Report Industry Investment Ratings - Iron ore: Sell on rallies [2] - Coking coal and coke: Low-level oscillation [2] - Rolled steel and rebar: Low-level oscillation [2] - Glass: Weak oscillation [2] - Soda ash: Oscillation [2] - SSE 50 Index: Rebound [2] - CSI 300 Index: Oscillation [2] - CSI 500 Index: Upward movement [4] - CSI 1000 Index: Upward movement [4] - 2-year Treasury bond: Oscillation [4] - 5-year Treasury bond: Oscillation [4] - 10-year Treasury bond: Rebound [4] - Gold: Strong oscillation [4] - Silver: Strong oscillation [6] - Pulp: Weak oscillation [6] - Logs: Oscillation [6] - Edible oils (soybean oil, palm oil, rapeseed oil): Rebound [6] - Meal (soybean meal, rapeseed meal, soybeans No.2): Rebound [8] - Live pigs: Oscillation [8] - Rubber: Oscillation [9] - PX: Wait-and-see [9] - PTA: Wait-and-see [9] - MEG: Wait-and-see [9] - PR: Wait-and-see [9] - PF: Wait-and-see [9] Core Viewpoints - The overall supply and demand situation in various industries is complex, with some industries facing supply surpluses and weak demand, while others are affected by factors such as geopolitical risks, policy changes, and seasonal patterns. Market trends are diverse, including downward pressure, oscillation, and rebound opportunities [2][4][6][8][9] Summary by Related Catalogs Black Industry - Iron ore: Global shipments are rising, but iron water production is falling, and port inventories are decreasing. The valuation is relatively high, and prices may decline if iron water production falls below 2.4 million tons. Hold existing short positions and consider adding on rebounds [2] - Coking coal and coke: High supply and weak demand persist. Coke production costs are falling, but steel mills are proposing price cuts, and inventories are increasing. The market follows the trend of finished products [2] - Rolled steel and rebar: Entering the off-season, demand is weakening, production is decreasing, and inventory decline is slowing. Total demand is expected to show a front-loaded pattern, and prices are likely to fall [2] - Glass: There is no substantial positive news. Production capacity is slightly decreasing, demand is expected to weaken, and inventory is at a high level. Long-term demand recovery is difficult [2] - Soda ash: Oscillating, with attention paid to downstream demand recovery [2] Financial Industry - Stock index futures/options: The previous trading day saw declines in major stock indices. Some sectors had capital inflows, while others had outflows. Market sentiment is affected by policies and economic data, and long positions in stock indices are recommended [2][4] - Treasury bonds: Yields are stable, and the central bank is conducting reverse repurchase operations. The market is in a narrow rebound, and light long positions are recommended [4] - Gold: The pricing mechanism is shifting, and factors such as central bank purchases, currency credit, and geopolitical risks are influencing prices. It is expected to oscillate strongly [4][6] - Silver: Similar to gold, affected by various factors and expected to oscillate strongly [6] Light Industry - Pulp: Spot prices are falling, costs are decreasing, and demand is in the off-season. Prices are expected to oscillate weakly [6] - Logs: Port shipments are increasing, demand is relatively strong, and supply pressure is easing. Prices are expected to oscillate [6] Oil and Fat Industry - Edible oils: Palm oil production and exports are high, and inventories are increasing. Soybean oil is under pressure from high supply, but the market is boosted by biofuel policies. Prices are expected to rebound [6] - Meal: The USDA report is neutral, and the market is affected by weather, trade negotiations, and supply. Prices are expected to rebound, but the upside is limited [8] Agricultural Products Industry - Live pigs: The market is in a weak downward trend, with a loose supply-demand pattern and weak consumption. Prices are expected to oscillate weakly [8] - Rubber: Supply is expected to increase, demand is decreasing, and the market is in a pattern of supply exceeding demand. Prices are under pressure and expected to oscillate [9] Polyester Industry - PX: Supply is increasing, but demand may be affected by polyester load. The short-term supply-demand pattern is tight, and prices follow oil prices [9] - PTA: Supply is rising, demand is weakening, and prices follow costs [9] - MEG: Supply and demand are showing a benign structure, and prices are supported. Attention should be paid to polyester load changes [9] - PR: Cost support is strong, and the market may adjust strongly. Follow-up from downstream is to be watched [9] - PF: Affected by oil prices and downstream demand, prices are expected to oscillate strongly [9]

由于学年将于本月结束，而一些州允许非教学人员在漫长的暑假期间领取福利，申请人数可能会继续上 升。尽管在特朗普的激进关税引发的经济不确定性下，雇主留住工人，没有出现大规模裁员，但劳动力 市场正在逐渐失去动力。白宫对移民的打击也减缓了就业增长。5月份非农就业岗位增加13.9万个，低 于去年同期的19.3万个。 智通财经APP获悉，美国至6月7日当周初请失业金人数 24.8万人，预期24万人，前值由24.7万人修正为 24.8万人;这是自去年10月以来的最高水平。这些数据可能是受到学年结束、学校放假的影响。在2024 年，初请失业金人数在6月初达到了较高水平。这进一步表明失业的美国人重新找到工作的所需时间更 长了。美国至5月31日当周续请失业金人数 195.6万人，预期191万人，前值由190.4万人修正为190.2万 人，为2021年底以来的最高水平。 初请失业金人数与招聘放缓的情况相吻合，这表明美国失业人员正在艰难地寻找工作。然而，该报告所 涵盖的时期包括了阵亡将士纪念日以及一些州的暑假开学前的假期，这使得数据的波动性更大。 彭博经济学家Eliza Winger表示："雇主对经济增长前景持谨慎态度，这导致招聘率 ...

2.黄金建议回调3315-3310附近做多，止损在3302，目标3330-3350。 本交易日市场关注焦点集中于即将公布的美国CPI报告，预计该数据将引发显著市场波动。当前美元指 数维持在98.35-99.50区间震荡。随着美国5月CPI数据将于北京时间周三20:30发布，市场预期在数据公 布后行情将趋于明朗。统计显示，受特朗普政府推行激进关税政策及地缘政治局势动荡影响，2025年初 至今黄金价格已累计上涨逾25%。各国央行持续增持黄金储备，加速从美国资产中撤离资金。此外市场 参与者正密切关注周四的美国国债拍卖情况，若需求疲软可能进一步提升黄金的避险需求。交易员将重 点分析CPI数据以评估美联储利率政策走向，当前市场预计美联储9月降息25个基点的概率约为52%，该 数据可能显著影响市场对美联储货币政策的预期。 操作策略： 1.黄金建议目前3342-3347附近做空，止损在3355，目标3320-3300； 黄金4小时图技术形态显示当前处于震荡整理阶段，晚间建议维持区间震荡交易思路。从4小时K线结构 观察，布林带呈现收口状态，价格在中轨附近反复穿越，短线呈现震荡偏强态势。技术面上方需重点关 注3345-3350 ...

渡己者才能渡人，难熬的不是你每天都在盈利，而是处在逆境时如何解决，人的意志会随着时间的流逝、客观事物的影响而动摇，顺境时要内求，自知者才 能明智，才能走向更高点，逆境时更要内求，强大自己才能克敌制胜!一切外在的根，都源自于我们的内在!我们无法改变客观事物的不确定性，但只有从始 而终去遵循客观事物的规律，才能走的更远!而所谓的规律其实就是历史数据中的既成事实!人性难易，所以，历史也会重演!正如春夏秋冬，四季轮回，生老 病死，喜怒哀乐一样!市场也是如此!因为市场的本质就是人性的博弈! 黄金最新行情趋势分析： 黄金消息面解析：周三(6月11日)欧市盘中，美元指数位于99.15附近;现货黄金维持日内涨势，目前金价位于3341美元/盎司左右。本交易日，投资者将聚焦美 国CPI报告，预计将引发市场重大情。美元指数继续稳定在98.35-99.50区间内。预计在美国定于今天发布CPI数据后，情况会更加明朗。今年以来，由于美国 总统特朗普出台激进的关税政策，并引发地缘政治格局的动荡，黄金价格飙升逾25%。各国央行纷纷积极购买黄金，试图从美国资产中撤资。投资者还在期 待周四的美国国债拍卖，疲软的需求可能会增强黄金的避险吸引力。 ...

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is anticipated to influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, with traders closely monitoring the inflation data [1] - Current gold prices are fluctuating within the range of $3300 to $3350, indicating a potential breakout in the near future [1] - The MACD indicator suggests a weakening bullish momentum, although the market remains in a bullish trend overall [1] Group 2: Gold Trading Recommendations - Short selling plans include two strategies: selling at $3354-$3359 and $3380-$3385, with stop-losses set at 8 points [3] - Long buying plans include two strategies: buying at $3325-$3330 and $3265-$3270, also with stop-losses set at 8 points [3] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - Oil prices are under pressure due to uncertainties surrounding global trade and the impact on oil demand, particularly regarding US-China trade relations [1] - The market is awaiting the results of trade negotiations and the EIA data for further direction, with current prices fluctuating around $65 [1] - The daily chart indicates a bullish trend, but recent price action suggests a potential shift in the short-term trend [1] Group 4: Oil Trading Recommendations - Short selling plans include two strategies: selling at $65.2-$65.5 and $66.4-$66.6, with targets set at $63.8 [5] - Long buying plans include two strategies: buying at $64.2-$63.8 and $62.5-$62.8, with targets set at $65.5 [5]

知情人士透露，目前特朗普考虑的美联储主席继任者人选包括贝森特以及美联储前理事凯文·沃什。有 华尔街背景的贝森特正在主导美国与各国的关税问题谈判。特朗普的前政治顾问史蒂夫·班农认为，贝 森特已经证明了他能在极度动荡的环境中执行特朗普的议程，同时也能获得金融界人士的信任。 对于相关报道，贝森特回应称自己目前有华盛顿最好的工作，"总统将决定谁对经济和美国民众最有 利。" 美国总统唐纳德·特朗普上周五宣布将尽快公布下一任美联储主席人选，并再度批评现任美联储主席杰 罗姆·鲍威尔。鲍威尔的任期将于2026年5月结束。 鲍威尔是由特朗普在第一个总统任期任命的美联储主席。但在2018年美联储多次加息后，特朗普就公开 表示对鲍威尔的不满，威胁要将其解雇。今年以来，特朗普多次抨击美联储迟迟不降息并再度威胁要炒 掉鲍威尔。在美国金融市场剧烈动荡后，特朗普才改口让步。 2025年4月29日，美国华盛顿，美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特。图片来源：视觉中国 据环球网报道，彭博社6月11日援引匿名知情人士消息爆料，美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特是美联储主席 继任者的热门候选人之一。 在挑选美联储主席时，美国财长通常负责寻找合适人选并面试候选人。如 ...

CME"美联储观察"显示，目前预测美联储6月维持利率不变的概率接近百分之百，预测美联储7月维持 利率不变的概率为85.5%。 中美经贸磋商机制首次会议于当地时间6月9日在英国伦敦举行，市场高度关注会谈结果。有媒体报道 称，经过2天的谈判，双方已经在原则上达成了一个协议框架，并将该框架提交两国领导人审议。 除此之外，投资者本周还重点关注将于周三发布的美国5月CPI数据。根据对经济学家的调查结果，剔 除波动较大的食品和能源后，5月核心CPI预计环比上涨0.3%，将为四个月最大涨幅，同比增速预计加 快0.1个百分点至2.4%。 这一数据以及周四将发布的PPI数据，将是美联储在6月17-18日政策会议前最后一次评估通胀走势及关 税的影响。 转自：新华财经 新华财经北京6月11日电 美国国债收益率本周前两个交易日维持窄幅震荡走势，略回吐上周五非农报告 发布后的涨幅。截至周二（6月10日）纽市尾盘，10年期美债收益率报4.47%，较上周五回落约4BP。2 年期美债收益率报4.02%，较上周五走低约2BP。 来源：中国金融信息网 美国财政部周二发行3期国债，规模合计1610亿美元，6周期、52周期、3年期品种的发行规模分别 ...

6月9日国内金价快报：国内品牌金店金价在周末出现连跌，大部分金店金价已经跌下千元大关。周生生黄金今日暂报1001 元/克，对比昨日微跌2元/克，为最高价金店。上海中国黄金价格继续不变，报价981元/克，仍是最低价金店。今日金店黄金 价差20元/克，价差小了很多。 具体各大品牌金店最新价格见下表格： | | | 今日金店黄金价格一览(2025年6月9日) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 金店报价 | 今日金价 | 单位 | 变动幅度 | 涨跌 | | 老庙黄金价格 | 996 | 元/克 | 3 | 跌 | | 六福黄金价格 | 998 | 元/克 | 7 | 版 | | 周大福黄金价格 | 998 | 元/克 | 7 | 駅 | | 周六福黄金价格 | 985 | 元/克 | 0 | ने | | 金至尊黄金价格 | 998 | 元/克 | 7 | 跌 | | 老凤祥黄金价格 | 1000 | 元/克 | 6 | ग | | 潮宏基黄金价格 | 998 | 元/克 | 7 | 品 | | 周生生黄金价格 | 1001 | 元/克 | 2 | 品 | | 菜百黄金 ...

| 产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年6月9日 | | | | 林嘉施 | Z0020770 | | 价格及基差 | | | | | | | | 现值 | 前值 | 日涨跌 | 日涨跌幅 | 单位 | | SMM 1#电解镍 | 123400 | 123100 | 300 | 0.24% | 7C/HT | | 1#多川镇 | 124500 | 124200 | 300 | 0.24% | 元/吨 | | 1#金川镍升贴水 | 2450 | 2450 | 0 | 0.00% | 元/吨 | | 1#进口镇 | 122300 | 122100 | 200 | 0.16% | 元/吨 | | 1#进口镇升贴水 | 250 | 350 | -100 | -- | 元/肥 | | LME 0-3 | -182 | -189 | 7 | -3.68% | 美元/吨 | | 期货进口盈亏 | -3595 | -3563 | -32 | 0.90% | 元/吨 | | 沪伦比值 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. non-farm payroll data for May showed an increase of 139,000 jobs, exceeding market expectations of 130,000, while the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%, aligning with forecasts [1] - Despite a decline from the previous value of 177,000 jobs, the better-than-expected performance strengthens the Federal Reserve's expectation to maintain current interest rate policies, leading to a significant drop in gold's safe-haven demand [1] - Following the data release, U.S. Treasury yields rose sharply, the U.S. dollar index strengthened, and spot gold prices fell by $40 to $3,331 per ounce [1] Group 2 - The month-over-month wage growth was 0.4%, and year-over-year growth was 3.9%, indicating persistent inflationary pressures, which further reduced market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the short term [1] - Despite the recent drop, gold prices have increased approximately 28% this year, highlighting its safe-haven value amid global geopolitical uncertainties [1] - Analysts believe that positive signals from U.S.-China trade negotiations have directly suppressed demand for safe-haven assets, with the decline in gold prices reflecting the market's immediate reaction to the easing trade relations [1] Group 3 - Technical analysis of gold indicates a bearish outlook for the upcoming week, with a focus on the support level between 3,270 and 3,250 [3] - If the support holds, there is potential for gold to rebound above 3,350 [3] - The daily chart shows a significant drop after being blocked at 3,375, closing at 3,307, suggesting a continuation of the downward trend [3] Group 4 - Suggested trading strategy includes selling on rebounds in the 3,325-3,330 range with a stop loss at 3,338 and a target of 3,315-3,295 [4] - Additionally, a buying strategy is recommended for pullbacks in the 3,270-3,265 range with a stop loss at 3,257 and a target of 3,300-3,330 [4]