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市场聚焦修订后消费者信心指数,金价高位盘整,等待信号指引
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-19 07:38
12月19日,市场消化通胀放缓数据,金价震荡回调,截至A股收盘,COMEX黄金期货交投于4353美元/ 盎司附近,黄金ETF华夏(518850)跌0.04%,黄金股ETF(159562)跌0.28%,有色金属ETF基金(516650)涨 1.61%。 消息面上,交易员们现在关注周五美国经济数据,包括成屋销售数据和修订后的密歇根大学消费者信心 指数。这些数据,加上美联储公开市场委员会(FOMC)重要成员的讲话,可能会影响美元,并为黄金带 来短期交易机会。 大有期货指出,回顾本轮行情,金银价格自2023年末美联储释放转向信号以来已累积了巨大涨幅,尤其 是黄金价格站上每盎司4300美元的历史高位。因此,尽管数据本身方向利好,但其对价格的边际提振效 应已显著减弱。市场短期或转入高位盘整、以时间换空间的格局,通过震荡来消化浮盈、重塑共识,并 等待下一个明确的宏观数据或政策信号来指引方向。 ...
美国通胀数据良好国际银走涨
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-19 07:05
市场焦点还包括即将公布的美国密歇根大学消费者信心指数及加拿大零售销售数据,可能为银价提供新的方向指引。 【最新国际白银行情解析】 国际白银再次在向上倾斜的100小时简单移动平均线(SMA)附近找到相当的支撑,保持买方的控制。它在64.75美元提供 动态支撑,保持在这一上升均线之上将保留看涨基调。移动平均线趋同/背离(MACD)直方图已转为正值并在扩展,表 明MACD线已在零水平附近穿越信号线。动能改善,持续推入正区域将增强上行偏向。 相对强弱指数(RSI)位于56,处于中性至看涨状态,低于超买水平,支持进一步上涨的空间,如果买方保持控制。然 而,日线RSI显示出超伸展状态,这使得在进行任何进一步升值操作之前,等待一些短期盘整或适度回调是明智的。这 反过来表明,白银可能在66.50-66.55美元区域面临一些中间障碍。 今日周五(12月19日)欧盘时段,国际白银目前交投于65.92一线下方,今日开盘于65.44美元/盎司,截至发稿,国际白银 暂报65.66美元/盎司,上涨0.33%,最高触及66.01美元/盎司,最低下探64.46美元/盎司,目前来看,国际白银盘内短线 偏向看跌走势。 【要闻速递】 周四公布的最 ...
英国12月Gfk消费者信心指数为-17
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-19 00:06
每经AI快讯,12月19日消息,英国12月Gfk消费者信心指数为-17,预期-18,前值-19。 ...
【环球财经】12月澳大利亚消费者信心回落至“谨慎悲观”水平
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 07:12
新华财经悉尼12月16日电(记者李晓渝)西太平洋银行(Westpac Bank)和墨尔本研究院(Melbourne Institute)16日发布的报告显示,2025年12月澳大利亚西太平洋银行/墨尔本研究院消费者信心指数 (暨消费者情绪指数)回落9%至94.5点,为"谨慎悲观"水平。 11月,消费者信心指数意外飙升至100点以上,但12月又回落到此前水平附近。报告指出,近几个月澳 大利亚的消费者信心虽然与2024年大部分时间里持续的"谨慎悲观"相比有了明显改善,但仍难以持续转 向彻底的乐观。 具体来说,12月的消费者信心指数调查发现,预测未来一年经济状况的分项指标环比下滑9.7%,至94.6 点。预测未来五年经济状况的分项指标环比下滑11.7%,至95.7点。家庭相关指标方面,衡量未来一年 家庭财务状况的分项指标环比下滑6.1%,至102.4点。反映家庭财务状况在过去一年中变化的分项指标 环比下滑5%,至80.9点。决定购买主要家居用品时机的分项指标环比下滑11.4%,至98.9点。 此外,报告还指出,12月澳大利亚购房时机指数环比下降10.6%,至86.2点;失业预期指数环比下降 9.1%,至126.8点 ...
吴说本周宏观指标与分析:美国 11 月非农及 CPI、日欧英利率决议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-14 16:23
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%, with some dissent among members regarding the decision, while also announcing the restart of reserve management purchases [2] Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve's new interest rate is set at 3.75%, down from the previous 4.00% [2] - There were three dissenting votes during the meeting, with two members opposing the rate cut and one advocating for a larger cut of 50 basis points [2] - The latest Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) indicates that 6 out of 19 officials do not support the rate cut, and the median path for 2026 remains unchanged [2] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending December 6 were reported at 236,000, higher than the expected 220,000 [2] - The U.S. trade deficit for September was revised to $59.3 billion, which is narrower than the expected $63.3 billion, marking the smallest deficit since June 2020 [2] - China's CPI for November increased by 0.7% year-on-year, the highest since March 2024, while the M2 money supply growth was reported at 8%, below the market expectation of 8.2% [2] Group 3: Upcoming Events - Key upcoming events include the Bank of England's interest rate decision on December 18, the European Central Bank's deposit rate announcement, and the U.S. November CPI and non-farm payroll data release on December 18 [3]
【白银etf持仓量】12月5日白银ETF较上一交易日减少169.24吨
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-08 11:10
Group 1 - The iShares Silver Trust, the world's largest silver ETF, reported a holding of 15,925.21 tons of silver as of December 5, a decrease of 169.24 tons from the previous trading day [1] - On December 5, the spot silver price closed at $58.28 per ounce, up 2.07%, with an intraday high of $59.32 and a low of $56.85 [1] Group 2 - The U.S. core PCE price index for September recorded an annual rate of 2.8%, below the market expectation of 2.9% and the previous value of 2.9% [3] - Consumer spending is showing signs of slowing down, indicating that the primary growth engine of the U.S. economy was already decelerating before the longest government shutdown began on October 1 [3] - The University of Michigan reported that the preliminary consumer confidence index for December rose from 51 in November to 53.3 [3] - The one-year inflation expectation for December from the University of Michigan is 4.1%, the lowest level since January of this year, compared to an expectation of 4.5% and a previous value of 4.5% [3]
瑞士11月消费者信心指数录得-34,前值为-36.9
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-08 08:11
每经AI快讯,12月8日消息,瑞士11月消费者信心指数录得-34,前值为-36.9。 ...
贵金属数据日报-20251208
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-12-08 05:13
a Begon 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期货 贵金属数据日报 | | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | | 投资咨询号: Z0013700 | | | 2025/12/8 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 贵金属与新能源研究中心 白素娜 | | 人业资格号:F3023916 | | | | | 内外盘金 | 日期 | 伦敦金现 | 伦敦银现 | COMEX黄金 | COMEX白银 | AU2512 | AG2512 | AU (T+D) | AG (T+D) | | 银15点价 | | (美元/盎司) | (美元/盎司) | (美元/盎司) | (美元/盎司) | (元/克) | (元/千克) | (元/克) | (元/千克) | | 格龈踪 | 2025/12/5 | 4226. 76 | 58. 32 | 4257.00 | 58.91 | 957. 54 | 13669.00 | 955. 50 | 13663.00 | | (本表数 | | | | | | | ...
国际金融市场早知道:12月8日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 00:04
Economic Indicators - The U.S. core PCE price index rose by 2.8% year-on-year in September, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2%, aligning with market expectations [1] - The U.S. consumer confidence index for December is initially set at 53.3, showing a month-on-month increase from November's final value of 51, but a year-on-year decline from last December's value of 74, indicating persistent consumer sentiment challenges due to high prices [1] - The European Central Bank's council member, Rehn, noted that medium-term inflation risks in the Eurozone are slightly skewed to the downside, influenced by lower energy prices, euro appreciation, and expectations of slowing service and wage inflation [2] Central Bank Actions - The Reserve Bank of India lowered its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.25% and announced plans to purchase 1 trillion rupees in bonds and conduct $5 billion in forex swap operations [3] Market Movements - The CME Group experienced a significant trading interruption exceeding 10 hours due to a data center failure caused by human error, highlighting the risks associated with reliance on a single data center [3] - The total holdings of gold ETFs increased to 3,932 tons by the end of November, marking the sixth consecutive month of growth, with over 700 tons purchased in 2025, potentially leading to the largest annual increase in holdings [3] Commodity Prices - LME copper futures and Shanghai Futures Exchange copper futures prices reached historical highs for three consecutive times in the past week, with Citigroup predicting copper prices could rise to $15,000 per ton next year, while CITIC Securities forecasts LME copper prices to exceed $12,000 per ton [4] Stock Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices rose on the 5th, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average increasing by 104.05 points to close at 47,954.99, a rise of 0.22% [6] - COMEX gold futures fell by 0.36% to $4,227.7 per ounce, while COMEX silver futures rose by 2.28% to $58.8 per ounce [6] Currency Exchange Rates - The U.S. dollar index closed at 98.992, slightly higher than the previous day's 98.990, with various currency exchange rates showing minor fluctuations against the dollar [7]
美国12月消费者信心指数升至53.3 好于市场预期
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-12-06 15:02
中新社华盛顿12月5日电(记者沙晗汀)美国密歇根大学当地时间5日公布报告显示,12月美国消费者信心 指数升至53.3,好于市场预期。 数据显示,12月美国消费者信心指数为53.3,较11月51的数据增长4.5%,较去年同期下降28%。其中, 消费者对于现状信心指数为50.7,环比下降0.8%,同比下降32.5%;对于未来信心指数为55,环比增长 7.8%,同比下降25%。 通胀预期方面,12月消费者对未来一年的通胀率预期为4.1%,较11月数据下降0.4个百分点,该数据已 连续4个月下降,但仍高于今年1月3.3%的数值;消费者对未来5年的通胀率预期为3.2%,较11月数据下 降0.2个百分点,与今年1月数据持平。 该报告负责人乔安·徐(Joanne Hsu)表示,美国12月消费者信心指数增长主要受年轻消费者信心增强拉 动。消费者对于现状信心指数与上月相比变化不大,对于未来信心指数有明显提高,其中消费者对未来 个人财务状况评估增长13%,对于未来就业市场预期略有改善。整体来看,消费者信心较11月有所提 高,但整体仍显悲观,众多消费者提及高物价带来很大负担。 美媒认为,特朗普政府加征关税政策是导致物价上涨的重要原 ...