Core Insights - The collaboration between New World Development and LV highlights the challenges faced by both parties in the luxury retail sector, particularly in Hong Kong, where consumer spending has declined significantly [1][2][3] Group 1: New World Development's Situation - New World Development has entered into a revenue-sharing rental agreement with LV for a flagship store in Hong Kong, indicating its financial struggles and the need for flexible rental models [1][2] - The company reported a 1.6% decline in revenue to HKD 16.79 billion and a 17.6% drop in core profit to HKD 4.42 billion for the first half of the fiscal year 2024 [6][10] - New World Development's rental income decreased by 4.3% to HKD 2.56 billion, with a notable 7.5% decline in Hong Kong rental income [6][10] Group 2: Luxury Market Challenges - The luxury retail sector in Hong Kong has faced significant challenges, with a 2.3% year-on-year decline in total retail sales value in April 2025 [9][10] - LVMH's sales in the first quarter of 2025 fell by 3%, with the fashion and leather goods segment, which includes LV, experiencing a 5% organic sales decline [2][14][16] - The overall luxury market is projected to face a slowdown, with predictions of either mild recovery or moderate contraction in 2025 [19][21] Group 3: Strategic Adjustments - LV is adapting to market conditions by introducing more affordable product lines, aiming to attract a broader consumer base amid declining sales [21][22] - The brand has also shifted to a commission-based rental model in response to the challenging retail environment, reflecting a strategic pivot to maintain profitability [22]

星展银行：亚洲美元需求下降，新加坡元利率因资金回流而降低 桥水基金：美国消费放缓波及多领域，房地产等行业面临压力 SEB Research：欧洲央行计划7月暂停降息，9月和12月或再降息两次 【机构分析】 SEB Research分析师指出，根据欧洲央行管理委员会多位成员在6月份会议后的评论，欧洲央行打算在7 月份暂停降息；分析师预测欧洲央行将会再进行两次降息，或将存款利率从当前的2.00%下调至 1.50%。目前预计这两次降息将分别发生在9月和12月。 星展银行策略师指出，亚洲对美元的需求已显著下滑，而那些持有大量美国资产的亚洲国家，其货币兑 美元的表现尤为坚挺。目前，众多亚洲投资者正积极考虑对冲美元风险，或将投资组合分散至非美元资 产。资金回流新加坡的现象已导致短期新加坡元利率大幅降低。自4月份美国宣布关税政策以来，美元 普遍遭遇抛售，其价值被严重高估。 德意志银行策略师表示，美国参议院批准的一项新的稳定币监管法案，有望强化美元在全球数字时代的 主导地位。若该法案得以通过，将与美元挂钩的稳定币（已占据市场大部分份额）进一步吸引更多外国 流动性。此举或将加速数字美元在不稳定经济体中的普及，且此过程无需依赖中 ...