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中金:持续看好AIDC产业机遇 5项背靠背联网工程核准
智通财经网· 2025-11-24 09:14
中金主要观点如下: 工控:持续看好AIDC以及北美缺电的产业机遇 该行认为解决北美缺电问题需要在发、输、用电侧电源进行系统化升级,其中发电侧看好SOFC在未来 规模扩张的情况下的商业化潜力;用电侧:该行看好弱电侧高功率的服务器电源,以及强电侧 UPSHVDC-SST的升级;输电侧:电网升级是趋势,最终由大电网调峰调频是更加经济的方式。推荐: 麦格米特。 新能源车中游:10 月零售销量略有回落,出口表现维持强势 10 月国内新能源车批发销量162 万辆,同环比+18%/+8%,零售销量128 万辆,同环比+7%/-1%,出口 销量25 万辆,同增超100%,环比+19%。该行认为10 月国内新能源车零售销量环比略降或因部分省市 以旧换新补贴政策有所收紧,出口维持强势、带动批发销量环比增长;看好11 月购车需求持续释放, 销量环比或持续向上突破。推荐:亿纬锂能、恩捷股份。 储能:全球储能中标容量环比上升,澳洲NSW和SA地区电价震荡加剧 本周全球储能项目共计约新增9,201MW/27,428MWh,中标容量环比上升。该行持续看好新型储能技术 多元化发展,国内工商储市场迎来投资机遇,欧美市场电价震荡加剧,刺激市场需 ...
国盛证券:AIDC高景气下美国电缺口加剧 聚焦SOFC上游材料
智通财经网· 2025-11-24 08:47
智通财经APP获悉,国盛证券发布研报称,AIDC需求高增趋势下,美国电网"缺电"推升Onsite Power市 场。SOFC具有产能充足、部署速度快、占地面积小、功率密度高等优点,对比燃气轮机GEV、西门子 能源等核心供应商产能饱满情况下的漫长交付周期,SOFC可有效解决AIDC开发商痛点。目前头部 Bloom Energy等玩家已与下游 Equinix、Oracle等龙头实现订单签约,SOFC市场有望迎来中长期维度高 增。建议关注SOFC电池核心组成材料及其结构骨架。 根据市场媒体,英伟达总部所在城市的多个数据中心空置,等待供电。而美国电网普遍老旧,且新线路 建设周期长,电力基础设施和审批制度拖慢了新增AIDC投放进度,数据中心开发商逐渐需承担起自建 电源(Onsite Power)的责任。根据Bloom Energy,若维持当前建设速度,美国电网需要至少80年才能满足 未来10年电力需求.2030年自建电源数据中心占比预期由 2024年4月的13%大幅提升至30%,目前全球已 宣告的Onsite Power数据中心项目体量已达8.7GW。 目前产业化主流为陶瓷体系电解质支撑(氧化钇掺杂氧化锆),Bloom ...
国海证券:AIDC需求高景气 配储趋势下提振储能新增长
智通财经网· 2025-11-24 06:46
国海证券主要观点如下: 数据中心建设如火如荼,驱动供电稳定性要求提升 2024年北美四大云厂商(亚马逊、微软、谷歌、Meta)/国内阿里巴巴及腾讯控股CAPEX合计同比增速分 别为57%/169%,2025年投入有望进一步加大,全球迎AIDC建设元年。在AIDC向大规模、高功率密 度、高能耗三大趋势发展的背景下,驱动用电需求持续提升,SemiAnalysis预计美国数据中心用电量从 2023年的196TWh增加至2028年的672TWh,用电占比从4.5%增长至14.6%。 但由于北美AI数据中心建设密集,以及考虑到AIDC负载波动为IDC的10倍,预计对北美电网形成区域 性冲击。此外,受AIDC需求激增影响,北美燃气轮机供货紧张,电力供需不匹配导致停电风险剧增, 新能源等发电占比有望提升,考虑到经济性及电网稳定性,配储需求有望持续增长。 数据中心配储已经从"可选配置"转为"刚需要求" 智通财经APP获悉,国海证券发布研报称,在AIDC向大规模、高功率密度、高能耗三大趋势发展的背 景下,驱动用电需求持续提升,SemiAnalysis预计美国数据中心用电量从2023年的196TWh增加至2028 年的672TW ...
科创新能源ETF(588830)涨近1%,储能需求有望持续扩大
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 02:35
此外,也有机构人士指出,当前储能领域维持较高景气,供需两旺格局下头部企业出现满产现象。固态 电池产业化进程加速,政策审查、量产招标与车型测试等催化不断,叠加低空经济等新场景,中长期发 展空间广阔。尽管锂电板块短期或因传闻与涨后博弈出现回调,但储能驱动的供需改善核心逻辑依然坚 实。 截至2025年11月24日 10:08,上证科创板新能源指数(000692)强势上涨,成分股利元亨(688499)上涨 7.30%,电气风电(688660)上涨7.16%,孚能科技(688567)上涨6.02%,嘉元科技(688388),广大特材 (688186)等个股跟涨。科创新能源ETF(588830)上涨0.64%,最新价报1.42元。 从资金净流入方面来看,科创新能源ETF近4天获得连续资金净流入,最高单日获得8489.55万元净流 入,合计"吸金"1.41亿元,日均净流入达3522.43万元。 消息面上,业界持续看好储能行业超预期发展。业内人士表示,随着我国继续加大新能源装机规模、加 快新型电力系统建设的确定性增强,储能需求从电源侧向电网侧转移,落地项目大型化趋势显现。随着 AIDC(人工智能数据中心)爆发式增长,独立可再 ...
AIDC 储能系统专家电话会议要点
2025-11-24 01:46
Asia Pacific Equity Research 17 November 2025 This material is neither intended to be distributed to Mainland China investors nor to provide securities investment consultancy services within the territory of Mainland China. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. ESS Battery AIDC ESS expert call takeaways rebecca.y.wen@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) Limited/ J.P. Morgan Broking (Hong Kong) Limited Alan Ho ...
电力设备与新能源行业周观察:人形机器人产业催化持续,看好AIDC景气度
HUAXI Securities· 2025-11-23 11:44
证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 11 月 23 日 [Table_Title] 人形机器人产业催化持续,看好 AIDC 景气度 [Table_Title2] 电力设备与新能源行业周观察 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要 随着海内外企业布局加速&AI 技术突破,人形机器有望迎来量产落 地时点。在降本需求的驱动下,人形机器人核心零部件的国产替代 需求强烈,市场空间广阔,率先取得突破的国内企业有望深度受 益。灵巧手、大脑和轻量化是人形机器人商业化落地的关键环节, 重点看好技术迭代和产业演进领先的国内生产厂商。 2. 新能源汽车 《磷酸铁锂材料行业成本研究》发布 我们认为,在前期行业需求低迷的背景下,国内磷酸铁锂产能过剩 导致价格大幅下行,多数企业实现亏损。2025 年下半年以来,国内 外动力和储能共振,需求得以修复,带动磷酸铁锂行业开工率处于 高位,头部企业订单已经排至 2026 年。此次磷酸铁锂行业平均成 本区间公布后,磷酸铁锂产品价格具备一定参考标准。叠加阶段性 需求恢复+产能短期结构性供给不足,磷酸铁锂材料价格有望企稳 上行。 3. 新能源 中信博斩获海外支架订单 ...
——电力设备行业周报:锂电材料价格具备长期增长空间,储能需求有望持续向好-20251123
Guohai Securities· 2025-11-23 11:01
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry [1] Core Views - The lithium battery materials prices have long-term growth potential, and energy storage demand is expected to continue improving [1][4] - The power equipment sector shows positive fundamental changes and potential catalysts, maintaining an overall "Recommended" rating for the sector [8] Summary by Sections Recent Trends - The power equipment sector has shown a performance of -1.4% over the last month, 20.6% over the last three months, and 24.4% over the last year, outperforming the CSI 300 index [3] - The report highlights the ongoing supply-side reforms in the photovoltaic industry, with a focus on stabilizing prices amid fluctuating demand [4] Wind Power - The offshore wind pricing policies are favorable, with competitive bidding prices ranging from 0.3 to 0.391 CNY/kWh, indicating a supportive environment for project acceleration [5][6] - The onshore wind market is expected to maintain year-on-year growth, with an average annual demand for wind turbines projected to reach around 140GW [6] Energy Storage - As of November 18, 2025, there are 40.15GW/167.24GWh of GWh-level energy storage projects under construction or in operation, with significant projects located in Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, and Gansu [6] - Trina Solar's energy storage business is experiencing continuous growth in orders, with a recent contract for 2.66GWh of storage products signed with clients across North America, Europe, and Latin America [6] Lithium Battery - Companies in the lithium battery supply chain are advancing solid-state battery developments, with significant production capabilities being established [7] - A major agreement between Rongbai Technology and CATL for sodium battery materials is expected to enhance the industrialization of sodium batteries [7] AIDC - NVIDIA's third-quarter performance exceeded expectations, with a revenue of $57.01 billion, driven by strong demand for data center products [7] - The ongoing development in AIDC is anticipated to drive demand for power equipment technology upgrades [7] Power Grid - Five flexible interconnection projects have been approved, with a total investment of 24.4 billion CNY, aimed at enhancing inter-provincial power support capabilities [8] - The report emphasizes the growth potential in power infrastructure driven by the increasing penetration of clean energy [8]
联德股份(605060):精密铸件隐形冠军 受益AI算力“制冷+电源”双轮驱动
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 08:29
Core Viewpoint - The company is a leading player in the global commercial air conditioning compressor casting market and is strategically entering the AIDC cooling and power supply sectors, leveraging long-term partnerships with major global clients [1][4]. Group 1: Business Overview - The company has a strong foothold in the commercial air conditioning compressor casting and engineering machinery casting sectors, with over 10 years of collaboration with top clients like Johnson Controls, Ingersoll Rand, and Caterpillar [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.7% in revenue and 13.3% in net profit attributable to shareholders from 2016 to 2024, indicating a robust growth trend [1]. Group 2: AIDC Market Potential - The AIDC sector is experiencing significant investment from global tech giants, with the cooling segment projected to exceed 10 billion USD in the U.S. by 2028 [2]. - The power supply segment is also expanding due to aging electrical infrastructure in the U.S., with gas turbines and diesel generators likely becoming mainstream solutions [2]. Group 3: Competitive Advantages - The company's integrated "casting + machining" capabilities provide a competitive edge, allowing for high product value and superior profitability compared to peers [3]. - The dual-core production layout in Deqing and Mexico positions the company to capture domestic and international orders while ensuring supply chain security for North American clients [3]. Group 4: Future Growth and Valuation - The company is expected to see net profits of 220 million, 300 million, and 410 million CNY from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 38, 28, and 20 times [3]. - The company has initiated a stock incentive plan to align the interests of key personnel, further strengthening its operational capabilities [3].
联德股份(605060):精密铸件隐形冠军,受益AI算力“制冷+电源”双轮驱动
Soochow Securities· 2025-11-21 07:04
证券研究报告·公司深度研究·通用设备 联德股份(605060) 精密铸件隐形冠军,受益 AI 算力"制冷+电 源"双轮驱动 买入(首次) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 1,211 | 1,098 | 1,287 | 1,617 | 2,164 | | 同比(%) | 8.09 | (9.32) | 17.15 | 25.67 | 33.80 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 251.34 | 187.47 | 217.33 | 301.85 | 414.25 | | 同比(%) | 1.45 | (25.41) | 15.93 | 38.89 | 37.24 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 1.04 | 0.78 | 0.90 | 1.25 | 1.72 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 33.22 | 44.53 | 38.41 | 27.66 | 20.15 | [Table_Tag] [投资 ...
西部证券:车载电源龙头强者恒强 未来有希望向AIDC服务器电源拓展
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 03:25
西部证券主要观点如下: 供给端,头部厂商具备成本竞争力和客户绑定优势,强者恒强 竞争格局定型,头部第三方"规模+自动化产能+供应链话语权"壁垒高筑。近三年行业CR10均超90%, 第三方占比超六成。由于车载电源技术成熟叠加第三方规模效应强,除比亚迪(002594)、特斯拉外的 车企未来仍将选择外采。头部第三方规模壁垒较高,均已形成百万台套级别生产能力。并且龙头均加速 布局自动化产线,自动线单小时产能相比半自动化线高86%。此外,头部厂商具备强供应商话语权实现 直接材料降本。 由于车载电源产品往往需要根据客户车型进行合作开发,开发周期长、认证难度大。因此,车载电源系 统产品一经通过整车厂的产品认证,就会与相应的整车车型形成稳定的配套关系,形成产品定制化壁 垒。 西部证券(002673)发布研报称,预计2027年车载电源全球市场规模达648亿元,2024-2027年CAGR为 19%,有望进入AIDC新赛道。供给端,头部第三方"规模+自动化产能+供应链话语权"壁垒高筑。车载 电源系统产品一经通过整车厂的产品认证,就会与相应的整车车型形成稳定的配套关系,形成产品定制 化壁垒。该行认为,车载电源市场空间广阔,且龙头未 ...