Market Overview - The A-share market rebounded this week, with five out of nine major indices reaching new highs, indicating that the two-week period of volatility is likely over [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, ChiNext Index, CSI 300 Index, and CSI 500 Index all set new highs, suggesting a potential end to market fluctuations [1][5] Key Events - The Ministry of Commerce has initiated an anti-dumping investigation into imported simulation chips from the United States, which is seen as a positive development for the domestic chip sector [7][8] - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting on September 18 is anticipated to be a significant event for global capital markets, with expectations of a potential interest rate cut [5][9] Sector Analysis - The semiconductor sector is expected to benefit from the anti-dumping investigation, with the involvement of major funds like the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund [8] - The market is currently experiencing a shift towards low-core assets, particularly in the food and beverage sectors, which may see a rebound if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates [12][13] - The AI hardware sector is facing volatility, with some stocks experiencing declines due to negative news, while second-tier stocks in this category are showing potential for upward movement [12][13] Investment Strategy - The market outlook suggests a cautious yet optimistic approach, with an emphasis on observing individual stock performance before making investment decisions, particularly in the semiconductor and AI hardware sectors [8][12] - Investors are advised to focus on sectors that may benefit from the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cut, including low-core assets and innovative pharmaceuticals [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the computer industry [3] Core Viewpoints - The computer industry is entering a wide fluctuation period, focusing on leading companies and the bottom opportunities in AI+ applications. The report suggests that the industry may experience trends such as reduced R&D expenses, increased revenue share from AI+, and improved domestic levels, with performance expected to reach a turning point in the second half of 2025 [9][10] Summary by Sections Industry Weekly Viewpoint - The computer index rose by 4.26% during the week of September 8-12, outperforming the ChiNext index by 2.36 percentage points. The top three gainers were Chuangzhong Technology (52.91%), Kaipu Cloud (36.96%), and Xinjun Network (30.81%) [9][13] - The report emphasizes that the themes of stablecoins and DeepSeek are gradually cooling, while domestic application demand and orders are being released, marking a critical window for AI+ applications [9][10] Overseas Market - Oracle's 1QFY2026 financial report showed a significant increase in Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO), reaching $455 billion, a year-on-year growth of 359%. The growth is attributed to new cloud contracts signed with leading AI companies [11][18] - NVIDIA launched the Rubin CPX, a new generation GPU designed for large-scale contextual processing, which significantly enhances AI system performance [23][26] Domestic Market - Alibaba is increasing its investment in AI and cloud infrastructure, planning to invest over 380 billion yuan in the next three years, which exceeds the total of the past decade. In 1QFY2026, Alibaba Cloud achieved external commercial revenue of 33.398 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26% [30][34] - The Qwen model has entered the global first tier, with significant advancements in AI capabilities, and has become a key player in the open-source model segment [33][34] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on domestic computing power companies such as Cambrian, Haiguang Information, and Inspur Information, as well as application companies like Dameng Data and China Software. It also highlights AI+ companies like Kingsoft Office and iFLYTEK as potential investment opportunities [10][36]

Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor stocks in Hong Kong experienced significant gains, with SMIC rising over 4% and Hua Hong Semiconductor increasing over 2%, driven by a strong performance in the North American computing industry and TSMC's upward revision of its annual performance guidance [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Technology Index ETF, which includes major holdings like Baidu, NIO, JD Group, SMIC, Meituan, and Alibaba, followed the upward trend of the index [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index surpassed the 6200-point mark, breaking previous highs [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - Guosen Securities highlighted that the semiconductor sector is experiencing a rapid increase in performance, with domestic computing capabilities becoming a focal point as companies like DeepSeek and Alibaba increase their procurement and adaptation efforts for domestic computing [1] - The domestic advanced process capabilities are continuously improving, indicating a positive trend for the local computing supply chain [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - With ongoing inflows of southbound capital and the potential initiation of a new round of interest rate cuts in the U.S., Hong Kong stocks may see a resonance of both domestic and foreign investments in September [1] - The "anti-involution" policies and Alibaba's better-than-expected earnings report, along with rapid iterations of AI large models, suggest a potential revaluation of the Hang Seng Technology sector, moving from "takeout involution" back to an AI narrative [1] - Investors without a Hong Kong Stock Connect account may consider using the Hang Seng Technology Index ETF to gain exposure to core Chinese AI assets [1]

● 本报记者 胡雨 Wind数据显示，截至9月16日中国证券报记者发稿时，9月以来，逾1100家A股上市公司接待机构调研， 环比大幅增长。从股价表现看，过半上市公司9月以来取得正收益；从行业分布情况看，机械设备、电 子、基础化工等行业上市公司较受机构关注。 就后市投资而言，机械设备行业中的机器人领域获得机构和市场高度关注，灵巧手等细分方向投资机遇 值得重视；电子行业建议关注国产算力产业链，基础化工行业建议关注有机硅等供给弹性较大的板块。 调研热情进一步升温 作为机构9月调研标的中表现最强的一只，香农芯创股价近期迭创历史新高。9月16日，公司股价虽小幅 调整，但9月以来累计涨幅仍达到78.36%。从香农芯创披露的调研纪要看，作为一家以电子元器件产品 分销为主要收入来源的上市公司，公司代理及自产的相关产品会否跟随存储芯片提价而涨价等话题受到 机构重视。对此，公司回应称，分销产品价格随行就市，市场价格变化最终会体现在采购和销售价格 上，而自产的相关产品价格最终由市场竞争等因素决定。 包括香农芯创在内，Wind数据显示，截至9月16日记者发稿时，9月以来已有超过1100家A股上市公司接 待机构调研，环比大幅增长，显示 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a rebound after initial declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.04%, Shenzhen Component Index up 0.45%, and ChiNext Index up 0.68% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.34 trillion, an increase of 64 billion from the previous trading day [1] - The overall market sentiment improved, with over 3,600 stocks rising, particularly in the robotics sector, which saw significant gains [1] Robotics Sector - The robotics sector led the market with the Robotics Industry ETF (159551) rising by 3.42% and the Industrial Mother Machine ETF (159667) increasing by 2.09% [8] - Recent developments from Tesla, including Elon Musk's plans for AI chip evaluations and stock purchases, indicate a strong focus on robotics and AI technologies [9][11] - The upcoming Tesla shareholder meeting and the release of the third-generation Optimus robot are expected to catalyze further interest in the robotics sector [11] Gold Market - Gold prices continued to rise, supported by signs of a weakening U.S. economy and ongoing discussions about de-dollarization in the global monetary system [3][5] - The U.S. labor market shows concerning trends, with a significant downward revision of non-farm employment figures and a rising unemployment rate when considering part-time workers [3][4] - Central banks, including China's, are increasing their gold reserves, with China's reserves reaching 74.02 million ounces, marking a continuous increase for ten months [5] Domestic Computing Power - The domestic computing power sector performed well, with the Xinchuang ETF (159537) up 2.06% and the Sci-Tech Chip ETF (589100) up 1.36% [12] - Ongoing U.S.-China trade negotiations and regulatory scrutiny on companies like NVIDIA are influencing the domestic chip market [12][13] - The geopolitical risks are strengthening the logic for domestic computing power, making it a potentially attractive investment area [13]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the domestic computing power industry chain is on the verge of significant growth, driven by recent developments in the sector, including Alibaba's unexpected capital expenditure and the announcement of the open CPU interconnect bus protocol by Haiguang [1][2] - The CSI Information Technology Application Innovation Industry Index has seen a strong increase of 1.92%, with notable gains from constituent stocks such as Haiguang Information, which rose by 10.32%, and Zhongke Shuguang, which increased by 10.00% [1] - The Xinchang ETF (562570) has experienced a year-to-date share growth of 263 million shares, indicating substantial investor interest and liquidity in the market [1] Group 2 - The Xinchang ETF (562570) tracks the CSI Information Technology Application Innovation Industry Index, focusing on leading companies in autonomous and controllable sectors, including artificial intelligence, data computing, industrial software, and information security [2] - Haiguang's recent announcement at the "Haiguang System Interconnect Bus Protocol Open Ecological Seminar" aims to collaborate with industry partners across the entire stack, enhancing the efficiency and interoperability of the computing ecosystem [1][2]

多年来， 国产AI与英伟达深度绑定，后者的GPU几乎成了大模型训练的标配 。但随着国际形势变化，美国对先进AI芯片出口限制不断收紧，中国科技企 业被 "卡脖子" 的风险与日俱增。在这样的大背景下，阿里、百度、腾讯纷纷加快自主研发与适配国产芯片的脚步，力求构建自主可控的算力体系。 阿里 ，早在2018年收购中天微成立 "平头哥"，布局芯片领域。含光800、玄铁处理器、倚天710等产品相继推出，并逐步在云计算与推理加速场景落地。 最近，阿里更是被曝出正在测试一款本土代工的新型AI推理芯片，且年初已将自研芯片应用于轻量级模型训练，性能媲美英伟达H20。这一系列动作，彰 显了阿里构建芯片 - 模型 - 应用完整闭环的决心。 阿里与百度已悄然在人工智能模型训练中引入自研芯片，部分替代英伟达的产品。 与此同时，腾讯也没闲着，在今日举行的2025腾讯全球数字生态大会主峰会上，腾讯集团副总裁、腾讯云总裁邱跃鹏宣布， 腾讯云已全面适配主流国产 芯片，并通过异构计算平台的软件能力整合不同芯片，提供高性价比 AI 算力。 一时间，科技巨头们在国产算力领域的角逐愈发激烈，而字节跳动，似乎成了这场竞赛中尚未官宣关键进展的 "神秘选手" ...

截至2025年9月16日 10:30，中证数字经济主题指数(931582)强势上涨2.06%，成分股龙芯中科(688047)上 涨13.67%，海光信息(688041)上涨10.32%，中科曙光(603019)上涨10.00%，均胜电子(600699)，澜起科 技(688008)等个股跟涨。数字经济ETF(560800)上涨2.02%，最新价报1.01元。 流动性方面，数字经济ETF盘中换手2.77%，成交2032.65万元。拉长时间看，截至9月15日，数字经济 ETF近1月日均成交3611.03万元。 消息面上，近日，"海光系统互联总线协议开放生态研讨会"在京举办。会上，海光面向GPU、IO、 OS、OEM等产业全栈，正式宣布开放CPU互联总线协议（HSL），意在联动产业链上下游伙伴，协力 共建高效互通的计算生态，全面释放国产算力潜能。基于HSL 协议，海光CPU将进一步担当起计算系 统协同进阶的底座，类比英伟达GB300 的Grace CPU+BlackwellGPU 异构架构，在"CPU+AI 加速处理 器"的异构计算新趋势下，海光CPU有望打开新的市场空间并扩大在国内市场的市占率。 民生证券认为，整体 ...

Group 1 - The computer sector showed significant improvement in H1 2025, with total revenue reaching 6120 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.9% [1][11] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 was 128 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 41.9% [1][11] - The sector's gross margin improved to 23.25%, with a net profit margin of 2.23%, indicating a strong recovery in profitability [2][16] Group 2 - Major overseas companies like Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Amazon reported substantial year-on-year revenue and net profit growth in Q2 2025, with total capital expenditures reaching 879.4 billion yuan [2][3] - Microsoft’s Q2 2025 revenue was 764.41 billion yuan, up 18.1% year-on-year, while its net profit was 272.33 billion yuan, up 23.58% [8] - Google’s Q2 2025 revenue was 964.28 billion yuan, a 14% increase, with net profit at 281.96 billion yuan, up 19% [8] Group 3 - Investment recommendations suggest focusing on AI applications and domestic computing power-related stocks, such as Haiguang Information, Tonghuashun, and Kingsoft Office, due to the growing demand for AI computing power [3][4] - The domestic market is expected to benefit from the ongoing development of local AI models and applications, as well as the acceleration of domestic computing power substitution due to foreign restrictions [3][4] Group 4 - The cloud computing sector is transitioning from traditional resource migration to AI-driven models, with significant demand for AI servers and intelligent storage [27] - The financial IT sector is experiencing strong growth driven by AI applications in smart investment advisory and big data risk control, with increased technology investments from financial institutions [35] - The healthcare IT sector is undergoing a transformation, with companies embracing AI technology showing significant revenue growth, while others face challenges during the transition [36]

Group 1 - The overall trend of the domestic computing power industry chain is expected to emerge, with Alibaba's capital expenditure in Q2 exceeding expectations, indicating a strong commitment to AI and cloud infrastructure [1] - Alibaba's Q2 capital expenditure reached 38.6 billion, a 57.1% increase compared to Q1 2025, with plans to invest 380 billion over the next three years in cloud and AI hardware infrastructure [1] - The company is actively raising funds, planning to issue $3.2 billion in zero-coupon convertible notes, with approximately 80% of the proceeds aimed at enhancing cloud infrastructure [1] Group 2 - The influx of overseas Chinese talent back to China is accelerating, with significant contributions from Chinese researchers in top AI companies globally [2] - A report indicates that 47% of the world's top AI researchers are of Chinese nationality, surpassing the US and EU [2] - Domestic AI models are rapidly emerging, with several new models launched recently, indicating a strong competitive push against international counterparts [2] Group 3 - Chip Original Co. reported a record high in orders, with a total order amount of 3.025 billion as of the end of Q2 2025, marking an 85.88% increase in new orders compared to the same period last year [3] - AI-related orders account for approximately 64% of the new orders, solidifying Chip Original Co.'s position as a leader in the domestic ASIC market [3] - The company is set to acquire Chip Technology, enhancing its RISC-V ecosystem and furthering its development in this area [3] Group 4 - The acquisition aims to enhance the company's processor IP reserves and build a comprehensive heterogeneous computing IP platform, improving competitiveness and expanding business opportunities [4] - The transaction will allow Chip Original Co. to customize AI ASICs using RISC-V CPUs, creating differentiated chip solutions for various AI applications [4] - The integration of Chip Technology is expected to strengthen the narrative of Chip Original Co. as a leader in the domestic ASIC market [4] Group 5 - Suggested companies to watch include: Cambricon-U (688256.SH), Haiguang Information (688041.SH), Chip Original Co. (688521.SH), and SMIC (688981.SH, 00981) [6]