Group 1 - The index is expected to consolidate and gather strength before reaching new highs, with the recent tariff delay being fully priced in by the market, leading to a rise in major indices, including the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a high of 3555.22 points [3][14] - The market's optimistic sentiment is currently prevailing, but there is insufficient risk pricing for potential negative surprises regarding tariffs, which may hinder further declines in risk evaluation [3][14] - The market's recent rise is primarily driven by an increase in risk appetite, with the ChiNext Index, CSI 1000 Index, and All A Index outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [4][15] Group 2 - Short-term themes are expected to rotate between policy expectations and industrial trends, with a focus on the "anti-involution" sector and real estate, which has seen a 6.1% increase this week due to anticipated policy developments [6][16] - The "anti-involution" sector, particularly in steel, pork, and certain segments of new energy, is highlighted as a potential area of focus due to high policy expectations following recent government meetings [6][16] - The trading of industrial trends is expected to continue, with short-term attention on sectors such as stablecoins, rare earths, nuclear fusion, military industry, deep-sea economy, artificial intelligence, and innovative pharmaceuticals [7][17]

证 券 研 究 报 告 计算机行业周报（20250707-20250711） Grok 4 发布：xAI 引领 Agent 加速落地 行业研究 计算机 2025 年 07 月 13 日 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 8.2% | 4.0% | 51.4% | | 相对表现 | 6.1% | 5.5% | 37.8% | 推荐（维持） 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：吴鸣远 邮箱：wumingyuan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040001 联系人：周志浩 邮箱：zhouzhihao1@hcyjs.com 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 338 | 0.04 | | 总市值(亿元) | 45,343.43 | 4.40 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 39,023.53 | 4.82 | 相对指数表现 -9% 21% 52% 82% 24/07 24/09 24/12 25/02 25/04 25/07 2024-07-15~2025-07-11 ...

近段时间以来，数字货币领域里以"稳定币"为代表的相关概念热度一度飙升，引发市场持续聚焦。 该类机构利用稳定币等新概念进行炒作，编造所谓的"虚拟货币""虚拟资产""数字资产"等投资项目，公开虚假 宣传并吸收公众资金，滋生非法集资、赌博、诈骗、传销、洗钱等违法犯罪活动。 "请广大群众增强理性投资意识，不要盲目相信天花乱坠的承诺，树立正确的货币观念和投资理念，切实提高 风险意识，避免上当受骗。"风险提示称，若发现相关机构以投资稳定币等名义从事非法集资行为，请及时向 市、区处非牵头部门或公安部门举报。 实际上，在深圳市防范和打击非法金融活动专责小组办公室发布风险提示之后，"宁夏防非打非办""重庆打 非"等微信公众平台陆续发布类似的关于警惕以稳定币等名义实施非法集资的风险提示。 苏州：虚拟货币相关业务活动属于非法金融 日前，包括北京、深圳、苏州、重庆、宁夏等在内的多地机构接连发布风险提示，严肃指出这一新兴概念正被 不法分子当作"障眼法"，肆意用于非法集资、诈骗等违法犯罪活动，危害不容小觑。 深圳：增强理性投资意识 进入7月份，最早的一份关于警惕稳定币所涉相关风险的提示出自深圳。 7月7日，深圳市委金融办官网显示，深圳市 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rising interest in stablecoins and the opportunities it presents for the cryptocurrency market, particularly emphasizing the role of the XBIT decentralized exchange platform in providing a secure and efficient trading environment for investors [1][9]. Industry Overview - The passage of the "Genius Act" by the U.S. Senate grants stablecoin holders priority claims on supporting assets in bankruptcy situations, mandates that stablecoins be backed by high liquidity assets, and requires monthly reserve disclosures from issuers [1]. - This legislative change is expected to boost the stablecoin market and enhance the trading activity of major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin [1]. Company Features - XBIT operates as a decentralized exchange, differentiating itself from centralized exchanges by not relying on any central authority for transaction facilitation, thus reducing operational risks and enhancing transparency [3][6]. - The platform allows users to maintain control over their private keys and assets, preventing unauthorized freezing or misappropriation of funds, which is a common issue with centralized exchanges [4][9]. - XBIT ensures transaction anonymity, as blockchain addresses are not directly linked to users' identities, providing privacy for investors [4][9]. Competitive Advantages - XBIT's decentralized nature makes it resistant to censorship, allowing users in regions with strict cryptocurrency regulations to trade without interruption [6]. - The platform offers competitive trading costs through open-source smart contracts, significantly lowering fees and even providing some transactions for free, which is beneficial for frequent traders [7]. - XBIT supports a wide range of cryptocurrencies and features a liquidity aggregation algorithm to find optimal prices for users, enhancing trading efficiency [7]. User Experience - The platform does not require identity verification or impose account restrictions, allowing for a seamless user experience where users manage their private keys and retain full control over their assets [9][10]. - XBIT provides advanced trading features such as limit orders and stop-loss orders, enabling users to react promptly to market changes without incurring high transaction costs [7][9].

Group 1 - The stablecoin market is experiencing significant growth, with CIRCLE's stock price increasing nearly 10 times within two weeks and Hong Kong's Jin Yong Investment seeing a daily increase of over 6 times [1] - Legislative actions are being taken globally, including the U.S. passing the GENIUS Act for stablecoin regulation, the U.K. releasing stablecoin regulatory proposals, and Hong Kong introducing a comprehensive regulatory framework for fiat-backed stablecoins [1] - Shanghai is positioned as a key player in the stablecoin sector, having undertaken various national financial technology pilot tasks and being a leader in the domestic blockchain industry [1] Group 2 - Guotai Junan International, a subsidiary of Shanghai Guotai State-owned Assets, has received approval from the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to upgrade its securities trading license, allowing it to trade virtual assets including stablecoins [3] - Greenland Holdings, backed by Shanghai state capital, has a subsidiary that holds a stake in Ant Group and has upgraded its licenses to support virtual asset business, enhancing its digital finance strategy [3] - Jinqiao Information, controlled by Shanghai state capital, collaborates with Ant Group to provide secure solutions for stablecoins and supports the issuance and regulation of digital currencies [3] Group 3 - A notable company backed by top state capital is involved in blockchain technology and has developed various platforms for data sharing, electronic evidence, and data security, applicable across multiple sectors [4] - The company collaborates with Tencent Cloud to create cloud platform solutions for government and enterprise needs, and works with Ant Blockchain on projects like electronic invoices and contracts [4] - Its blockchain electronic invoice project has been recognized as a pilot demonstration project by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-bank financial sector, particularly highlighting the potential for valuation increases driven by policy support and favorable mid-year performance [1][2]. Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector is experiencing a boost due to supportive policies for insurance capital market entry and positive earnings forecasts for brokerages, with an expected year-on-year profit growth of 36% for the first half of 2025 [2][16]. - The report emphasizes the growing involvement of Chinese brokerages in the stablecoin and virtual asset sectors, spurred by recent discussions and policy developments in Shanghai and Hong Kong [2][16]. - Insurance companies are expected to benefit from new long-term investment policies aimed at aligning investment strategies with performance evaluations, which could enhance their market stability and investment returns [2][16]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,014.81 with a weekly change of +0.82%, while the non-bank index rose by 3.96% to 1,945.59 [5][11]. - The brokerage sector saw a significant increase of 4.46%, with notable performances from individual stocks such as Zhongyin Securities (+22.56%) and Haitong Securities (+16.36%) [7][14]. Non-Bank Financial News and Key Announcements - The Ministry of Finance issued a notification to guide insurance funds towards long-term stable investments, which is expected to enhance the investment appetite and stability of insurance companies [16][20]. - Several brokerages have reported optimistic earnings forecasts for the first half of 2025, with companies like Guolian Minsheng expecting a staggering 1183% increase in net profit [27][30]. - The report highlights the increasing stock and securities investment by insurance funds, which reached a total of 4.46 trillion yuan, accounting for 12.8% of their total investments, marking a significant increase from previous periods [2][11].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market - A" [6] Core Viewpoints - The report introduces the RDA (Real Data Assets) paradigm, aiming to bridge cryptocurrency and data elements, emphasizing the marketization and value realization of data elements, and enhancing the efficiency of connecting physical assets and capital [2][3][4] - RDA is positioned as the soul of RWA (Real World Assets), facilitating the mapping of physical assets in the digital realm and providing four funding channels: credit financing, equity financing, securitization, and global fundraising [3][15] - The report suggests focusing on companies related to the Shanghai Data Exchange, including YunSai ZhiLian, Shanghai Steel Union, Wanda Information, and others, as potential investment opportunities [3][17] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The computer industry index increased by 3.37% this week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.28 percentage points [18][19] - The report highlights that the computer sector's performance is closely tied to themes surrounding stablecoins and related industries [22] Market Overview - The report notes that the RDA paradigm addresses challenges in ensuring the authenticity and transparency of assets during the on-chain process, leveraging blockchain technology and trusted data spaces [4][17] - The report emphasizes the importance of data authenticity in the value realization process, with RDA focusing on the integration of data and physical assets [14][16] Key Industry News - The report mentions significant advancements in AI and quantum computing, including the launch of Kimi's new model and the "Zuchongzhi 3" quantum computing prototype, which showcases China's technological prowess [25] - It also discusses strategic collaborations in the stablecoin space, such as the partnership between Jin Yong Investment and AnchorX to explore the application of stablecoin AxCNH [25]

中经记者郑瑜北京报道 今年5月，中国香港通过《稳定币条例草案》，在香港设立法币稳定币发行人的发牌制度，引发稳定币 概念走热。 需要指出的是，在中国内地市场，目前开展任何形式的虚拟货币业务和相关投资均被禁止。而截至目 前，香港稳定币发行人沙盒计划还在测试阶段，因此还未有成功发行的稳定币项目。 真正的稳定币发行、运营需符合严格监管，而市场上许多"伪币"只是借壳行骗。密码学博士、安徽栈谷 科技有限公司董事长高承实向《中国经营报》记者强调，除了机构，稳定币对个体来讲不具有投资价 值。所谓高收益稳定币、区块链互助基金等项目，基本可以判断其为骗局。 事实上，对于当前不法机构和个人的炒作，北京互金协会指出，已经具有显著的非法集资风险特征： 一是资质缺失。这些机构或个人未经国务院金融管理部门依法批准或备案，不具备面向社会公众吸收存 款、销售理财产品或发行证券的合法资质。 近期，以稳定币为代表的数字货币受到市场广泛关注，但相关骗局也有抬头迹象。 继深圳市防范和打击非法金融活动专责小组办公室发布《关于警惕以稳定币等名义实施非法集资的风险 提示》后，日前，北京市互联网金融行业协会（以下简称"北京互金协会"）也发布《关于警惕利用"稳 ...

著名经济学家宋清辉说，香港可充分发挥其离岸市场优势，探索发行锚定人民币的离岸稳定币，上海应在跨境贸易、供应链金融等领域，提供技 术研发和应用场景对接方面的支持，共同探索人民币稳定币在内地与香港、内地与国际间的应用。另一方面，沪港可协同探索中国央行数字货币 与各类合规稳定币之间的互操作性，构建高效安全的跨境支付结算网络，并共同推动和采纳一套统一或兼容的区块链技术标准及协议，确保两地 数字金融基础设施的顺畅连接与信息共享，并在合规框架下，探索两地数字资产市场的互联互通模式。 专家指，沪港可在合规框 架下，研究数字资产市场的互联互通。图为两地官员签署《沪港国际金融中心协同发展行动方案》。（资料图片 上海国资委集体学习稳定币 沪港数字资产市场联通引憧憬 （香港文汇报 记者 倪巍晨 上海报道）继中国人民银行行长潘功胜6月18日在「2025陆家嘴论坛」上首次提及「稳定币」话题后，上海市国资委党委近日召 开中心组学习会，主题聚焦「加密货币与稳定币的发展趋势及应对策略」。上海市国资委党委书记、主任贺青要求，加强对数字货币的研究探索，坚持产数 融合，探索区块链技术在跨境贸易、供应链金融、资产数字化等领域的运用。有受访专家指，沪 ...

Core Insights - The forum discussed strategies for Chinese companies to adapt to the reshaping of the global economic landscape due to geopolitical challenges, trade barriers, financial volatility, and technological changes [2][3] Group 1: Global Economic Landscape - The pressure of global supply chain restructuring highlights China's strong production, logistics, and human resources, which can still provide competitive advantages [3] - The "dual circulation" strategy emphasizes the importance of enhancing negotiation skills with the world and identifying systematic opportunities for international expansion [3] - The World Bank indicates that since 2004, the share of global goods and services trade in global GDP has steadily increased, showing that globalization has not halted [6] Group 2: Digital Currency and Regulation - The U.S. and global regulatory frameworks are evolving, particularly with the introduction of the U.S. Stablecoin Innovation Act and Hong Kong's Stablecoin Regulations, which may diminish the decentralized nature of stablecoins [4] - The development of stablecoins by the U.S. is seen as a strategy to reinforce the dominance of the dollar in the global economy [4][5] - There is a call for China to accelerate legislation and regulation regarding digital currencies and stablecoins to enhance the internationalization of the renminbi [4][5] Group 3: Localization and Global Strategy - Companies must implement localization strategies to succeed in overseas markets, as evidenced by Ganfeng Lithium's approach to respecting local cultures and sharing benefits [7] - The integration of new technologies like artificial intelligence with China's manufacturing advantages is crucial for addressing challenges in overseas operations [7] - Key experiences for state-owned enterprises in international expansion include global resource allocation, differentiation, compliance, and low-carbon transformation [8] Group 4: Economic Challenges and Policy - Domestic economic challenges in China include a decline in import ratios, fluctuating real estate markets, and a need for more proactive monetary policies to stimulate investment and consumption [6] - The future of China's economy relies not only on macroeconomic policy adjustments but also on the ability of enterprises to find differentiated paths in the new phase of globalization [8]