1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents the volatility data of various futures and ETF options, including at - the - money option implied volatility, 30 - day historical volatility, and the real - time volatility of the day. It also provides T - type quotation tables, volatility trading suggestions, and risk - free arbitrage information for different options on multiple exchanges such as the Shanghai Stock Exchange, Shenzhen Stock Exchange, etc. [3][19][30] 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Shanghai Stock Exchange Options 3.1.1 Shanghai 50ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options on July 4, 2025, was 1,330,270 lots, the open interest was 851,905 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.39, and the weighted average implied volatility was 13.07% [19][21]. - **Volatility Trading**: Suggestions are to sell the options of the month with the curve on top and buy those of the month with the curve below for different months; sell the options with points on the curve above and buy those with points below for the same month [24]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 6.83% at the settlement price and 0.29% at the counter - price [27][29]. 3.1.2 Huatai - Baoying CSI 300ETF - **Basic Information**: On July 4, 2025, the trading volume of the main options was 1,157,968 lots, the open interest was 780,224 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.52, and the weighted average implied volatility was 13.39% [30][32]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar to the Shanghai 50ETF, sell the options of the month with the curve on top and buy those of the month with the curve below for different months; sell the options with points on the curve above and buy those with points below for the same month [34][37]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 6.09% at the settlement price and none at the counter - price [39]. 3.1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF - **Basic Information**: On July 4, 2025, the trading volume of the main options was 1,286,809 lots, the open interest was 703,006 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.22, and the weighted average implied volatility was 15.55% [42][44]. - **Volatility Trading**: The same trading suggestions as above, sell high - curve and buy low - curve options [46][49]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 45.6% at the settlement price and 9.60% at the counter - price [51][53]. 3.1.4 Huaxia Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF - **Basic Information**: On July 4, 2025, the trading volume of the main options was 556,103 lots, the open interest was 765,477 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 2.01, and the weighted average implied volatility was 23.13% [54][56]. - **Volatility Trading**: Follow the rule of selling high - curve and buying low - curve options [58]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 8.54% at the settlement price and 0.66% at the counter - price [62][63]. 3.1.5 E Fund Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF - **Basic Information**: On July 4, 2025, the trading volume of the main options was 148,636 lots, the open interest was 212,964 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.95, and the weighted average implied volatility was 23.53% [64][66]. - **Volatility Trading**: Sell high - curve and buy low - curve options [70]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 10.5% at the settlement price and none at the counter - price [73][75]. 3.2 Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options 3.2.1 Harvest CSI 300ETF - **Basic Information**: On July 4, 2025, the trading volume of the main options was 134,700 lots, the open interest was 120,646 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.48, and the weighted average implied volatility was 14.06% [76][78]. - **Volatility Trading**: Adopt the strategy of selling high - curve and buying low - curve options [81][82]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 8.46% at the settlement price and 0.08% at the counter - price [86][89]. 3.2.2 E Fund ChiNext ETF - **Basic Information**: On July 4, 2025, the trading volume of the main options was 1,376,882 lots, the open interest was 913,527 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.55, and the weighted average implied volatility was 20.13% [90][92]. - **Volatility Trading**: Sell high - curve and buy low - curve options [94]. - **No relevant risk - free arbitrage content provided**.

Core Insights - Alphabet Inc (GOOGL) shares are currently trading at $178.44, down 0.7%, with a year-to-date deficit of 5.7% and facing resistance at the $180 level [1] - Historically, July has been a favorable month for GOOGL, averaging an 8.42% gain and finishing higher 90% of the time over the past decade [2] Stock Performance - GOOGL's recent performance shows a pullback influenced by the 50-day moving average, but there is potential for recovery towards February highs [1] - If GOOGL achieves its historical average gain for July, the stock could rise above $193 for the first time since early February [2] Options Market - The Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) for GOOGL is at 26%, ranking in the 13th percentile of its annual range, indicating low volatility expectations from options traders [4]

Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands Inc (NYSE:STZ) shares are experiencing a 2.2% increase to $168.52, recovering from premarket losses despite missing fiscal first-quarter earnings and revenue expectations due to lower demand for alcoholic beverages and increased costs from aluminum tariffs [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - STZ is on track for its fourth consecutive daily gain, although it has recently faced monthly and quarterly losses, with a decline of 22.9% in 2025 and a five-year low of $159.35 marked on June 20 [2] - The stock has rebounded from its lows, but the 20-day moving average may limit today's gains [2] Group 2: Analyst Ratings - Analysts from Evercore ISI and Bernstein have reaffirmed their "outperform" ratings on STZ, indicating continued confidence in the stock despite recent challenges [1] Group 3: Options Activity - Options traders are exhibiting a notably bullish sentiment, as evidenced by a 50-day call/put volume ratio of 2.57, which is higher than 96% of readings from the past year [3] - Today's options activity shows 12,000 calls and 11,000 puts traded, which is five times the intraday average volume, with the most active contract being the weekly 7/3 175-strike call [4]

Report Information - Report Name: Pioneer Futures Option Daily Report - Date: July 2, 2025 [1] Key Points 1. Option Volatility Ranking - A table shows the at - the - money option implied volatility, 30 - day historical volatility, and daily true range of various option targets, along with their rankings [3][5]. - The at - the - money option implied volatility reflects the market's expectation of future fluctuations of the variety; the 30 - day historical volatility reflects the past actual market size; and the daily true range reflects the intraday market size [6]. 2. Exchange - Specific Option Analysis 2.1 Shanghai Stock Exchange Options - **1.1上证50ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main 50ETF options today is 538,148 lots, the open interest is 822,039 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.2, and the weighted average implied volatility is 12.94% [19][21]. - **Volatility Trading**: Suggestions include selling the month with the curve on top and buying the month with the curve below for different months; selling options with points above the curve and buying options with points below the curve for the same month [23]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 5.01% at the settlement price and 0.27% at the counter - price [27][29]. - **1.2华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main 300ETF options today is 472,764 lots, the open interest is 746,004 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 0.98, and the weighted average implied volatility is 12.79% [30][32]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as for 50ETF [34]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 4.68% at the settlement price and 1.28% at the counter - price [38][41]. - **1.3南方中证500ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main 500ETF options today is 682,332 lots, the open interest is 674,035 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.21, and the weighted average implied volatility is 14.82% [42][44]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above [46]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 42.2% at the settlement price and 8.87% at the counter - price [50][52]. - **1.4华夏上证科创板50ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main科创50ETF options today is 291,817 lots, the open interest is 747,753 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.61, and the weighted average implied volatility is 22.64% [53][55]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above [57]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 6.47% at the settlement price, and there is no minimum annualized return at the counter - price [61][63]. - **1.5易方达上证科创板50ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main科创板50ETF options today is 59,988 lots, the open interest is 194,155 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.55, and the weighted average implied volatility is 24.4% [64][66]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above [68]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 9.79% at the settlement price and 0.92% at the counter - price [72][74]. 2.2 Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options - **2.1嘉实沪深300ETF** - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main 300ETF options today is 54,104 lots, the open interest is 107,419 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 0.91, and the weighted average implied volatility is 13.63% [75][78]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above [80]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 13.0% at the settlement price and 0.30% at the counter - price [84][86].

Group 1 - Trade Desk Inc (NASDAQ:TTD) stock increased by 3.2% to $70.21 after Evercore ISI Group upgraded the company to "outperform" from "in line" due to attractive valuation and improved risk-reward ratio [1] - The stock has a quarter-to-date lead of 27.3%, but has decreased by 40.8% so far in 2025, facing overhead pressure at $80 since February while maintaining support above $60 since early May [2] - The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 41% indicates low volatility expectations, sitting in the 11th percentile of its annual range, while the Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) score of 86 suggests historically larger-than-expected price swings [3] Group 2 - A majority of analysts are bullish on TTD, with 10 out of 36 firms still holding a "hold" rating, indicating potential for further upgrades [1] - The stock has remained above the $60 region, supported by its 60-day moving average [2]

Core Insights - Nike Inc (NYSE:NKE) reported a significant increase in stock price, up 14.8% to $71.85, following better-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter earnings of 14 cents per share on $11.10 billion in revenue, marking its first positive post-earnings session in seven quarters [1] - The company indicated that the most challenging aspects of its turnaround efforts are behind it, although it anticipates a $1 billion impact from tariffs in the current fiscal year [1] Analyst Reactions - Analysts have responded positively, with 10 price-target hikes, the highest being from Evercore, raising its target to $90 from $75, and HSBC upgrading its rating to "buy" from "hold" [2] - The strong performance of Nike has positively influenced other retail sector peers, including Lululemon, Deckers Outdoor, and VF Corp, with the SPDR S&P Retail ETF also seeing a 1% increase [2] Stock Performance - Nike's stock is experiencing its best single-session gain since December 2022, breaking out of a months-long consolidation and trading at its highest level since a March 21 post-earnings bear gap of 5.5% [3] - Year-to-date, Nike's equity is down only 5%, indicating a recovery trend [3] Options Market Activity - Options traders are actively engaging, with over 271,000 calls traded, which is 22 times the average intraday volume and more than double the number of puts [5] - The most popular options include the weekly 6/27 70-strike call and August 60 calls [5] Volatility Insights - Nike has consistently exceeded options traders' volatility estimates, reflected in its Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) score of 82 out of 100, indicating a history of larger-than-expected price swings [6]

大商所纯苯期货、期权将于2025年7月8日（周二）上午09:00起上市交易！一文了解纯苯期货、期权交 易保证金水平、涨跌停板幅度以及交易手续费等相关信息。 相关链接 期货热点追踪 ...

Report Information - Report Name: Pioneer Futures Option Daily Report - Date: June 26, 2025 [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The report presents the implied volatility, historical volatility, and real - time volatility of various option underlying assets, and provides volatility trading and risk - free arbitrage suggestions for different exchange - listed options [3][23][27] Summary by Directory 1. Shanghai Stock Exchange Options 1.1 Shanghai 50ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - contract options is 732,726 lots, the open interest is 716,707 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.5, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 14.94% [21] - **Volatility Trading**: Sell the options or months with higher volatility curves and buy those with lower ones [23] - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return is 3.72% at the settlement price and 1.02% at the counter - price [27][29] 1.2 Huatai - Berry SSE 300ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - contract options is 694,225 lots, the open interest is 607,670 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.55, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 15.47% [32] - **Volatility Trading**: Similar to the Shanghai 50ETF, sell high - curve options/months and buy low - curve ones [34] - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return is 4.12% at the settlement price and 0.81% at the counter - price [38][39] 1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - contract options is 888,423 lots, the open interest is 595,962 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.54, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 18.37% [42] - **Volatility Trading**: Follow the rule of selling high - curve and buying low - curve [46] - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return is 21.3% at the settlement price and 5.06% at the counter - price [49][51] 1.4 Huaxia SSE STAR 50ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - contract options is 558,208 lots, the open interest is 607,564 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 2.21, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 25.54% [54] - **Volatility Trading**: Sell high - curve and buy low - curve [56] - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return is 10.5% at the settlement price and 2.96% at the counter - price [60][61] 1.5 E Fund SSE STAR 50ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - contract options is 146,482 lots, the open interest is 161,938 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 2.14, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 27.1% [64] - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading rules as above [68] - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return is 24.1% at the settlement price and 5.11% at the counter - price [71][73] 2. Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options 2.1 Harvest SSE 300ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - contract options is 65,288 lots, the open interest is 87,062 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.41, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 15.86% [77] - **Volatility Trading**: Sell high - curve and buy low - curve [79] - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return is 7.89% at the settlement price and 0.29% at the counter - price [83][85] 2.2 E Fund ChiNext ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main - contract options is 1,240,288 lots, the open interest is 754,948 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.69, and the weighted - average implied volatility is 22.51% [88] - **Volatility Trading**: Follow the high - sell and low - buy rule [90] - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: Not provided in the report Option Underlying Asset Volatility Ranking - The report lists the implied volatility, 30 - day historical volatility, and real - time volatility rankings of various option underlying assets such as sc2508, ps2508, etc. The implied volatility reflects the market's expectation of future fluctuations, the historical volatility reflects past actual fluctuations, and the real - time volatility reflects intraday fluctuations [3][5]

Core Viewpoint - Traders are optimistic about the offshore Chinese yuan, with its spot price reaching a new high for 2025, marking the fifth consecutive trading day of positive sentiment [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment - The one-month dollar/offshore yuan risk reversal reported at 0.47% on Wednesday, continuing a decline for five days, potentially reaching the highest level of yuan bullishness since May 28 [1] - The prices for put options betting on a decline in the dollar/offshore yuan are currently higher than those for call options, indicating a shift in trader sentiment [1] - Over the past few days, the premium for put options relative to call options has expanded, reflecting increased bearish sentiment towards the dollar [1]

Core Viewpoint - Nike Inc is set to announce its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report, with analysts predicting an EPS of 11 cents and revenue of $10.67 billion, while Raymond James maintains a "market perform" rating, indicating results may not be as poor as feared despite tariff concerns [1]. Financial Performance - Nike stock has a poor post-earnings history, with the stock declining after seven of the last eight earnings reports, including a 5.5% drop in March [2]. - The stock has been recovering since hitting a more than seven-year low of $52.28 on April 10, currently trading at $60.22, but is down 20.4% in 2025 [3]. Market Sentiment - Options traders have shown increased bullish sentiment, with a 50-day call/put volume ratio of 2.78, ranking higher than 94% of readings from the past year [5]. - Short interest has decreased by 18.5% in the last two weeks, with only 3.4% of the stock's total float currently sold short, indicating a potential for short covering [5].