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金属期权策略早报-20250610
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-06-10 07:55
金属期权 2025-06-10 金属期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号:F3047321 | 交易咨询号:Z0015541 | 邮箱:lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | 金属期权策略早报概要:(1)有色金属区间盘整震荡,构建做空波动率策略策略;(2)黑色系弱势震荡,适合构 建熊市价差组合策略和卖方期权组合策略;(3)贵金属黄金高位盘整,白银多头突破上行,构建做空波动率策略 和现货避险策略。 表1:标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | (%) | (万手) | | (万手) | | | 铜 | CU2507 | 79,330 | 660 | 0.84 | 7.53 | ...
农产品期权策略早报-20250610
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-06-10 03:48
农产品期权 2025-06-10 农产品期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号:F3047321 | 交易咨询号:Z0015541 | 邮箱:lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | 农产品期权策略早报概要:油料油脂类农产品区间盘整,油脂类,豆类偏弱行情,农副产品维持震荡行情,软商品 白糖延续偏弱,棉花反弹后高位盘整形态,谷物类玉米和淀粉逐渐回暖上升后窄幅盘整。 策略上:构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1:标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | (%) | (万手) | | (万手) | | | 豆一 | A2507 | 4,145 | 4 | 0 ...
能源化工期权策略早报-20250610
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-06-10 03:48
能源化工期权 2025-06-10 能源化工期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号:F3047321 | 交易咨询号:Z0015541 | 邮箱:lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | 能源化工期权策略早报概要:能源类:原油、LPG;聚烯烃类期权:聚丙烯、聚氯乙烯、塑料、苯乙烯;聚酯类期 权:对二甲苯、PTA、短纤、瓶片;碱化工类:烧碱、纯碱;其他能源化工类:橡胶等。 策略上:构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1:标的期货市场概况 数据来源:WIND、五矿期货期权服务部 能源化工期权研究 表2:期权因子—量仓PCR | 期权品种 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | 成交量 | 量PCR | 持仓量 | 仓PCR | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | P ...
股指期权日报-20250609
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-06-09 08:46
股指期权日报 | 2025-06-09 期权PCR 上证50ETF期权成交额PCR报0.70,环比变动为-0.08;持仓量PCR报0.94,环比变动为-0.01; 沪深300ETF期权(沪市)成交额PCR报0.76,环比变动为+0.04;持仓量PCR报0.83,环比变动为-0.02; 中证500ETF期权(沪市)成交额PCR报0.84,环比变动为+0.04;持仓量PCR报1.23,环比变动为+0.01 ; 深圳100ETF期权成交额PCR报1.31 ,环比变动为+0.39;持仓量PCR报0.89;环比变动为+0.03; 创业板ETF期权成交额PCR报0.94,环比变动为+0.05 ;持仓量PCR报0.84,环比变动为-0.02; 上证50股指期权成交额PCR报0.61,环比变动为-0.06;持仓量PCR报0.61,环比变动为-0.01; 沪深300股指期权成交额PCR报0.59 ,环比变动为+0.02;持仓量PCR报0.67,环比变动为+0.00; 中证1000股指期权成交额PCR报0.90,环比变动为+0.02;持仓量PCR报0.98,环比变动为-0.01。 期权VIX 上证50ETF期权VIX报13.97 ...
金属期权策略早报-20250609
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-06-09 03:44
金属期权 2025-06-09 金属期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号:F3047321 | 交易咨询号:Z0015541 | 邮箱:lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | 金属期权策略早报概要:(1)有色金属区间盘整震荡,构建做空波动率策略策略;(2)黑色系弱势反弹,适合构 建熊市价差组合策略和卖方期权组合策略;(3)贵金属黄金高位盘整,白银多头突破上行,构建做空波动率策略 和现货避险策略。 表1:标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | (%) | (万手) | | (万手) | | | 铜 | CU2507 | 78,620 | -190 | -0.24 | 12.8 ...
能源化工期权策略早报-20250609
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-06-09 03:33
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The energy - chemical sector mainly consists of energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others. For each sector, options strategies and suggestions are provided for selected varieties. The options strategy report for each option variety is compiled based on the analysis of the underlying asset's market, option factor research, and option strategy suggestions [8]. - The overall strategy is to construct option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, along with spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Various energy - chemical option underlying futures contracts have different price movements, trading volumes, and open interest changes. For example, the latest price of crude oil (SC2507) is 476, with a rise of 8 and a rise - fall rate of 1.71%, trading volume of 10.92 million lots (a decrease of 2.58 million lots), and open interest of 2.11 million lots (an increase of 0.04 million lots) [3]. 3.2 Option Factor - PCR - The PCR indicators (both volume and open interest) of different option varieties are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market. For example, the open interest PCR of crude oil options is 1.03, with a change of 0.04 [4]. 3.3 Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - From the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options, the pressure and support levels of different option underlying assets are determined. For example, the pressure point of crude oil is 570, and the support point is 400 [5]. 3.4 Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different option varieties shows different characteristics. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of crude oil is 27.83%, the weighted implied volatility is 31.16% (a decrease of 1.21%), and the historical average is 17.96% [6]. 3.5 Strategy and Suggestions for Different Option Varieties 3.5.1 Energy - related Options - **Crude Oil**: In terms of fundamentals, U.S. and European inventories have changed. The market has shown a pattern of rising and then falling and then rising again. Option strategies include constructing a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - **LPG**: The international LPG market price center has moved down, and the domestic supply and inventory situation has changed. The market has shown a weak and bearish trend. Option strategies include constructing a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. 3.5.2 Alcohol - related Options - **Methanol**: Port inventory has increased, and the market has shown a weak and bearish rebound trend. Option strategies include constructing a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: The port spot price center has moved down, and inventory has increased. The market has shown a pattern of rising and then falling. Option strategies include constructing a short - volatility strategy for volatility, and a long + put + short - call option strategy for spot hedging [10]. 3.5.3 Polyolefin - related Options - **Polypropylene**: New production capacity has been put into operation, and the market has shown a bearish trend. Option strategies include constructing a bear - spread put option combination strategy for direction, and a long + put + short - call option strategy for spot hedging [10]. 3.5.4 Rubber - related Options - **Natural Rubber**: Inventory in Qingdao has decreased. The market has shown a pattern of falling and then rising and then falling again. Option strategies include constructing a bear - spread put option combination strategy for direction, and a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility [11]. 3.5.5 Polyester - related Options - **PTA**: The start - up rate and production volume have changed, and inventory has decreased. The market has shown a pattern of rising and then falling. Option strategies include constructing a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy for volatility [12]. 3.5.6 Alkali - related Options - **Caustic Soda**: Supply pressure is high, and the market has shown a bearish trend. Option strategies include constructing a bear - spread put option combination strategy for direction, a short - bearish strangle option combination strategy for volatility, and a long + short - call option strategy for spot covered hedging [13]. - **Soda Ash**: Production and capacity utilization have changed, and inventory has increased slightly. The market has shown a weak and bearish trend. Option strategies include constructing a bear - spread put option combination strategy for direction, a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13]. 3.5.7 Urea Options - Supply pressure is large, and demand may weaken. The market has shown an inverted "V" pattern. Option strategies include constructing a bear - spread put option combination strategy for direction, a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a long + put + short - call option strategy for spot hedging [14].
农产品期权策略早报-20250609
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-06-09 03:33
农产品期权 2025-06-09 农产品期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号:F3047321 | 交易咨询号:Z0015541 | 邮箱:lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | 农产品期权策略早报概要:油料油脂类农产品区间盘整,油脂类,豆类偏弱行情,农副产品维持震荡行情,软商品 白糖延续偏弱,棉花反弹后高位盘整形态,谷物类玉米和淀粉逐渐回暖上升后窄幅盘整。 策略上:构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1:标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | (%) | (万手) | | (万手) | | | 豆一 | A2507 | 4,147 | 5 | 0 ...
股指期权数据日报-20250606
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-06 11:08
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 2025/6/6 费据来源: Wind,国贸期货研究院 | | | | | 行情回顾 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 收盘价 | | | 张肤帽(%) | | 成交额(亿元) | | 成交里(亿) | | | 上证50 2692. 1287 | | | 0. 05 | | 559. 62 | | 30. 78 | | | 沪深300 3877. 5557 | | | 0.23 | | 2317. 49 | | 122. 88 | | | 中证1000 6167.0149 | | | 0. 72 | | 2732. 39 | | 206. 08 | | | | | | | 中金所股指期权成交情况 | | | | | | 期权成交望 指数 | | 认购期权 | 认洁期权 | 日成交里 | 期权持仓里 | 认购期权 | 认洁期权 | 持仓堂 | | (万张) | | 成交里 | 成交里 | PCR | (万5k) | 持仓里 | 持它重 | PCR | | 上证 ...
5月衍生品月报:股指期货深度贴水与期权市场共振:谨慎情绪初现-20250606
Huafu Securities· 2025-06-06 11:03
华福证券 2025 年 06 月 06 日 股指期货深度贴水与期权市场共振:谨慎情绪初 现——5 月衍生品月报(2025/05) 投资要点: ➢ 股指期货 主要股指(沪深 300、上证 50、中证 500 和中证 1000)成交额在 2025 年初高点后有回落趋势,市场活跃度持续下降,最近开始趋于平 稳。 从贴水比例来看,远月贴水大于近月,且贴水幅度进一步提升,我 们认为主要原因在于: ➢ 国债期货 5 月份国债期货小幅下跌, 10 年期国债期货隐含收益率在 1.6-1.7 波动。 从升贴水结构来看,近远月合约价差显示远月大于近月,表示投 资者对于未来债券市场偏乐观。 ➢ 期权市场 期权市场波动率依然在大幅下行,大幅低于标的的实际波动率, 显示期权当前价值合理,投资价值高。 华福证券 期权市场 PCR 在 5 月中旬开始下降,PCR 指标显示市场情绪偏谨 慎。 ➢ 期权 PCR 择时策略的跟踪 期权持仓量 PCR 是一个市场情绪指标,我们的期权 PCR 策略逻 辑是顺趋势(PCR 上行情形,提示情绪较好)和反趋势(PCR 较低的 情形,指示情绪低点未来可能反转)。 从结果上来看,期权 PCR 策略在今年以来在 ...
股指期权日报-20250606
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-06-06 07:22
股指期权日报 | 2025-06-06 股指期权日报 股指期权市场概况 期权成交量 2025-06-05,上证50ETF期权成交量为59.75万张;沪深300ETF期权(沪市)成交量为58.03万张; 中证500ETF期权(沪市)成交量为104.25万张;深证100ETF期权成交量为3.40万张; 创业板ETF期权成交量为78.43万张;上证50股指期权成交量为1.47万张; 沪深300股指期权成交量为4.87万张;中证1000期权总成交量为16.35万张。 期权PCR 上证50ETF期权成交额PCR报0.78,环比变动为-0.03;持仓量PCR报0.95,环比变动为-0.02; 沪深300ETF期权(沪市)成交额PCR报0.72,环比变动为-0.06;持仓量PCR报0.85,环比变动为+0.00; 中证500ETF期权(沪市)成交额PCR报0.79,环比变动为-0.10;持仓量PCR报1.22,环比变动为+0.04 ; 深圳100ETF期权成交额PCR报0.92 ,环比变动为+0.00;持仓量PCR报0.86;环比变动为-0.01; 创业板ETF期权成交额PCR报0.89,环比变动为-0.07 ;持仓量PC ...