纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场交投最活跃的2025年6月黄金期价12日上涨12.7美元，收于每盎司3254.5美 元，涨幅为0.39%。 美国劳工部在当日早间发布的数据显示，美国4月份消费者价格指数环比上涨0.2%，低于市场预期的 0.3%，而3月份为环比下降0.1%；该指数4月份同比上涨2.3%，而市场预期和3月份数值均为2.4%。 受此数据影响，美元指数自前一日的大涨中回落修正，这也给金价企稳提供了助力。衡量美元对六种主 要货币的美元指数13日下跌0.77%，在汇市尾市收于101.002。 当天7月交割的白银期货价格上涨29.5美分，收于每盎司33.09美元，涨幅为0.90%。 资讯编辑：王芳琴 021-66896877 资讯监督：乐卫扬 021-26093827 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 当日公布的美国4月CPI数据意外低于预期，增强了市场对美联储尽早重启降息的押注，这也使得金价 从近期的抛售中获得喘息。 与此同时，市场分析机构表示，尽管全球贸易局势缓和削弱了黄金的避险需求，但对经济增长前景、美 国债务问题的关注，仍支撑对黄金的长期避险买盘。而央行购金、ETF资金流入增加，以及全球主要经 ...

巴克莱银行：建议做多美元兑新台币，避险需求以及出口商卖压褪色。 ...

Macro Perspective - On May 12, global financial markets experienced significant turbulence, with gold prices plummeting to a low of $3207.63 per ounce, marking a 3.5% drop in COMEX gold futures, the worst single-day performance in 2025 [1] - The sell-off was triggered by a 90-day "truce agreement" between China and the U.S., leading to a substantial reduction in tariffs and a sharp decline in market risk aversion, resulting in a shift of funds towards risk assets and a notable rise in U.S. stock indices [1] - Despite the positive market reaction, uncertainties remain, particularly regarding the upcoming CPI data, which could impact gold's inflation-hedging properties if it exceeds expectations [1] - Geopolitical risks, including nuclear deterrence between India and Pakistan and ongoing Russia-Ukraine negotiations, could reignite risk aversion in the market [1] Dollar Index - The dollar index showed an upward trend on Monday, reaching a high of 101.955 and closing at 101.777 after fluctuating throughout the day [2] - The analysis indicates that the dollar index is likely to face resistance around the 102.90 area in the medium term, while key support is identified at the 100 level [2] - Short-term traders are advised to monitor the 101.30 support level, with potential upward movement expected if this level holds [2] Gold Market - Gold prices experienced a significant decline on Monday, with a high of $3292.03 and a low of $3207.63, ultimately closing at $3234.64 [4] - The market opened with a gap down and continued to show weakness, although caution is advised against short positions until the price breaks below the recent low of $3200 [5] - The monthly trend indicates a correction after four months of gains, with support at the $3100 level, suggesting a potential for a medium-term bullish outlook [5] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair saw a downward trend on Monday, with prices ranging from a low of 1.1242 to a high of 1.1064, closing at 1.1085 [7] - Long-term bullish sentiment is supported by a monthly support level at 1.0800, while short-term traders should focus on resistance around 1.1180-1.1190 [7] - The market is currently under pressure, and a break above 1.1290 is necessary for a bullish reversal; otherwise, a bearish outlook is maintained [7]

商报讯(记者苗露)昨日，多个"金价下跌"相关话题冲上微博热搜，更有网友在社交媒体平台晒出自己算 的账，发现一夜之间金饰价格竟然跌了14元。事实上，在5月9日小幅技术修正之后，黄金价格昨日在亚 洲交易时段再度"跳水"。不仅国际现货金价早盘一度大跌超60美元、刷新近一周低点，沪金主力合约在 开盘后也直线"跳水"超2%，触及近一个月低点的767.50元/克。 午后，黄金价格继续下行，截至昨日18时23分，COMEX黄金报3220.4美元/盎司，日内跌幅达3.7%。业 内人士表示，在市场避险需求减弱、美联储重启降息仍无明确信号的背景下，金价短期延续调整的概率 较大。不过，"回调买入"的长期策略仍受青睐。 黄金价格"跳水" 昨日午后，国际金价出现大幅下跌。 昨日15时48分，COMEX黄金跌破3230美元/盎司，后续持续震荡调整。截至18时23分，COMEX黄金报 3220.4美元/盎司，日内跌幅达3.7%；伦敦现货黄金盘内一度跌破3220美元/盎司，最低触及3216.845美 元/盎司，跌幅超3%，创5月来新低。 中长期金价仍有支撑 站在当前节点，黄金走势牵动着无数投资者和黄金消费者的心，对于黄金后期走势，有行业人士 ...

避险需求消退 ！黄金多头彻底溃败？分析师警告：别被短期波动骗了......点击阅读。 相关链接 期货热点追踪 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the unprecedented volatility in the gold market in 2025, driven by the end of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike cycle and the impact of the Trump administration's tariff policies, highlighting a significant divergence between price corrections and surging demand for gold as a strategic asset [1][3] Group 1: Geopolitical Factors and Compliance - Geopolitical tensions, including the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and U.S. tariffs, have increased the correlation between the geopolitical risk index (GRID) and gold prices to 0.68, driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3] - The compliance credentials of Kingstone Precious Metals, a core member of the Hong Kong Gold Exchange, provide investors with confidence, as each transaction generates a unique "transaction code" for real-time verification [3] Group 2: Security and Efficiency in Transactions - Kingstone Precious Metals has established a bank-grade protective network to address investor concerns about fund security, featuring instant deposits and withdrawals within 2 hours, significantly faster than traditional platforms [4] - The platform employs MT4/MT5 dual systems and SSL encryption, ensuring order execution speed of ≤0.02 seconds and robust protection against DDoS attacks [4] Group 3: Cost Control and Accessibility - Kingstone Precious Metals offers competitive trading costs, with spreads for London gold/silver below industry averages and zero commission throughout the trading process, making it accessible for small investors [4] - The platform allows trading from 0.05 lots, catering to long-term investors using dollar-cost averaging strategies [4] Group 4: Industry Trends and Social Responsibility - Kingstone Precious Metals is actively involved in setting industry standards and applying blockchain technology for gold traceability, while also engaging in social responsibility initiatives such as poverty alleviation and educational support [5] - The company emphasizes a philosophy of coexisting commercial and social value, earning recognition as a highly trusted platform for investors [5]

实时黄金行情分析 避险需求急速下降！黄金空头短线发力，后市如何布局？顺姐正在实时分析，点击观看 相关链接 ...

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices experienced a significant drop, with international spot gold falling over $60 and reaching a near one-week low, while the Shanghai gold futures contract also dropped over 2% to a nearly one-month low of 767.50 yuan per gram [2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The recent decline in gold prices is attributed to a decrease in market demand for safe-haven assets, as geopolitical tensions and trade issues show signs of easing [3][4] - The geopolitical situation in South Asia has calmed following a ceasefire between India and Pakistan, while negotiations between Russia and Ukraine are being proposed, contributing to reduced market anxiety [3] - Trade tensions have also lessened, with recent agreements between the US and UK and high-level talks between China and the US signaling a potential easing of trade conflicts [3] Group 2: Federal Reserve Influence - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy is becoming increasingly influential on the precious metals market, with the likelihood of a rate cut in June dropping below 20% after the Fed maintained its interest rate [6] - The Fed's recent statements indicate a cautious approach to rate cuts, which may lead to a stabilization of the US dollar index, potentially exerting further pressure on gold prices [6] Group 3: Long-term Outlook - Despite short-term adjustments, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive due to ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and central banks' continued gold purchases [7] - Analysts suggest that any short-term price adjustments present buying opportunities, as the long-term demand for gold as a safe haven is expected to persist amid economic uncertainties [7]

中国商报（记者 王彤旭）国家外汇管理局近日发布的数据显示，截至2025年4月末，我国外汇储备规模 为32817亿美元，较3月末上升410亿美元，升幅为1.27%。 国家外汇管理局表示，2025年4月，受主要经济体宏观政策、经济增长预期等因素影响，美元指数下 跌，全球金融资产价格涨跌互现。受汇率折算和资产价格变化等因素综合作用，当月外汇储备规模上 升。我国经济呈现向好态势，经济发展韧性强、活力足，有利于外汇储备规模保持基本稳定。 东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青对此分析，4月外储规模较大幅度上升，主要受当月美元指数大幅下跌带 动。可以看到，4月，美国在全球范围内推出"对等关税"，美国衰退预期升温，资金流向非美市场，导 致当月美元指数下跌约4.4%。而美元下跌会导致我国外储中非美元资产价格上涨。 对于后期外汇储备变动，民生银行首席经济学家温彬分析，当前，国际经贸形势复杂严峻，我国积极承 担大国责任、维护多边主义，加强与周边国家、欧盟等地区的沟通合作，短期内有助于减缓对美国出口 下滑的风险。从长期来看，我国全产业链优势无可替代、商品国际竞争力强，出口将持续发挥稳定跨境 资金流动的基本盘作用。 同时，央行公布的数据显示，我 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in long positions for the Japanese yen indicates a significant shift in market sentiment and economic dynamics, with the yen now favored as a safe-haven asset amidst rising uncertainty and concerns over the US dollar's status [1][3][12]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The net long positions for the yen reached a historical high of 179,000 contracts in April 2025, an increase of 58,000 contracts from the previous month [1]. - The yen has appreciated over 3% against the US dollar since April, reflecting a growing demand for safe-haven assets due to large-scale asset sell-offs in the US [3]. - Over 55% of surveyed investors expressed concerns about the dollar's status as a safe-haven currency, a significant increase from about one-third in April [3]. Group 2: Monetary Policy Implications - Expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are anticipated to weaken the dollar's appeal, prompting a shift of funds towards yen assets [4]. - Concerns regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve could further diminish the dollar's safe-haven status, leading to increased allocations in yen [4]. Group 3: Domestic Economic Factors - Signs of economic recovery in Japan, with major stock indices rising over 20% since April, have bolstered investor confidence in Japanese assets [6]. - Market speculation about potential adjustments in the Bank of Japan's monetary policy is driving early investments in yen assets [6]. Group 4: Institutional Expectations - Major investment firms like Mizuho Securities and Nomura have revised their year-end forecasts for the USD/JPY exchange rate down to 133 and 137.50, respectively, reflecting a positive outlook on the yen [7]. - Warren Buffett's long-term commitment to Japanese investments, indicating a holding period of 50-60 years, enhances market confidence in yen assets [7]. Group 5: Bond Market Dynamics - Despite the bullish sentiment in the forex market, Japan's long-term bond yields have risen, with the 40-year bond yield reaching a record 3.35% [9]. - The yield on short-term bonds remains low, with the 1-year Japanese government bond yield at 0.554%, contrasting sharply with the US equivalent at 4.067% [9]. Group 6: Global Market Impact - The increase in yen long positions is expected to significantly alter global forex market dynamics, potentially leading to a stronger yen and pressure on other currencies [10]. - The appreciation of the yen could lower Japan's import costs, alleviating inflationary pressures, but may also challenge the competitiveness of Japanese exports [11]. Group 7: Investor Considerations - The rise in yen long positions presents both opportunities and challenges for investors, with potential gains from yen-denominated assets but also the need to navigate market uncertainties [12]. - Investors are advised to closely monitor economic conditions and policy changes in Japan and globally to adjust their portfolios accordingly [12]. Group 8: Future Outlook - The future trajectory of the yen remains uncertain, influenced by global economic conditions, geopolitical risks, and policy adjustments in major economies [13]. - Long-term yen stability will depend on Japan's ability to implement structural reforms and manage inflation effectively [13].