中经记者 夏治斌 石英婧 上海报道 "'驻厂盯货'没有留意到，但近期确实存在电池供应偏紧，头部企业提前锁单现象。"日前，中关村新型 电池技术创新联盟、电池百人会理事长于清教在接受《中国经营报》记者采访时，结合深入的行业一线 观察，揭示了当前动力电池行业发展的真实图景与核心特征。 2025年四季度，熟悉的供应链"奇景"在中国新能源汽车市场重演，主角换成了电池。根据公开报道，为 了解决电池供应的问题，一些车企正扎堆前往头部电池厂商排队求货。小鹏汽车董事长何小鹏一句"已 和所有电池厂商老板喝遍酒"，更是道出了车企抢货的迫切。 稍早前，也有媒体从鸿蒙智行人士处获悉，因中创新航电芯产能不足，智界部分车型将调配一批宁德时 代82度电池（三元锂离子+磷酸铁锰锂混合），此前该车搭载的是中创新航同规格电池。两品牌电池的 性能、使用寿命及功能均符合华为"巨鲸"电池平台标准，质保政策保持一致。知情人士表示，此举旨在 加快交车，保障用户享受国家购置税减免政策。 中国汽车动力电池产业创新联盟公布的数据显示，1—10月，国内动力电池累计装车量578.0GWh，累计 同比增长42.4%。10月，国内动力电池装车量84.1GWh，同比增长4 ...

Core Insights - The retail sales of passenger cars in China from November 1 to 16 reached 886,000 units, representing a year-on-year decline of 14% and a month-on-month decrease of 6%. However, the cumulative retail sales for the year have reached 20.142 million units, showing a year-on-year growth of 7% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The retail sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) from November 1 to 16 totaled 554,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 2% and a month-on-month increase of 7%. Cumulatively, NEV retail sales for the year have reached 10.703 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21% [1] - The penetration rate of NEVs in the passenger car market stands at 62.5% [1] Group 2: Economic Context - The overall retail performance in November is described as weak, but there is still a slight growth of 7% compared to the same period in 2023, attributed to the stable macroeconomic environment and consumer confidence [1] - The tightening of trade-in and scrapping subsidy policies in certain regions has contributed to a negative month-on-month growth in October [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The current policy regarding the exemption of purchase tax for NEVs is set to change in 2026 to a "half tax" policy, prompting manufacturers to accelerate production and supply in anticipation of this transition [1] - The industry is expected to maintain a positive development trend due to the continuous launch of new products and steady progress in comprehensive industry governance [1]

Core Viewpoint - The retail performance of the passenger car market in China showed a decline in early November, but there is still a year-on-year growth for the year 2023, indicating a mixed outlook for the industry [1] Group 1: Market Performance - From November 1 to 16, the national passenger car market retail reached 886,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 14% and a month-on-month decrease of 6% [1] - Cumulatively, retail sales for the year reached 20.142 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7% [1] - In the same period, the retail of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 554,000 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 2% and a month-on-month increase of 7% [1] - Year-to-date, NEV retail sales totaled 10.703 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 21% [1] - The penetration rate of NEV retail in the passenger car market stands at 62.5% [1] Group 2: Economic and Policy Context - The analysis from the Passenger Car Market Information Joint Conference indicates that while retail trends are weak, there is still a 7% year-on-year growth compared to the same period in 2023, supported by a stable macroeconomic environment and consumer confidence [1] - The tightening of trade-in and scrapping subsidy policies in certain regions has contributed to a negative month-on-month growth in October [1] - The industry anticipates a shift in the policy regarding the exemption of purchase tax for NEVs, which will change to a "half exemption" by 2026 [1] - Industry insiders suggest that automakers will seize the year-end policy transition window to maintain a rapid production pace, with new products being launched and comprehensive industry governance progressing steadily [1]

Core Insights - The recent performance of electric vehicle manufacturers, particularly Xiaopeng and Li Auto, has raised concerns in the market, leading to significant stock price declines following their earnings reports [1][2][4] - The automotive industry is expected to undergo changes due to the reintroduction of vehicle purchase tax for electric vehicles starting in 2026, which may affect consumer choices and market dynamics [5][6][7] Company Performance - Xiaopeng Motors reported a revenue of 20.38 billion yuan for Q3, a year-on-year increase of nearly 100%, but incurred a net loss of 380 million yuan, although this loss narrowed compared to previous periods [2][3] - Li Auto achieved a revenue of 19.45 billion yuan in Q3, nearly doubling year-on-year, with a net profit of 150 million yuan, but experienced an 8% decline in net profit compared to the previous quarter [2][3] - Geely's Q3 revenue reached 89.2 billion yuan, a 27% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.82 billion yuan, up 59% year-on-year, and total sales of 761,000 units, a 43% increase [3] Market Dynamics - Xiaopeng's stock price fell by 10.47% to 85.85 HKD, marking a cumulative decline of over 20% since November 12, while Geely's stock fell by 1.16% to 17 HKD, resulting in a market capitalization of 172 billion HKD [2] - The average selling price of Xiaopeng vehicles decreased by 0.8 million yuan to 156,000 yuan, with a gross margin of 13.1%, slightly below market expectations [3] - The automotive sector is experiencing a weak performance overall, with concerns about declining sales data and the impact of upcoming policy changes on growth rates [4][6] Future Outlook - The reintroduction of the vehicle purchase tax in 2026 is expected to slow down the growth of the passenger vehicle market, potentially leading to increased promotional activities among electric vehicle manufacturers [6][7] - Analysts suggest that the automotive industry will see a differentiation among companies, with stronger competitors likely to emerge as the market adjusts to the new tax environment [6][7]

这三家在港上市的车企是今年的销量"绩优生"，实现了多项指标的新高。 2025年第三季度，吉利汽车实现营业收入892亿元，环比增长15%，同比增长27%，单季收入创历史新 高。核心归母净利润第三季度39.6亿元，同比增长19%，前三季度累计实现净利润106.2亿元，同比增长 59%。盈利能力保持稳健，第三季度毛利总额达148亿元，环比增长11%。前三季度核心归母净利润累 计达106.2亿元，同比增长59%。 截至10月底，吉利汽车已实现年内销量247.7万辆，全年销量目标300万辆，完成率达82.6%。第四季 度，吉利汽车推出多款新车型和改款车型，推动全年销量目标顺利达成。 零跑汽车第三季度收入194.5亿元，同比增长97.3%，净利润为1.5亿元，第三季度毛利率14.5%，同比环 比均显著改善，源于销量上升带来的规模效应；持续的成本管理；产品组合的优化等。零跑第三季度总 交付量173852辆，同比翻倍增长，10月销量首度突破7万辆，销量上升势头十分迅猛，领跑一众新势力 车企。 小鹏汽车三季度营收创新高，达到203.8亿元，同比增长102% ；净亏损为3.8亿元，较2024年同期亏损 18.1 亿元大幅收窄 ； ...

Core Viewpoint - The end of the full exemption policy for new energy vehicle (NEV) purchase tax in 2025 has triggered a competitive order-seizing battle among car manufacturers, with many offering tax subsidy schemes to lock in consumers before the policy change [2][3]. Group 1: Policy Changes and Impacts - From January 1, 2026, the NEV purchase tax will be halved, with a maximum tax reduction of 15,000 yuan per vehicle [2]. - The current exemption policy allows for a maximum tax exemption of 30,000 yuan for NEVs purchased between January 1, 2024, and December 31, 2025 [2]. - The urgency among consumers to purchase vehicles has increased due to the impending policy changes, influencing their choice of models based on delivery timelines [3]. Group 2: Manufacturer Responses - 17 mainstream automotive brands have introduced purchase tax subsidy schemes to cover the tax difference for consumers whose vehicles are delivered after the policy change [2][3]. - The subsidy schemes include various forms such as tax difference vouchers, cash reductions on final payments, and direct cash subsidies, with a maximum subsidy of 15,000 yuan [3]. - The competition among manufacturers is expected to intensify as they aim to capture market share amid the changing tax policies [4]. Group 3: Market Trends and Performance - In October, NEV production and sales reached 1.772 million and 1.715 million units, respectively, both showing over 20% year-on-year growth, with a market penetration rate surpassing 50% [3]. - The cumulative production and sales of NEVs in the first ten months of the year exceeded 13 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of approximately 33% [3]. - The automotive market continues to show strong growth, with new models being launched and production rates maintained to meet demand [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The technical threshold for NEV purchase tax exemptions will increase starting in 2026, as plug-in hybrid vehicles with an electric range of less than 100 kilometers will no longer qualify for tax reductions [4]. - This change is expected to lead to a clearer market differentiation, with companies possessing core technological competitiveness likely to gain a larger market share [4].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impending end of the full exemption from purchase tax for new energy vehicles (NEVs) in China, leading to a competitive order-seizing battle among car manufacturers as they introduce tax subsidy plans to attract consumers before the policy changes take effect [3][4]. Group 1: Policy Changes and Impacts - Starting January 1, 2026, the purchase tax for NEVs will be halved, with a maximum tax reduction of 15,000 yuan per vehicle [3]. - From January 1, 2024, to December 31, 2025, NEVs will continue to be exempt from purchase tax, with a maximum exemption of 30,000 yuan per vehicle [3][4]. - The adjustment in tax policy has intensified consumer urgency to purchase vehicles, influencing their choice of models based on delivery timelines [4]. Group 2: Manufacturer Responses - 17 major automotive brands, including Li Auto, NIO, and BYD, have introduced purchase tax subsidy plans to cover the tax difference for consumers whose vehicles are delivered after the policy change [3][4]. - The subsidy methods include tax difference vouchers, cash reductions on final payments, and direct cash subsidies, with a maximum subsidy of 15,000 yuan [4]. - The competition among manufacturers is expected to increase as they strive to maintain market share amid changing tax incentives [5]. Group 3: Market Trends and Performance - In October, NEV production and sales reached 1.772 million and 1.715 million units, respectively, with year-on-year growth exceeding 20% and a market penetration rate surpassing 50% [4][5]. - Cumulative NEV production and sales for the first ten months of the year exceeded 13 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 33% [4]. - The market is witnessing a shift as consumers, influenced by the availability of popular models, are increasingly opting for less popular models, contributing to sustained sales growth [4].

Core Insights - The full exemption of purchase tax for new energy vehicles (NEVs) will end in 2025, prompting a competitive order acquisition battle among car manufacturers [1] - Major automotive brands have introduced purchase tax subsidy plans to secure orders before the policy change, with subsidies covering all or part of their models [2] - The market is experiencing heightened consumer urgency to purchase vehicles due to the impending policy adjustments, leading to increased sales and a shift in consumer preferences towards models with shorter delivery times [2][3] Group 1 - As of November 13, 17 mainstream automotive brands have launched purchase tax subsidy plans, with a maximum subsidy of 15,000 yuan per vehicle [1] - From January 1, 2026, the purchase tax for NEVs will be halved, with a maximum reduction of 15,000 yuan per vehicle [1] - In October, NEV production and sales reached 1.772 million and 1.715 million units respectively, both showing over 20% year-on-year growth, with a penetration rate surpassing 50% [2] Group 2 - The automotive market is maintaining a strong development trend, with monthly production and sales hitting record highs amid a competitive environment [3] - The technical threshold for NEV purchase tax exemptions will increase starting in 2026, affecting plug-in hybrid models with electric ranges below 100 kilometers [3] - The ongoing competition will likely lead to a clearer industry differentiation, with companies possessing core technological advantages expected to gain market share [3]

Core Viewpoint - The full exemption of purchase tax for new energy vehicles (NEVs) will end in 2025, prompting a competitive rush among car manufacturers to secure orders before the policy change [2][3]. Group 1: Policy Changes - From January 1, 2026, the purchase tax for NEVs will be halved, with a maximum tax reduction of 15,000 yuan per vehicle [2]. - The exemption period for NEVs will continue until December 31, 2025, with a maximum exemption of 30,000 yuan per vehicle [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - As of November 13, 2023, 17 major automotive brands have introduced purchase tax subsidy plans to attract consumers, covering all or part of their vehicle models [2][3]. - The urgency among consumers to purchase vehicles has increased due to the impending policy change, leading to a shift in consumer preferences towards models with shorter delivery times [3]. Group 3: Sales Performance - In October 2023, NEV production and sales reached 1.772 million and 1.715 million units, respectively, both showing over 20% year-on-year growth, with a penetration rate surpassing 50% [3][4]. - Cumulative NEV production and sales exceeded 13 million units in the first ten months of 2023, marking a year-on-year increase of approximately 33% [3]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The reduction in purchase tax incentives is leading NEV manufacturers to increase promotional efforts to capture market share [4]. - From 2026, plug-in hybrid vehicles with an electric range of less than 100 kilometers will no longer qualify for purchase tax exemptions, indicating a potential market shift towards manufacturers with strong technological capabilities [4].

Core Insights - The Chinese automotive market is experiencing a significant boost in demand, particularly in the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector, driven by policy incentives and recovering consumer confidence [2][12][13] - Leading companies like Leap Motor, NIO, and XPeng are achieving record sales, while Li Auto faces a decline in deliveries, highlighting a competitive landscape [3][4][9] Company Performance - Leap Motor achieved a record delivery of 70,289 units in October, marking an 84% year-on-year increase, and has delivered over 466,000 units from January to October [3] - NIO surpassed 40,000 units in deliveries for the first time, with a 92.6% year-on-year growth, driven by its multi-brand strategy [4] - XPeng maintained a steady performance with 42,013 units delivered in October, nearly doubling its total deliveries compared to the previous year [5] - Xiaomi's automotive division reported over 29,000 units delivered in the first ten months of 2025, with expectations to meet its annual target ahead of schedule [5] Market Trends - The overall automotive market in October saw substantial growth, attributed to seasonal demand and consumer anticipation of policy changes regarding NEV purchase tax [12][13] - Companies are implementing "cross-year delivery tax subsidy plans" to alleviate consumer concerns about potential tax increases in 2026 [12][13] Competitive Landscape - Li Auto reported a decline in deliveries, with 31,767 units in October, a 6.4% decrease from the previous month and a 38.25% year-on-year drop [9] - The competitive pressure on Li Auto is increasing as new entrants and established brands enhance their offerings, particularly in the extended-range electric vehicle segment [9][11] Future Outlook - The upcoming months are expected to see intensified competition as companies aim to meet year-end sales targets, with promotional efforts likely to increase [13]