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大中矿业(001203) - 2025年8月21日大中矿业股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表
2025-08-21 15:06
Group 1: Company Overview - The company is named Dazhong Mining Co., Ltd., with stock code 001203 and bond code 127070 [1][2]. Group 2: Investor Relations Activity - The investor relations activity was held on August 21, 2025, via Tencent Meeting, with participation from various securities firms and funds [2]. - Key company representatives included Chairman Niu Guofeng, CFO Zou Qingli, and Secretary of the Board Lin Puzheng [2]. Group 3: Lithium Mining Progress - The company is progressing with the mining license for the Hunan Jijiao Mountain lithium mine, with the application currently under review by the Ministry of Natural Resources [2][5]. - The company plans to complete the first phase of the Hunan lithium mine project, with a capacity of 20,000 tons, by 2026 [5]. - The Sichuan Jiada lithium mine has an estimated lithium equivalent of 148.42 thousand tons, exceeding expectations, with drilling completed over 15,100 meters and a 95% discovery rate [6]. Group 4: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.972 billion CNY, with iron concentrate contributing 1.402 billion CNY and pellets 404 million CNY [4]. - Net profit for the same period was 406 million CNY, a decrease of 12.32% year-on-year, attributed to a 14.53% drop in the Platts index [4]. - The average selling price of iron concentrate was 827 CNY/ton, down 11.61% year-on-year, but still outperforming market benchmarks [4]. Group 5: Cost Management and Production - The company has successfully completed the pilot test of the sulfuric acid lithium extraction process, addressing key equipment and process issues [3][7]. - The production cost advantages from by-products like potassium sulfate and hydrofluoric acid are being evaluated, with potential revenue to offset production costs [7]. Group 6: Market Outlook - The iron ore market is expected to remain stable, supported by national infrastructure projects, despite potential impacts from the commissioning of the Ximangdu iron mine [6].
钢材、铁矿石日报:产业矛盾各异,钢矿走势分化-20250725
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-07-25 10:25
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The main contract price of rebar oscillated upwards with a daily increase of 2.32%, and the volume and open interest expanded. With both supply and demand increasing, the fundamentals of rebar have not improved substantially. The relatively positive factor is the low inventory level, with few real - world contradictions. Coupled with the strong cost support from raw materials, it is expected that the rebar price will continue to oscillate at a high level. Attention should be paid to domestic policies [4]. - The main contract price of hot - rolled coil strengthened, with a daily increase of 1.98%, and the volume and open interest expanded. Currently, both the supply and demand of hot - rolled coil have weakened, and the fundamentals have weakened again. There is a slight inventory build - up, but the overall contradiction is not significant. The strong raw materials boost market sentiment. It is expected that the hot - rolled coil price will maintain a high - level oscillating trend. Attention should be paid to overseas risks [4]. - The main contract price of iron ore oscillated weakly, with a daily decline of 1.11%. The volume increased while the open interest decreased. Currently, market sentiment has stabilized. Coupled with the suppression of high coking coal prices, the iron ore price has fallen from its high level. However, with supply being weak and demand being strong, the fundamentals of iron ore are still acceptable, and the short - term downward space is limited. It is expected that the iron ore price will continue to oscillate and consolidate at a high level. Attention should be paid to the shipping situation of miners [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Industry Dynamics - In the first half of 2025, the national general public budget expenditure was 1.41271 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.4%. The expenditure on social security and employment increased by 9.2% year - on - year, science and technology expenditure increased by 9.1% year - on - year, education expenditure increased by 5.9% year - on - year, and health expenditure increased by 4.3% year - on - year. The national general public budget revenue was 1.15566 trillion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 0.3%. National tax revenue was 929.15 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.2%, and non - tax revenue was 226.51 billion yuan, an increase of 3.7% [6]. - The National Development and Reform Commission is promoting large - scale equipment renewal and consumer goods trade - ins. The "Two New" policy system and working mechanism are continuously improving. The State Council has issued an action plan, and the National Development and Reform Commission has issued support measures and expansion policies, and established an inter - ministerial joint meeting system [7]. - In the second quarter of 2025, FMG's iron ore production was 5.44 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 7%. The annual production in fiscal year 2025 reached 201 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 6%. The shipping volume in the second quarter was 5.52 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 3%. The annual shipping volume in fiscal year 2025 reached 198 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 4%. The shipping target for fiscal year 2026 is 195 - 205 million tons [8]. 3.2 Spot Market - The spot prices of rebar in Shanghai, Tianjin, and the national average were 3,400 yuan, 3,360 yuan, and 3,463 yuan respectively; the spot prices of hot - rolled coil in Shanghai, Tianjin, and the national average were 3,470 yuan, 3,440 yuan, and 3,514 yuan respectively. The price of Tangshan billet was 3,130 yuan, and the price of Zhangjiagang heavy scrap was 2,140 yuan. The spread between hot - rolled coil and rebar was 70 yuan, and the spread between rebar and scrap was 1,260 yuan [9]. - The price of 61.5% PB powder at Shandong ports was 784 yuan, and the price of Tangshan iron concentrate was 748 yuan. The ocean freight from Australia was 10.40 yuan, and from Brazil was 24.18 yuan. The SGX swap price (current month) was 100.01 yuan, and the Platts Index (CFR, 62%) was 104.50 yuan [9]. 3.3 Futures Market | Variety | Active Contract | Closing Price | Increase/Decrease (%) | Highest Price | Lowest Price | Volume | Volume Difference | Open Interest | Open Interest Difference | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rebar | - | 3,356 | 2.32 | 3,358 | 3,288 | 2,878,137 | 344,884 | 1,998,652 | 92,300 | | Hot - rolled Coil | - | 3,507 | 1.98 | 3,508 | 3,452 | 995,111 | 142,246 | 1,554,563 | 46,781 | | Iron Ore | - | 802.5 | - 1.11 | 815.5 | 790.0 | 533,058 | 134,404 | 528,991 | - 33,844 | [11] 3.4 Relevant Charts - The report presents various charts related to steel and iron ore inventories, including weekly changes in rebar and hot - rolled coil inventories, total inventories of rebar and hot - rolled coil (steel mills + social inventory), national 45 - port iron ore inventories, 247 - steel mill iron ore inventories, and domestic mine iron concentrate inventories [13][14][16]. - Charts on steel mill production conditions are also included, such as the blast furnace operating rate and capacity utilization rate of 247 sample steel mills, the proportion of profitable steel mills among 247 steel mills, the operating rate of 87 independent electric furnaces, and the profit and loss situation of 75 building material independent electric arc furnace steel mills [27][29][32]. 3.5后市研判 - Rebar: Supply has increased with a weekly output increase of 2.90 tons, and there is room for further increase. Demand has improved with a weekly apparent demand increase of 10.41 tons, mainly due to speculative demand. However, both supply and demand are still at low levels in recent years, and the sustainability of demand improvement is weak. With low inventory and strong raw material cost support, the rebar price is expected to continue to operate at a high level. Attention should be paid to policy changes [35]. - Hot - rolled Coil: Both supply and demand have weakened. The weekly output has decreased by 3.65 tons, and the weekly apparent demand has decreased by 8.55 tons. Although high - frequency trading is good due to speculative demand, and downstream cold - rolled production is high, the narrowing internal - external price spread and potential tariff disturbances may lead to overseas demand risks. The price is expected to maintain a high - level oscillation. Attention should be paid to overseas risks [36]. - Iron Ore: The terminal consumption of iron ore has declined slightly, but the demand is still resilient due to the good profitability of steel mills. The arrival at domestic ports has decreased, and the short - term overseas supply is low. However, the shipping of overseas miners is increasing, and the domestic supply is also stable with a slight increase. With stable market sentiment and the suppression of high coking coal prices, the iron ore price has fallen from its high level. It is expected to continue to oscillate and consolidate at a high level. Attention should be paid to the shipping situation of miners [37].
【期货热点追踪】大商所铁矿石期货收跌,新加坡铁矿石期货上涨,矿山发运创纪录,钢厂库存却攀升,后续铁矿价格走势如何?
news flash· 2025-07-24 09:13
Core Viewpoint - The futures market for iron ore shows mixed signals, with Dalian Commodity Exchange iron ore futures declining while Singapore iron ore futures are rising, indicating potential volatility in pricing due to contrasting market dynamics [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Dalian Commodity Exchange iron ore futures have experienced a decline [1] - Singapore iron ore futures have seen an increase [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Mining shipments have reached record levels, suggesting strong supply [1] - Steel mill inventories are on the rise, indicating potential oversupply or reduced demand [1] Group 3: Future Price Outlook - The contrasting trends in futures prices and inventory levels raise questions about the future trajectory of iron ore prices [1]
【期货热点追踪】铁矿石巨头产量齐增,2025年二季度必和必拓、力拓产量双双上涨,市场供需格局将如何变化?铁矿石后续价格走势如何?
news flash· 2025-07-17 23:53
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the increase in iron ore production by major companies BHP and Rio Tinto in Q2 2025, raising questions about the future supply-demand dynamics in the market [1] Group 2 - The article suggests that the rising production levels from these iron ore giants may lead to changes in market pricing and overall supply-demand balance [1]
【期货盯盘神器专属文章】中国铁矿石进口量下降,澳大利亚供应减少与全球需求下降,铁矿石价格将何去何从?
news flash· 2025-07-08 06:18
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article discusses the decline in China's iron ore imports, which is attributed to reduced supply from Australia and a decrease in global demand [1] Group 2 - China's iron ore import volume has decreased, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [1] - The reduction in Australian supply is a significant factor affecting the iron ore market [1] - The article raises questions about the future direction of iron ore prices in light of these developments [1]
短期需求支撑,铁矿石价格一周反弹4%,高盛警告百元关口恐成“天花板”
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-07-04 08:58
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs believes the recent rise in iron ore prices is based on a reasonable short-term fundamental recovery, but the upside potential is limited, and risks of chasing higher prices are accumulating [1] - The price of iron ore has rebounded by 4% to $96 per ton, driven by strong steel production and consumption in China, as well as a surge in imports from India, providing solid support in the $95-$100 range [2][3] - Global supply growth from major miners (Australia, Brazil, etc.) is forming a clear "supply ceiling," making it difficult for prices to sustainably break above $100 [1][3] Group 2 - China's steel demand remains robust, supported by stable manufacturing performance and strong steel exports, with daily iron ore consumption from 247 steel mills currently exceeding levels from July 2024 by 3% [2] - An important marginal change comes from India, where lower iron ore prices have led to a surge in imports, potentially impacting Goldman Sachs' 2026 price forecast [2] - The market's focus on supply-side reforms in China's steel industry has improved long-term profit prospects for steel mills, encouraging them to accept higher raw material prices [2] Group 3 - Global iron ore supply is steadily increasing, with significant growth in shipments from Australia (up 3% or 2.5 million tons), Brazil (up 3% or 900,000 tons), Canada (up 17% or 800,000 tons), and South Africa (up 8% or 300,000 tons) [4] - Despite strong short-term demand, the report indicates that the growth in global iron ore supply will act as a "ceiling" on price increases, with prices expected to face downward pressure in the fourth quarter, potentially falling to $90 per ton [3]
铁矿石:黑色系窄幅震荡,关注今日数据表现-20250626
Hua Bao Qi Huo· 2025-06-26 05:22
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the text Core Viewpoints - The short - term domestic macro expectations have increased, the market may trade the strong reality, the demand remains at a relatively high level to support the futures price, the supply is expected to increase, the inventory tends to accumulate but the pressure is weak, and the short - term iron ore futures price is expected to fluctuate strongly in a range. The i2509 contract price ranges from 695 yuan/ton to 720 yuan/ton, and the outer - market FE07 contract price ranges from 93 to 96 US dollars/ton [3] Summary by Related Catalogs Logic - Yesterday, the black series fluctuated narrowly, the finished product end was relatively weak, and the demand continued the off - season characteristics. The supply of iron ore showed a seasonal increase, but the carbon element gave way to the iron element, the blast furnace profit was considerable, and the domestic demand was at a relatively high level, supporting the price. Since June, the basis of iron ore has returned from the spot to the futures, the spot price has dropped significantly compared with the end of May, while the futures price has been relatively stable [2] Supply - This week, the overseas ore shipments increased significantly compared with the previous week, and the arrivals also increased significantly. June is the peak season for overseas ore shipments, and it is expected that the shipments will continue to increase steadily, and the domestic actual supply will increase significantly, with the support of the supply side weakening marginally. Later, attention should be paid to the delivery of non - mainstream mines [2] Demand - The domestic molten iron production ended five weeks of decline and rebounded slightly. The current steel mill profitability rate is high, the blast furnace profit is considerable, the short - process is in deep loss, and the iron - scrap difference has widened significantly. It is expected that the short - term demand for iron ore will be strong, and the high demand will support the price [2] Inventory - The inventory of imported ore at steel mills has increased, and the daily consumption has increased due to the resumption of production of individual steel mills. The port inventory has decreased slightly this period. It is expected that the inventory will accumulate slightly later, but the pressure is weak due to high demand [3]
铁矿石:市场情绪缓和,矿价偏强运行
Hua Bao Qi Huo· 2025-06-24 03:44
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoint of the Report The short - term domestic macro - expectations have strengthened. The market trading focus may gradually shift to the strong reality. The demand remains at a relatively high level to support the futures price. The supply is expected to increase month - on - month, and the inventory tends to accumulate but with weak pressure. It is expected that the short - term iron ore futures price will fluctuate within a range with a slightly upward trend [3][4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Logic - The equity and commodity markets were relatively strong yesterday. The market anticipated the easing of the Middle - East situation, and the sentiment improved. The black - series commodities rose collectively. The demand for finished products showed off - season characteristics but did not accumulate inventory, performing better than expected. The supply of iron ore showed seasonal increments, and the carbon element gave way to the iron element. The blast - furnace profit was considerable, and the domestic demand for iron ore remained relatively high, supporting the price. In June, the basis of iron ore returned from the spot to the futures. The spot price dropped significantly compared to the end of May, while the futures price was relatively stable [3]. Supply - This week (Monday), the overseas ore shipments increased significantly month - on - month. The shipments from Australia and Brazil reached the same - period high, and the arrival volume also increased significantly month - on - month. June is the peak season for overseas ore shipments. Australian mines BHP and FMG are rushing to meet their fiscal - year targets. It is expected that the overseas ore shipments will continue to rise steadily. Due to the significant increase in shipments in late May, the actual domestic supply is expected to increase significantly, and the supporting strength of the supply side will weaken marginally. Later, attention should be paid to the investment in non - mainstream mines (Onslow project) [3]. Demand - The domestic molten iron output ended a five - week decline and rebounded slightly, and the demand stopped falling and stabilized. The average daily molten iron output this period was 242.18 (month - on - month + 0.57). Currently, the profitability of steel mills is high, and the blast - furnace profit is considerable. Coupled with the deep losses of the short - process steelmaking and the significant increase in the iron - scrap price difference, it is expected that the short - term demand for iron ore will be resilient, and the high demand will support the price [3]. Inventory - Due to the continuous increase in overseas shipments, the inventory of imported ore at steel mills increased month - on - month. The daily consumption increased due to the resumption of production at some steel mills. Steel mills mainly purchased on - demand due to the weak demand expectations. The port inventory decreased slightly this period due to the month - on - month decline in arrival volume and the increase in port clearance volume. It is expected that the inventory will accumulate slightly in the later period, but the pressure is weak due to the high demand [4]. Price - The price will fluctuate within a range. The price range of the i2509 contract is 695 yuan/ton - 720 yuan/ton, and the price range of the overseas FE07 contract is 93 - 96 US dollars/ton [5].
铁矿石:需求止跌回稳,矿价偏强运行
Hua Bao Qi Huo· 2025-06-23 05:14
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core Viewpoints of the Report - The short - term domestic macro expectation has increased, the market trading focus may gradually shift to the strong reality. The demand remains at a relatively high level to support the futures price. The supply is expected to increase month - on - month, and the inventory tends to accumulate but the pressure is weak. It is expected that the short - term iron ore futures price will fluctuate within a range and run strongly. The later focus is on whether the hot metal production rebounds beyond expectations and the policy increment of the Political Bureau meeting [3] 3) Summary According to Relevant Contents Market Logic - Last week, the market mainly traded the escalation and easing of geopolitical tensions. The black series fluctuated narrowly, and the iron ore price followed the trend, with coking coal performing strongly. The demand for finished products continued the off - season characteristics but did not accumulate inventory, performing stronger than expected. The supply of iron ore showed seasonal incremental characteristics, and the carbon element continued to give way to the iron element. The blast furnace profit was relatively considerable, and the domestic iron ore demand remained at a relatively high level, supporting the iron ore price. In June, the basis of iron ore returned from the spot to the futures. The spot price dropped significantly compared with the end of May, while the futures was relatively stable [3] Supply - Last Monday, the overseas iron ore shipments decreased slightly month - on - month. The shipments from Australia to China and the total Australian shipments declined, while Brazilian shipments remained at a relatively high level, and the shipments from non - mainstream countries fluctuated slightly. The arrival volume decreased significantly month - on - month. Overall, June is the peak season for overseas iron ore shipments. It is expected that the overseas shipments will steadily recover, and the domestic actual supply will increase significantly. The support from the supply side will weaken marginally. The later focus is on the investment of non - mainstream mines [3] Demand - The domestic hot metal production ended a five - week decline and rebounded slightly. The current daily average hot metal production is 242.18 (month - on - month + 0.57). With the high profitability of steel mills and considerable blast furnace profits, combined with the deep losses of the short - process steelmaking and the significant increase in the iron - scrap price difference, it is expected that the short - term iron ore demand will be tough and support the price [3] Inventory - Due to the continuous increase in sea - going shipments, the inventory of imported iron ore at steel mills has been rising month - on - month, and the daily consumption has increased due to the resumption of production of some steel mills. Steel mills mostly purchase on demand. Due to the decrease in arrival volume and the increase in port clearance volume, the port inventory decreased slightly this period. It is expected that the inventory will gradually accumulate slightly, but the pressure is weak due to high demand [3] Price - The i2509 contract price ranges from 695 yuan/ton to 720 yuan/ton, and the outer - market FE07 contract price ranges from 93 to 96 US dollars/ton [3]
终端消费量减少 铁矿石价格重心或进一步下移
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-06-19 00:24
Group 1 - The Platts iron ore price index has been on a downward trend, with average prices expected to decline from $120 per ton in 2022 and 2023 to $95 per ton by 2025 [2] - The average Platts iron ore price index from January 1 to June 15 this year was $101.36 per ton, with a peak of $109.5 per ton and a low of $94.6 per ton [2] - Futures market saw the main contract for iron ore reach a high of 844 yuan per ton on February 21, followed by a continuous decline [2] Group 2 - Major mining companies are releasing new capacities, but the actual production increase is limited, with Vale and Rio Tinto's combined production for 2024 expected to be 65.565 million tons, only a slight increase from 2023 [3] - In contrast, BHP and FMG's combined production for the 2024 fiscal year is projected to be 45.376 million tons, with a decrease in guidance for 2025 [3] - There is a significant divergence between the planned new capacity and production guidance among these companies, indicating potential supply issues [3] Group 3 - The main reason for the limited production increase is the decline in ore recovery rates, with a combined decline rate of 3.9% for the four major mining companies [4] - The estimated decline in ore recovery for Vale and Rio Tinto by 2025 is approximately 2.576 million tons [4] - Steel production cuts are anticipated, with an estimated reduction of around 30 million tons, but the execution timeline remains uncertain [4] Group 4 - Current steel consumption and high furnace iron output are declining, suggesting that iron ore prices may further decrease in the second half of the year [5] - Despite the anticipated price drop, factors such as remaining profits for high furnaces and the yet-to-be-implemented steel production cuts may limit the downside for prices [5] - The forecast for the Platts iron ore price index for the year is expected to fluctuate between $85 and $110 per ton [5]