Core Viewpoint - The Japanese yen has depreciated to a four-month low against the US dollar, raising concerns among Japanese financial officials about potential government intervention in the foreign exchange market to support the yen [1][3][4]. Group 1: Currency Exchange Rate - The USD/JPY exchange rate reached 150.89 yen per dollar, marking the lowest level since March 28, with the rate reported at 150.58 yen at the time of publication [3]. - Japanese Finance Minister Kato Katsunobu expressed concerns about the current exchange rate trends, emphasizing the importance of stable currency fluctuations that reflect economic fundamentals [4]. Group 2: Economic Impact and Predictions - Kato indicated that the US tariffs on Japan could impact the Japanese economy, and the government will continue to analyze the tariffs' effects on Japanese industries [5]. - Marito Ueda from SBI Liquidity Market Research warned that the yen could depreciate to 155 against the dollar, which could trigger intervention from Japanese authorities to support the yen [5]. Group 3: Factors Influencing Currency Movements - The yen's decline is closely linked to the recent strengthening of the US dollar, which has been bolstered by reduced concerns over trade wars and a slightly hawkish signal from the Federal Reserve [7]. - The US dollar index surpassed 100.10 for the first time since May 29, reflecting a strong dollar environment [7]. - The Bank of Japan's dovish stance, as indicated by Governor Ueda, suggests a tolerance for the current weakness of the yen, which has led to increased dollar buying [8][10].

Group 1: Precious Metals - Spot platinum (XPTUSD) is priced at 1297.550, down by 7.000 or 0.54% [2] - Spot palladium (XPDUSD) is priced at 1210.650, down by 1.600 or 0.13% [2] - Gold (COMEX) is priced at 3348.300, up by 20.400 or 0.61% [2] - Silver (COMEX) is priced at 36.365, down by 0.810 or 2.18% [2] Group 2: Foreign Exchange - Euro to US Dollar (EURUSD) is at 1.144, up by 0.34% [3] - British Pound to US Dollar (GBPUSD) is at 1.323, down by 0.06% [3] - US Dollar to Japanese Yen (USDJPY) is at 149.943, up by 0.28% [3] - Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUDUSD) is at 0.644, up by 0.10% [3] - US Dollar to Swiss Franc (USDCHF) is at 0.813, down by 0.21% [3] Group 3: Cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin is priced at 118505.020, up by 664.720 or 0.56% [4] - Litecoin is priced at 110.620, up by 0.120 or 0.11% [4] - Ethereum is priced at 3855.480, up by 45.480 or 1.19% [4] - Ripple is priced at 3.171, up by 0.075 or 2.41% [4] Group 4: Treasury Bonds - US 2-year Treasury yield is at 3.943, up by 0.006 or 0.15% [6] - US 5-year Treasury yield is at 3.957, down by 0.008 or 0.20% [7] - US 10-year Treasury yield is at 4.360, down by 0.017 or 0.39% [7] - US 30-year Treasury yield is at 4.888, down by 0.025 or 0.51% [7] - UK 10-year Treasury yield is at 4.607, down by 0.002 or 0.04% [7] - German 10-year Treasury yield is at 2.705, down by 0.001 or 0.04% [7] - French 10-year Treasury yield is at 3.364, up by 0.003 or 0.09% [7] - Italian 10-year Treasury yield is at 3.545, down by 0.007 or 0.20% [7] - Japanese 10-year Treasury yield is at 1.562, up by 0.008 or 0.51% [7]

来源：中国银行 美联储维持利率决议不变。美国二季度GDP环比增长3%，预期为2.6%。美国7月ADP就业人数为10.4万 人，预期为7.6万人。 上一交易日，美元指数收于99.82，上涨0.94%；欧元兑美元收于1.1405，下跌1.23%；英镑兑美元收于 1.3237，下跌0.85%；美元兑日元收于149.51，上涨0.71%；澳元兑美元收于0.6434，下跌1.17%；美元兑 墨西哥比索收于18.8780，上涨0.64%。 重要事件和数据 外汇市场主要变化 ...

Core Insights - The Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that the Japan-U.S. trade agreement represents a significant advancement that requires attention to the impact of trade policies on financial markets, foreign exchange markets, the Japanese economy, and prices [1] Group 1 - The Japan-U.S. trade agreement is viewed as a major progress by the Bank of Japan [1] - There is a need to monitor the effects of trade policies on various economic aspects, including financial markets and the economy [1] - The implications of the trade agreement on price levels in Japan are also highlighted [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Governor of the Bank of Japan, Kazuo Ueda, emphasizes the necessity to monitor the impact of trade policies on the financial and foreign exchange markets, as well as on the Japanese economy and prices [1] Group 1 - The focus on trade policy's influence indicates a proactive approach to managing economic stability in Japan [1] - The statement suggests potential implications for monetary policy adjustments in response to trade dynamics [1] - The emphasis on financial and foreign exchange markets highlights the interconnectedness of global trade and domestic economic conditions [1]

Group 1: Precious Metals - Spot platinum (XPTUSD) is priced at 1396.740, showing an increase of 6.190 or 0.45% [2] - Spot palladium (XPDUSD) is priced at 1237.870, with a rise of 8.540 or 0.69% [2] - Gold (COMEX) is trading at 3318.300, up by 4.300 or 0.13% [2] - Silver (COMEX) is at 38.305, down by 0.025 or 0.07% [2] Group 2: Foreign Exchange - Euro to USD (EURUSD) is at 1.153, decreasing by 0.50% [3] - GBP to USD (GBPUSD) is at 1.332, down by 0.25% [3] - USD to JPY (USDJPY) is at 148.625, increasing by 0.06% [3] - AUD to USD (AUDUSD) is at 0.651, down by 0.23% [3] - USD to CHF (USDCHF) is at 0.807, up by 0.46% [3] Group 3: Cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin is priced at 118840.010, increasing by 777.690 or 0.66% [4] - Litecoin is at 110.010, up by 0.990 or 0.91% [4] - Ethereum is trading at 3853.510, with an increase of 54.510 or 1.43% [4] - Ripple (XRP) is priced at 3.160, up by 0.036 or 1.17% [4] Group 4: Treasury Bonds - The yield on the 2-year US Treasury bond is at 3.906 [6] - The yield on the 5-year US Treasury bond is at 3.953, down by 0.029 or 0.73% [7] - The yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond is at 4.380, decreasing by 0.062 or 1.40% [7] - The yield on the 30-year US Treasury bond is at 4.926, down by 0.039 or 0.79% [7] - The yield on the 10-year UK Treasury bond is at 4.643, down by 0.009 or 0.19% [7] - The yield on the 10-year German Treasury bond is at 2.701, increasing by 0.012 or 0.45% [7] - The yield on the 10-year French Treasury bond is at 3.355, up by 0.005 or 0.15% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Italian Treasury bond remains unchanged at 3.535 [7] - The yield on the 10-year Japanese Treasury bond is at 1.554, down by 0.006 or 0.38% [7]

Group 1 - The Asia-Pacific stock markets experienced varying degrees of decline, with A-shares fluctuating between gains and losses, indicating a cautious atmosphere [1] - The recent decline is not due to panic but rather a rational warning from a savvy segment of investors who sense the risk of an overheated market, although the majority still believe the Chinese market is not overheated [1] - The foreign exchange market provided signals, with the US dollar index surging by 1%, equivalent to a 2%-3% increase in the stock market, indicating that risks are just beginning to emerge [1] Group 2 - The rise of the US dollar was largely driven by the sharp decline of the euro, which fell due to market distrust regarding the US-EU trade agreement, suggesting potential changes in the agreement should be monitored [1] - The initial relief regarding a 15% tax on Europe has turned pessimistic, as French and German leaders expressed concerns that this outcome would hinder economic growth, negatively impacting European stock markets and bond yields [1] - Investors are also focused on the US-China economic talks, which lasted over five hours in Stockholm, with significant market volatility expected around the announcement of the outcomes [1]

2025年7月28日银行间外汇市场人民币汇率中间价 美元/人民币报7.1467，上调（人民币贬值）48点； 欧元/人民币报8.4099，上调98点； 港元/人民币报0.91051，上调6.8点； 英镑/人民币报9.6161，下调404点； 澳元/人民币报4.7034，下调124点； 加元/人民币报5.2230，下调177点； 100日元/人民币报4.8401，下调220点； 人民币/俄罗斯卢布报11.0812，下调383点； 新西兰元/人民币报4.3103，下调74点； 人民币/林吉特报0.5901，上调4点； 瑞士法郎/人民币报8.9945，上调39点； 新加坡元/人民币报5.5850，下调99点。 ...

Core Points - The central exchange rate of the RMB against various currencies shows a mixed trend, with the USD/RMB rate increasing, indicating a depreciation of the RMB [1] Group 1: Exchange Rate Changes - The USD/RMB rate is reported at 7.1419, an increase of 34 points, indicating a depreciation of the RMB [1] - The EUR/RMB rate is reported at 8.4001, a decrease of 76 points [1] - The HKD/RMB rate is reported at 0.90983, an increase of 4.2 points [1] - The GBP/RMB rate is reported at 9.6565, a decrease of 438 points [1] - The AUD/RMB rate is reported at 4.7158, an increase of 6 points [1] - The CAD/RMB rate is reported at 5.2407, a decrease of 101 points [1] - The JPY/RMB rate is reported at 4.8621, a decrease of 210 points [1] - The RMB/RUB rate is reported at 11.1195, an increase of 1539 points [1] - The NZD/RMB rate is reported at 4.3177, a decrease of 27 points [1] - The RMB/MYR rate is reported at 0.5897, a decrease of 17.3 points [1] - The CHF/RMB rate is reported at 8.9906, a decrease of 277 points [1] - The SGD/RMB rate is reported at 5.5949, a decrease of 30 points [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential depreciation of the Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar due to economic concerns, highlighting a shift in market focus from Japan's fiscal issues to the economic outlook of the U.S. [1][4] Group 1: Japanese Yen and U.S. Dollar Dynamics - The recent Japanese Senate election results have led to predictions of significant yen depreciation and further dollar appreciation, yet the forex market remains calm [1][3] - There is a historical correlation between the interest rate differential between Japan and the U.S. and the yen's exchange rate, with a tendency for yen depreciation when the differential widens [3] - Despite the yen weakening to around 149 yen per dollar, market participants predict a stabilization around 140 yen per dollar by year-end, indicating a potential reversal in yen appreciation [3][4] Group 2: Economic Policies and Market Sentiment - Trump's economic policies, including tariffs and tax cuts, may increase domestic inflationary pressures and contribute to concerns about the U.S. economic outlook [4] - Investment funds are shifting from the yen and dollar towards the euro, with the euro seen as a safer option amid signs of recovery in the German economy [4][5] - The Japanese government's recent economic outlook indicates a deterioration for the first time in nearly five years, complicating governance as the ruling party loses majority control [5]