来源：新晚报、今日油价查看、微泰州 本次油价调整时间为10月13日24时(周一晚)，本轮油价10个工作日的统计周期，在经过9个工作日统计 后，随着近期国际油价大跌，当前原油变化率达到：-1.37%，预计下调油价75元/吨，折合升计算就是 预计下跌油价0.06元/升至0.07元/升。 油价要降了！ 10月13日，要迎来10月的首次油价调整了，虽然9月份油价出现了连续2次搁浅调整，让国庆放假前油价 没能继续下降，但是现在10月的油价实现了由涨变跌，要重新迎来下跌了，油价就要重新调整了。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The oil prices are set to decrease in October following a significant drop in international oil prices, marking a shift from previous stability in September [1][4]. Group 1: Oil Price Trends - On October 10, international oil prices experienced a sharp decline, with New York crude futures falling by 5.32% to $58.24 per barrel, the lowest in five months, and Brent crude futures dropping by 4.8% to $62.09 per barrel [1][4]. - Year-to-date, New York crude futures have decreased by 18.8%, while Brent crude futures have fallen by 16.81% [1][4]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Oil Prices - The decline in oil prices is attributed to several factors, including threats from the U.S. President to significantly increase tariffs, raising concerns about worsening international trade tensions [4]. - Additionally, OPEC has been increasing supply to the market, altering the supply-demand dynamics [4]. - A significant geopolitical shift in the Middle East, particularly the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas, is expected to reduce geopolitical risk premiums and improve oil supply expectations [4]. Group 3: Domestic Oil Price Adjustments - Since the last domestic oil price adjustment on August 26, there have been no changes for over a month, with two adjustments being shelved during this period [4]. - Domestic oil prices have experienced "six increases, seven decreases, and six suspensions" this year, resulting in a net effect where the price of 92-octane gasoline in Zhejiang Province has decreased by 0.32 yuan per liter [4].

【10月13日将迎10月首次油价调整，预计下调】10月12日消息，明日将迎来10月首次油价调整。本轮油 价统计周期为10个工作日，经过9个工作日统计，因近期国际油价大跌，当前原油变化率达-1.37%。 预 计下调油价75元/吨，折合升计算，预计下跌油价0.06元/升至0.07元/升。 本文由 AI算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 ...

本次油价调整时间为10月13日24时(下周一晚)，本轮油价10个工作日的统计周期，在经过9个工作日统 计后，随着近期国际油价大跌，当前原油变化率达到：-1.37%，预计下调油价75元/吨，折合升计算就 是预计下跌油价0.06元/升至0.07元/升。 来源：新晚报、今日油价查看、微泰州、掌上吉林 明日(10月13日)将要迎来10月的首次油价调整了，虽然9月份油价出现了连续2次搁浅调整，让国庆放假 前油价没能继续下降，但是现在10月的油价实现了由涨变跌，要重新迎来下跌了，油价就要重新调整 了。 油价要降了！ ...

Core Viewpoint - The oil price is expected to decrease in October after a period of stagnation in September, with a projected reduction of 75 yuan per ton due to a significant drop in international oil prices [1] Price Adjustment Details - The oil price adjustment will take place on October 13 at 24:00 [1] - The current crude oil change rate stands at -1.37% after nine working days of the ten-day statistical period [1] - The anticipated decrease in oil price translates to a reduction of approximately 0.06 to 0.07 yuan per liter [1]

【油价最新消息】截至2025年10月7日，今天，由于双节假期缘故，2025年第20次调价，本轮计价周期仍停滞在前6个工作日！从数据显示，9月30日，参考9 月29日国际油价下降，最新原油统计均价66.91美元/桶，原油变化率2.62%，汽柴油预估上涨140元/吨，参考92/95号汽油以及0号柴油，统计汽柴油上涨预期 在0.13元/升左右！ 2025年10月7日，星期二，农历八月十六，今天，国庆以及中秋假期进入尾声，按照汽柴油以10个工作日为周期，新周期第7个工作日进行中，此次油价调 整，市场呈现"过山车"的局面，前5个工作日显著上涨，第6个工作日后涨幅或逐步收窄，此次油价上涨或难兑现，汽柴油或将迎来今年第7次搁浅的局面！ 具体分析如下： 【油价前情回顾】按照汽柴油调价机制，上一次，今年第19次调价，原油变化率负值开端，但是，周期内，汽柴油涨至40元/吨！好在，周期末，原油价格 恢复下降，9月23日24时，9月第二次调价，油价调整幅度不足50元/吨的标准线，国内汽柴油迎来今年第6次搁浅的局面，9月份，成品油呈现二连搁浅的走 势！ 基于9月份汽柴油搁浅调价，截至目前，国内各地加油站，92/95号汽油以及0号柴油， ...

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming domestic oil price adjustment window is set to open on October 13, with expectations of a significant price increase prior to the National Day holiday being challenged by recent sharp declines in international oil prices [2][3]. Group 1: International Oil Price Trends - International crude oil prices have experienced a significant drop, with Brent crude futures closing at $64.36 per barrel, marking a weekly decline of over 7%, the lowest in nearly four months. WTI crude prices also fell sharply to $60.35 per barrel [3]. - The decline in oil prices is attributed to three main factors: increased production expectations from OPEC, weakened energy demand forecasts, and a decrease in geopolitical risk premiums [5][9]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Oil Prices - OPEC is expected to increase oil production by 137,000 barrels per day in November, with Saudi Arabia indicating a flexible approach to production adjustments based on market conditions. OPEC's oil output has been rising for five consecutive months [5]. - The International Energy Agency (IEA) has downgraded global oil demand growth for the third consecutive month, projecting an increase of only 700,000 barrels per day by 2025, a reduction of 350,000 barrels per day from earlier forecasts [9]. - Geopolitical risk premiums have decreased significantly, with current oil risk premiums down 40% compared to the period following the June Israel-Hamas conflict, suggesting further potential for price declines [9]. Group 3: Domestic Oil Price Adjustments - The rapid decline in international oil prices has led to a narrowing of the domestic crude oil change rate from a significant increase before the holiday to a slight increase of 0.69%, with the price increase dropping from 160 yuan per ton to 50 yuan per ton [10]. - If international oil prices remain at current levels, the domestic oil price adjustment on October 13 may not occur due to insufficient price increases [12]. - The outcome of the OPEC meeting on October 5, particularly regarding potential production increases, will directly impact oil price trends in the following week [14].

Core Viewpoint - Domestic oil prices have remained unchanged for the second consecutive time, providing relief for drivers ahead of the National Day holiday, with the next adjustment window set for October 13, where a potential increase is anticipated [1][2]. Group 1: Domestic Oil Price Adjustment - The National Development and Reform Commission announced that the current round of domestic oil price adjustments was suspended due to the price change being less than 50 yuan per ton [1][2]. - The next price adjustment window is on October 13, with an expected increase of 40 yuan per ton, nearing the 50 yuan adjustment threshold [2]. Group 2: International Oil Price Trends - International oil prices have risen by 1.6% this week, influenced by OPEC's production policies and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [2][3]. - OPEC's production policies are unclear, as Saudi Arabia's actual production and export data show a decrease, which supports higher oil prices [3]. Group 3: Federal Reserve's Impact - The Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates by 25 basis points in September has further stimulated the rise in oil prices [4].

Group 1 - The National Development and Reform Commission announced that domestic gasoline and diesel prices will not be adjusted this time, maintaining a low price level across most regions [1] - Domestic refined oil prices have experienced nineteen rounds of adjustments, showing a pattern of "six increases, seven decreases, and six suspensions," with overall price declines of 405 yuan/ton for gasoline and 390 yuan/ton for diesel compared to the end of 2024 [1] - Current gasoline and diesel prices are slightly lower by about 0.1 yuan per liter compared to the same period in 2024, but have seen a larger decline compared to the end of 2023 [1] Group 2 - The international oil market is facing oversupply risks due to OPEC+'s strong production increase amid concerns over macroeconomic conditions and fossil fuel demand [2] - Brent crude oil futures prices have decreased by 4.04% to $73.93 per barrel from early 2024 to September 20, and by 11.33% to $65.6 per barrel since the beginning of this year [2] - The market is currently experiencing a tug-of-war between geopolitical factors, demand resilience, and increased supply, which is influencing the recent downward trend in oil prices [2] Group 3 - The next price adjustment window will open on October 13, with expectations of a downward trend in refined oil prices based on current international oil price levels [3] - OPEC+ is set to initiate a new round of production increases starting in October, contributing to concerns over supply surplus amid a lack of significant escalation in geopolitical tensions [3] - Overall, the probability of a price decrease in the next round of refined oil adjustments is considered high due to the prevailing market conditions [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming adjustment of gasoline and diesel prices in China, highlighting the impact of international oil price fluctuations on domestic fuel prices, especially before the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays [1][5]. Price Adjustment Review - In 2025, there have been 18 price adjustments prior to the current one, with 7 decreases, 6 increases, and 4 instances of price stasis [3]. - For the first half of 2025, gasoline and diesel prices fell by 330 yuan and 315 yuan per ton, respectively, while in the second half, they decreased by 75 yuan per ton [3]. - Overall, the annual reduction for gasoline and diesel in 2025 is 405 yuan and 390 yuan per ton, translating to a decrease of approximately 0.32 to 0.35 yuan per liter at gas stations [3]. Price Adjustment News - The 19th price adjustment cycle began with a planned decrease of 90 yuan per ton, but due to fluctuations in the oil market, the expected increase in domestic fuel prices shifted from a decrease to an increase [5]. - As of September 22, 2025, the average price of crude oil was reported at 62.64 USD per barrel, with a significant drop of 2.9% in oil prices during the current cycle [5][7]. Current Adjustment Status - As of September 23, 2025, the final adjustment for this cycle resulted in no change in gasoline and diesel prices due to the increase not meeting the required threshold for a price hike [7]. - The next price adjustment is scheduled for October 13, 2025, with expectations of a potential decrease in fuel prices based on current market trends [7].