证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·电力设备 电力设备行业跟踪周报 海外算力催化利好 AIDC，欧洲电动车再超 预期 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2025 年 06 月 08 日 证券分析师 曾朵红 执业证书：S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 阮巧燕 执业证书：S0600517120002 021-60199793 ruanqy@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 许钧赫 执业证书：S0600123070121 xujunhe@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -14% -10% -6% -2% 2% 6% 10% 14% 18% 22% 26% 2024-6-11 2024-10-9 2025-2-6 2025-6-6 电力设备 沪深300 相关研究 《马斯克回归 Optimus 量产在即，汽 车反"内卷式"竞争》 2025-06-02 《关税缓和需求小幅向上，固态新技 术如火如荼》 2025-06-02 东吴证券研究所 1 / 43 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 电气设备 6714 上 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant role of China in the global rare earth market, with a projected production share of 69.23% in 2024, indicating strong market influence and potential for growth in demand due to advancements in sectors like electric vehicles and wind power [1]. Group 1: Rare Earth and Metal Production - The rare earth sector saw a notable increase of 3.52%, attracting market attention [1]. - According to USGS, China's rare earth production is expected to dominate the global market, reinforcing its strategic importance [1]. - Citic Securities anticipates sustained growth in demand for rare earth permanent magnet materials, benefiting the sector amid strict national resource controls, which may stabilize prices and enhance profitability for companies in this space [1]. Group 2: Other Metals and China's Position - China also leads in the production of tungsten, vanadium, cobalt, and antimony, with production shares exceeding 50%, particularly tungsten at 82.72%, showcasing significant industry chain advantages [1]. - In basic metals, China is the largest producer of electrolytic aluminum, with a projected 2024 production share of 59.72%, and also holds over 30% shares in lead and zinc production [1]. - However, China faces challenges in copper production, with a 2024 output of 1.8 million tons, accounting for only 7.83% of global production, due to issues like small scale, low grade, and high extraction costs [1].

Industry Overview - The domestic mixed rare earth carbonate ore price increased by 4.17% week-on-week, while the imported monazite ore price rose by 2.68% [1] - Domestic and imported medium and heavy rare earth ore prices increased by 0.82% and 1.08% respectively [1] - Prices of praseodymium and neodymium oxide and metal increased by 2.33% and 2.09% respectively [1] - China holds a near-monopoly in the rare earth refining sector, controlling over 90% of global refined rare earth supply [1][2] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Some magnetic material companies have obtained export licenses, and a 90-day easing period between China and the US has raised expectations for overseas restocking demand, driving domestic prices upward [1] - The demand for rare earths in the downstream sectors, particularly in new energy vehicles, is experiencing rapid growth, with expectations for wind power installations to be released and a narrowing decline in elevator production [1] - The robot industry is rapidly becoming a significant application area for high-performance neodymium-iron-boron permanent magnet materials, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 150% for new demand by 2027 [2] Company Insights - Key companies in the rare earth sector include Northern Rare Earth, Jinhui Permanent Magnet, and major domestic players such as Guangxi Rare Earth and China Rare Earth [3]

Group 1: New Energy Vehicle Sector - The China Securities New Energy Vehicle Industry Index (930997) decreased by 1.64% as of May 30, 2025, with major stocks like Mengguli (301487) dropping 7.04% and BYD (002594) down 2.56% [1] - The New Energy Vehicle ETF (515700) also fell by 1.67%, with a recent price of 1.59 yuan, but showed a 3.19% increase over the past month [1] - The ETF experienced a significant increase in scale, growing by 16.24 million yuan over the past month, ranking in the top half among comparable funds [1] Group 2: Automotive Parts Sector - The China Securities Automotive Parts Theme Index (931230) declined by 1.56% as of May 30, 2025, with Hai Lian Jin Hui (002537) leading gains at 10.04% while Dongfeng Technology (600081) fell by 7.47% [4] - The Automotive Parts ETF (159306) decreased by 1.94%, with a latest price of 1.11 yuan, but had a 0.62% increase over the past week [4] - The ETF's scale increased by 6.19 million yuan over the past three months, ranking in the top half among comparable funds [5] Group 3: Photovoltaic Sector - The China Securities Photovoltaic Industry Index (931151) fell by 1.22% as of May 30, 2025, with Nanwang Energy (003035) rising by 9.98% while Tongwei Co. (600438) dropped by 3.00% [5] - The Photovoltaic ETF (516180) decreased by 1.31%, with a recent price of 0.53 yuan, but showed a 1.33% increase over the past month [5] Group 4: New Materials Sector - The China Securities New Materials Theme Index (H30597) declined by 1.09% as of May 30, 2025, with Guangwei Composite (300699) gaining 2.46% while Tongwei Co. (600438) fell by 3.06% [8] - The New Materials ETF Index Fund (516890) decreased by 0.61%, with a recent price of 0.49 yuan, but had a 1.24% increase over the past month [8] Group 5: Market Trends and Insights - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission emphasized the need for breakthroughs in key technologies to support the development of national automotive brands [10] - The new energy sector is experiencing significant internal differentiation, with specific areas like humanoid robots and solid-state batteries expected to drive demand for core components [11] - The photovoltaic industry faces challenges with oversupply and profitability pressures, with future opportunities lying in overseas production and new technologies [11]

Core Viewpoint - The ninth BRICS Industrial Ministers' Meeting was held in Brasilia, focusing on topics such as digital transformation, smart manufacturing, and artificial intelligence, with an emphasis on cooperation among BRICS nations [1] Group 1: Emerging Field Cooperation - There is a commitment to strengthen cooperation in emerging fields, particularly in artificial intelligence, smart manufacturing, and biomedicine, to create a vibrant partnership [1] Group 2: Sustainable Development - The meeting encourages collaboration in sustainable development sectors, including new energy vehicles, photovoltaics, wind power, and hydrogen energy, aiming to jointly develop green technologies and high-quality products [1] Group 3: Industrial Capability Foundation - The BRICS nations aim to solidify their industrial capabilities by sharing experiences, promoting technology, coordinating standards, and training talent, thereby building a more resilient partnership [1] Group 4: Supply Chain Stability - There is a focus on maintaining the stability of industrial and supply chains, promoting a mutually beneficial industrial ecosystem, and fostering an open and united partnership [1]

道生天合以环氧树脂等化工产品为主，下游主要应用于风电和新能源车等领域。当前，风电叶片用环氧 树脂产品收入占到了公司收入的70%左右。叠加其他收入，来自风电的收入基本占到了公司营收的80% 左右。 报告期内（2022年～2024年），公司客户集中度较高，主要系公司核心产品的主要客户为风电叶片制造 企业或风电整机厂商，下游客户规模较大且集中度较高。 上交所最新消息显示，道生天合对IPO第二轮审核问询函进行回复。这轮问询中，上交所的关注重点在 客户和供应商集中度、固定资产和在建工程以及经营业绩波动三个方面。 同时，道生天合前五大供应商的集中度也较高，公司称，系公司主要产品的原材料成本在产品成本中占 比较高，集中采购可以增强发行人议价能力，获取更加优惠的商业条件，保证供应稳定性。 道生天合称，公司客户群体已经覆盖了国内主要的风电叶片制造企业，下游主要客户具有较高的市场占 有率，且从公司处采购额占同类产品采购额较高，报告期内采购额较为稳定，公司与主要客户的交易具 有稳定性和可持续性。 据悉，道生天合主板IPO于2023年6月20日获得受理，当年7月17日进入问询阶段。 报告期内，公司对各期营业收入前五大客户的销售收入合 ...

Core Viewpoint - The financial report of Rihua Co. for 2024 shows a slight increase in revenue but a significant growth in net profit, while the net cash flow from operating activities has drastically decreased, indicating potential challenges in financial health and operational strategy [1][2][3]. Revenue and Market Position - In 2024, Rihua Co. achieved operating revenue of 4,695,947,539.30 yuan, a 0.87% increase from 4,655,640,798.77 yuan in 2023, reflecting stable market share despite minimal growth [1]. - Quarterly revenue showed a consistent upward trend, with figures of 697,687,177.34 yuan, 1,090,295,431.24 yuan, 1,396,809,422.85 yuan, and 1,511,155,507.87 yuan, indicating gradual business expansion throughout the year [1]. Profitability and Cost Management - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 623,809,070.27 yuan, a 29.55% increase from 481,507,348.76 yuan in 2023, primarily due to effective cost control and internal management [2]. - Despite low bidding prices in the wind turbine sector, the company managed to optimize costs through stringent expense management and improvements in procurement and technology [2]. Non-Recurring Profit Concerns - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 333,258,314.06 yuan, down 21.57% from 424,927,667.31 yuan in 2023, indicating potential challenges in core business profitability [3]. - The decline in non-recurring profit raises concerns about the sustainability of overall profit growth, necessitating further observation [3]. Earnings Per Share Analysis - Basic earnings per share increased to 0.61 yuan, up 29.79% from 0.47 yuan in 2023, aligning with the net profit growth trend [4]. - Conversely, the diluted earnings per share fell to 0.33 yuan, down 19.51% from 0.41 yuan in 2023, highlighting the impact of declining non-recurring profit on overall earnings [4]. Expense Management - Sales expenses significantly decreased by 59.18% to 16,255,033.77 yuan from 39,824,697.16 yuan in 2023, attributed to a new system that reclassified packaging costs [5]. - Management expenses rose by 6.82% to 188,298,893.08 yuan, driven by increased asset depreciation and amortization [5]. - Financial expenses decreased by 44.47% to -57,596,479.28 yuan, influenced by reduced foreign exchange gains and interest income [5]. - Research and development expenses fell by 12.09% to 227,436,636.07 yuan, reflecting changes in resource allocation, although the company continues to prioritize R&D with significant patent achievements [5]. Cash Flow Analysis - The net cash flow from operating activities plummeted to -158,231,624.33 yuan, a 125.67% decrease from 616,388,386.85 yuan in 2023, primarily due to reduced government subsidies and increased inventory [7]. - Cash flow from investing activities improved significantly to 824,217,577.85 yuan from -598,602,579.50 yuan in 2023, indicating a strategic adjustment in investment management [7]. - Cash flow from financing activities decreased by 18.69% to 357,688,613.48 yuan, reflecting a reduction in long-term borrowing activities [7]. Research and Development Workforce - The company has a stable R&D workforce of 308 individuals, accounting for 6.48% of total employees, providing a solid foundation for technological innovation [6]. - The educational background and age distribution of R&D personnel indicate a diverse and capable team, essential for ongoing product development [6]. Conclusion - Rihua Co.'s 2024 financial report highlights a complex scenario of profit growth amidst declining cash flow, necessitating careful monitoring of financial health and operational strategies for potential investment opportunities [8].

Group 1: Company Overview and Financial Performance - The company achieved a wind tower production of approximately 446,900 tons and sales of about 435,100 tons in 2024, with revenue from wind equipment manufacturing reaching 2.631 billion CNY, accounting for 80.38% of total revenue [2] - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company has a backlog of wind product orders totaling 480,900 tons, indicating an increase in order volume and pricing for 2025 [3] Group 2: Capacity Expansion and Production Plans - The second phase of the Jiangsu Yancheng factory's offshore base upgrade and expansion is expected to be completed in 2025, adding an annual capacity of 80,000 tons, focusing on large monopiles, tower tubes, and other offshore products [4] - The company is optimizing its capacity layout by shutting down the Dalian factory to enhance asset efficiency [4] Group 3: Financial Instruments and Credit Ratings - The next period for triggering the downward adjustment of the convertible bond conversion price will restart from August 18, 2025, with the board considering market conditions and operational factors for any potential adjustments [4] - The company's credit rating is AA- with a stable outlook, as confirmed by a report from a credit rating agency [4] Group 4: Renewable Energy Generation Capacity - The company currently holds a total renewable energy generation capacity of approximately 681.3 MW, including 118 MW from grid-connected photovoltaic power stations and 563.3 MW from wind power plants [5] - In 2024, the average utilization hours for power generation were 2,413 hours, resulting in an on-grid electricity output of 1.603 billion kWh and revenue of approximately 600.288 million CNY [5]

Group 1: Business Performance and Strategy - The intelligent control business remains a key revenue source despite a decline in its revenue share in 2024 [3] - The company achieved a revenue of 478 million CNY in the renewable energy sector in 2024, accounting for 61.4% of total revenue [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders in 2024 was 17.3751 million CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 280.17% [4] Group 2: Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 3 CNY per 10 shares, which corresponds to a payout ratio of 177.48% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 [5] - The dividend distribution decision considers financial status, shareholder interests, and market conditions, ensuring no adverse impact on future business expansion and R&D funding [5] Group 3: Future Development Plans - The company aims to enhance product competitiveness and expand into new energy, electrification, and intelligent sectors while exploring overseas markets [6] - There is a focus on developing components for robotics and expanding the application of intelligent control products across various industries [7] - The renewable energy business is expected to sustain its growth due to energy transition demands, policy support, and technological advancements [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price expected to yield over 20% relative return within six months [5][17]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 14.563 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.90% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 6.47% to 2.793 billion yuan [3][4]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of no less than 10% of the net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders for the first half of 2025 [1]. - The company has made significant progress in project planning, which lays a foundation for sustainable development, including the approval of multiple power generation projects [2]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company's revenue was 145.63 billion yuan, with a decline in thermal power revenue by 4.45% to 77.55 billion yuan, while wind power revenue increased by 10.33% to 37.92 billion yuan [3]. - The gross profit margin improved to 26.6%, up 2.7 percentage points year-on-year, driven by increased wind power utilization hours [3]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 30.97 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.31%, and a net profit of 7.52 billion yuan, reflecting a significant growth of 42.83% [4]. Future Earnings Forecast - The company has adjusted its earnings forecast for 2025-2026, now expecting net profits of 3 billion yuan and 3.2 billion yuan respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 3.7 billion yuan [4]. - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for 2025-2027 are 9, 8, and 7 times respectively [4]. Key Financial Metrics - The company’s total installed capacity reached 6.096 million kilowatts by the end of 2024 [2]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 1.00 yuan, with a growth rate of 6.54% expected for 2025 [4][12]. - The company’s asset-liability ratio stands at 37.78% [6]. Market Position - The company operates in the public utility and power generation sector, with a focus on sustainable energy projects [5]. - The current market capitalization is approximately 26.97 billion yuan [6].