这个周末我摄入的信息里，最有意思的是金沙创投朱啸虎的一篇采访，它起了一个比较醒目的标题：《我们正批量退出人形机器人公司》。 朱啸虎在创投圈名声很响，因为他不但投的准，压中了多个独角兽，更难得的是他卖的也挺准。他最著名的两个案例是滴滴和小黄车ofo，早期进 入，然后中间在估值高峰期果断退出股份，先后避开了网约车的政策转向，以及共享单车的行业大崩盘。 就是这么一个人，说目前批量退出人形机器人公司，让我很感兴趣他是怎么思考的。 朱啸虎的理由主要是两个： 人型机器人商业化路径不清晰 缺乏真实可持续的客户需求，现有客户多为高校研究机构、竞争对手或展示用途（如央企购买作前台展示），并非可持续的商 业化场景。 市场共识过高 行业估值因市场情绪快速上涨，但商业化能力未得到验证，多年从业经验告诉他这种时候该撤了。 说白了一句话，就是这些机器人公司估值涨太多了，但是又没想好怎么挣钱。 大致就这些，诸位也不必过于在乎他的观点，我前面没说朱啸虎也有不成功的交易，他卖小红书就卖的太早，踏空了后面巨大的利润空间。他这 次抛出的观点可以作为参考，尤其是现在全市场对人型机器人几乎全是溢美之词，很难看到泼冷水的话。 他提到的那两点，起码市场共 ...

Core Insights - Figure, a US humanoid robotics company, is developing a new high-output manufacturing facility named BotQ, aiming to accelerate the commercialization of humanoid robots in various sectors such as industrial and logistics [1][4] - The factory's first production line is expected to have an annual capacity of 12,000 humanoid robots, with plans to expand to 100,000 units within four years, showcasing Figure's ambition in the humanoid robotics field [1][4] - The company aims to achieve a closed-loop manufacturing model through "robots making robots," which will enhance automation and reduce reliance on human labor [1][4] Industry Developments - Figure is adopting a vertical integration manufacturing model, controlling all key production stages from raw material procurement to final assembly, ensuring high quality and efficiency [2] - Advanced software platforms, including MES, PLM, ERP, and WMS, will be implemented to digitize and intelligently manage production processes, improving efficiency and resource utilization [2] - The internal AI software Helix will directly control robots on the production line, reducing dependence on traditional conveyor systems, which is crucial for scaling home robots [2] Product Transition - Figure plans to transition from the prototype humanoid robot Figure02 to the production-ready Figure03, designed for mass production and cost-effectiveness [3] - The design simplification aims to reduce the number of components and streamline the assembly process, shifting from costly CNC machining to more efficient manufacturing techniques like injection molding and stamping [3] Manufacturing Capability - The establishment of the BotQ humanoid robot factory signifies a significant advancement in scalable manufacturing capabilities within the humanoid robotics sector [4] - With a focus on high-efficiency production systems, continuous technological innovation, and highly automated processes, Figure is accelerating the application of humanoid robots across various industries [4] - The ongoing development of the BotQ factory is expected to facilitate the rapid realization of humanoid robots in multiple industry applications, driving the intelligent transformation of modern production and lifestyle [4]