Core Viewpoint - The Chinese economy has shown resilience and performed better than expected in the first half of the year, with a GDP growth of 5.3% year-on-year, indicating a solid foundation for achieving annual economic and social development goals [2][3]. Economic Performance - Major macroeconomic indicators have performed well, with GDP growth of 5.3% in the first half, surpassing initial market expectations and improving by 0.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year [2]. - The production and business activity expectation index for July stood at 52.6%, indicating stable optimism among manufacturing enterprises [2]. - The urban unemployment rate averaged 5.2%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the first quarter, with 6.95 million new urban jobs created, achieving 58% of the annual target [2]. Domestic Demand and Trade - Domestic demand has been the main driver of economic growth, contributing 68.8% to the overall growth [2]. - The import and export scale reached 20 trillion yuan, with exports growing by 7.2% [2]. - The value added of the equipment manufacturing industry increased by 10.2%, while the information transmission, software, and IT services sector grew by 11.1% [2]. New Growth Drivers - High-tech manufacturing value added grew by 9.5%, outpacing the overall industrial growth by 3.1 percentage points [3]. - Emerging industries such as AI, innovative pharmaceuticals, and smart manufacturing are rapidly developing [3]. Policy Focus - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) plans to continue implementing policies to expand domestic demand and promote high-level technological self-reliance [3][4]. - There will be a focus on enhancing economic monitoring and forecasting, improving policies to stabilize employment and market expectations, and ensuring a reasonable recovery in price levels [3]. Market Integration - The construction of a unified national market is being advanced, with inter-provincial trade sales accounting for 40.4% of total sales revenue, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [7]. - The ratio of social logistics costs to GDP has decreased, saving over 130 billion yuan in logistics expenses [7]. Reform Initiatives - The NDRC emphasizes the need for deepening reforms to stimulate consumption and investment, particularly in the service sector and digital economy [9][10]. - Measures will be taken to regulate government investment behaviors and address issues of disorderly competition in various industries [10][11].

以消费和投资扩内需，让国内大循环"大"起来。"两新"政策加力扩围，带旺市场；服务消费、首发经济 等新增长点，燃起消费热情。"两重"建设扎实推进，把项目建设和民生保障结合起来，扩大有效投资。 打通市场堵点和卡点，让国内大循环"转"起来。整治"内卷式"竞争，企业利润有保障；规范政府招商引 资行为，企业竞争站在同一"起跑线"。企业好，就业好，消费才能好。而要扩大投资，也离不开企业， 特别要激发民间投资动力和活力，把好项目推介给民企，才能形成合力。 破除壁垒、统一规则，让更多人共享发展成果，中国经济就能抵御风险、破浪向前。 （文章来源：人民日报） 上半年，我国国内生产总值同比增长5.3%，为实现全年经济社会发展目标任务奠定了基础。 这一成绩是在顶住外部压力、消化累积风险的过程中取得的，来之不易。当前我国经济运行依然面临不 少风险挑战，要把稳中向好的趋势延续好，就要纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，做强国内大循环。 ...

Economic Performance - In the first half of the year, China's economy showed steady progress and performed better than expected despite complex internal and external environments, with multiple key indicators reflecting positive outcomes [1] - The total investment for the "two heavy" construction projects has been fully allocated at 800 billion, and the central budget investment of 735 billion has been largely disbursed [1] Policy Measures - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) will continue to utilize its policy toolbox to stabilize employment and expand domestic demand, aiming for a reasonable recovery in prices, stable employment, and optimized economic growth [2] - The NDRC plans to implement measures to promote service consumption, emerging economies, and digital consumption to further unleash consumption potential [2] Market Dynamics - The NDRC is addressing issues of "involution," disorderly competition, and market disarray in various industries, which will be a focus for governance in the second half of the year [2] - The NDRC is revising the pricing law as part of efforts to combat "involution" and ensure sustainable development across multiple industries [3] Trade and Market Integration - From January to April, inter-provincial trade sales accounted for 40.4% of total sales revenue, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a trend of reduced market transaction costs and improved factor mobility [3] - The NDRC is developing an action plan to advance the construction of a unified national market, focusing on the unification of systems related to property rights, market access, fair competition, social credit, and quality standards [3] Energy Sector Developments - The NDRC is working on the construction of a unified national electricity market, which is crucial for ensuring energy security, low-carbon transition, and economic growth [4] - The electricity market barriers are gradually being eliminated, with cross-grid trading mechanisms being established, which aids in precise price discovery and effective supply-demand regulation [4] Innovation and Technology - The NDRC plans to implement the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative to promote large-scale commercial applications of AI, optimize the innovation ecosystem, and enhance policy support in areas such as computing power, algorithms, data, and talent [5]

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 前期利好兑现，煤焦持续回落 核心观点 焦炭：根据钢联统计，截至 8 月 1 日当周，独立焦化厂和钢厂焦化厂日均 焦炭产量合计 111.78 万吨，周环比基本持平；247 家钢厂铁水日均产量 240.71 万吨，周环比下降 1.52 万吨，但仍维持在 240 万吨/天的水平上 方。本周，247 家钢厂盈利率 65.37%，即接近 2/3 的钢厂处于盈利状态， 当前虽是传统施工淡季，但焦炭需求季节性走弱的幅度有限。另外，统计 局公布 7 月制造业 PMI 为 49.3%，较上月下降 0.4 个百分点，制造业景气 度有所回落。7 月 30 日，中共中央政治局会议召开，政策强预期兑现，市 场乐观情绪迎来阶段性回调。整体来看，焦炭基本面变化不大，消息面扰 动暂告一段落，市场观望情绪增加，焦炭期货短期内或维持宽幅震荡运 行，后续市场关注点预计将逐渐回归焦煤的实际供应。 焦煤：根据钢联统计，截至 8 月 1 日当周，523 家炼焦煤矿精煤日均产量 77.7 万吨，周环比持平，同比去年偏高 0.6 万吨，月末煤矿完成生产目 标后产量阶段性下降，进入 8 月后会陆续恢复。进口 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 钢材&铁矿石 | 日报 2025 年 8 月 1 日 钢材&铁矿石日报 专业研究·创造价值 弱势情绪未退，钢矿高位调整 核心观点 螺纹钢：主力期价弱势震荡，录得 1.23%日跌幅，量仓收缩。现阶段， 供需双弱局面下螺纹基本面表现偏弱，叠加市场情绪不佳，钢价易承压 偏弱运行，但低库存格局下产业矛盾不大，下行空间会受限，多空因素 博弈下预计钢价维持弱势震荡态势，关注钢厂生产情况。 热轧卷板：主力期价弱势震荡，录得 0.58%日跌幅，量缩仓增。目前来 看，乐观情绪消退，钢市运行重回产业端，供需双增局面下热卷基本面 在走弱，库存持续增加，叠加原料下行拖累，利空因素发酵，预计热卷 价格承压弱势下行，关注海外风险情况。 铁矿石：主力期价震荡运行，录得 0.19%日跌幅，量仓收缩。现阶 段，矿石需求韧性尚可，给予矿价支撑，但矿石供应在回升，而需求表 现偏弱，供增需稳局面下矿市基本面在走弱，叠加市场情绪不佳，预计 矿价延续高位震荡整理态势，关注成材走势情况。 （仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议） 姓名：涂伟华 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F3060359 投资咨询证号：Z ...

据新华社报道，中共中央政治局7月30日召开会议提出，纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，推动市场竞争秩序持续优化。依法依规治理企业无序竞争。推进重 点行业产能治理。规范地方招商引资行为。 国家发展改革委如何更好推动改革和发展深度融合、高效联动？国家发展改革委体制改革综合司司长王任飞在回答记者提问时提到，国家发改委将加快推动 一些标志性改革举措落地见效，其中之一是紧扣破解经济运行中的突出矛盾深化改革。 王任飞介绍，当前，一些行业、领域出现"内卷"、无序竞争、市场失序等问题。下一步，要努力将有效市场和有为政府这"两只手"作用结合得更好，发挥好 两者的优势。统一政府行为尺度，进一步明确招商引资鼓励和禁止的具体行为，治理和防范有碍统一市场和公平竞争的各种行为和做法，依法依规整治企业 无序竞争，引导企业提升产品品质、优质优价，推动市场竞争秩序持续优化。 在谈及如何进一步做强国内大循环时，周陈也提及，将围绕纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，更好统筹有效市场和有为政府，更好统筹做优增量和盘活存量。 其中，在盘活存量方面，重点是推进重点行业产能治理。在新兴领域坚持鼓励创新、适度竞争，同时坚决制止盲目跟风，坚决制止一哄而上、一哄而起，防 止 ...

主要宏观指标表现良好，经济运行彰显强大韧性。上半年，国内生产总值（GDP）同比增长5.3%，就 业、物价和居民收入总体稳定。内需对经济增长的贡献率达68.8%，进出口规模站上20万亿元台阶。 "关于下一步经济工作，7月30日召开的中央政治局会议已作出全面部署，国家发展改革委将坚决抓好贯 彻落实。"周陈说。 新华社北京8月1日电 题：保持政策连续性、稳定性 常态化开展政策预研储备——国家发展改革委解读 当前经济形势 新华社记者魏玉坤、张晓洁 上半年中国经济运行态势如何？下半年宏观调控政策如何发力？针对当前经济形势和经济工作，国家发 展改革委1日举行新闻发布会，国家发展改革委有关负责人进行了分析解读。 上半年我国经济稳中有进、好于预期 国家发展改革委国民经济综合司司长周陈表示，上半年我国经济稳中有进、好于预期，高质量发展取得 新成效。 周陈表示，一方面，持续发力、适时加力实施好已部署的各项政策举措，坚定不移实施扩大内需战略， 特别是继续推动稳就业稳经济若干举措陆续出台实施，保持政策连续性、稳定性，增强灵活性、预见 性，将外部压力转化为内生动力，稳住经济大盘。另一方面，加强经济监测预测预警，常态化开展政策 预研储备 ...

传统领域将更加注重以创新驱动转型升级，防止出现低水平、同质化重复建设，加力破除"内卷式竞争"。此外，还要坚持适度超前、不能过 度超前原则，建好用好基础设施，充分发挥多重效应。 在盘活存量方面，重点推进重点行业产能治理。在新兴领域坚持鼓励创新、适度竞争； 同时，坚决制止盲目跟风，坚决制止一哄而上、一 哄而起形成一哄而散。 国家发展改革委8月1日召开新闻发布会。会上， 国家发展改革委国民经济综合司司长周陈表示，围绕纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，要更好统筹有 效市场和有为政府，更好统筹做优增量和盘活存量。 ...

Economic Performance - In the first half of the year, China's economy showed steady progress, with GDP growing by 5.3% year-on-year, and domestic demand contributing 68.8% to economic growth [2][4] - The total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5%, with significant growth in household appliances and new energy vehicle sales, which rose by 30.7% and 40.3% respectively [4] National Market Development - The construction of a unified national market has made positive progress, with inter-provincial electricity trading volume increasing by 18.2% year-on-year [3] - The proportion of inter-provincial trade sales to total sales revenue reached 40.4%, up by 0.6 percentage points from the previous year [3] Consumption Expansion - Consumption is identified as the main engine of economic growth, with various policies and activities implemented to boost consumer spending [4] - The government plans to enhance consumer capacity and promote high-quality development through measures aimed at stabilizing employment and increasing residents' income [4] Energy Supply Stability - The national electricity supply remains stable, with adequate demand being met during peak summer temperatures [5][6] - The government will focus on ensuring sufficient energy supply, enhancing peak capacity, and optimizing demand-side management [6] Reform Initiatives - The government aims to deepen reforms to stimulate economic growth, focusing on expanding domestic demand and addressing prominent economic issues [7][8] - Key reform measures include promoting service consumption, improving investment mechanisms, and facilitating market access for new industries [8]

2025.08. 01 本文字数：1862，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 祝嫣然 7月31日，国家发改委召开新闻发布会，解读当前经济形势和经济工作。对市场关注的"两新"、"两 重"、人工智能+、民营经济、提振消费、整治内卷式竞争、全国统一大市场建设等问题予以回应。 国家发改委国民经济综合司司长周陈表示，将不断完善稳就业扩内需政策工具箱，根据外部环境变化 及时推出，统筹今明两年政策衔接、工作衔接，着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期，努力实现物 价水平合理回升、社会就业大局稳定与经济增长的优化组合。 10月下达第四批690亿国补资金 今年第三批690亿元支持消费品以旧换新的超长期特别国债资金已下达完毕。国家发改委政研室主 任、新闻发言人蒋毅表示，将于10月份按计划下达第四批690亿元资金，届时将完成全年3000亿元 的下达计划。下一步，发改委将会同财政部、商务部等部门，督促地方落实资金配套责任、细化资金 使用计划，确保资金有序均衡用到年底。同时，进一步加强产品质量和价格监管，严防"先涨后 补"、骗补套补等风险，确保政策规范实施。 "两重"方面，今年"两重"建设项目清单8000亿元已全部下达完毕，中央预算 ...