经济全球化

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王毅介绍访问南亚三国情况
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-08-22 22:03
王毅强调,中方奉行的是睦邻、安邻、富邻政策,坚持的是亲诚惠容、命运与共理念,始终致力于同南 亚各国相互尊重、相互包容、相互信任、相互成就。中国同南亚各国是天然的伙伴,合作空间广阔。中 印关系历史悠久,虽经坎坷,但日益显示出清晰的历史逻辑。中巴友好历经考验,铁杆成钢,更加具有 强劲的内生动力。中巴、中印以及中国同其他邻国的关系都不针对第三方,也不受任何第三方影响。 王毅强调,中巴两国是铁杆朋友和全天候战略合作伙伴。中巴命运共同体建设走在构建周边命运共同体 的前列,产生着重要示范作用。中巴两国带头落实全球发展倡议,经济走廊建设不仅惠及中巴两国人 民,还将向阿富汗等国延伸。中巴两国践行全球安全倡议,秉持共同、综合、合作、可持续的安全观,致 力于发展高水平安全合作。中巴重视全球文明倡议,超越不同文化、社会制度差异,推动两国人民更加 相知相亲。中巴同为全球南方重要成员,巴基斯坦今年起担任联合国安理会非常任理事国,中国在安理 会又多了一个主持公道正义的伙伴。我们将密切协调配合,共同维护广大发展中国家和全球南方正当权 益。 本报伊斯兰堡8月22日电 (记者程是颉)当地时间2025年8月21日,中共中央政治局委员、外交部长王 ...
在关税逆风中艰难前行——当前世界经济形势辨析
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-19 13:25
Group 1 - The global economy is facing multiple challenges, with the US tariff war being a significant risk factor that undermines growth momentum [1][5][6] - Developed economies are experiencing slower growth compared to emerging markets, with the US showing signs of economic pressure due to tariff policies [2][3] - The IMF highlights that US trade policies create persistent uncertainty for major global economies, contributing to a fragile economic environment [3][5] Group 2 - Many countries in the Asia-Pacific region are demonstrating resilience and vitality, becoming key drivers of global growth [4] - The global South is emerging as a crucial force in enhancing economic resilience through cooperation and trade diversification [8][9] - China's economy grew by 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of the year, showcasing strong resilience and development potential, positioning itself as a stabilizing force in the world economy [9][10]
美国关税政策梳理及对铜价影响分析-20250819
Chang Jiang Qi Huo· 2025-08-19 07:08
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Trump's tariff policies have three main impacts on copper prices: reshaping the global trade environment and hindering economic development and copper demand; the 232 copper tariff mainly affects semi - finished copper product imports and exports, with limited impact on the domestic copper industry; and the tariff policies may lead to a weaker US dollar index, which could boost copper prices due to copper's financial attributes [1][31]. - In the long run, although the US may impose phased tariffs on refined copper starting from 2027, the actual implementation may fall short of expectations, and the impact is still far off [2][31]. - Currently, copper pricing has returned to fundamentals. With tight copper concentrate supply, high domestic smelter output, and low domestic copper inventories, combined with the expectation of increased demand in the peak season, copper prices are expected to be strongly volatile [31][33]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs I. US Tariff Policy Review (1) Reciprocal Tariffs - In April, Trump imposed a 10% "benchmark tariff" on all countries and higher "reciprocal tariffs" on countries with large trade surpluses with the US. The reasons include the need for tariff revenue to offset tax cuts and using tariffs as a bargaining chip [6]. - The China - US tariff game has been intense, with multiple rounds of tariff increases and subsequent suspensions of some tariffs [6][7]. (2) 232 Copper Tariffs - On July 30, the US 232 copper tariff was announced, imposing a 50% tariff on imported semi - finished copper products and copper - intensive derivatives starting from August 1, while exempting copper input materials and copper scrap. The White House also requires 25% of high - quality copper scrap and primary copper products to be sold domestically [8]. - Before the tariff implementation, market concerns led to increased demand for copper futures and a rise in copper prices. After the tariff was implemented, the exemption of refined copper caused a sharp drop in copper futures prices [9][10]. II. Analysis of the Impact of US Tariffs on Copper Prices (1) Tariff Policies Reshape the Global Trade Pattern, Hindering Economic Development and Copper Demand - The US tariff policies disrupt economic globalization, negatively affecting global economic growth. In 2025, the global economic growth rate is expected to slow, and copper consumption may be impacted [14][16]. (2) The 232 Copper Tariff Exempts Refined Copper, and the Impact of Copper Product Tariffs is Limited - The proportion of China's copper product exports to the US is small. The tariff aims to reshape the US copper industry chain. The exemption of refined copper benefits copper - smelting and copper - producing countries. The tariff may reduce the US demand for imported copper products and increase domestic processing capacity [17][19]. - The high COMEX copper inventory in the US can meet domestic demand, and the probability of copper flowing back to the Eurasian market is small. The impact on Shanghai copper is limited due to the closed import window and low domestic copper inventories [22][24]. (3) Tariffs Affect the Weakening of the US Dollar Index, and Copper's Financial Attributes May Boost Copper Prices - Copper prices are negatively correlated with the US dollar index. Trump's tariff policies initially pushed the US dollar to strengthen but later led to its weakening. The expansion of the US fiscal deficit and the high probability of a September interest rate cut may further weaken the US dollar and boost copper prices [27][29]. III. Summary and Outlook - The uncertainty of Trump's tariff policies remains. The impact on copper prices is mainly in three aspects as mentioned above. In the long run, the implementation of refined copper tariffs may be less than expected [30][31]. - With the improvement of the macro - environment, copper pricing has returned to fundamentals. Supported by fundamentals and the expectation of interest rate cuts, copper prices are expected to be strongly volatile [31][33].
保护主义将给世界带来什么?美智库专家:1930年代的美国历史里有答案
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 02:49
Core Viewpoint - The article argues that the U.S. government's initiation of a tariff war is detrimental to economic globalization and exacerbates geopolitical tensions, reminiscent of the international environment before the rise of fascism in the 1930s [1][3]. Historical Context - The article draws parallels between the current tariff policies and the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, which aimed to protect jobs and farmers by raising tariffs on imports. Despite opposition from over 1,000 economists, the act was signed into law, leading to a significant reduction in U.S. imports and exports during the Great Depression [3][4]. - The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act is cited as a misguided response to an economic crisis, which, while achieving short-term effects, ultimately resulted in greater long-term losses for the U.S. economy and contributed to global instability [4]. Current Tariff Wars - The first round of the current tariff war targets Canada, Mexico, and China, affecting goods worth $1.4 trillion. The second round, characterized by "reciprocal tariffs," is seen as a unilateral approach fraught with flaws and miscalculations [5][6]. - The U.S. administration claims that countries are eager to negotiate, but the reality is that the "reciprocal tariffs" have led to retaliatory measures, escalating into a third round of tariffs [6]. Economic Implications - While short-term coercive measures may yield significant financial contributions to the U.S. economy, the long-term consequences are expected to be severe, undermining globalization and eroding the rules-based international trade system [6]. - The article highlights that economic globalization has historically facilitated trade, investment, and the movement of people, contributing to the rise of major economies like China and India. However, the trend of de-globalization in the late 2010s has led to a slowdown in growth for emerging economies [6].
中外经贸合作不容第三方干涉
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-08-17 21:55
Group 1 - The Italian government may impose restrictions on the shareholding ratio of Chinese investments in several Italian companies due to pressure from the U.S. government [1] - The U.S. has previously issued a "security warning" regarding an Italian tire company, claiming that Chinese technology in its products poses risks, potentially affecting its sales in the U.S. market [1] - The article criticizes the U.S. for politicizing economic issues and interfering in international trade relations, which disrupts global supply chains and undermines the development rights of other countries [1] Group 2 - China advocates for international economic cooperation based on open, transparent, and equal market rules, emphasizing non-interference in internal affairs and not targeting third parties [2] - Chinese investments in various countries, including Italy, have contributed to local economic development and expanded market opportunities, as seen in projects in Greece, Serbia, Africa, and Southeast Asia [2] - Countries under U.S. pressure are encouraged to maintain independent stances and make decisions based on facts and national interests to enhance their economic growth and global credibility [2] Group 3 - Economic globalization is an irreversible trend, and multilateral cooperation is essential to address current risks and challenges, opposing protectionism and promoting a fair international economic environment [3]
非洲学者:世界已经全球化 美关税政策伤人害己
Yang Shi Xin Wen Ke Hu Duan· 2025-08-13 09:57
Group 1 - Ghana's exports to the US will face higher costs, leading to a loss of competitiveness for Ghanaian products in the US market [2] - China has been a significant player in promoting economic globalization and multilateralism, providing zero-tariff treatment to multiple African countries [2][4] - The core model of Africa-China relations is deepening trade ties, creating fair competition opportunities for all countries involved [4] Group 2 - The US tariff policies are expected to cause economic shocks not only to other countries but also to the US, potentially leading to inflation and reduced purchasing power for American consumers [5] - Decisions made by the US may be politically motivated rather than economically driven, which could have severe repercussions on the global economy [7] - The interconnectedness of the global economy means that the US's actions could ultimately harm its own economic stability and consumer purchasing power [7]
隆国强:全岛封关运作是更高水平开放的起点
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-10 04:23
Core Viewpoint - The full closure operation of Hainan Free Trade Port is a starting point for a higher level of openness, not an endpoint, marking a new phase in its development [4][5]. Group 1: Achievements and Progress - Hainan Free Trade Port has seen significant progress since the implementation of the overall plan, with a steady increase in foreign investment, reaching 102.5 billion yuan, growing at an average annual rate of 14.6% [5]. - The number of newly established foreign enterprises has increased to 8,098, with an average annual growth rate of 43.7%, significantly higher than the national average [5]. - The proportion of the four leading industries (tourism, modern services, high-tech industries, and tropical agriculture) in the economy has increased by 13.7 percentage points, now accounting for 67% of the province's GDP [6]. Group 2: Policy Design and Implementation - The policy design for the full closure operation includes a "zero tariff" policy for 74% of imported goods, an increase from 21%, and allows for tax-free circulation of goods within the island [8]. - Trade management measures will be more relaxed, with open arrangements for certain prohibited and restricted imports [8]. - A more efficient regulatory model will be implemented, focusing on low intervention and high efficiency for "zero tariff" goods [8]. Group 3: Future Directions and Open Measures - Future measures include expanding the range of "zero tariff" goods and enhancing the openness of service sectors such as tourism, education, and healthcare [9][10]. - The establishment of a transparent and predictable investment environment is crucial, with plans to further relax foreign investment restrictions and implement a commitment-based entry system [9]. - Financial policies will be adapted to support open development, including the establishment of a multi-functional free trade account system [10]. Group 4: Clarification of Misunderstandings - Hainan Free Trade Port is not considered "inside the border and outside the customs"; it remains under the supervision of the customs laws of the People's Republic of China, ensuring regulatory compliance [11].
迟至的道歉,远非历史的终点(环球走笔)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-08-06 22:49
Core Points - The Netherlands has officially returned 119 Benin bronzes to Nigeria, which were looted by British troops in 1897, marking a significant step in addressing historical injustices [1] - Several European countries have begun to publicly apologize for their colonial histories and the injustices associated with them, indicating a growing recognition of past wrongs [1] - The delayed acknowledgment of colonial atrocities raises questions about the timing and sincerity of these apologies, as many occurred centuries after the events [2] - The rise of economic globalization and social media has amplified voices from developing countries, challenging the historical narrative dominated by the West [3] - Acknowledging colonial history and returning looted artifacts is seen as a step forward, but more substantial actions are needed to address the ongoing impacts of colonialism [3][4] Group 1 - The return of the Benin bronzes is viewed as a corrective measure for historical injustices [1] - Apologies from European nations for colonial actions have become more common in recent years [1] - The historical context of these apologies often spans centuries, highlighting a delayed response to past injustices [2] Group 2 - The emergence of new economic powers and the influence of social media have shifted the global narrative, allowing for greater recognition of developing countries' experiences [3] - Current social issues in Western societies are linked to historical colonial practices, prompting a reevaluation of the past [3] - There is a call for more concrete actions beyond apologies to address the legacies of colonialism and support healing [3][4]
经济全球化与发展新质生产力
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-08-05 00:57
经济全球化与发展新质生产力(深入学习贯彻习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想·学习《习近平经济 文选》第一卷专家谈) 经济全球化是社会生产力发展的客观要求和科技进步的必然结果,符合人类长远利益。当前,我国正在 以科技创新加快发展新质生产力。在经济全球化深入发展的背景下,任何一个国家都不可能仅仅依靠自 身力量解决所有创新难题,加强科技创新离不开构建开放创新生态、促进国际科技创新合作。《习近平 经济文选》第一卷中的多篇著作都对构建开放创新生态、促进国际科技创新合作作出深刻论述。比如, 《加强科技供给,服务经济社会发展主战场》指出:"要增强我们引领商品、资本、信息等全球流动的 能力,推动形成对外开放新格局,增强参与全球经济、金融、贸易规则制订的实力和能力,在更高水平 上开展国际经济和科技创新合作";《深化对中长期经济社会发展重大问题的认识》指出:"要坚持开放 创新,加强国际科技交流合作";《中国式现代化要靠科技现代化作支撑》指出:"科技进步是世界性、 时代性课题,唯有开放合作才是正道";等等。习近平总书记的重要论述,为我们建设具有全球竞争力 的开放创新生态指明了前进方向、提供了根本遵循。 当前,世界百年未有之大变局加速 ...
经济全球化与发展新质生产力(深入学习贯彻习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想·学习《习近平经济文选》第一卷专家谈)
Ren Min Wang· 2025-08-04 22:25
张宇燕 苏 剑 邵宇佳 经济全球化是社会生产力发展的客观要求和科技进步的必然结果,符合人类长远利益。当前,我国正在 以科技创新加快发展新质生产力。在经济全球化深入发展的背景下,任何一个国家都不可能仅仅依靠自 身力量解决所有创新难题,加强科技创新离不开构建开放创新生态、促进国际科技创新合作。《习近平 经济文选》第一卷中的多篇著作都对构建开放创新生态、促进国际科技创新合作作出深刻论述。比如, 《加强科技供给,服务经济社会发展主战场》指出:"要增强我们引领商品、资本、信息等全球流动的 能力,推动形成对外开放新格局,增强参与全球经济、金融、贸易规则制订的实力和能力,在更高水平 上开展国际经济和科技创新合作";《深化对中长期经济社会发展重大问题的认识》指出:"要坚持开放 创新,加强国际科技交流合作";《中国式现代化要靠科技现代化作支撑》指出:"科技进步是世界性、 时代性课题,唯有开放合作才是正道";等等。习近平总书记的重要论述,为我们建设具有全球竞争力 的开放创新生态指明了前进方向、提供了根本遵循。 当前,世界百年未有之大变局加速演进,经济全球化面临诸多挑战和困难。贸易保护主义抬头、国家安 全概念泛化、地缘政治冲突加剧 ...