近日，证监会在传达学习中央经济工作会议精神时，研究部署了资本市场的贯彻落实举措，勾勒出未来 一段时间资本市场的改革路线图。可以看出，改革主线是防风险、强监管、促高质量发展，主要任务是 持续深化资本市场投融资综合改革，意在为经济高质量发展和"十五五"良好开局贡献力量。 中原证券首席经济学家邓淑斌认为，当前资本市场改革呈现出"融资更包容、投资更长期、监管更精 准"的政策脉络，投融资综合改革具有长期性和重要性，预计未来改革主线将围绕持续增强市场内在稳 定性、提高制度包容性和适应性、提升监管执法效能等方面发力，不断提升资本市场吸引力与竞争力。 提高制度包容性与吸引力 证监会表示，科学制定资本市场"十五五"规划体系，系统谋划未来五年资本市场发展主要目标、任务和 重要举措；不断提高资本市场制度包容性吸引力。这是对中央经济工作会议"持续深化资本市场投融资 综合改革"的落细落实。 实际上，在新"国九条"和资本市场"1+N"政策框架的指引下，资本市场持续在投融资端改革方面发力。 在融资端，纵深推进科创板改革和多层次债券市场体系建设，提高资本市场对新产业的包容性和适配 性；在投资端，营造更具吸引力的"长钱长投"制度环境，加大培育 ...

◎记者 闫刘梦 中央经济工作会议提出，持续深化资本市场投融资综合改革。近日，中信建投证券党委委员武超则在接 受上海证券报记者采访时表示，下一步，资本市场改革将更加注重投资端、融资端均衡发展。中央连续 把"投融资"并提，核心含义是要把资本市场从融资单轮驱动拉回到融资、投资、配置的闭环，让市场成 为资源配置的基础设施，而不仅是融资管道。 武超则还表示，中央经济工作会议明确提出"完善人工智能治理"，这体现了对技术发展和治理规则的双 重重视。 在她看来，投资端重点在于继续打通社保、保险、理财等中长期资金入市卡点堵点，推动各类专业机构 投资者建立健全三年以上长周期考核机制，稳步降低公募基金行业综合费率等。让市场长期资金进得 来、留得住，能用合适的工具做长期配置，从而成为稳定的市场底盘。 作为连接投融资两端的关键中介，证券公司如何适应并推动这一转变？武超则表示，证券公司需要紧 扣"稳中求进、提质增效"总基调，聚焦核心任务精准发力： 一是投行发力服务实体经济，承销地方债、助力"两重"项目与城市更新融资，联动资管发行基建 REITs；在财富端要激活民间投资，赋能内需扩大。 近两年来，资本市场改革取得显著成效，A股市场迎来健康 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the continuous strengthening of the momentum for long-term capital market investment, with significant policy support and record-high fund sizes in public and private sectors [1][2] - As of October 2023, the public fund size reached 36.96 trillion yuan, while private fund management size hit 22 trillion yuan, marking historical highs [1] - The A-share market has seen a substantial increase in trading activity, with an average daily trading volume of approximately 1.75 trillion yuan, significantly up from 1.08 trillion yuan in 2024 [1] Group 2 - The Central Economic Work Conference has outlined the need for comprehensive reforms in capital market investment and financing, aiming for a balanced development between investment and financing [2] - The "Two Innovation Boards" are highlighted as key reform areas, with new listing standards and the inclusion of unprofitable companies to support innovation [3] - A total of 103 companies completed IPOs in 2023, raising 116.3 billion yuan, with significant contributions from the semiconductor and biomedicine sectors [3] Group 3 - Mergers and acquisitions are identified as crucial, with a notable increase in asset restructuring cases, reflecting a 55% year-on-year growth in major asset restructurings [4] - The bond market is evolving with the issuance of technology innovation bonds exceeding 3 trillion yuan, promoting long-term investments in hard technology [4] - The capital market's inclusivity and adaptability are seen as essential for high-quality development, allowing for diverse participants and innovative financial tools [4] Group 4 - The capital market ecosystem is undergoing profound changes, with a focus on enhancing the quality and efficiency of listed companies and investment institutions [5][6] - Regulatory measures have been strengthened to ensure compliance and accountability among market participants, with a reported 40% increase in penalties for financial fraud [6] - The introduction of new guidelines for investment banks and funds aims to shift focus from scale to value creation, enhancing overall market efficiency [7] Group 5 - The opening up of the capital market to foreign investors is progressing, with reduced restrictions and improved transparency, making it an attractive destination for global capital [8] - The dual approach of aligning rules with international standards and enhancing market appeal is driving the success of China's capital market [8]

Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of improving efficiency and optimizing the industry structure in the securities sector, projecting a strong performance relative to the market for 2026 [1] Market Review - The securities sector has demonstrated a prominent Beta attribute, with significant attention on the shift in funding styles. Historical analysis indicates that periods of excess returns for brokerages typically require a confluence of policy, liquidity, and market conditions [4][9] - From January to November 2025, the securities index underperformed the CSI 300 index by 12.9 percentage points, attributed to factors such as technology style preferences and the diversion of funds towards low-valuation H-shares [4][43] - Despite this, the brokerage sector achieved a notable excess return from April to August 2025, particularly H-share brokerages, which saw a cumulative increase of 43.9% for the year, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 25.4 percentage points [4][43] Fundamental Outlook - The equity market is experiencing high prosperity, with a strong certainty of profit growth. In the first three quarters of 2025, listed brokerages reported a year-on-year net profit growth of 63.4% and a revenue increase of 13.0% [4][20] - The revenue structure for the first three quarters of 2025 shows significant growth in brokerage, investment banking, and proprietary trading, with net income growth rates of 68%, 16%, and 42% respectively [4][20] - The wealth management sector is positioned to capitalize on internationalization trends, with Hong Kong emerging as a preferred fundraising destination for Chinese enterprises, leading to a 146% increase in IPO fundraising compared to the entire year of 2024 [4][20] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that as capital market reforms deepen, the securities industry is expected to maintain steady growth in 2026, benefiting particularly head brokerages through mergers and acquisitions [4][20] - Recommended stocks include CITIC Securities and CICC, which are expected to benefit from their strong comprehensive service capabilities and balanced business structures [4][20] - Other notable mentions include Guosen Securities, Industrial Securities, and Dongfang Securities, which are anticipated to perform well due to their advantages in financial products and services [4][20] Valuation Insights - The current price-to-book (P/B) ratio for the securities industry stands at 1.35x, which is below the historical average of 1.71x, indicating potential for valuation recovery [4][50] - The report highlights that the industry P/B valuation is at the 27.7% historical percentile, suggesting that there is room for improvement in valuations relative to historical performance [4][50]

【期货行情前瞻要点】 通过宏观基本面分析和黄金分割线、水平线、日均线等技术面分析，预期今日期货主力合约行情走势大概率如 下： 2025 年 12 月 16 日 股指期货将偏弱震荡 铂、钯期货将震荡偏强 铂、钯、多晶 硅期货将创下上市以来新高 镍、玻璃期货将震荡偏弱 陶金峰 期货投资咨询从业资格号：Z0000372 邮箱：taojinfeng@gtht.com 【正文】 【声明】 本报告的观点和信息仅供风险承受能力合适的投资者参考。本报告难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不 便，敬请谅解。若您并非风险承受能力合适的投资者，请勿阅读、订阅或接收任何相关信息。本报告不构 成具体业务或产品的推介，亦不应被视为相应金融衍生品的投资建议。请您根据自身的风险承受能力自行 作出投资决定并自主承担投资风险，不应凭借本内容进行具体操作。 股指期货大概率将偏弱震荡：IF2512 阻力位 4575 和 4600 点，支撑位 4511 和 4500 点；IH2512 阻力位 3001 和 3015 点，支撑位 2958 和 2952 点；IC2512 阻力位 7196 和 7262 点，支撑位 7053 和 7027 点；IM2512 阻 ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) emphasizes the importance of capital market development and outlines measures to implement the directives from the Central Economic Work Conference, focusing on stability, reform, and regulatory efficiency [1][2][3] Group 1: Strategic Planning - The CSRC will actively participate in the formulation of the national "14th Five-Year" plan and develop a systematic capital market "14th Five-Year" planning framework to outline key goals and tasks for the next five years [1] Group 2: Market Stability - The CSRC aims to enhance the inherent stability of the market by fostering a high-quality group of listed companies and promoting corporate governance initiatives, encouraging companies to increase dividend payouts and share buybacks [2] - The commission will implement a long-term assessment mechanism for medium- and long-term funds and promote the development of equity public funds and high-quality index investments [2] Group 3: Reform Initiatives - The CSRC will initiate reforms in the ChiNext board and accelerate the implementation of the "1+6" reform measures for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [2] - The commission plans to support the high-quality development of the private equity fund industry and expedite the pilot program for commercial real estate REITs [2] Group 4: Regulatory Efficiency - The CSRC will enhance regulatory enforcement by leveraging technology to combat financial fraud, insider trading, market manipulation, and misappropriation of private fund assets [2] - The commission will work on the introduction of new regulations for listed companies and collaborate on revising laws related to securities companies and investment funds [2] Group 5: Party Discipline and Governance - The CSRC is committed to strengthening party discipline and governance within its system, ensuring adherence to the centralized leadership of the Party and enhancing oversight of public power in key areas [3]

平安证券指出，证券行业近期市场景气度改善、交投活跃度维持高位，板块从估值到业绩均具备β属 性，全面受益。长期看资本市场新一轮改革周期开启，券商仍有较大发展增量空间。非银金融方面，居 民储蓄需求仍旺，2025年以来资本市场表现回暖、险企资产端具备弹性，保险股β属性显著、分红水平 稳健，具备长期配置价值。 证券ETF（512880）跟踪的是证券公司指数（399975），该指数从沪深市场中选取业务与证券市场紧密 相关的上市公司证券作为指数样本，涵盖经纪、承销、自营等核心业务领域。该指数能够全面反映证券 行业上市公司的整体表现，具有显著的市场敏感度和典型的周期性特征。 风险提示：数据来源wind、截至2025.12.15，证券ETF规模为566.39亿，在同类21只产品中排名第一。 提及个股仅用于行业事件分析，不构成任何个股推荐或投资建议。指数等短期涨跌仅供参考，不代表其 未来表现，亦不构成对基金业绩的承诺或保证。观点可能随市场环境变化而调整，不构成投资建议或承 诺。提及基金风险收益特征各不相同，敬请投资者仔细阅读基金法律文件，充分了解产品要素、风险等 级及收益分配原则，选择与自身风险承受能力匹配的产品，谨慎投资。 ...

ag 合我们资源· >> 就您的梦想 申万宏源政企与机构客户服务品牌 = 二盘口编题 周海晨，申万宏源证券执委会成员 12月12日，"央广财经年度对话2025（第三届）"在北京梅地亚中心盛大启幕， 会议以"启航'十五五'，澎湃新动能"为主题。在会上，申万宏源证券执委会委员，申 万宏源研究党委书记、董事长周海晨围绕"十五五"资本市场的新机遇进行主旨演讲。 周海晨指出，"十五五"时期资本市场有五大重点改革领域，包括积极发展股权、 债券等直接融资，培育更多体现高质量发展要求的上市公司，营造"长钱长投"的制度 环境，稳步扩大资本市场高水平制度型开放，营造规范、包容、有活力的资本市场生 态等。 "十五五"时期关注资本市场五大改革领域 "十五五"规划建议提出，提高资本市场制度包容性、适应性，健全投资和融资 相协调的资本市场功能。中央经济工作会议也再次强调，要持续深化资本市场投融 资综合改革。"如何真正实现资本市场全方位发展，让资本市场稳定运行，有五大重 点任务。"周海晨指出。 一要积极发展股权、债券等直接融资。以深化科创板、创业板改革为抓手，积极 发展多元股权融资，提升对实体企业的全链条、全生命周期服务能力。进一步健全 ...

ab Global Research 12 December 2025 China Securities Sector Roadshow feedback: Broadly positive on leading high-quality brokerages' share performance in 2026 Reiterate allocation opportunities in securities sector Following the release of APAC Focus: How will the new round of capital market reforms boost sector ROE? , we recently organized roadshows in Beijing/Shenzhen/Hong Kong, and had discussions with over 60 institutional investors, covering insurer, mutual funds, offshore hedge funds and long only fund ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a recovery in sentiment following a significant meeting, with expectations for a potential year-end rally driven by structural market dynamics and capital market reforms [1][8]. Market Performance - A-share daily average trading volume increased to 19,530.44 billion yuan from the previous week, marking a rise of 2,568.66 billion yuan [4]. - The ChiNext Index and Shenzhen Component Index rose by 2.74% and 0.84%, respectively, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.34% during the same period [4]. - Key sectors such as aerospace equipment, communication devices, and electronic chemicals saw significant gains, with increases of 7.89%, 7.81%, and 6.99% respectively [4]. Fund Flows - Institutional and retail investors showed synchronized net inflows into the consumer sector, while there were divergent trends in other sectors [5][6]. - The financing balance increased to 2.48 trillion yuan, reflecting a rise of 196.21 billion yuan, indicating a relatively positive stance on leverage [5]. - Notably, the A500 ETFs attracted significant inflows, with top funds like Huatai-PB and Southern Fund seeing net inflows of 40.33 billion yuan and 37.64 billion yuan respectively [6]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict a potential year-end rally for A-shares, supported by improving liquidity and institutional fund flows [8][9]. - Key sectors expected to perform well in 2026 include AI, advantageous manufacturing, "anti-involution," and structural recovery in domestic demand, with projected net profit growth exceeding 30% [10]. - The macroeconomic environment is anticipated to remain supportive, with a combination of fiscal and monetary policies aimed at enhancing market liquidity [9][10].