无序竞争、推进高质量发展的重视和决心。 民生证券认为，当前光伏行业价格和盈利均处于底部，高层针对行业密集发生旨在把无序"价格战"式 ...

7月1日召开的中央财经委员会第六次会议强调："纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，要聚焦重点难点，依 法依规治理企业低价无序竞争，引导企业提升产品品质，推动落后产能有序退出。" 近年来，光伏、汽车、锂电、玻璃、水泥等多个领域存在"内卷"式竞争，部分企业陷入增收不增利、低 价销售保市场的尴尬处境。 从疯狂扩产到供需失衡，光伏是"内卷"最为严重的行业之一。7月3日，工信部召开座谈会，综合治理光 伏行业低价无序竞争。 "反内卷"，反什么，怎么反？长江商报聚焦落实"反内卷"行动，探寻"反内卷"样本。 长江商报消息 编者按 "反内卷"的号角吹响。 ●长江商报记者 沈右荣 卷产能、卷价格、卷专利……"内卷"，让光伏行业陷入异常惨烈的境地。 2024年，光伏产业链内部出现冰火两重天。一边是光伏加工设备、逆变器环节企业经营业绩逆势增长， 另一边是光伏硅片、组件企业动辄数十亿亏损。 长江商报记者统计发现，2024年，A股68家光伏设备企业，合计亏损约257亿元。而在2023年，则是合 计盈利993亿元。 从组件、硅片龙头频频官宣数十亿、数百亿元投资扩产，到供需产能失衡，一场无序失控的低价竞争在 光伏行业蔓延。专利诉讼在行业龙头之间频频 ...

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is facing significant challenges, including continuous losses over multiple quarters, prompting a consensus among industry players to combat "involution" and seek market-driven capacity clearance solutions [2][4][10]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - The photovoltaic industry has been experiencing severe supply-demand mismatches, leading to consecutive quarterly losses [2]. - In 2024, the total revenue of 64 listed photovoltaic companies is projected to be 931.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 22.4% year-on-year, with total net profit dropping from a profit of 104.96 billion yuan in 2023 to a loss of 29.76 billion yuan in 2024 [4]. - The industry is currently in a painful transition period, with many companies understanding the regulatory push against low-price competition and the need for capacity optimization [4][9]. Group 2: Industry Consensus and Actions - A consensus on combating "involution" is forming within the industry, with various segments, including silicon materials and photovoltaic glass, exploring market-driven capacity clearance paths [2][4]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting with 14 photovoltaic companies to discuss production, innovation, and market competition, which provided significant confidence to the industry [3][9]. - Industry leaders advocate for a combination of market-driven mergers, technological elimination mechanisms, and policy enforcement to clear outdated capacity [4][10]. Group 3: Market and Policy Dynamics - Companies are exploring market-driven capacity clearance strategies, such as larger firms acquiring smaller ones to stabilize silicon material prices and restore profitability [6][7]. - The photovoltaic glass sector is also expected to reduce production by 30%, with ongoing discussions about capacity clearance [7]. - There is a strong emphasis on the need for policy measures to control new capacity and guide prices back to rational levels, while also promoting technological innovation to facilitate the exit of outdated capacity [9][10].