美东时间 6 月 18 日周三，美国三大股指涨跌不一，美联储维持利率不变。投资者担忧美国 可能更直接军事介入以色列与伊朗的交火。伊朗最高领袖表示，美国军事干预将招致无法挽 回的后果。 稳定币第一股 Circle 涨近 34% ，创 6 月 5 日美国 IPO 以来最大单日涨幅。 WTI 收于每桶 75 美元上方，创下 1 月以来的最高收盘价。 美联储维持利率不变 截至收盘，道指跌 0.1% ，报 42171.66 点；标普 500 指数跌 0.03% ，报 5980.87 点； 纳指涨 0.13% ，报 19546.27 点。 （图片来源：东方财富APP，统计截至2025/6/18，不作投资推荐） 美联储公布 6 月利率决议，将基准利率维持在 4.25% ～ 4.50% 不变，连续第四次会议按兵 不动，符合市场预期。 美联储表示，前景的不确定性已减弱，但仍然处于较高水平。美联储将 2025 年 GDP 预估 下调至 1.4% ，将通胀预期上调至 3% 。 根据美联储的点阵图预测， 2025 年预计实施两次降息，共 50 个基点 ，这与三月份的预期 相符。然而， 2026 年降息幅度将仅为 25 个基点，之前预 ...

稳定币第一股 Circle 涨近 34% ，创 6 月 5 日美国 IPO 以来最大单日涨幅。 WTI 收于每桶 75 美元上方，创下 1 月以来的最高收盘价。 美联储维持利率不变 【导读】美联储维持利率不变，稳定币第一股 Circle 涨近 34%， WTI 原油创 1 月以来最高 收盘价 美东时间 6 月 18 日周三，美国三大股指涨跌不一，美联储维持利率不变。投资者担忧美国 可能更直接军事介入以色列与伊朗的交火。伊朗最高领袖表示，美国军事干预将招致无法挽 回的后果。 截至收盘，道指跌 0.1% ，报 42171.66 点；标普 500 指数跌 0.03% ，报 5980.87 点； 纳指涨 0.13% ，报 19546.27 点。 美联储公布 6 月利率决议，将基准利率维持在 4.25% ～ 4.50% 不变，连续第四次会议按兵 不动，符合市场预期。 美联储表示，前景的不确定性已减弱，但仍然处于较高水平。美联储将 2025 年 GDP 预估 下调至 1.4% ，将通胀预期上调至 3% 。 根据美联储的点阵图预测， 2025 年预计实施两次降息，共 50 个基点 ，这与三月份的预期 相符。然而， 2026 ...

稳定币第一股圆环公司（Circle）在纽交所上市首日大涨168%，多个稳定币相关概念股持续走强……近 段时间以来，稳定币市场不断升温，成为国际投资者关注的一大焦点。 日益明确的监管措施，也推动稳定币走进更多人的视野。今年以来，稳定币相关监管动态不断。5月27 日，英国金融行为监管局（FCA）发布针对稳定币发行、加密资产托管及相关企业财务稳健性的监管提 案，为加密行业建立更明确的监管路径。6月6日，香港特区政府于宪报刊登《稳定币条例（生效日期） 公告》，指定8月1日开始实施，香港加密资产监管框架进一步完善。6月12日，美国参议院通过对 《GENIUS稳定币法案》修正案的程序性动议，该法案要求稳定币以美元或等值高流动性资产全额储 备，并对市值超过500亿美元的发行方进行年度审计。 "多地相继出台明确的监管措施，使得此前长期处于政策灰色地带的稳定币发行和流通活动获得更多明 确的监管依据，机构参与门槛有所降低，资金或会快速流入。"于佳宁说。 丁肇飞认为，稳定币监管在多地落地，填补了监管空白，为行业提供了清晰的监管框架，有助于增强市 场透明度，防范洗钱等金融风险和非法活动。当前越来越多的国际银行和支付机构开始尝试发行或 ...

Group 1 - The construction of Shanghai as an international financial center is advancing to a higher level, with financial external circulation supporting China's "system going global" [4] - The recent Lujiazui Forum highlighted the acceleration of Shanghai's international financial center construction, with policies being introduced to enhance its status as a global center for RMB asset allocation and risk management [4][5] - The focus on international stablecoin development has increased, with Hong Kong leading in regulatory practices while mainland China remains cautious [4] Group 2 - The deepening of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board (STAR Market) reform is expected to enhance the investment and financing functions of the A-share market, laying a solid foundation for a bull market [4] - The introduction of the "1+6" policy measures aims to accelerate the listing of high-quality technology innovation companies, with more unprofitable tech firms expected to go public [4][5] - The regulatory framework will balance support for enterprises with risk prevention, tightening certain financial standards while allowing more unprofitable companies to list [5] Group 3 - The policies discussed at the Lujiazui Forum emphasize long-term strategic positioning, with China's international competitiveness and influence being enhanced through financial external circulation [5] - The A-share market's investment function is being optimized, with significant improvements in shareholder returns and a focus on encouraging mergers and acquisitions [5] - Concerns about short-term market performance due to external demand fluctuations and traditional consumption pessimism are noted, with expectations for growth stabilization policies in July and August [5]

Core Points - The U.S. Senate passed the "Guidance and Establishment of a National Stablecoin Innovation Act" (GENIUS Act) with a significant bipartisan majority of 68 votes in favor and 30 against, marking a milestone for the digital asset industry [1] - The act aims to establish a regulatory framework for dollar-pegged stablecoins, which have seen a surge in usage as essential tools for cryptocurrency traders [1] - If enacted, the act will require stablecoin issuers to back their tokens with liquid assets such as U.S. dollars and short-term Treasury securities, with monthly disclosures of reserve compositions [1] Legislative Context - The House of Representatives had previously passed a stablecoin bill, but it failed in the Senate due to Democratic control, leading to its demise [2] - Former President Trump is pushing for comprehensive reforms in U.S. cryptocurrency policy, with hopes for the bill's passage before August [2] - Controversies surrounding Trump's family's cryptocurrency ventures have posed challenges to the legislative process, with increasing dissatisfaction among Democrats regarding Trump's promotion of personal crypto projects [2] Concerns and Criticism - Some Democrats express concerns that the bill does not prohibit large tech companies from issuing private stablecoins and lacks sufficient anti-money laundering protections [2] - Elizabeth Warren criticized the bill for potentially exacerbating presidential corruption and harming national security, financial stability, and consumer protection [2] - The Conference of State Bank Supervisors has called for critical amendments to mitigate financial stability risks, expressing concerns over the bill's expansion of unregulated banking activities [2]

2019年6月18日，Facebook（现Meta）发布Libra白皮书，提出构建一个由一揽子法币支持的全球性稳定 币，引发全球对数字货币未来的广泛讨论。六年过去，Libra虽未如期落地，但其理念深刻影响了稳定 币的发展轨迹。如今，稳定币已从边缘试验逐步纳入主流金融监管框架，成为连接传统金融与加密生态 的关键纽带。在这一进程中，中国香港、美国等地区率先立法规范，而中国企业如京东、蚂蚁集团也在 积极探索合规稳定币路径，为行业注入新的动能。 国信证券经济研究所所长兼银行业首席分析师王剑认为，人类对更美好的生活的探索永不止步。Libra 的试水为后来稳定币的探索提供了启发。目前，多个国家和地区已经将稳定币纳入监管，虽然目前大部 分稳定币方案依然难以堪当支付等基础职能，但各种监管条例的出台意味着政府愿意给未来一个机会， 继续探索之路。 Libra遗产与稳定币进化 Libra最初的设想是打造一个由多国法币储备支持的全球支付网络，通过协会治理模式降低对单一主体 的依赖。尽管因监管压力屡次调整（后更名为Diem），最终未能实现愿景，但其核心逻辑——通过锚 定资产实现价格稳定，并为跨境支付与数字经济提供高效工具——被后续的稳 ...

【深圳商报讯】（首席记者谢惠茜）稳定币近期政策利好不断，再次引爆全球资本市场。继前一天集体 涨停之后，6月17日，A股稳定币相关概念股持续发酵。截至收盘，恒宝股份、东信和平再次涨停，均 已两连板，四方精创收涨5.29%续创历史新高，拉卡拉再次涨超15%。此外，有"稳定币第一股"之称的 Circle自上市后短短10来天，股价已较发行价涨超4倍。 消息面上，有关稳定币的法案密集落地。中国香港《稳定币条例》已获立法会通过，将在8月1日生效， 成为近期市场高度关注的焦点之一。据介绍，在《稳定币条例》生效后，香港金管局将尽快处理收到的 牌照申请，以便合资格的申请人开展其业务。 美国参议院有望通过《GENIUS稳定币法案》修正案。上周五，美国参议院以68票对30票通过对 《GENIUS 稳定币法案》修正案的程序性动议，为最终表决铺路。该法案要求稳定币以美元或等值高流 动性资产全额储备，并对市值超过500亿美元的发行方进行年度审计。 韩国也提出《数字资产基本法案》。根据该法案，股本在5亿韩元及以上的韩国公司可发行稳定币，同 时确保通过储备金保证退款。 可以看到的是，世界各主要金融中心都在建立自己的数字货币体系，确保在数字金 ...

智通财经APP获悉，美国参议院将于当地时间6月17日(周二)对《GENIUS法案》进行最终表决。这项旨 在对稳定币进行监管的法案预计将被通过，加密行业也希望借该法案增强其合法性。 上周三，美国参议院以68票对30票通过对《GENIUS法案》修正案的程序性动议，扫清了该法案面临的 程序性障碍。该稳定币法案将为用于支付的美元挂钩代币建立监管规则。立法核心条款要求稳定币发行 机构必须持有100%美元等价资产储备，包括短期美债或受监管的类现金资产。支持者认为，这将推动 与美元挂钩的稳定币成为主流支付工具。美国财政部长贝森特上周表示，该法案可能帮助美国稳定币市 场在2028年底突破2万亿美元。 不过，大多数民主党人仍反对该法案。他们指出，该法案几乎没有处理美国总统特朗普在加密货币领域 的个人财务利益问题。法案中包含一个条款，禁止国会议员及其家属从稳定币中牟利，但该禁令不适用 于总统及其家属。 马萨诸塞州民主党参议员Elizabeth Warren直言不讳地警告称，该法案为特朗普的腐败行为"开辟了一条 高速通道"。她还警告称，法案可能允许像亚马逊(AMZN.US)和Meta(META.US)这样的大型科技公司推 出自己的 ...

Group 1: Stablecoin Legislation and Market Impact - Hong Kong's Stablecoin Regulation officially legislated, effective August 2025, marking the first clear regulatory framework for stablecoins, providing institutional support for the digital financial ecosystem [1] - The initial market reaction indicates a concentration of funds on compliant technology service providers, reflecting a "regulatory-driven, technology realization" phenomenon [1] - Investors should focus on companies in Hong Kong with compliance application capabilities, technical reserves, and regulatory experience, as these firms will likely enter the regulatory "whitelist" and gain long-term advantages [1] - The essence of stablecoins lies not in their value but in their ability to reconstruct the "USD liquidity path," bypassing SWIFT and traditional banking systems, transforming USD into on-chain circulating assets [1] - Companies like Hengsheng Electronics, Tianyang Technology, and Sifang Chuangxin, while not issuers, are expected to become the "foundation" of the on-chain financial system, providing core functions such as payment channels, identity verification, and custody auditing, leading to valuation leaps [1] Group 2: Ant Group's Strategy in Stablecoin Ecosystem - Ant Group's international and digital technology arms are targeting stablecoin license applications from both cross-border fund operations and underlying technology infrastructure perspectives, showcasing a dual approach in the global stablecoin ecosystem [2] - Ant International processes over $1 trillion annually in cross-border transactions, with $300 billion already operating through blockchain technology; successful conversion to stablecoin clearing paths could support explosive growth in practical scenarios [2] - Ant Digital Technology is focusing on building the necessary underlying service capabilities for future stablecoin circulation through technology sandboxes and RWA (Real World Asset tokenization) [2] - The Hong Kong Stablecoin Regulation sets high regulatory standards, including a minimum capital requirement of HKD 25 million and 100% reserve custody, which Ant has already navigated through regulatory sandbox tests [2] - Ant's established payment network and international cooperation position it favorably to embed stablecoins into core scenarios such as cross-border e-commerce, overseas remittances, and international fund pool management [3] Group 3: Industrial Metals Trading Opportunities - In April 2025, Trump's proposed reciprocal tariff policy triggered a panic sell-off in industrial metals; however, a subsequent 90-day implementation delay released "negotiation signals," leading to a rebound in the non-ferrous sector, which has returned to pre-tariff levels [3] - Despite recent signs of a temporary easing in US-China trade relations, the 24% reciprocal tariff remains in place, and with strong inflation/employment data from Europe and the US, the difficulty of mid-term favorable outcomes increases [3] Group 4: Automotive Industry and Recall Issues - On June 13, 2025, Mercedes-Benz announced three recall notices in one day, involving 16,100 vehicles across multiple models, including EQC, A-Class, CLA, GLA, C-Class, GLC SUV, S-Class, and EQE [4] - In a competitive landscape for smart electric vehicles, user reputation and product safety are critical for repeat purchases, and frequent recalls significantly diminish brand premium [4] - BMS system errors may expose integration and testing inadequacies between Mercedes-Benz and partners like CATL, highlighting the need for investors to focus on suppliers with advantages in system stability and safety design [5] Group 5: Internet Television Subscription Regulations - In mid-June 2025, China's National Radio and Television Administration initiated a special governance on automatic renewal of internet television subscriptions, addressing consumer pain points such as "deduction without reminder" and "complex cancellation" [6] - The previous model of "default renewal + hidden cancellation" was a primary monetization method for internet TV platforms, with some OTT platforms relying on "renewal forgetfulness" to maintain user retention [6] - New regulations require user "active consent + advance reminder," likely leading to a significant decline in renewal rates, particularly affecting marginal paying users and inactive user groups [6] - Smaller OTT integrators and content providers may exit due to cost pressures, while platforms with compliance capabilities and mature user operation systems (e.g., Mango TV, CCTV Video, Aurora TV) are better positioned to adapt [6]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - The regulatory policies for stablecoins in China and the United States are advancing, marking a shift from technical experimentation to compliance development, which is expected to reshape the international landscape of cross-border payments and asset digitization [10][11][14] - Ant Group is entering the stablecoin market, while Circle's IPO is leading overseas exploration, indicating a collaborative drive among global market players to enhance the stablecoin ecosystem [11][36] Summary by Sections 1. Stablecoin Regulatory Developments - Hong Kong's Stablecoin Regulation will take effect on August 1, 2025, establishing a licensing system and core requirements such as "100% reserve, licensed issuance, and real-time redemption" [15][16] - The U.S. Genius Act is progressing, requiring stablecoins to be issued by licensed institutions with a 1:1 dollar reserve, aimed at enhancing consumer protection and financial stability [25][26] 2. Ant Group's Entry and Circle's IPO - Circle's IPO on June 5, 2025, raised $1.1 billion, with a first-day increase of over 160%, marking a significant event in the stablecoin sector [32][33] - Ant Group is actively pursuing a stablecoin license in Hong Kong, having engaged in multiple rounds of communication with regulators [37][38] 3. Investment Recommendations - Beneficiary companies include RWA: GCL-Poly Energy (Ant Group joint venture), Longxin Group, and stablecoin-related firms such as Sifang Jingchuang, Huijin Co., Yuxin Technology, and others [13][14]