据吴伟志观察，资本市场深化改革，出台一系列政策组合拳，正在把资本市场从"偏融资功能"重构为围 绕硬科技和新质生产力的投融资并重的市场，形成"科技—资本—产业"良性循环的枢纽功能。其对股市 的影响在供给端以结构性为主，投资端以总量为主，对投资者而言，既扩大了可选公司的范围，同时也 增加了去伪存真的难度，这对于始终坚持自下而上精选的机构投资者而言是好事。在投资端，政策引导 长期化与专业化，如引入资深专业机构投资者、推动公募、险资、养老金等中长期资金入市。这对于增 强上市公司股票定价的合理性以及提升股市估值的整体稳定性都有很大的意义。 近日，在第十九届上市公司价值评选专家评审会上，中欧瑞博董事长、投资总监吴伟志分享了当前市场 热点问题的见解。他表示，当前中国股市结构性慢牛特征较明显，客观上已具备慢牛行情的基础。资本 市场深化改革，对于增强上市公司股票定价的合理性以及提升股市估值都有很大的意义。"反内卷"大背 景下，看好传统周期行业及新能源产业链的投资机会。 吴伟志从四方面谈了今年行情向好的驱动因素，认为今年中国股市从牛市第二阶段往第三阶段走的过程 中，目前仍处于该过程中。节奏上，结构性慢牛特征较明显。目前慢牛基础基 ...

关于当前A+H上市热潮，吴伟志认为，从中长期看，更多的中国优秀企业在港股上市，会吸引海外投 资者不断增配中国股票，从而吸引国际资本流入，但短期需关注IPO/配售供给对流动性的阶段性扰动。 国际资本增配中国股票，有利于人民币国际化。 （文章来源：证券时报） 近日，在第十九届上市公司价值评选专家评审会上，中欧瑞博董事长、投资总监吴伟志分享了当前市场 热点问题的见解。他表示，当前中国股市结构性慢牛特征较明显，客观上已具备慢牛行情的基础。资本 市场深化改革，对于增强上市公司股票定价的合理性以及提升股市估值都有很大的意义。"反内卷"大背 景下，看好传统周期行业及新能源产业链的投资机会。 吴伟志从四方面谈了今年行情向好的驱动因素，认为今年中国股市从牛市第二阶段往第三阶段走的过程 中，目前仍处于该过程中。节奏上，结构性慢牛特征较明显。目前慢牛基础基本具备，这些条件包括： 低利率环境、制度改革落地、长期资金加速机构化入市、盈利边际改善；但外部环境的不确定与财报披 露季对质地较差公司的证伪是值得关注的风险点和时间节点。 据吴伟志观察，资本市场深化改革，出台一系列政策组合拳，正在把资本市场从"偏融资功能"重构为围 绕硬科技和新质 ...

A股开盘的集合竞价阶段，上证指数直接跳空高开0.4%，仅用15分钟便冲上3907.18点，创下2015年8月以来的十年新高。 沪深两市成交额早盘即突破1.13万亿元，全天预计超2.77万亿元，较前一日放量27%。 盘面上，存储半导体板块的深科技、兆易创新涨停，黄金有色的四川 黄金一字板，核电概念的西部超导逼近20%涨幅涨停板，79只个股涨停的热闹景象，彻底点燃了节后市场的做多情绪。 这一突破并非偶然。 国庆长假期间，国际金价冲上4000美元/盎司，AMD因与OpenAI合作暴涨40%，海外AI产业链的躁动为A股科技板块埋下伏笔。 而节后首日央行立即开展1.1万亿元逆回购操作，净投放3000亿元流动性，成为引爆行情的"导火索"。 市场资金用脚投票，两融余额突破2.4万亿元创近10年新高，北向资金9月净流入近400亿元，居民存款通过公募基金入市的规模预计年内可达5万亿元。 与2007年流动性泛滥的"疯牛"、2015年杠杆资金驱动的"快牛"不同，本轮行情呈现出鲜明的"结构性慢牛"特征。 最核心的变化在于增量资金的性质：险资权益投资比例上限从30%提升至35%，社保基金比例从20%升至25%，2025年上半年机构资金 ...

存款利率和房地产投资收益率都下滑的当下，"资产荒"让不少居民的资金开始纷纷寻找能够获取高收益的投资产品。 从风险对冲到长期布局，要怎么在指数下滑的行情下，规避相对应的投资风险呢？ 其实不同投资者存在明显的风险偏好差异就能看出。 对于风险厌恶型投资者而言，核心任务是通过优化股票组合降低整体风险，关键在于筛选具备对冲属性的品种。 例如，如果投资组合中集中配置科技股，如跟踪科创50指数的标的，或聚焦小盘股如中证2000成分股，会导致组合风险显著偏高。 此时投资者需明确是否需要对冲这类风险，以及如何科学对冲。 在经典投资组合理论中，负贝塔资产具有特殊价值。 当市场整体上涨时，这类资产表现相对平淡。 但当市场下行时，能展现出抗跌甚至上涨的特性。 将此类资产纳入组合，可大幅改善整体收益风险比，提升组合稳定性。 二十余年前，曾有过关于黄金股估值的讨论。 当时有人疑惑黄金股市盈率为何居高不下，核心原因在于黄金股的对冲属性。 在经济下行周期，通胀往往相伴而至，黄金价格通常会随之上涨，进而推动黄金生产企业业绩提升。 而同期其他板块股票多因经济疲软出现下跌。这种逆周期特性使黄金股成为稀缺的对冲工具，市场为获取这一属性愿意支付更高估 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese stock market is expected to enter a structural "slow bull" phase, driven by policy support, technological innovation, and improved corporate governance, following a significant turning point on September 24, 2022 [1][2][5]. Economic Analysis - The Chinese stock market has shifted from lagging behind to leading among major global markets since the beginning of 2023, with internal factors being the primary drivers of this change [2][3]. - Historical comparisons with the U.S. 2008 financial crisis and Japan's 1990s real estate bubble indicate that while China faces challenges from a real estate bubble, it has avoided a financial crisis and the emergence of "zombie" companies [2][3]. Policy Impact - The Chinese government has implemented a comprehensive set of policies, including monetary and fiscal easing, and significant structural reforms, particularly in addressing local government debt [3][4]. - The largest debt relief policy in history was announced at the end of last year, which is likened to the U.S. government's capital injection into financial institutions during the 2008 crisis, facilitating economic normalization and a major market reversal [3][4]. Market Dynamics - The A-share market has completed a mean reversion process over the past year, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising from 2,700 points to recent highs, indicating a potential for further upward movement [6][4]. - The focus on shareholder returns has increased, with more companies emphasizing dividends, leading to a positive shift in net shareholder return rates [3][4]. Future Outlook - The market is unlikely to experience a "crazy bull" phase, but rather a "slow bull" trend, as the economy transitions to a high-quality development stage [5][6]. - External factors, such as a weaker dollar and global liquidity easing, have also contributed to the positive performance of the Chinese stock market [7].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese stock market is expected to enter a structural "slow bull" phase, driven by policy support, technological innovation, and improved corporate governance, following a significant turning point on "9·24" last year [1][3][11]. Group 1: Market Transition - The date "9·24" is identified as a crucial turning point for the Chinese stock market, marking a shift from previous underperformance to a leading position among global markets [3][5]. - The Chinese stock market's rise this year is attributed to both internal and external factors, with internal factors being dominant [3][5]. Group 2: Economic Context - Comparisons are made to the 2008 U.S. subprime crisis and Japan's 1990s real estate bubble, highlighting that China has not faced a financial crisis despite real estate issues, although local fiscal problems have emerged [5]. - The Chinese government has implemented a comprehensive set of policies, including monetary and fiscal easing, to address local debt issues, similar to the U.S. government's actions during the 2008 crisis [5][6]. Group 3: Corporate Behavior and Market Dynamics - There is a notable shift in A-share companies towards enhancing shareholder returns, with an increase in dividends and share buybacks, leading to a positive net shareholder return rate [6][10]. - The market has seen significant technological innovations, which have contributed to a stable market environment since "9·24" [6][10]. Group 4: Future Market Outlook - The past year is viewed as a mean reversion period for the A-share market, with potential for continued upward movement based on historical trends [8][10]. - The likelihood of a "crazy bull" market is considered low, with expectations leaning towards a "slow bull" market driven by structural factors [10][11].

Core Insights - The equity fund issuance market is experiencing a significant rebound, with many funds choosing to end their fundraising early due to increased investor confidence and demand for equity products since the market's notable rebound in 2024 [1][4]. Fund Issuance Trends - In September, 10 equity funds have announced early closures of their fundraising, contributing to a total of 13 funds that have done so this month [2][3]. - The new fund issuance market has shown warmth, with 54 new funds established in September, of which 47 are equity funds, accounting for nearly 90% of total issuances [6]. Fund Performance and Demand - The total issuance scale for stock and mixed funds since September has reached approximately 35.2 billion, with 15 newly established mixed funds raising a total of 14.02 billion, marking a monthly record high for average issuance scale in nearly two years [6]. - Notably, the "Zhaoshang Balanced Preferred Mixed Fund" achieved a subscription scale exceeding 8 billion on its launch day, ultimately reaching a final scale of 4.955 billion, making it the largest actively managed equity fund established this year [6]. Market Environment and Investor Sentiment - Analysts attribute the rapid fundraising closures to a combination of market conditions, investor demand, and proactive adjustments by fund companies to seize market opportunities [4]. - The current market environment reflects a recovery in investor confidence, with a shift towards a "structural slow bull" market characterized by a focus on both safety and returns through balanced asset allocation strategies [8][9]. Investment Strategies - Fund managers recommend a balanced asset allocation approach, utilizing strategies such as "core + satellite" or barbell strategies to manage risk and enhance returns [8][9]. - There is an emphasis on investing in undervalued large-cap growth assets and emerging technology assets expected to perform well in the next 1-2 quarters, alongside opportunities in cyclical commodities benefiting from improved liquidity [9][10].

Core Viewpoint - The equity fund issuance market is experiencing a significant rebound, driven by increased investor confidence and proactive strategies from fund companies to capitalize on market opportunities [2][5]. Group 1: Market Trends - Since September, there have been multiple instances of equity funds ending their fundraising early, with 10 equity funds having done so [3][5]. - The market has seen a resurgence in "daylight funds," where some funds sold out on the first day of issuance due to reaching their fundraising limits [5]. - As of September 10, 54 new funds have been established in September, with equity funds (stock and mixed) making up nearly 90% of the total issuance [7]. Group 2: Fund Performance - The total issuance scale for stock and mixed funds in September has reached approximately 35.2 billion yuan, with 15 newly established mixed funds raising a total of 14.02 billion yuan, marking a monthly record for average issuance scale in nearly two years [7]. - Notably, the "Zhaoshang Balanced Preferred Mixed Fund" raised over 8 billion yuan on its first day, resulting in a final establishment scale of 4.955 billion yuan, the largest for an actively managed equity fund this year [7]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Fund managers recommend a balanced asset allocation strategy, suggesting a "core + satellite" or barbell approach to manage risk and returns [8]. - The market is expected to exhibit a "structural slow bull" characteristic, with a focus on low-position blue-chip stocks and high-elasticity sectors such as digital economy and specialized new technologies [8]. - There is an emphasis on the importance of liquidity and the potential for investment opportunities in commodities and sectors like non-consumer-related new consumption [9].

Core Insights - The equity fund issuance market is experiencing a significant rebound, with a notable increase in investor confidence and demand for equity products since the market's substantial recovery in 2024 [1][3] Fund Issuance Trends - In September, 10 equity funds have chosen to end their fundraising early, contributing to a total of 13 funds that have announced early closures this month [2][4] - The new fund issuance market has seen a total of 54 funds established by September 10, with stock and mixed funds accounting for 47 of these, representing nearly 90% of total issuances [4] Fund Performance and Demand - The combined issuance scale of stock and mixed funds since September has reached approximately 35.2 billion, with 15 newly established mixed funds raising a total of 14.02 billion, marking a monthly record for average issuance scale in nearly two years [4] - Specific funds, such as the招商均衡优选混合, achieved a subscription scale exceeding 8 billion on the first day of fundraising, resulting in a final establishment scale of 4.955 billion, the largest for an actively managed equity fund this year [4] Market Environment and Investor Sentiment - The rapid fundraising closures are attributed to a combination of market conditions, investor demand, and proactive adjustments by fund companies [3] - Analysts indicate that the recovery in the domestic equity market has led to a gradual restoration of investor confidence and increased enthusiasm for equity products [3] Investment Strategies - Fund managers recommend a balanced asset allocation strategy, suggesting a "core + satellite" or barbell approach to balance safety and returns [5][6] - The current market environment, characterized by liquidity easing, is expected to favor sectors such as technology and commodities, with potential investment opportunities in cyclical goods and emerging technologies [6][7]

Group 1 - The market has surpassed 3800 points, reflecting the positive outcomes of China's capital market reforms and the ongoing recovery of the economic fundamentals [1] - The market is expected to present a "steady yet improving" pattern, driven by continuous policy benefits, economic resilience, and existing valuation advantages [2] - Investment strategies should focus on a "core + satellite" approach, allocating most positions to low-valued blue chips in cyclical and certain consumer sectors, while a smaller portion should target high-growth sectors like digital economy and specialized innovation [2] Group 2 - In a bullish market, it is crucial to balance the rhythm and structure of investments, with a recommendation to increase positions during market pullbacks to better control volatility [3] - Key indicators for assessing fundamental trends include net profit growth rates and return on equity (ROE), which are essential for evaluating potential stock returns [3] - There are three major downside risks to be aware of: structural economic risks, the transition from a "slow bull" to a "fast bull" market, and uncertainties in international policies [4][5]