| 亿航智能系列 车中旭霞 | | --- | | 行业深度 | | 《 eVTOL行业专题：低空经济的先导产业，飞行汽车商业化渐近》——20240516 | | 公司深度 | | 《亿航智能（EH.O）-低空经济领先企业，集齐适航三证，商业化落地有望加速》 ——2024-08-11 | | 公司点评 | | 《亿航智能（EH.O）- 单四季度收入同比增长190%，商业化落地运营可期》 ——20250324 | | 《亿航智能（EH.O）-单三季度收入同比增长348%，在手订单充裕》 ——20241123 | 核心观点 2024Q4亿航智能实现营业收入1.64亿元，同比增长190%。 2024年，亿航智能总收入为4.56亿元，同比增长288.5%；净利润为-2.30亿元，去年同期为-3.02亿元，非美国通用会计 准则下调整后净利润（即加回股权激励费用后的净利润）为人民币4,310万，较2023年调整后净亏损人民币1.39亿元大 幅改善。拆单季度看，2024Q4，亿航智能总收入为1.64亿元，同比增长190.2%，环比增长28.2%；归母净利润 为-4685.8万元，去年同期为-7226.4万元，24年单三季度 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 123.83 [6][7]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of RMB 40.9 billion and a net loss of RMB 5.8 billion in 2024, with a significant recovery projected in 2025, where revenue is anticipated to reach RMB 85.6 billion and a reduced net loss of RMB 2.0 billion [1][5]. - The company is optimistic about its new vehicle performance in 2025, with a strong new car cycle expected to drive sales growth and scale effects [1][14]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved record revenue of RMB 161 billion, a year-on-year increase of 23% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 59% [2]. - The automotive gross margin improved to 10% in Q4 2024, marking six consecutive quarters of improvement [2]. - The company expects to deliver between 91,000 to 93,000 vehicles in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 317% to 326% [1][2]. Product Development - The company launched the updated G6 and G9 models, with significant pre-order numbers indicating strong market interest [3]. - Multiple new models are set to be released throughout 2025, including the G7 and MONA M03, which are expected to contribute to doubling annual sales [3]. Global Expansion - The company plans to accelerate its global expansion, targeting entry into 60 countries and regions by the end of 2025, with over 300 overseas sales outlets [4]. - The company is also exploring new growth avenues through flying cars and robotics, with plans for production in 2026 [4]. Valuation and Estimates - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are set at RMB 85.6 billion, RMB 97.7 billion, and RMB 124.7 billion respectively, with a focus on maintaining strong sales growth [5][11]. - The target price has been adjusted to HKD 123.83 based on improved operational performance and new product cycles [5][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, Xiaopeng Motors (9868 HK), with a target price of HKD 134.69, indicating a potential upside of 41.6% from the current price of HKD 95.10 [1][3][14]. Core Insights - The automotive gross margin exceeded expectations, and the report is optimistic about the upcoming product cycle in 2025. Although revenue was slightly below expectations, the automotive gross margin was 10.0%, surpassing market expectations of 9-9.5% due to scale effects and efficient cost control [2][8]. - The company is expected to narrow its net loss from RMB 10.376 billion in 2023 to RMB 5.790 billion in 2024, with a projected net loss of RMB 613 million in 2025 [2][16]. - Xiaopeng Motors has guided for Q1 2025 sales of 91,000 to 93,000 vehicles, with March sales expected to be between 31,000 and 33,000 vehicles, reflecting a slight month-on-month increase [2][8]. Financial Overview - Revenue is projected to grow significantly from RMB 30.676 billion in 2023 to RMB 86.172 billion in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 110.9% [7][16]. - The company plans to launch new models, including the G6 and G9, which are expected to enhance sales and improve gross margins [8]. - The report anticipates that the strong product cycle and effective cost management will lead to a turnaround in profitability by Q4 2025 [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, Xiaopeng Motors (9868 HK), with a target price of HKD 134.69, indicating a potential upside of 41.6% from the current price of HKD 95.10 [1][3][14]. Core Insights - The automotive gross margin exceeded expectations, and the report is optimistic about the upcoming product cycle in 2025. Although revenue was slightly below expectations, the automotive gross margin was 10.0%, surpassing market expectations of 9-9.5% due to scale effects and efficient cost control [2][8]. - Xiaopeng Motors is expected to deliver 91,000 to 93,000 vehicles in Q1 2025, with March sales projected to be between 31,000 and 33,000 units, reflecting a slight month-on-month increase [2][8]. - The company is focusing on a diversified product strategy rather than relying on a single bestseller, with new models like the G6 and G9 expected to improve sales and gross margins [8]. Financial Overview - For the fiscal year 2023, total revenue was RMB 30,676 million, with a year-on-year growth of 14.2%. The projected revenue for 2024 is RMB 40,866 million, representing a growth of 33.2% [7][16]. - The net loss for 2023 was RMB 10,376 million, which is expected to narrow to RMB 5,790 million in 2024 and further to RMB 613 million in 2025 [7][16]. - The company anticipates a significant increase in revenue to RMB 86,172 million by 2025, with a projected gross profit of RMB 11,812 million [7][16]. Market Performance - Xiaopeng Motors' stock has shown a year-to-date increase of 103.86%, with a 52-week high of HKD 97.45 and a low of HKD 26.05 [5][14]. - The report highlights that the stock price pullback presents a good buying opportunity, reinforcing the "Buy" rating based on strong sales growth and improved gross margins [8][14].

撰 文 / 孟 为 设 计 / 琚 佳 3月10日，法拉第未来（Faraday Future，简称FF）正式将公司股票代码从"FFIE"改为"FFAI"。 其创始人贾跃亭称，AI车生态不仅是未来，更是FF的核心能力和核心战略。更名不仅是品牌升 级，更是公司对核心AI战略及长期发展目标的坚定承诺。 不到一个月前，力帆科技公告宣布，公司全称由力帆科技（集团）股份有限公司"变更为"重庆千里 科技股份有限公司"，2月18日起，证券代码601777的证券简称将由"力帆科技"变更为"千里科技"。 其更名动作的背后，也是力帆从传统车企，到全面拥抱智能化浪潮，聚焦"AI+车"战略的主动求 变，并成为了吉利全域AI战略的重要组成部分。 明确向AI领域转型的汽车企业还有小鹏汽车和理想汽车。 在刚刚结束的2025全国两会上，小鹏汽车董事长何小鹏表示，"一个全新的AI时代正在到来。AI会 推动自动驾驶甚至无人驾驶的到来；汽车产业正在和机器人开始进行融合。" 2025年，小鹏汽车也被重新定义为一家面向全球的AI汽车公司，并基于此，在未来10年内，实现产 品、商业、组织与全球化全方位领先，年销100万台AI汽车。 如何重塑汽车业 汽车商 ...