金融工程 证券研究报告 因子 跟踪周报 ：Beta、换 手率因子 表现较好 - 20250504 因子 IC 跟踪 金融工程 | 金工定期报告 IC 方面，最近一周，Beta、1 个月换手率与均价的相关性、1 个月反转等 因子表现较好，季度 ep、季度 roe、季度 roa 等因子表现较差；最近一 月，1 个月换手率与均价的相关性、1 个月换手率波动、1 个月反转等因 子表现较好，股息率、bp、bp 三年分位数等因子表现较差；最近一年，1 月特异度、Fama-French 三因子 1 月残差波动率、1 个月超额收益率波动 等因子表现较好，一年动量、前五大股东持股比例合计、业绩预告精确度 等因子表现较差。 因子多头组合跟踪 多头组合方面，最近一周，1 个月换手率与均价的相关性、Beta、小市值 等因子表现较好，季度 ep、季度 roa、季度 roe 等因子表现较差；最近一 月，1 个月换手率与均价的相关性、1 个月换手率波动、1 个月日均换手 率等因子表现较好，季度 ep、bp 三年分位数、Beta 等因子表现较差；最 近一年，小市值、1 个月换手率波动、1 月特异度等因子表现较好，一年 动量、90 天净上调预 ...

文 | 吴先兴 来源 | 晓策佬 编辑 | 杨兰 审核 | 浦电路交易员 摘 要 长期以来，大宗商品一直被视为投资领域中的另类资产。与股票不同，大宗商品不提供所谓的市场beta，价格随经济活动和时间的推移而上 涨，它们提供了一组独特的价格回报，反映了作为全球经济基石的实物资产的潜在供求变化。本文对大宗商品作为一种资产类别及其在投资 组合中的用途进行了重新审视，这些商品在历史上一直是分散投资和通胀保护的工具。我们分析了不同的商品市场beta配置方法，并确定了 商品的其他投资用途。此类用途包括表达特定投资主题的模块构建，战术交易工具以及作为多资产风险溢价配置的一部分。 简介 0 1 我们说"大宗商品是一种资产类别"是什么意思？它们具体有哪些分类？作为投资工具的表现如何？对这种另类资产有哪些普遍的批评和误 解？ 大宗商品具有独特的特征，主要体现在：它们是 即使单个商品具有这些重要特征，商品之间也不是同质的。商品市场beta的概念是微不足道的，可能是三十多年前倡导商品市场金融化的 人们的构想。商品之间的低相关性是各个商品市场之间为数不多的共同点之一。但是，在构成同一生产过程的一部分或可以替代的商品之 间，存在重要的例 ...

| | | | | 全市场ETF情况汇总 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 | 基金类型 | 数量合计(只) | 白比(%) | 份额合计(亿份) | = = (%) | 资产净值合计(亿元) | 白比(%) | | | 股票型ETF | 922 | 80.17 | 20,317.69 | 72.65 | 29,434.7302 | 72.73 | | 2 | 债券型ETF | 29 | 2.52 | 67.67 | 0.24 | 2.416.6186 | 5.97 | | 3 | 商品型ETF | 17 | 1.48 | 236.27 | 0.84 | 1,635.1745 | 4.04 | | 4 | 货币型ETF | 27 | 2.35 | 1,711.23 | 6.12 | 1,714.6816 | 4.24 | | 5 | 跨境ETF | 145 | 12.61 | 5,571.90 | 19.92 | 5,209.2221 | 12.87 | | 6 | 其他 | 10 | 0.87 | 62.37 | 0 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - WSFS Financial Corporation reported core earnings per share of $1.13, core return on assets (ROA) of 1.29%, core pre-provision net revenue (PPNR) of $104.6 million, and core return on tangible common equity of 16.97%, all showing improvements from the prior quarter [5][6][14] - The core net interest margin expanded by 8 basis points to 3.88%, with total funding costs reduced by 15 basis points to 1.77% [6][7] - Year-over-year, net interest margin increased by 4 basis points despite absorbing 100 basis points of interest rate cuts [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Core fee revenue grew by 6% year-over-year, driven by a 19% increase in Wealth and Trust services [7] - Institutional Services and Bryn Mawr Trust Company of Delaware showed strong year-over-year growth, increasing deal flow and market share [8] - Client deposits declined by 1% linked quarter but increased by 4% year-over-year, with non-interest bearing deposits up 6% year-over-year [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The loan to deposit ratio remained stable at 77%, providing flexibility for future growth [12] - Total net credit costs increased to $17.6 million, with net charge-offs at $24.6 million, primarily due to a charge-off of a non-performing loan [12][13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company announced a 13% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.17 per share and an additional share repurchase authorization of 10% of outstanding shares [15] - A medium-term target CET1 ratio of 12% was established, with a gradual glide path over two to three years [15][66] - The company aims to manage net interest margin through various tools, including optimizing wholesale funding and hedging programs [58][60] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that clients are cautious about expansion due to macroeconomic uncertainties, leading to postponed investments [40][42] - The overall credit quality remains stable, with no significant red flags identified in delinquency metrics [45] - Management expressed confidence in the ability to navigate the current environment and indicated that an update on full-year outlook will be provided in the second quarter [16][68] Other Important Information - The company returned $62.6 million of capital in the first quarter, including $53.8 million in buybacks and $8.8 million in dividends [14] - The capital ratios remain strong, with a CET1 of 14.1% and TCE of 8.63%, significantly above regulatory targets [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Why was there no updated guidance in the presentation? - Management stated that it is typical not to provide updated guidance until mid-year due to the volatility of the environment [22][23] Question: What is the outlook for net charge-offs? - Management indicated that the increase in charge-offs was due to a one-off item and that the rest of the portfolio is performing as expected [26][28] Question: How should expenses be viewed going forward? - Management noted that the first quarter expenses were lower than the run rate and provided insights into one-time items affecting the expense line [33] Question: What is the outlook for commercial growth? - Management observed that clients are cautious about expansion due to market volatility, but the pipeline remains consistent [40][42] Question: How are deposit beta expectations evolving? - Management exceeded their deposit beta goal of 40% and plans to continue pushing for higher rates [56][63] Question: What is the medium-term plan for the CET1 target? - Management outlined a two to three-year glide path to reach a CET1 target of 12%, depending on macroeconomic conditions [66][68]

Abstract 摘要 点击小程序查看报告原文 规模及竞争格局：产品规模上行趋势暂缓，宽基规模占比有所回落 被动产品规模上行趋势暂缓。 截至3月末被动产品整体规模5.14万亿元，总规模在近两年的上行趋势中首次出现单季度下滑，季度规模增速为-1.0%。结构 上，虽然一季度股票ETF新发规模不少，但由于产品资金净流出较多，整体上股票ETF相较上季度规模仅增长0.3%；债券型ETF则维持规模高增速，规模 增长21.2%，连续4个季度规模增速在20%以上；商品型ETF受益于黄金市场的持续走强，单季度大幅增长39.9%。此外，LOF和场外指数基金规模下降 8.2%；而货币型ETF规模下降6.1%。 产品集中度进一步下降。 无论是公司还是产品口径，被动产品集中度继上一季度下降后都出现进一步回落，行业CR5降至47.9%，产品CR10下降至 28.0%。我们认为长期来看集中度升高的趋势难以逆转，头部区域格局较为固定，目前竞争的加剧主要来源于大量新产品发行，尾部产品市占率扩充明 显。 权益产品发行热度攀升。 2025年一季度被动权益产品共计发行99只。季度发行数量创历史新高。同时总发行规模709亿元也有明显上升，总发行规模处 ...

Wall Street is bracing for a bad start to the week, with investors fearing a repeat of the 1987 Black Monday that could make last week’s losses look too mild in comparison. Experts have warned of more bloodbath if President Donald Trump doesn’t take immediate action on his sweeping tariffs announced last week.This came as the Asian markets tanked on Monday morning (Sunday night U.S. time), with Japan’s Nikkei tanking 8%, while Singapore and Hong Kong were down 8.5% and 10%, respectively. Investors are curre ...

长按即可免费加入哦 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者：六亿居士 来源：雪球 以下文章来源于六亿居士 ，作者六亿居士 六亿居士 . 雪球2024年度十大影响力用户。每周发布指数估值表，坚持指数基金(ETF)低估定投，分享指数基金基 础分析，让我们：买入有依，持有有底，卖出有据。 着市场逐步回归正常估值 ， 目前可定投的指数屈指可数 ， 除了处于相对低位的医药与消费行业 外 ， 还有一类指数因为处于低估 ， 获得了大家的关注 ， 这便是红利质量类指数 。 今天我们一起聊一聊常见的各类策略因子 ， 如红利 、 低波 、 质量 、 价值 、 成长 、 动量 、 现金流等 ， 看看哪些因子更适合A股较高波动 " 体质 " ？ 再重点关注红利与质量因子 ， 一起探索集合这两个因子的核心指数 ： 中证全指红利质量指数 （ 932315 ） 与中证红利质量指数 （ 931468 ） 。 一 、 策略指数中常见的7大策略因子 一般认为 ， 以非市值选样或非市值加权的指数 ， 均可称为策略指数 ， 如权益指数中常见的风格 指数 （ 价值 、 成长等 ） 、 因子指数等 （ ...

中金研究 主动投资能力的差异与认知是指数化投资产生的底层逻辑之一。在1）alpha收益是零和博弈、2）不同投资者的能力与禀赋存在差异、3）弱势投资者终会 意识到自己的alpha竞争劣势，这三个条件下必定会导致对部分投资者，尤其是一些个人投资者从主动投资转向指数投资。除了这种"直接主动管理的性价 比低"的原因外，对部分委外资金而言，"挑选主动管理的性价比低"也是促使一些资金采取被动投资的重要因素。 被动投资如何影响主动管理投资的存在意义？ 我国指数化投资近期发展迅速，各类政策频出伴随被动产品规模占比不断上行，尤其在近几年中美公募主动股票产品业绩整体均难以跑赢指数的情形 下，被动化浪潮下公募基金行业主动投资与被动投资的生态将演化向何方成为了不少业界人士关心的问题。本篇报告将从二级市场生态底层逻辑的视 角出发，探究被动投资对市场以及对主动管理行业到底如何产生影响，并针对多个核心问题给出我们的思考分析与观点。 Abstract 摘要 点击小程序查看报告原文 海内外被动化投资趋势稳步推进 国内被动投资概念火热，被动占比迅速提升。 2010年以来，国内被动产品市场蓬勃发展，产品数量与规模稳步增长。仅十余年时间，被动股票产 ...

昨晚提到，本周一共四件大事，提振消费发布会、小米和腾讯的年报、美俄领导人昨晚通电话，以及明天凌晨的美联储议息会议。 第二，舍得花钱 。24年派发股息320亿、回购1120亿港币，合计1400+亿港币，也就是花了1300亿左右的人民币（而全年净利润2000亿左右）；2025年， 计划派息410亿，至少回购800亿，合计超1200亿。什么叫股东回报，什么叫真正的市值管理，这就是了。 说腾讯现在是中国的"股王" ，我觉得一点都不为过，说到底，是两个原因。 昨天 小米 的年报是港股盘后发的，昨晚美股的小米ADR涨接近4%，今天小米的港股涨接近1%，而恒生科技跌-1%，换句话说，市场已经算很认 可了——雷总的小米什么都好，就是太贵了，50多倍的PE，咬咬牙闭着眼才能吞下去。 然后昨晚 普/特 两人也通完电话了，据说普因为作一个企业家年度大会的讲话，还让特等了一个小时，这就非常牛逼，能让川宝等1个小时的， 地球上可能也找不出第二个人了。 当然，今天最重要的，还是 股王腾讯的年报 ，也是港股盘后发布的，整体继续超预期，四季度营收同比增11%，净利润同比增90%；全年的 话，营收同比增8%，净利润同比增68%。 我看了一眼， ...

Economic Overview - The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index for mid-March dropped to 57.9, significantly below the consensus estimate of 63.2 and the final reading of 64.7 in February, indicating a decline in consumer confidence [4] - The short-term inflation outlook increased to 4.9% in March from 4.3% in February, the highest since November 2022, while the long-term inflation outlook rose to 3.9% from 3.4%, marking the highest since February 1991 [5] Investment Strategy - Investment in low-beta high-yielding stocks is recommended as a strategy to safeguard portfolios during uncertain market conditions, with the potential for upside if markets recover [6][8] - The utility sector is highlighted for its stability and consistent demand, making it a favorable choice for income-oriented investors [7][8] Company Highlights Ameren Corp. (AEE) - Ameren plans to invest up to $26.3 billion from 2025 to 2029 to enhance customer reliability and transition to cleaner energy sources [11][12] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 6% and 6.7%, respectively, with a current dividend yield of 2.90% [14] Atmos Energy Corp. (ATO) - Atmos Energy benefits from rising demand for natural gas and has a long-term investment plan to improve pipeline reliability [15] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 18.2% and 5.1%, respectively, with a current dividend yield of 2.37% [17] American Water Works Co. Inc. (AWK) - American Water Works is expanding through acquisitions and new water rates, with pending acquisitions expected to add 24,200 customers [21] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 1.1% and 5.9%, respectively, with a current dividend yield of 2.15% [22] Entergy Corp. (ETR) - Entergy plans to invest $37 billion from 2025 to 2028 to modernize its infrastructure and expand renewable capacity [23] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 5.5% and 6.3%, respectively, with a current dividend yield of 2.90% [25] NiSource Inc. (NI) - NiSource expects to invest $19.4 billion from 2025 to 2029 to modernize infrastructure and aims to retire all coal-generating sources by 2028 [26][27] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 11.1% and 9.1%, respectively, with a current dividend yield of 2.90% [28]