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2026科技投资怎么投?长城基金韩林:AI上游算力基础设施环节确定性更高
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-19 08:28
2025年年末聚焦的循环投资问题,也随着部分CSP龙头用自研ASIC芯片训练出优质模型、构建独立生 态而逐步缓解。基于此,韩林判断"对于AI来说,它可能还是相对早期的科技浪潮阶段,并不觉得有很 多泡沫"。 厘清泡沫争议后,更关键的问题浮出水面:当前AI产业到底处在什么阶段?这直接决定了投资逻辑的 底层框架。韩林通过与历史科技周期对比,进一步明确了AI产业可能的早期属性。他指出,当前AI产 业与2000年互联网周期虽同属TMT领域的全球性科技浪潮,但前者的业绩基础更为扎实,核心特征也 更贴合早期成长阶段的定位。 "因为现在市场还是处在基础建设大力发展的状态之中,应用变现和商业化尚处在探索的周期,所以还 是产业发展相对偏早期成长的阶段。"他同时强调,当前AI投资的核心逻辑仍是看未来成长潜力,而这 一潜力仍有巨大释放空间。 迷雾之中,长城基金2026年度投资策略会如约而至。长城数字经济基金经理韩林深耕科技领域多年,在 本次策略会上就"AI泡沫论""2026年科技投资如何布局"等热门话题展开了深度探讨。 韩林指出,2023年至今市场对AI泡沫的讨论已历经三轮,且每一轮担忧都随产业进展逐步化解:2023 年关于AI投资 ...
暴涨超690%!今日上市!它刷屏了
根据招股说明书,沐曦股份本次募集资金将重点投向新型高性能通用GPU研发及产业化等项目,目前公 司的产品应用部署于10余个智算集群,算力网络覆盖国家人工智能公共算力平台、运营商智算平台和商 业化智算中心。 转自:北京日报客户端 今天,国产GPU芯片龙头沐曦股份在上交所科创板上市,发行价格为104.66元/股,截至收盘,公司股 价报829.9元,上涨692.95%,市值达3320亿元。沐曦股份的上市对国内人工智能行业发展将带来哪些影 响? 国产GPU芯片龙头沐曦股份今日上市 总台央视记者 平凡:今天,沐曦股份登陆上交所科创板,它也是国内GPU芯片和计算平台的提供商, 它的上市将加快国内人工智能基础设施建设。截至目前,国产算力公司包括寒武纪、摩尔线程和沐曦股 份,总市值已经突破万亿元。 沐曦股份高级副总裁 孙国梁:我们是作为国产算力底座的核心供应商这个角色进入到资本市场的。我 们还是要认真花好每一分钱,用在底层的核心技术、核心产品、核心生态的打造。 国产算力进入市场之后,也将带动相关的上下游生态体系,包括芯片制造、操作系统、通用和行业模 型、智能体等核心领域。 专家表示,国内通用大模型和各个行业的垂直模型加快升级和 ...
AI应用加速落地赋能千行百业 国产算力技术快速迭代舞台广阔
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-12-17 07:30
在上海电影制片厂,国内首部超百分钟生成式人工智能拟真人剧集近日上线,制作周期算短了三分之二,成本大幅降低。项目背后的支撑就是 影视专属算力池,满足实时渲染、文生视频、虚拟拍摄等多样化需求。 上海电影技术厂有限公司副总经理郗岳介绍,预计到2026年,可以实现百部以上的AIGC(生成式人工智能)项目规模化制作。对国产算力, 以及国产算力相关产业生态提出更高需求。 央视网消息:记者了解到,人工智能在制造业、金融、能源、医疗健康等领域的应用加速落地,这对国产算力相关产业链又将带来哪些机会? 在复旦大学医学院,基于医生、患者和科研等场景的垂直模型和智能体正在开发落地当中,实现医生有AI智能体助手,患者有AI健康顾问。 复旦大学医学院副院长朱同玉介绍,对医生来说是他的一个"大脑",也是他的"助手"。随时可以给患者提供一些健康服务。而每一个疾病在不 同人群也需要一个小模型,它有无限的想象空间。 在TCL的工厂,显示面板生产线部署垂域大模型,通过智能体实现全域自主监控、分析与决策,相关AI应用创造综合效益超过10亿元。 TCL创始人、董事长李东生表示,把AI的应用在先进制造业,能够实实在在创造出效果。他们一直在积极推动和国内 ...
景嘉微20251104
2025-11-05 01:29
Summary of the Conference Call for Jingjia Micro Company Overview - **Company**: Jingjia Micro - **Industry**: Semiconductor, specifically focusing on AI SOC chips, GPUs, and military applications Key Financial Performance - **2025 H1 Revenue**: Increased by 230% year-on-year, achieving a profit of 0.15 billion CNY, reversing last year's loss situation [2][4] - **2025 Q3 Revenue**: Reached 3.01 billion CNY, a 230% increase year-on-year, with a significant improvement from last year's loss [4] - **2025 Full Year Outlook**: Expected to meet initial performance targets despite capacity constraints [2][4] Business Segments and Growth Prospects - **Display Control Business**: Anticipated significant growth in 2025 due to the ability to ensure delivery amid tight wafer supply [2][5] - **Radar and Communication Business**: Expected to see larger growth in 2026, with new product lines laying the foundation for future expansion [2][5] - **Military Industry Demand**: Stable and consistent growth anticipated, with ongoing supply challenges for key components like wafers and DDR [6] Product Development and R&D - **AI SOC Chip Project**: The Wuxi Chenhongwei AI SOC chip company has completed Tape Out (TO) and is expected to have results soon, viewed as a key growth point [2][8] - **GM11 Server Product**: Exceeded expectations in testing, attracting numerous server manufacturers for collaboration [2][9] - **R&D Projects**: Focus on two main projects: computing cards and traditional rendering GPUs, with significant investment in talent and resources [3][13][15] Competitive Landscape - **New GPU Competitors**: Increased market competition from newly listed GPU companies, but Jingjia Micro is responding by optimizing technology and expanding application scenarios [11] - **Product Comparison**: Jingjia Micro's products show competitive advantages, such as supporting more output channels compared to competitors [12] Talent Acquisition and R&D Focus - **Talent Expansion**: Actively recruiting in the chip field, with nearly 200 new hires and a new R&D center established in Shanghai [15] - **Strategic Focus**: Emphasis on maintaining high R&D investment to expand product categories and capabilities, prioritizing revenue over short-term profit [14]
年内股价涨近10倍,最牛ST股宇顺电子大股东增持“别家人”,实控人首度回应!
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-09-20 06:40
Group 1 - The stock prices of non-listed companies, such as Non-Wai New Materials and *ST Yushun, have surged significantly this year, with *ST Yushun's stock price increasing over 12 times following its asset acquisition announcement [2] - On September 14, 2023, Bianji Technology announced a strategic investment framework agreement with Shanghai Fengwang, the major shareholder of *ST Yushun, for a capital increase of 300 million yuan, which is expected to be completed within 30 days [2][3] - The chairman of *ST Yushun, Ji Min, stated that the major asset restructuring is nearly complete but still requires shareholder approval and other processes before any new acquisitions can be initiated [2][3] Group 2 - Industry insiders suggest that the enthusiasm for mergers and acquisitions in the A-share market is unprecedented, with Shanghai Fengwang's eagerness to acquire assets despite the ongoing restructuring of *ST Yushun [3] - Ji Min emphasized that Bianji Technology is a high-quality asset that aligns with Shanghai Fengwang's investment strategy, which prompted the swift decision to invest [4] - Bianji Technology, established in 2020, is a leading AI computing power service provider in Southwest China, operating nearly 30,000 computing power cards and securing access to high-end chips, including those from Nvidia [4][5] Group 3 - Bianji Technology has formed joint laboratories with top universities and has been recognized in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's computing power foundation list, indicating its strong market position [5] - The investment in Bianji Technology is driven by its expected profitability, although specific financial details were not disclosed [5] - Ji Min clarified that the business of Bianji Technology does not compete with *ST Yushun's existing operations, as they focus on different aspects of the data center industry [6]
机器人&AIDC&电网&工控行业中期策略
2025-07-15 01:58
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Robotics and AIDC (Automatic Identification and Data Capture) Industry**: The humanoid robot sector is viewed as a starting point for a trillion-dollar market, with significant growth potential anticipated in the second half of 2025. [1][2][4] - **Industrial Control Industry**: The overall demand is expected to grow positively in 2025, particularly in lithium battery, logistics, packaging, and engineering machinery sectors. [1][9] - **Electric Power Industry**: Investment in the electric grid is maintaining high growth, with a 20% year-on-year increase in the first five months of 2025. [1][35] Key Insights and Arguments Robotics Sector - **Market Performance**: The humanoid robot sector performed well in Q1 2025 but saw a slowdown in Q2. Positive changes are emerging due to adjustments in Tesla's plans, which have already been reflected in stock prices. [2][4] - **Product Development**: Companies like Xiaopeng and Xiaomi are increasing investments in humanoid robots, with new products being launched and orders starting to materialize, although large-scale commercial applications are still in the trial phase. [5][6] - **Component Innovation**: Rapid advancements in components such as dexterous hands and joint modules are noted, with lightweight materials becoming a significant focus. [3][5] AIDC Sector - **Challenges and Opportunities**: The AIDC sector faces challenges such as supply chain issues and domestic restrictions affecting capital expenditure. However, new products and models like Deep Seek are expected to drive demand. [6][7] - **Market Valuation**: AIDC companies are currently valued around 30 times earnings, with expectations for improvement in 2026 as supply chain issues are resolved. [7] Industrial Control Sector - **Demand Growth**: The industrial control sector is projected to see growth driven by structural transformation needs rather than large-scale capital expenditures. [9][32] - **Impact of Trade Wars**: The sector has been slightly affected by trade wars and tariffs, leading to a dip in orders in Q2 2025 compared to Q1. [9] Electric Power Sector - **Investment Trends**: Electric grid investments are expected to exceed 10% growth in 2025, with significant funding allocated for equipment updates and new projects. [35][36] - **Market Dynamics**: The transition to a market-oriented electricity system is accelerating, with expectations for the national spot market to begin operations by the end of 2025. [36][49] Additional Important Insights - **Regional Procurement**: The first implementation of regional collective procurement in 2025 has led to a decrease in overall bidding prices, but market share for leading companies has increased. [40] - **Smart Meter Market**: The smart meter market is transitioning, with the 20th version nearing the end of its lifecycle and the 24th version expected to improve margins for leading companies. [44] - **HVDC Technology**: The growth of HVDC (High Voltage Direct Current) technology is anticipated, with significant interest from major companies like Alibaba and Tencent. [31] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and developments across the robotics, AIDC, industrial control, and electric power sectors as discussed in the conference call records.
自主可控:看好国产制造链投资机会
2025-07-02 01:24
Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **semiconductor industry** and the **domestic manufacturing chain** in China, focusing on investment opportunities and challenges related to self-sufficiency and technological advancements in semiconductor equipment and materials [1][2][20]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Impact of Semiconductor Equipment Ban**: The semiconductor equipment ban's impact is expected to be limited due to prior sanctions on SMIC, and WFE (Wafer Fab Equipment) growth may not meet expectations [1][2]. 2. **Material Export Controls**: While there are risks associated with material export controls, alternative sourcing options are available, with domestic companies like Dinglong and Anji making progress in polishing pads and liquids [1][2]. 3. **AI Market Demand**: The AI market demand in Q1 did not meet expectations, with no significant transfer of orders for computing cards despite the H20 ban [6][11]. 4. **Growth in Chip Design**: Q2 saw high growth in chip design companies, particularly in the automotive sector, while SMIC faced challenges affecting its guidance [1][11]. 5. **New Product Launches**: Upcoming new product launches from terminal manufacturers in H2 are expected to boost sales, particularly in the analog and power platforms [14]. 6. **Domestic Foundry Profitability**: Domestic foundries are expected to improve profitability and return on equity (ROE) as they adapt to market conditions [1][14]. 7. **Technological Advancements**: TSMC and Samsung are advancing to 2nm production, while SMIC lags by about four years in technology nodes [1][15]. 8. **Investment Opportunities**: The self-sufficiency theme is driving investment opportunities in companies like SMIC, Huahong, and Northern Huachuang, which are well-positioned to benefit from domestic demand [32]. Additional Important Content 1. **Challenges in Domestic Semiconductor Equipment**: Domestic semiconductor equipment faces challenges in achieving high localization rates, particularly in critical areas like photolithography [23][30]. 2. **Future of AI Edge Devices**: AI edge devices, such as AI glasses, are expected to be launched in Q4 2026, potentially creating a market beta effect [10]. 3. **Market Size and Growth**: The global semiconductor equipment market was approximately $110 billion, with China accounting for nearly $50 billion, but the localization rate remains low [21]. 4. **Long-term Outlook**: The long-term outlook for the semiconductor equipment sector remains positive, with expectations of steady performance despite potential slowdowns in growth rates [26]. 5. **Material Localization Progress**: The localization rate for materials like polishing pads and liquids is improving, with companies like Anji and Dinglong making significant strides [28][29]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and developments discussed in the conference call, highlighting the semiconductor industry's current state and future prospects.
一博科技:出口美国比重小于5%,美关税政策对公司影响小
Core Insights - The company expects an export revenue of RMB 64.189 million for 2024, accounting for 7.23% of total revenue, with less than 5% of this revenue coming from exports to the U.S. [2] - The company maintains a high level of market sensitivity and actively responds to changes in international trade policies to ensure stable operations and sustainable development [2] - The Zhuhai factory is positioned for high-end quick-turn PCB services, with an initial focus on R&D prototyping and small batch production, and aims to achieve breakeven within the year [2] Business Operations - The company collaborates with major firms like NVIDIA, Intel, and AMD in PCB design and PCBA production, offering tailored services that vary by client [3] - The first phase of the Zhuhai factory targets high-end PCB production, with a planned capacity of up to 120 layers, focusing on AI-related products [2] - Revenue growth in Q1 exceeded 30%, driven by the introduction of new clients in the network communication sector [2]
未知机构:【狙击龙虎榜】权重搭台后题材唱戏或是后市主旋律 轮动格局-下明日关注科技品-20250515
未知机构· 2025-05-15 01:55
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - **Industry**: AI Infrastructure, Rare Earth Materials, Robotics, and Advanced Materials - **Companies Mentioned**: Macroview Technology, Instech, Zhongxin Materials Core Points and Arguments AI Infrastructure - 2025 is projected to be the year of AI infrastructure in China, with major companies and the government emphasizing the acceleration of AI computing power construction [3] - Meta has raised its capital expenditure forecast for 2025 to between $64 billion and $72 billion, while Microsoft and Google maintain optimistic spending plans of $3 billion and $75 billion respectively [3] - The demand for computing power cards, especially high-performance computing cards, is expected to surge, with the computing leasing sector showing early signs of profitability [3] - Macroview Technology is positioned as a leading company in the computing leasing industry, with significant orders amounting to approximately $2.9 billion announced by April 2025 [3] Rare Earth Materials - Argus reported a significant increase in the price of rare earth oxides, with prices for 99.5% purity oxides rising from $250-$310 per kg to $700-$1,000 per kg [4] - The price surge is attributed to China's export controls on rare earths, leading to a strong replenishment demand in overseas markets [4] - The U.S. market is experiencing even higher price increases compared to Europe due to difficulties in sourcing Chinese rare earths [4] - Instech has been focusing on rare earth permanent magnet materials for over a decade, positioning itself to benefit from the rising prices and demand [4] Robotics and Advanced Materials - PEEK materials are identified as a core component for lightweight robotics, with projections indicating a significant supply-demand gap as humanoid robot production scales up [5] - The global PEEK market could reach substantial values, with estimates of $30 billion to $2.243 trillion depending on production volumes [5] - Zhongxin Materials is a leading supplier of high-purity fluoroketone (DFBP), essential for PEEK production, and has achieved Tesla Tier 1 certification, creating high barriers for competitors [5] - The company has a global leading production capacity of 5,000 tons/year of fluoroketone, with a purity of over 99.99%, and is positioned to benefit from domestic market demand [5] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The overall market is experiencing a rotation, with financial stocks showing strength but lacking a solid foundation for sustained growth, indicating a potential shift towards thematic plays in the market [1] - The technology and military sectors are expected to see a rebound in interest, particularly in AI computing power and lightweight robotics [1] - The increase in prepayments for computing power business indicates a strong forward-looking sentiment and operational momentum for Macroview Technology [3]