十五五规划
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中信建投证券首席经济学家黄文涛:预计2026年出口增速有望继续超预期
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 05:42
Core Viewpoint - The 2026 GDP growth target for China is set at around 5%, which is deemed necessary and feasible to stabilize investor confidence in Chinese assets and capital markets [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Growth Projections - The chief economist of CITIC Securities, Huang Wentao, indicated that China's GDP growth is expected to reach around 5% next year due to policy support [1]. - The average GDP growth rate required from 2020 to 2035 to achieve the goal of reaching the per capita GDP of a moderately developed country by 2035 is approximately 4.73% [1]. - The average GDP growth rate during the 14th Five-Year Plan period is above 5%, meeting the stage requirements [1]. Group 2: Export and External Demand - Huang noted that external demand remains resilient, with China's export performance in 2025 exceeding expectations, contributing over 30% to GDP growth in the first half of the year [2]. - If the trade agreements are effectively executed and non-U.S. economies continue to expand, the export growth rate in 2026 is expected to exceed expectations [3]. Group 3: Real Estate Market Outlook - The negative impact of the real estate sector on the economy is expected to diminish, with a projected slight narrowing of the decline in real estate development investment and new housing sales in 2026 [3]. - The decline in new housing sales is anticipated to be within 5%, reducing the negative drag on the economy [3]. Group 4: Policy Support and Consumer Recovery - There is ample room for policy support, with fiscal, monetary, and industrial policies expected to work in tandem in 2026 [3]. - The implementation of "two重" and "two新" policies is expected to continue, with an increase in support for service consumption and the expansion of trade-in policies for consumer goods [3]. - If fiscal policies align with consumer recovery efforts, consumption is projected to improve from its current low state [3].
中国如何扩内需?外资怎样共享机遇?外国使节追问“十五五”
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-11-13 04:16
Group 1 - The core focus of the meeting was on China's economic transformation, particularly in expanding domestic demand and promoting green low-carbon transition, which are crucial for both China's high-quality development and international economic cooperation [1][7][15] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" was highlighted as a significant strategic framework for China's development over the next five years, emphasizing the importance of modernization and international collaboration [4][11] - Specific measures to increase domestic consumption were discussed, including raising residents' income, improving the efficiency of wealth distribution, and removing consumption restrictions [7][8] Group 2 - The meeting addressed the concerns of many developing countries regarding the evolution of cooperation under the Belt and Road Initiative, particularly in manufacturing and digital sectors [11][12] - The discussion included China's resilience in the face of trade wars, with data indicating that approximately 80% of Chinese exports remain competitive even with a 30% price increase [15][16] - The dialogue also covered the challenges of market segmentation and local protectionism, with commitments to address these issues through systematic reforms [15][16]
超3万亿元→超3.5万亿元 “投资中国就是投资未来”成为外资机构共识
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-11-13 03:21
央视网消息:记者11月12日从上海证券交易所国际投资者大会了解到,随着我国资本市场高水平制度型开放不断拓展,境外投资者持有A 股的市值提升,从2020年底的超3万亿元增长到目前的超3.5万亿元。 与会嘉宾认为,一年多来,A股主要股指平稳上行,明晟中国指数年内跑赢全球市场;尤其是我国坚定不移稳妥有序推进资本市场双向开 放,为各类国际投资者营造放心投的制度环境。 中国证监会副主席 李明:目前,境外投资者持有A股的市值超过3.5万亿元,是A股市场的重要参与力量。展望未来,中国资本市场对外开 放的大门只会越来越大。推动更多期货期权品种纳入对外开放品种范围,提高外资机构参与中国资本市场的便利度。 记者观察到,无论是场内发言,还是场外交流,"投资中国就是投资未来"已经成为外资机构高管们的共识。 摩根资产管理环球主席 白博文:对摩根大通而言,中国是我们的关键战略重点。在中国,我们拥有最大的外商独资公募基金公司,管理 着超过2600亿元人民币的资产。 谈及中国的"十五五"规划,外资机构高管表示,相信中国一定能够达成规划目标,从而带来企业盈利能力的提升和股票投资的良好回报。 宏利投资管理全球首席投资官 浦科令:("十五五"规划 ...
中央宣讲团在海口“二线口岸”现场开展互动化宣讲
Hai Nan Ri Bao· 2025-11-13 02:28
Core Points - The central theme of the article revolves around the interactive lecture conducted by the Central Propaganda Team in Haikou, focusing on the implementation of the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, particularly regarding the construction of the Hainan Free Trade Port [2][3]. Group 1: Key Insights on Hainan Free Trade Port - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session outlined 12 strategic tasks, emphasizing the expansion of high-level openness and the construction of the Hainan Free Trade Port as a priority [2][3]. - The construction of the Hainan Free Trade Port is seen as a significant opportunity to enhance high-quality development and contribute to the new development pattern in China, leveraging its geographical advantages [3][5]. - The session highlighted the importance of talent as a strategic resource for national rejuvenation and international competitiveness, advocating for a more open talent mechanism to support the Free Trade Port's development [5]. Group 2: Youth Engagement and Development - The interactive session encouraged youth participation, with a focus on their role as builders of the new era, emphasizing the need for enhanced capabilities and responsibilities in the context of the Free Trade Port's development [4][5]. - The Minister shared key strategies for youth development, stressing the importance of political capability, work skills, and discipline as essential for their growth in the evolving landscape of the Free Trade Port [4][5]. - The dialogue underscored the necessity for young professionals to adapt to new challenges and requirements posed by the Free Trade Port, fostering a sense of mission and urgency in their contributions [5].
学深悟透笃行 凝聚奋进伟力
Hai Nan Ri Bao· 2025-11-13 02:21
Core Points - The article emphasizes the importance of studying and implementing the spirit of the 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session as a major political task for the entire party and nation [1][2][3] Group 1: Implementation of the 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session - The session is viewed as a significant meeting in the journey towards the second centenary goal, with immediate actions taken in Hainan to convey and implement its spirit [2] - Hainan's leadership is actively promoting the session's spirit through various local initiatives, ensuring that the message reaches the grassroots level [2][4] - The construction of the Hainan Free Trade Port is entering a new phase, necessitating deeper understanding and practical application of the session's directives [2][5] Group 2: Learning and Promotion Strategies - There is a strong emphasis on deepening the understanding of the session's spirit through innovative learning methods and effective communication strategies [3][4] - The provincial propaganda teams are tasked with leading the way in disseminating the session's spirit, utilizing various media platforms to ensure widespread understanding [4][5] - The focus is on making the session's policies relatable to the local populace, transforming theoretical concepts into practical, everyday language [2][4] Group 3: Planning and Execution - The article highlights the need for high-quality planning in Hainan's "14th Five-Year Plan," aligning it with the central government's strategic directives [5] - There is a call for all levels of government to translate the session's spirit into actionable tasks, ensuring that it is reflected in the completion of current and future projects [5][6] - The commitment to high standards in building the Hainan Free Trade Port is reiterated, with an emphasis on achieving tangible results [5][6]
“双十一”湖北跨境电商进口包裹货值超3亿元,近七成商品实现“次日达”
Chang Jiang Ri Bao· 2025-11-13 00:53
Core Insights - The cross-border e-commerce sector in Hubei province is experiencing a peak in business during the "Double Eleven" shopping festival, with Wuhan Customs processing nearly 1.4 million imported packages valued at over 300 million yuan in the past month [1][2]. Group 1: Business Performance - During the "Double Eleven" event, Hubei's cross-border e-commerce shows a stable growth pattern, with the Wuhan Economic Development Comprehensive Bonded Zone expanding its range of imported goods by over 1,500 items this year [2]. - The variety of imported products now includes popular categories such as beauty and skincare, health supplements, baby products, and pet food, catering to increasingly diverse consumer demands [2]. Group 2: Customs Support and Efficiency - Wuhan Customs has tailored a "one enterprise, one policy" customs clearance plan to handle the peak orders during "Double Eleven," implementing a 24/7 appointment system and utilizing intelligent methods to streamline the clearance process [2][4]. - The efficient customs services have significantly reduced operational costs for cross-border e-commerce businesses and improved consumer shopping experiences, with nearly 70% of products achieving next-day delivery [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Cross-border e-commerce is recognized as a vital force in China's foreign trade development and a significant global trade trend, with expectations for broader growth opportunities as the "14th Five-Year Plan" is implemented [6]. - Wuhan Customs plans to continue optimizing regulatory models and enhancing service efficiency to support the healthy and standardized development of new business formats like cross-border e-commerce, contributing to the high-quality development of the local economy [6].
市委召开专题会议研究“十五五”规划建议起草工作:深入学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神,高质量编制好我市“十五五”规划建议
Chang Jiang Ri Bao· 2025-11-13 00:53
11月12日,市委召开专题会议研究我市"十五五"规划建议起草工作。省委常委、市委书 记、市长、市"十五五"规划起草组组长盛阅春主持会议并强调,要深入学习贯彻党的二十届 四中全会精神和习近平总书记考察湖北重要讲话精神,认真落实省委部署要求,紧密结合武 汉实际,广泛听取意见建议,高质量编制好我市"十五五"规划建议,为未来五年经济社会发 展提供科学指引。 会议强调,要科学合理确定"十五五"时期的发展目标 ,紧紧围绕"加快建设国家中心城 市、全力打造'五个中心'、努力建设现代化大武汉"这个使命任务和"满足人民日益增长的美 好生活需要"这个根本目的,研究提出积极进取、符合实际的总体目标,明确重点任务、载 体抓手和改革举措,积极回应群众关切。 会议强调,要坚持开门编规划 ,以多种方式听取人民群众和社会各界的意见建议,广 泛汇集智慧、凝聚共识,共同为武汉发展献计出力。要抓紧开展我市"十五五"规划纲要编制 工作 ,推动规划建议与规划纲要、专项规划紧密对接,将建议提出的方向性要求转化为推 动经济社会发展的务实举措。要突出抓好重大项目谋划 ,争取更多大项目、好项目纳入国 家和省规划盘子,为"十五五"发展提供有力支撑。 市领导陈劲 ...
视频丨外国机构投资者进一步增持中国股票
Yang Shi Xin Wen Ke Hu Duan· 2025-11-13 00:49
摩根资产管理环球主席 白博文:对摩根大通而言,中国是我们的关键战略重点。在中国,我们拥有最大的外商独资公募基金公司,管理着超过2600亿元人 民币的资产。 谈及中国的"十五五"规划,外资机构高管表示,相信中国一定能够达成规划目标,从而带来企业盈利能力的提升和股票投资的良好回报。 瑞银投资银行近日发布报告称,今年三季度,外国机构投资者进一步增持中国股票。全球前40大投资机构的中国股票持仓升至1.1%,为2023年一季度以来 的最高水平。 在上海证券交易所国际投资者大会上,记者也能明显感觉到外资机构高管对投资中国展现出浓厚的兴趣。 0:00 记者观察到,无论是场内发言,还是场外交流,"投资中国就是投资未来"已经成为外资机构高管们的共识。 宏利投资管理全球首席投资官 浦科令:"十五五"规划对高质量发展、可持续增长的关注,将给许多海外投资专家进入中国市场带来信心。 富兰克林邓普顿亚太区首席执行官 塔里克·艾哈迈德:像人工智能、机器人、新能源汽车,这些领域对中国来说是变革性的。从全球金融市场的角度来看, 这会创造出巨大的投资机会。 责编:张青津、卢思宇 ...
迈向“十五五” “钢铁驼队”驰新程
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-11-13 00:36
Core Viewpoint - The China-Europe Railway Express has established a new international transportation pattern between Asia and Europe, serving as a vital link for global exchange and cooperation, with a focus on high-quality development under the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1] Group 1: Operational Efficiency - The Xian International Port Station, the largest freight marshalling station in the country, handles an average of nearly 600 China-Europe Railway Express trains daily, with over 18,000 trains arriving and departing during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [3] - The newly implemented intelligent yard system tracks vehicle movements and cargo handling 24/7, allowing for efficient operations with over 8,000 container trucks operating daily [3] - The loading of a China-Europe Railway Express train is completed in under 2 hours, with an average of one train departing or arriving every 90 minutes at the Xian International Port Station [5] Group 2: Growth and Expansion - Since the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan," over 23,000 China-Europe Railway Express trains have been operated from Xian, accounting for more than a quarter of the national total, transporting over 22 million tons of goods [6] - The transportation time for the cross-Caspian route has been reduced from 23 days to 12 days, with new routes such as the "Xian-Tashkent" express line improving transport efficiency by 40% [8] - The number of secondary distribution stations for the China-Europe Railway Express (Xian) has increased to five, enhancing the distribution network [10] Group 3: International Cooperation and Service Optimization - The integration of land and sea transport networks is expanding, with multiple channels being developed to increase capacity, connecting countries along the "Belt and Road" initiative [11] - The logistics model at the Kazakhstan-Xian terminal facilitates direct transport of goods to Almaty, with an automated scheduling system improving operational efficiency [13] - The China-Europe Railway Express enables rapid transport of goods, such as electric vehicles from China to Europe in 15 days and flour from Kazakhstan to consumers in just 7 days [15]
外国驻港人士:“十五五”时期香港会有更好发展
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-13 00:09
Group 1 - The core message of the news highlights the positive outlook on Hong Kong's development as articulated in the "14th Five-Year Plan," emphasizing its role in consolidating and enhancing its status as an international financial, shipping, and trade center [1][2] - The Chinese economy is expected to provide more development opportunities, a favorable business environment, and a broad platform for innovation and green development, benefiting both Hong Kong and the global community [1] - The focus on sustainable development, technological innovation, green energy, and social equity during the "14th Five-Year" period is seen as beneficial not only for China but also for global progress and international cooperation [1][2] Group 2 - Hong Kong is positioned to leverage its unique advantages to deeply participate in the implementation of the "14th Five-Year Plan," particularly in financial services, aviation, shipping, and higher education research [2] - The development of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is viewed as an opportunity for Hong Kong and Macao to extend their influence and capabilities to a broader mainland market [2]