Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the utility sector [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing consultation regarding the detailed implementation of Document No. 136 in Guangdong, which includes a bidding mechanism for new energy projects with a maximum electricity scale of 90% [4]. - China Securities Regulatory Commission has approved Huadian New Energy's IPO application, aiming to raise 18 billion yuan for renewable energy projects [4]. - The report tracks key industry data, including a 3% year-on-year decrease in electricity purchase prices and a 2.5% increase in total electricity consumption in the first quarter of 2025 [4][39]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The SW utility index increased by 0.08% from May 12 to May 16, 2025, with notable performances in solar and hydropower sectors [9]. - The top five gainers included Jingyuntong (+34.3%) and Hongtong Gas (+22.0%), while the biggest losers were Mindong Power (-7.0%) and Huadian Energy (-7.8%) [10]. 2. Electricity Sector Tracking 2.1. Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption in Q1 2025 reached 2.38 trillion kWh, a 2.5% year-on-year increase, with growth in all sectors [14]. 2.2. Power Generation - Cumulative power generation in Q1 2025 was 2.27 trillion kWh, down 0.3% year-on-year, with declines in thermal power generation [22]. 2.3. Electricity Prices - The average electricity purchase price in May 2025 was 394 yuan/MWh, down 3% year-on-year [39]. 2.4. Thermal Power - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port was 614 yuan/ton, down 28.6% year-on-year [43]. 2.5. Hydropower - The water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was 156.81 meters, with inflow and outflow rates down 21.3% and 27.6% year-on-year, respectively [51]. 2.6. Nuclear Power - In 2024, 11 nuclear units were approved, indicating a positive growth trajectory for the sector [22]. 2.7. Green Energy - Wind and solar power installations saw a year-on-year increase of 30.5% and a decrease of 5.7%, respectively, in Q1 2025 [4]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Focus on investment opportunities in hydropower and thermal power during peak summer demand [4]. - Recommended stocks include Jiangsu Power, Huadian International, and China Nuclear Power [4].

Core Viewpoint - Jiuzhou Group is focusing on the smart distribution network and network energy sectors, positioning itself as a leading provider of new power and energy infrastructure, with a dual-engine business model combining renewable energy and smart equipment manufacturing [1][2]. Group 1: Business Overview - Jiuzhou Group has established three main business segments: smart equipment manufacturing, renewable energy generation, and comprehensive smart energy [1]. - The company has a significant global presence, with products covering over 70 countries and regions, and has a strong integration advantage across the supply chain [1]. - As of December 2024, Jiuzhou Group will have a cumulative installed capacity of over 2.7 GW in renewable energy power stations, with an additional 1 GW in projects under construction and over 2 GW in development [1]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The management views enhancing the performance of the smart equipment manufacturing segment as a key focus for future growth, aiming to improve capacity utilization and gross margins through scale effects [2]. - A new sales team targeting large clients is being established in Beijing, with plans for an overseas sales team starting in Q3 2024 [2]. - Jiuzhou Group is leveraging partnerships within the energy sector to expand its equipment sales market and drive growth in the transmission and distribution equipment business [2]. Group 3: Market Performance - The order value for the smart distribution network business exceeded 800 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of over 30% [3]. - The company has achieved a historical high in bid amounts, exceeding 260 million yuan in Q1 2025 [3]. - Jiuzhou Group's wind power assets reached an installed capacity of 246 MW by the end of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 100 MW, while solar power assets remained stable at 298.6 MW [3]. Group 4: Project Development - Jiuzhou Group is engaging in equity cooperation for wind and solar power projects with state-owned enterprises, with plans to sell 100% equity of newly connected projects to realize resource and equipment value [4]. - The expected internal rate of return for the decentralized wind + clean energy heating projects is over 10%, benefiting from the advantages of decentralized wind power and decreasing construction costs [4]. Group 5: Market Potential - The potential market for decentralized wind + clean energy heating in Northeast China is substantial, with nearly 300 county-level administrative units and over 3,000 towns [5]. - Jiuzhou Group aims to optimize and adjust its business model based on operational results after launching its first project in Heilongjiang Province, with plans to replicate this model across Northeast and North China [5].

事件：公司公布 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报，2024 年实现营业收入 296.19 亿元，同比增长 1.64%，实现归母净利润 39.44 亿元，同比增长 14.04%； 2025Q1 实现营业收入 73.37 亿元，同比降低 9.09%，实现归母净利润 10.11 亿元，同比降低 12.82%。 公司报告 | 年报点评报告 申能股份（600642） 证券研究报告 多业务板块支撑业绩，新能源装机增速有望提高 煤价快速下滑，煤电板块盈利显著修复 2024 年公司煤电板块完成控股发电量 416.05 亿千瓦时，同比增长 3.5%， 秦皇岛港 Q5500 煤炭均价约 855 元/吨，同比降低约 110 元/吨，煤价下滑 带动公司板块盈利显著改善，2024 年煤电板块实现营业收入 134.28 亿元， 同比增长 2.57%，实现毛利 20.91 亿元，同比增长 49.58%。2025Q1 煤电板 块电量承压，单季度完成控股发电量 99.02 亿千瓦时，同比降低 12.5%，但 煤价仍处于下行通道，秦皇岛港 Q5500 煤炭一季度均价约 721 元/吨，同 比降低约 181 元/吨，截至 5 月 12 日，其 ...

公司报告 | 年报点评报告 申能股份（600642） 证券研究报告 多业务板块支撑业绩，新能源装机增速有望提高 事件：公司公布 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报，2024 年实现营业收入 296.19 亿元，同比增长 1.64%，实现归母净利润 39.44 亿元，同比增长 14.04%； 2025Q1 实现营业收入 73.37 亿元，同比降低 9.09%，实现归母净利润 10.11 亿元，同比降低 12.82%。 煤价快速下滑，煤电板块盈利显著修复 2024 年公司煤电板块完成控股发电量 416.05 亿千瓦时，同比增长 3.5%， 秦皇岛港 Q5500 煤炭均价约 855 元/吨，同比降低约 110 元/吨，煤价下滑 带动公司板块盈利显著改善，2024 年煤电板块实现营业收入 134.28 亿元， 同比增长 2.57%，实现毛利 20.91 亿元，同比增长 49.58%。2025Q1 煤电板 块电量承压，单季度完成控股发电量 99.02 亿千瓦时，同比降低 12.5%，但 煤价仍处于下行通道，秦皇岛港 Q5500 煤炭一季度均价约 721 元/吨，同 比降低约 181 元/吨，截至 5 月 12 日，其 ...

Core Insights - By the end of 2024, China's installed capacity of renewable energy, primarily wind and solar, is expected to reach 1.45 billion kilowatts, surpassing thermal power for the first time [1] - The retail penetration rate of new energy passenger vehicles in China is projected to reach 57.6% in 2024 [1] - The energy sector is anticipated to undergo significant transformations, with key catalysts expected in 2025 [1] Group 1: Future Energy Landscape - Wind and solar energy will continue to be the mainstay of clean energy, with steady growth expected due to mature technology and economic viability [2] - Energy storage is set to become a crucial regulator for renewable energy, addressing issues like grid absorption and the intermittency of renewable generation [2] - Controlled nuclear fusion is emerging as an ideal future energy source, with advancements in technology accelerating its commercialization timeline to potentially 2030-2035 [2][6] Group 2: 2025 Significance - The year 2025 marks a pivotal transition for renewable energy, where it is expected to officially surpass traditional energy sources in installed capacity [4] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles is projected to exceed 50% in 2025, indicating a shift towards mainstream adoption [4] - 2025 will also see the full market entry of renewable energy, with energy prices determined by supply and demand, enhancing the role of energy storage in profitability [5] Group 3: China's Leadership in Energy Revolution - China's energy transformation is supported by robust policy frameworks, with a comprehensive "1+N" policy system guiding carbon neutrality efforts [8] - The country is a global leader in solar energy, accounting for approximately 40% of global installed capacity and 90% of production capacity [8] - The manufacturing capabilities of China are crucial for the energy revolution, showcasing the integration of high-end manufacturing and technological innovation [10] Group 4: Investment Opportunities in Future Energy - Future energy-related ETFs can be categorized into three levels: carbon neutrality, the entire renewable energy supply chain, and specific segments [10] - ETFs such as E Fund (562990) cover deep decarbonization fields, while others like E Fund (516090) encompass a broad range of renewable sectors including lithium batteries, solar, wind, and nuclear power [10][11] - Investors can select suitable ETFs based on personal circumstances to engage in future energy investments [11]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 29.717 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.13%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 14.81%, primarily due to unexpected declines in photovoltaic electricity prices and increased asset and credit impairments [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 29.717 billion yuan, with a net profit of 6.111 billion yuan, which was below expectations [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.067 yuan per share, with a payout ratio of 31.37% and a dividend yield of 1.56% based on the stock price on May 9 [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 7.628 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.47%, while the net profit was 2.447 billion yuan, an increase of 1.16% [1] Group 2: Operational Highlights - The company completed a power generation of 71.952 billion kWh in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 30.40%, with wind power generation at 45.173 billion kWh (up 15.96%) and photovoltaic generation at 25.401 billion kWh (up 65.43%) [2] - By the end of 2024, the cumulative installed capacity for wind and solar reached 22.432 million kW and 24.266 million kW, respectively, with significant year-on-year increases [2] - In Q1 2025, the company sold its hydropower assets to focus on the renewable energy sector, resulting in an investment income of 736 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 572 million yuan [2] Group 3: Challenges and Future Outlook - The decline in net profit was attributed to increased depreciation and operating costs from new projects, a decrease in average on-grid electricity prices for wind and solar by 7.95% and 25.61%, respectively, and increased impairment provisions totaling 789 million yuan and 661 million yuan [3] - Despite the profit decline, the company's operating cash flow increased by 30.97% to 18.897 billion yuan in 2024, driven by improved electricity fee collections from new projects [4] - The company anticipates a recovery in profit growth as the impact of declining electricity prices diminishes, supported by ongoing capacity expansion [3] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down to 7.048 billion yuan and 7.688 billion yuan, respectively, with a new estimate for 2027 at 8.305 billion yuan [5] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 17, 16, and 15 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, indicating that the valuation is near historical lows [5] - The company is expected to return to a historical average valuation of 21 times, suggesting a reasonable stock price of 5.25 yuan per share, representing a potential upside of 22% from the current price [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the industry [5] Core Insights - The report highlights the stabilization of silicon material prices due to reduced production in response to weakened demand, with the average transaction price for granular silicon at 36,000 RMB/ton, down 2.7% week-on-week [14] - The report emphasizes the importance of two key directions: 1) focusing on silicon materials and glass with rigid supply and greater price elasticity post-demand recovery, with key companies including GCL-Poly Energy and Tongwei Co., Ltd. 2) exploring long-term growth opportunities brought by new technologies, focusing on Aiko Solar and Juhua Materials [14] - In the wind and electricity sector, Shandong has become the first province to implement the 136 document, clarifying pricing for existing projects at 0.3949 RMB/kWh, with a projected average settlement price for solar in Shandong at approximately 0.35 RMB/kWh in 2024 [15][18] - The report discusses the launch of China's first "trillion-level hydrogen energy project" in Shaanxi, which aims to utilize various hydrogen production methods to support low-carbon development [17] - The report notes that the average bidding price for energy storage systems in April was between 0.405 and 1.096 RMB/Wh, with recommendations to focus on companies with high growth certainty in large-scale storage, including Sungrow Power Supply and Eastern Gold Sun [21][24] Summary by Sections New Energy Generation - **Photovoltaics**: Silicon material prices are expected to stabilize as production is reduced in response to weakened demand, with a projected production reduction to 96,000 tons in May, down 3% month-on-month [14] - **Wind Power & Grid**: Shandong's implementation of the 136 document is expected to set a precedent for other provinces, with clear pricing mechanisms for existing projects [15][16] - **Hydrogen & Energy Storage**: The report highlights a significant hydrogen project in Shaanxi and provides insights into energy storage bidding prices, recommending key players in the sector [17][21] New Energy Vehicles - **Ningde Times**: The company has successfully passed the Hong Kong Stock Exchange listing hearing, aiming to raise approximately 5 billion USD for expansion projects, including those in Hungary and Indonesia [26] - The report suggests focusing on leading lithium battery companies and the solid-state battery industry for long-term investment opportunities [27] Price Dynamics in the Photovoltaic Industry - The report provides detailed price changes in the photovoltaic supply chain, indicating a downward trend in prices for various components, including polysilicon and solar cells [29] Important News - The report summarizes significant developments in the new energy sector, including partnerships and project announcements that could impact market dynamics [30][31]

新天绿能（600956）公告，2025年4月公司及子公司按合并报表口径完成发电量147.78万兆瓦时，同比 增加16.91%。截至2025年4月30日，累计完成发电量602.2万兆瓦时，同比增加11.91%。风电业务2025年 4月发电量144.81万兆瓦时，同比增加16.01%；太阳能业务2025年4月发电量29734.22兆瓦时，同比增加 89.04%。 ...

长源电力（000966）公告，2025年4月公司完成发电量27.79亿千瓦时，同比增长17.61%。其中，火电发 电量23.97亿千瓦时，同比增长23.81%；水电发电量1.01亿千瓦时，同比降低51.99%；新能源发电量2.81 亿千瓦时，同比增长29.48%。2025年1-4月累计完成发电量112.4亿千瓦时，同比降低5.92%。其中，火 电累计发电量100.28亿千瓦时，同比降低5.88%；水电累计发电量2.8亿千瓦时，同比降低47.72%；新能 源累计发电量9.32亿千瓦时，同比增长22.91%。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][21]. Core Views - The company's revenue increased by 12.13% year-on-year to 29.717 billion yuan in 2024, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 14.81% to 6.111 billion yuan due to factors such as declining electricity prices and increased operational costs [1][8]. - The company is actively advancing its renewable energy projects, with a planned installed capacity of 16.4385 million kilowatts by the end of 2024, including 4.8684 million kilowatts of wind power and 7.4501 million kilowatts of solar power [3][20]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecast downward due to the impact of falling electricity prices, with expected net profits of 6.74 billion yuan in 2025, 7.23 billion yuan in 2026, and 7.74 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 10.2%, 7.4%, and 7.1% respectively [4][21]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 29.717 billion yuan, a 12.13% increase, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.111 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.81% [1][8]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 7.628 billion yuan, down 3.47%, and a net profit of 2.447 billion yuan, up 1.16% [2][9]. Project Development - The company is focusing on offshore wind power development in regions such as Guangdong, Fujian, and Jiangsu, while also expanding into other areas like Shandong and Liaoning [3][20]. - By the end of 2024, the company plans to have 16.4385 million kilowatts of projects under construction, with significant contributions from wind and solar energy [3][20]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised downwards, with expected net profits of 6.74 billion yuan, 7.23 billion yuan, and 7.74 billion yuan respectively [4][21]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 18.2 for 2025, 16.9 for 2026, and 15.8 for 2027 [4][21].