欧元兑美元涨0.52%，英镑兑美元涨0.54%，美元兑瑞郎跌0.07%。 周二（5月6日）纽约尾盘，美元兑日元跌0.89%，报142.41日元，逼近北京时间21:51（美股盘初）刷新 的日低142.36日元，全天持续震荡下行。 欧元兑日元跌0.39%，报161.96日元；英镑兑日元跌0.35%，报190.377日元。 商品货币对中，澳元兑美元涨0.40%，纽元兑美元涨0.64%，美元兑加元跌0.36%——交易员看涨加元的 情绪创2009年以来新高。 ...

瑞士央行行长：我们的使命是在瑞士实现价格稳定，我们必须确保这一目标，因此我们采用利率和汇率 工具；我们已表示准备在必要时干预外汇市场。 ...

台湾地区货币政策主管机构：对于那些试图在外汇市场进行投机的人，我们已经发出警告。 ...

台湾地区货币政策主管机构：我们对外汇市场的干预程度比平时要小。 ...

香港恒生指数 78% 22% 标普500指数 37% 63% 纳斯达克指数 79% 21% 道琼斯指数 64% 36% 日经225指数 50% 50% 德国DAX40指 22% 78% 数 外汇 r 多头 空头 欧元/美元 60% 40% 欧元/英镑 67% 33% 欧元/日元 15% 85% 欧元/澳元 54% 46% 英镑/美元 24% 76% 英镑/日元 43% 57% 美元/日元 56% 44% 美元/加元 32% 68% 美元/瑞郎 96% 4% 澳元/美元 55% 45% 澳元/日元 42% 58% 加元/日元 38% 62% 纽元/美元 50% 50% 纽元/日元 63% 37% 美元/离岸人 13% 87% 民币 免责声明:本图表数据来源于公众号:嘉盛集团,数据仅供参考,不作为任何投资建议。 欧佩克+再次增产重挫油价，未来大方向似乎除了走低再无其他可能。周一美元全线走低，亚币大涨，美元/离岸人民币逼近卖 出信号，后市情绪如何？欢迎前往"数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表"查看并订阅（数据每10分钟更新1次） ...

新加坡银行指出，在贸易谈判乐观预期的推动下，台湾出口商抛售美元以及寿险公司外汇对冲操作的力 度进一步加大，从而推动新台币兑美元强劲升值；"台湾央行"在外汇市场的干预力度减弱，可能也是新 台币上涨的原因之一。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The offshore RMB exchange rate experienced a significant increase during the "May Day" holiday, with the USD/CNH rate dropping from 7.27 to around 7.21, indicating a daily increase of over 600 basis points [1][2]. Group 1: Factors Influencing RMB Appreciation - Reports of major U.S. retailers like Walmart resuming shipments from Chinese suppliers have improved expectations for China's foreign trade environment, leading to increased confidence among overseas investment funds regarding the RMB's valuation [1][3]. - The "buying on expectations" behavior in the forex market is gaining traction, as Wall Street institutions anticipate multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, prompting them to hedge against USD depreciation by buying RMB and other non-USD currencies [1][7]. - The lower trading activity in the offshore RMB market during the holiday period allowed for significant short-covering by overseas institutions, which amplified the RMB's appreciation [1][4]. Group 2: Changes in Market Sentiment - Overseas hedge funds have reduced their short positions in offshore RMB, reflecting a shift in sentiment towards a more optimistic outlook on China's foreign trade environment [3][4]. - The reduction in short positions is evident as many hedge funds no longer engage in borrowing RMB for short-selling, and the number of funds willing to buy RMB derivatives at higher execution prices has decreased significantly [4]. - The overall sentiment indicates that most overseas investment institutions do not foresee the RMB falling below the 7.4 level in the short term, with many funds having cut their short positions by at least half since mid-April [4][5]. Group 3: Anticipated Market Movements - The RMB exchange rate is expected to fluctuate between 7.2 and 7.3 in the near term, influenced by the correlation with the USD index, which has been hovering between 98 and 101 [2]. - As optimism grows regarding U.S.-China trade negotiations, the trend of short-covering in offshore RMB is likely to continue, potentially allowing the RMB to recover the 7.2 level [5]. - Market participants are preparing for potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, with expectations of 3 to 4 cuts this year, leading to increased buying of non-USD currencies as a risk management strategy [7][8].

欧元兑日元涨1.35%，报164.19日元；英镑兑日元涨1.29%，报193.132日元。 周四（5月1日）纽约尾盘，美元兑日元上涨1.65%，报145.42日元，日内至日本央行在北京时间11:00后 不久宣布利率决议声明那段时间，持续横盘震荡于143日元一线，随后持续震荡上行，02:27刷新日高至 145.73日元。 日本财务大臣加藤胜信称，没有和美国讨论控制外汇走势的目标、框架，与美国讨论了是否需要就外汇 问题进行建设性讨论。 ...

日本央行：需密切关注外汇及其他市场变动对日本经济和物价的影响。 ...

2025年4月30日银行间外汇市场人民币汇率中间价 美元/人民币报7.2014，下调（人民币升值）15点； 欧元/人民币报8.2250，下调120点； 港元/人民币报0.92813，下调4点； 英镑/人民币报9.6867，下调149点； 澳元/人民币报4.6177，下调290点； 加元/人民币报5.2298，上调1点； 100日元/人民币报5.0872，下调25点； 人民币/俄罗斯卢布报11.2833，下调679点； 新西兰元/人民币报4.2996，下调229点； 人民币/林吉特报0.59837，下调33.1点； 瑞士法郎/人民币报8.7640，下调231点； 新加坡元/人民币报5.5219，上调40点。 ...