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政策解读丨绿电直连政策以制度创新“四应”国家大局
国家能源局· 2025-06-04 02:56
绿电直连政策以制度创新"四应"国家大局 绿电直连是风、光、生物质等新能源通过直连线路向单一电力用户供给绿电,实现电量清晰物理溯 源的模式。国家发展改革委、国家能源局不循旧历,联合 印发《关于有序推动绿电直连发展有关事 项的通知》(以下简称《通知》) ,实现 "四应",即呼应社会诉求、响应行业发展、回应系统安 全、顺应电力改革,以制度创新服务国家大局,助推新质生产力发展,凸显了国家发展改革委、国 家能源局的政治机关意识和服务型政府责任担当。 一、呼应社会诉求快速出台政策 为此,《通知》从四个方面对加强规划引领进行部署。 一是在项目建设上区分四种情形 , 对存量 负荷、新增负荷、出口外向型企业、新能源消纳受限等情况,分门别类予以规范。特别是对具有自 备电厂的存量负荷,提出足额清缴可再生能源发展基金前提下的绿电直连实施路径。 二是在规划统 筹上强调 "三入" , 即风光发电规模要计入省级新能源发电开发建设方案,项目建设方案要纳入省 级或城市的能源电力和国土空间规划,特殊情况接入 220(330)千伏电网的要纳入电力系统安全 风险专项评估范畴。 三是模式创新上强调三个明确 , 主责单位明确,原则上由负荷作为绿电直连 ...
今日投资参考:绿电直连顶层设计出台 休闲旅游景气度有望延续
3日,两市股指盘中维持震荡上扬走势,北证50指数涨超1%。截至收盘,沪指涨0.43%报3361.98点,深 证成指涨0.16%报10057.17点,创业板指涨0.48%报2002.7点,北证50指数涨1.03%,沪深北三市合计成 交11640亿元,成交额和此前一日大致相当。行业方面,医药、银行、纺织服装、食品饮料、军工、保 险、券商等板块走高,创新药、减肥药、医美概念、黄金概念、体育概念等活跃;钢铁、煤炭、电力等 板块疲弱。 光大证券认为,短期外部风险扰动最严重的时候或许已经过去,但仍需要对特朗普后续政策的反复保持 警惕。近期国内政策仍积极发力,预计后续政策仍将持续落地。随着中美两国为"对等关税"按下90 天"暂停键",短期内出口或将保持高增,预计消费仍是经济修复的重要动能之一。内外因素交织之下, 预计指数6月整体保持震荡。 今日投资机会解析 光大证券指出,此次督察强调黄河流域生态保护,多地已有项目因环保问题关停。农药行业继续向绿色 清洁低碳方向发展,政策推动减量增效,淘汰高毒高风险产品,提升行业集中度。友道化学爆炸事件影 响氯虫苯甲酰胺短期供应,成本支撑增强,价格或上涨。有机颜料行业在环保趋严背景下持续整合 ...
未知机构:东瀚蓝并购粤丰正式完成,绿电直连打开垃圾焚烧IDC合作空间-20250603DW-20250604
未知机构· 2025-06-04 01:55
Summary of Conference Call on Waste Incineration Industry and Hanlan Environment Industry Overview - The waste incineration industry is experiencing significant changes, particularly with the recent updates to the green electricity policy by the National Development and Reform Commission, which is expected to have a major impact on the sector [5][52]. - The collaboration between waste incineration plants and data centers (IDC) is becoming increasingly relevant, with the potential for direct electricity supply from waste-to-energy plants to data centers [14][68]. Company Insights: Hanlan Environment - Hanlan Environment has successfully completed the acquisition of Yuefeng, marking a significant milestone for the company [1][135]. - The merger is expected to enhance Hanlan's market position, with a projected waste incineration capacity of 97,600 tons per day, making it the largest in the A-share market [146][147]. - The acquisition is anticipated to lead to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15% over the next three years, with a focus on improving cash flow and return on equity (ROE) [25][26]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Green Electricity Policy**: The updated policy allows for direct electricity supply from waste incineration plants to data centers, expanding the customer base beyond self-consumption [14][18][99]. 2. **Profitability Potential**: Projects utilizing self-consumption models are projected to have a profit elasticity of 15% to 50% [13][21]. 3. **Acquisition Benefits**: The merger with Yuefeng is expected to enhance Hanlan's cash flow and ROE, with a potential increase in net profit from 1.75 billion to 19 billion RMB in the current year [150][155]. 4. **Market Valuation**: Hanlan's valuation is currently at ten times earnings, with expectations to reach fifteen times as cash flow improves and dividend capabilities increase [50][56]. 5. **Operational Synergies**: The integration of Yuefeng is expected to yield operational efficiencies, including reduced financial costs and enhanced supply chain management [186][188]. 6. **Future Growth**: The company anticipates maintaining a growth rate of approximately 15% from 2025 to 2027, driven by both internal improvements and the benefits of the acquisition [226][230]. Additional Important Insights - The waste incineration sector is seen as a unique asset class within the A-share market, with a strong potential for dividend growth and ROE enhancement [54][56]. - The collaboration between waste incineration and data centers is expected to become a standard practice, driven by policy support and market demand [101][102]. - The financial metrics indicate that Hanlan's free cash flow could potentially exceed 40 billion RMB post-acquisition, supporting a dividend payout ratio above 100% [230][232]. - The overall sentiment is optimistic regarding the future of the waste incineration industry, with a focus on sustainable growth and profitability [236].
华源晨会-20250603
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-06-03 14:01
Group 1: Pet Economy - The pet economy in China has been growing steadily, with the market size for urban pet consumption increasing from 170.8 billion RMB in 2018 to 300.2 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.86% [2][6] - The pet food sector remains the primary market, with online market concentration (CR10) at only 33.7% in 2024, indicating a fragmented competitive landscape where domestic brands are gaining traction [2][6] - Companies like Lusi Co. and Haineng Technology are highlighted as key players in the pet industry chain, with Lusi focusing on meat snacks and expanding its overseas production capacity [2][6] Group 2: Autonomous Driving - The autonomous driving market in China is expected to reach nearly 450 billion RMB by 2025, with companies like Xiaoma Zhixing collaborating with public transport groups to commercialize self-driving technology [2][17] - The transition to L3+ level intelligent driving is underway, with significant investments in autonomous vehicle trials and applications across various sectors, including logistics and public transport [17][18] - The market for unmanned vehicles is expanding, with 11 companies identified in the North Exchange's autonomous vehicle industry chain, indicating a robust growth trajectory [17][19] Group 3: Media and Digital Assets - Hong Kong's introduction of the Stablecoin Bill is a significant step towards establishing itself as a digital finance hub, which may enhance the internationalization of the RMB and support offshore financial activities [10][11] - The upcoming summer film season is anticipated to boost box office performance, with several key films scheduled for release, highlighting the importance of quality content in driving industry growth [10][12] Group 4: Green Energy - The introduction of green electricity direct supply policies is expected to lower electricity costs for businesses and enhance carbon emission recognition, particularly benefiting export-oriented enterprises [23][24] - The policy allows for a more flexible supply model, which could accelerate the development of offshore wind energy projects in coastal regions [24][26] - Companies in the green energy sector, such as Shaoneng Co. and Yinxing Energy, are recommended for their potential to benefit from stable electricity demand through long-term contracts [27][28] Group 5: Pharmaceutical Industry - The Chinese innovative drug sector is experiencing significant growth, with a record high of 519 billion USD in license-out transactions in 2024, indicating increasing global recognition of domestic pharmaceutical companies [29][31] - The number of original research drugs entering clinical trials in China has surpassed that in the US, with 704 drugs reported in 2024, showcasing the country's growing capabilities in drug development [31][32] - Companies like Hengrui Medicine and Warner Pharmaceuticals are highlighted as key players in the innovative drug space, with strong potential for future growth [29][34] Group 6: Transportation and Logistics - The logistics industry is undergoing rapid transformation with the integration of artificial intelligence, as evidenced by the National Postal Administration's push for AI applications in postal services [36] - The introduction of new unmanned logistics vehicles, such as the E6 model by Jiushi Intelligent, is expected to lower operational costs and enhance delivery efficiency [36]
政策解读丨绿电直连试点政策三大亮点值得关注
国家能源局· 2025-06-03 12:36
绿电直连试点政策三大亮点值得关注 "绿电直连"虽然是能源领域的创新之举,具有广阔的发展前景,但用户不仅要承担建设成本,还要 面临市场交易与收益的不确定性,绿电直连在推进过程中面临着安全、经济、技术等多重风险。必 须要看到,电力系统本身就是最大的网源荷储系统,"绿电直连"形成的小系统,在可靠性相同的前 提下,必然经济性低于大系统,因此减少对于大系统依赖、自由选择可靠性是小系统获得相对经济 性的必然选择。《通知》不失为一次迎难而上的试水,以"绿电直连"试点为契机,凝聚政府、企业 和科研机构等各方合力,加大技术研发投入,完善市场机制和监管体系,为清洁能源的高效利用开 辟新道路。(华能集团能源研究院副院长 陈大宇) 在全球气候治理格局深度重构的背景下,"绿电直连"作为破解能源转型与碳关税壁垒双重挑战的制 度创新,逐渐进入人们的视野。国家发展改革委、国家能源局印发《关于有序推动绿电直连发展有 关事项的通知》(以下简称《通知》)开展绿电直连试点项目,旨在提升清洁能源利用效率、提升 绿电的物理属性,这种创新模式将绿电消费在时间精度和发用电位置上的颗粒度进一步提升,为全 国新能源产业的发展提供了有益的探索和借鉴。 二是回归了 ...
公用事业行业跟踪周报:蒙东电网136号文实施方案正式出台,国家有序推进绿电直连发展
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-03 12:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the utility sector [1] Core Insights - The implementation plan for Document No. 136 of the Inner Mongolia Electric Power Grid has been officially released, promoting the development of green electricity direct connection [5] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration are orderly advancing the development of green electricity direct connection [5] - The average purchasing price of electricity from the grid in May 2025 decreased by 3% year-on-year, while it increased by 0.4% month-on-month [42] - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port was 611 RMB/ton as of May 30, 2025, showing a year-on-year decrease of 28.6% [47] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report highlights the official release of the implementation plan for the Inner Mongolia Electric Power Grid, which includes market-oriented reforms for renewable energy pricing [5] - The report notes that the proportion of renewable energy in the Inner Mongolia market reached 91% in 2024 [5] 2. Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption from January to April 2025 was 3.16 trillion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.1% [14] - The growth rate of electricity consumption in the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries was 10.0%, 2.3%, and 6.0% respectively [14] 3. Power Generation - Cumulative power generation from January to April 2025 was 2.98 trillion kWh, with a year-on-year increase of 0.1% [25] - The growth rates for different power sources were as follows: thermal power -4.1%, hydropower +2.2%, nuclear power +12.7%, wind power +10.9%, and solar power +19.5% [25] 4. Electricity Prices - The average purchasing price of electricity from the grid in May 2025 was 394 RMB/MWh, down 3% year-on-year [42] 5. Coal Prices - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port was 611 RMB/ton as of May 30, 2025, with no change week-on-week [47] 6. Hydropower - As of May 31, 2025, the water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was 154.81 meters, which is normal compared to previous years [55] - The inflow and outflow rates at the Three Gorges Reservoir decreased by 14.1% and 33.1% year-on-year respectively [55] 7. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in hydropower and thermal power during the peak summer season [5] - Key recommendations include companies such as China Nuclear Power and Longjiang Power for nuclear and hydropower investments respectively [5]
两部门发文鼓励有序推动绿电直连,但电网企业不可参与投资
21世纪经济报道记者费心懿 上海报道 为出口外向型企业期盼已久的"绿电直连"事项获两部门推出。为中国企业提升出口绿色竞争力、抢占全 球绿色贸易新赛道的战略布局提供基石。 日前,国家发展改革委、国家能源局发布《关于有序推动绿电直连发展有关事项的通知》(下称《通 知》),从国家层面首次明确了绿电直连的定义内涵。 《通知》指出,绿电直连是指风电、太阳能发电、生物质发电等新能源不直接接入公共电网,通过直连 线路向单一电力用户供给绿电,可实现供给电量清晰物理溯源的模式。 填补空白 国家能源局有关负责人在答记者问中表示,出台关于绿电直连的文件是出于三方面的考虑,一是满足新 能源就近消纳需要;二是满足用户绿电消费需求;三是为用户降低用电成本提供更多选择。 值得一提的是,《通知》还特别提到了,绿电直连项目经营投资主体将不含电网企业。 《通知》强调,绿电直连项目的发展目标是满足企业绿色用能需求、提升新能源就近就地消纳水平,将 按照安全优先、绿色友好、权责对等、源荷匹配原则建设运行,公平合理承担安全责任、经济责任与社 会责任。 电力规划设计总院能源政策与市场研究院院长凡鹏飞则指出,自欧盟发布《欧盟电池和废电池法案》及 配套文件《 ...
蒙东电网136号文实施方案正式出台,国家有序推进绿电直连发展
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-03 10:32
证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·公用事业 公用事业行业跟踪周报 蒙东电网 136 号文实施方案正式出台,国家 有序推进绿电直连发展 增持(维持) [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary ] ◼ 风险提示:需求不及预期、电价煤价波动风险、流域来水不及预期等 2025 年 06 月 03 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书:S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 任逸轩 执业证书:S0600522030002 renyx@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -12% -9% -6% -3% 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15% 18% 2024/6/3 2024/10/1 2025/1/29 2025/5/29 公用事业 沪深300 相关研究 《需求偏弱国内气价回落,储库推进 欧洲气价回落》 2025-06-03 《库存大幅增长美国气价回落,需求 偏弱国内气价回落,库存偏低欧洲气 价微增》 2025-05-26 东吴证券研究所 1 / 19 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周核心观点:1)蒙东电网 136 号文实施方案正式出台 ...
环保行业跟踪周报:绿电直连政策打开垃圾焚烧发电IDC合作空间,固废板块提分红+供热IDC拓展提ROE
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-03 10:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The national green electricity direct connection policy opens up cooperation space for waste incineration power generation and IDC [9][12] - The solid waste sector is expected to increase dividends and improve ROE through heat supply and IDC expansion [1][14] - The industry is entering a mature phase, leading to reduced capital expenditures and improved free cash flow, which enhances dividend payouts [14][17] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The environmental protection sector is experiencing a decline in capital expenditures, leading to a significant improvement in free cash flow and increased dividends [14] - The waste incineration sector is seeing a trend towards cost reduction and efficiency improvements, which enhances ROE [14][15] Key Recommendations - Strongly recommended companies include: Huanlan Environment, Green Power, Yongxing Co., China Everbright Environment, Junxin Co., Yuehai Investment, and others [1] - Companies to watch include: Lian Tai Environmental Protection, Wangneng Environment, and Beikong Water Group [1] Policy Tracking - The green electricity direct connection policy requires new projects to have over 80% green electricity usage, which is expected to drive the integration of waste incineration power generation with data centers [12][13] - The policy aims to facilitate the supply of green electricity to high-energy-consuming industries, enhancing economic efficiency and stability [10][12] Financial Performance - The water service sector is projected to see stable growth and high dividends, with water price reforms expected to reshape growth and valuation [17][19] - The report highlights specific dividend payouts for companies like Junxin Co. (5.07 billion CNY), Green Power (4.18 billion CNY), and Huanlan Environment (6.52 billion CNY) for 2024 [14][17] Market Performance - The environmental protection and public utilities index rose by 3.53%, outperforming the broader market indices [50] - Notable stock performances include Yuhua Tian (up 55.7%) and Boschke (up 42.56%) [51]
上海成立具身智能数据联盟,硅料价格下行
Shanxi Securities· 2025-06-03 06:24
地瓜机器人完成 1 亿美元 A 轮融资: 2025 年 5 月 28 日,地平线机 器人-W(9660.HK)旗下地瓜机器人宣布完成 1 亿美元 A 轮融资。本轮融 资获得海内外众多投资机构青睐,由高瓴创投、五源资本、线性资本、和暄 资本、九合创投、Vertex Growth 等投资机构共同参投,为地瓜机器人加速构 建具身智能生态版图注入强劲动力。为加速具身智能机器人落地进程,地瓜 机器人将在 6 月正式发售面向具身智能机器人的 RDK S100 机器人开发套 件。该平台具备百 TOPS 级算力,拥有强大的异构架构设计,是行业首款单 SoC 算控一体计算平台,可实现机器人感知与运控协同计算。 电力设备及新能源 行业周报(202526-20250601) 同步大市-A(维持) 上海成立具身智能数据联盟,硅料价格下行 2025 年 6 月 3 日 行业研究/行业周报 电力设备及新能源行业近一年市场表现 投资要点 资料来源:最闻 | 首选股票 | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | | 600732.SH | 爱旭股份 | 买入-B | | 601012.SH | 隆基绿能 | 买入-B | | ...