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俄持续空袭,摧毁乌60%天然气设施,欧盟要再次买单,有苦说不出
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 11:48
俄罗斯炸毁的是乌克兰的天然气设施,受寒的是整个欧洲的冬天。乌克兰哭着喊着要欧盟掏出22亿欧元"救命钱",而欧盟这边,心疼得比天气还冷。能源断 了,账单多了,民意压着,政治还得硬撑——这场冲突还没结束,欧洲已经快喘不过气来。 自2022年俄乌冲突爆发,欧盟就像个"月光族",每月都要往乌克兰账户里打钱。从军事装备到财政援助,甚至连军人薪水都要帮着垫。 据欧盟委员会2024年发布的报告,累计援助金额已突破850亿欧元,可泽连斯基还不嫌多,2024年冬天再次开口要求22亿欧元用于"基础设施重建"和"能源补 贴"。而彼时,美国态度一百八十度转弯。特朗普回国后直接表态:"乌克兰武器?得自己掏钱。"这下可好,欧盟成了唯一的"提款机"。 可问题是,这台提款机早就电压不稳了。2025年欧盟预算草案显示,多个民生项目被压缩,只为继续援乌"输血",不少成员国财政部长私下抱怨:"这不是 援助,这是拔我们的命根。" 更讽刺的是,欧盟内部也开始清醒。援助乌克兰,表面上是"价值观输出",背地里却是"战略自损"。越多的钱砸进去,越难收手。民众怨声载道,抗议不 断;可政治正确绑得紧,放弃援助又怕"站错队"。这不是矛盾,这是结构性困境,一边是道 ...
惊世大反转!俄罗斯燃油危机爆发,竟向中国紧急进口汽油,免税政策暗藏战略玄机
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 08:17
困局之下,俄罗斯被迫转向东方,中国成了那根救命稻草。 为啥是中国?很简单,咱们手握硬实力——全球最大炼油蒸馏塔出口国,2022年设备输出量达 38万台,比2018年翻了三倍!技术和产能全在线,足够帮俄重建一座炼油厂。但合作不止于救急,更踩中了全球能源转型的鼓点。巴西正把汽油乙醇掺混比 提到30%,越南全力推广E10乙醇汽油,而中国已是乙醇汽油技术的领头羊。俄罗斯这次免税进口(取消5%关税和13%增值税),每月能补上35万吨汽油缺 口,还计划用中欧班列开专线运输,把"原油换成品"的老模式升级成灵活双向补给。这像极了古代丝绸之路的复兴,但背后是残酷的现实:俄方别无选择。 然而,进口汽油只是止痛药,治不了根。 20天的海运加高昂转运成本,会吃掉免税红利。乌克兰已放话要扩大无人机生产,持续轰炸能源设施;西方设备 禁运更是长期枷锁。冬季临近,危机只会雪上加霜——民生挨冻、前线断油,俄经济稳定的地基正被侵蚀。孙子兵法云"知己知彼,百战不殆",俄方若只靠 外援,战略主动权就丢了。短期进口能缓一时,但产能修复和防袭难题无解。这场困局已演变成影响全局的变量,稍有不慎,地缘天秤就会倾斜。 谁曾想,那个曾掌控全球近一成成品油出口的 ...
美国霸权也没用,印度无视美国施压,拒在俄乌间站队
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 04:14
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses India's steadfastness in continuing to import oil from Russia despite U.S. sanctions and tariffs, highlighting the geopolitical and economic implications of this decision. Group 1: U.S. Sanctions and India's Response - The U.S. has imposed sanctions on Russia's energy sector and pressured other countries to reduce oil imports from Russia, aiming to weaken Russia's financial resources [1][6] - India has not only maintained but increased its oil imports from Russia, making it the largest supplier of crude oil to India, accounting for 34% of its total imports [8][13] - Indian Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar criticized the U.S. for its 25% punitive tariffs on Indian imports and described the U.S. actions as unfair and unreasonable [3][6] Group 2: Importance of Energy Security for India - Energy supply stability is crucial for India's economic growth and social stability, especially amid global oil price volatility [5] - The competitive pricing and stable supply of Russian oil are significant factors for India, as abandoning this source could lead to energy shortages and inflation [5][13] - India's energy procurement strategy is driven by national interest, prioritizing energy security over external pressures [8][13] Group 3: Criticism of Double Standards - India has criticized the U.S. for its double standards in energy sanctions, noting that many Western countries continue to import Russian oil while pressuring India to stop [6][10] - Jaishankar pointed out the inconsistency in how developed countries handle energy and resource acquisition compared to developing nations [11] Group 4: Future Outlook - The ongoing geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and India may persist, but India's commitment to an independent foreign policy and energy procurement strategy is expected to remain unchanged [15]
俄罗斯数轮毁灭性打击后,乌克兰天然气产能骤降60%,基辅紧急向盟友求助购买
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 13:52
根据知情人士透露,基辅政权在本周早些时候告知盟友,基于俄军从10月3日开始,对包括波尔塔瓦州和哈尔科夫州在内地区能源设施的毁灭性打击,乌克 兰60%天然气产能已经陷入瘫痪。 放在过去,俄军虽然会打击乌能源设施,但很少会进行毁灭性打击,然而随着乌军近期加码偷袭俄能源设施,普京一怒之下,9月底以来,算是彻底放开了 对乌境内能源设施的打击力度。 数据显示,乌克兰天然气储备位居欧洲第2,2022年产量是180亿立方米,2023年产量是165.6亿立方米,2024年产量是146立方米,战争不断使得乌克兰的天 然气产能变得极为脆弱。 尽管乌克兰过去数年也在尽可能减少天然气消费量,但在2025年第1个季度,其消费量仍高达130.73亿立方米,考虑到在非冬季的使用量会减少,全年消费 量也预估在220亿立方米以上 根据知情人士透露,基辅政权正在为最坏的情况提前做好准备,为了满足国内需求,乌克兰正计划在2026年3月底前,从国外新增购买44亿立方米的天然 气,这项计划预期耗资20亿欧元。 购买天然气的20亿欧元基辅拿不出,只能由欧洲暂时进行买单,在2025年8月,乌克兰国家石油天然气公司就从欧洲复兴开发银行获得了5亿欧元的贷款, ...
扫了这么多年,二维码还没用完?
36氪· 2025-10-09 09:59
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significance and functionality of QR codes in modern society, highlighting their integration into various aspects of daily life and industry, and the complex systems that support their use [7][8][50]. Group 1: Evolution of QR Codes - QR codes emerged as a solution to the limitations of barcodes, which could only store minimal information and were one-dimensional [19][20]. - The invention of QR codes in 1994 by Masahiro Hara was driven by the need for a more efficient way to manage parts in manufacturing, allowing for two-dimensional data storage [20][22]. - QR codes can store a vast amount of information due to their design, which allows for multiple combinations of black and white modules [48][49]. Group 2: Functionality and Standards - QR codes operate on the ISO/IEC 18004 standard, which ensures that any device can recognize and decode them, but does not guarantee the interpretation of the content [27][29]. - The application layer determines how the decoded information is used, which can vary between different platforms like WeChat and Alipay [33][36]. - QR codes have a built-in error correction mechanism, allowing them to be scanned even if partially damaged [38][41]. Group 3: Daily Usage and Impact - The article estimates that billions of scans occur daily across various sectors, including logistics, manufacturing, and personal transactions [44][46]. - The design of QR codes ensures that they will not run out of combinations, addressing concerns about their longevity in usage [46][49]. - The process of scanning a QR code involves capturing an image, decoding it, and executing commands, all of which happen in less than a second [62][53][55]. Group 4: Challenges and Considerations - The increasing frequency of QR code usage raises concerns about energy security, as the data generated requires significant storage and processing power [63][68]. - Data security is another critical issue, as the aggregation of personal data through QR code interactions poses risks of misuse [71][72]. - The article emphasizes that technological advancements, such as facial recognition and palm payment, rely on the same underlying systems as QR codes, showcasing the complexity of modern digital interactions [75][77].
建信基金:人类“史诗级”工程启动,哪些投资风口已现?
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-10-09 09:45
指在西藏雅鲁藏布江下游(主要在林芝市境内)规划建设的超大型水电项目,战略意义远超单一能源项 目范畴。雅鲁藏布江是全世界水流落差最大的大河,其上中游形态和下游差别较大。中上游水能开发难 度较低,但效益有限,已建成直孔水电站、藏木水电站等水利工程;而下游,从西藏米林县派镇至墨脱 县出境的496公里河段,仅占全长24%,却集中丰富水能资源。(数据来源:西藏在线。) 专题:北京公募基金高质量发展系列活动 新时代、新基金、新价值 一座总投资堪比北京300个重点工程总和、年发电量相当于3个三峡电站的超级工程,正在青藏高原拔地 而起。本期《投资"建"解》,带您了解雅鲁藏布江下游水电站工程(简称雅下水电工程)背后的投资蓝 海。(数据来源:新华社、北京市发展和改革委员会、国家审计署。) Q1、什么是雅下水电工程? 资料来源:西藏在线。 Q2、雅下水电工程缘起何时? 可追溯至20世纪,从最初地质图勾勒,到高海拔TBM实战验证,再到近期正式破土动工,这项"超 级"水电工程,注定将载入我国基础设施建设史、能源战略史。 资料来源:《一图了解 雅鲁藏布江布局时间轴和重大历史意义》。 Q3、雅下水电工程有多强? 不妨以三峡工程进行对比,其 ...
扫了这么多年,二维码还没用完?
3 6 Ke· 2025-10-09 01:52
Core Insights - The article discusses the significance and functionality of QR codes in modern life, emphasizing their integration into various sectors such as retail, logistics, and personal transactions [3][4][9]. Group 1: Evolution of QR Codes - The article traces the history of QR codes, starting from the invention of barcodes, which were created to improve checkout efficiency in retail [4][8]. - Barcodes had limitations, such as one-way information recording and small data capacity, which QR codes addressed by allowing two-dimensional data storage [9][10]. - QR codes were invented in 1994 by Masahiro Hara from Denso Wave, inspired by the need for a more efficient information encoding system [9][11]. Group 2: Technical Mechanism of QR Codes - QR codes consist of a matrix symbol system based on binary coding, with 40 different versions that can store vast amounts of information [26]. - The process of scanning a QR code involves three key steps: image capture and recognition, data decoding and parsing, and instruction execution and feedback [28][30]. - QR codes have a built-in error correction mechanism, allowing them to be scanned even if partially damaged, which contributes to their widespread adoption [22]. Group 3: Impact on Data and Energy - The article highlights the astronomical number of scans occurring daily, with projections indicating that by 2024, daily transactions through platforms like WeChat and Alipay could reach 28.27 billion [34]. - This massive volume of data poses challenges for energy consumption, as data centers require continuous operation to handle the processing and storage of transaction data [34][36]. - The concentration of personal data through QR code usage raises concerns about data security and privacy, necessitating robust management practices [36][37]. Group 4: Future of Interaction Technologies - The article suggests that while QR codes are currently prevalent, emerging technologies like facial recognition and palm print payments share the same underlying principles of network and data systems [39][41]. - The evolution of these technologies reflects a broader trend of integrating complex systems to enhance everyday convenience and efficiency in daily life [43].
中经评论:从“电气化率超欧美”看战略先机
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-09 00:09
Core Insights - China's electrification rate is projected to reach approximately 28.8% in 2024, surpassing major developed economies in Europe and the US, with an expected increase to around 35% by 2030, exceeding the OECD average by 8 to 10 percentage points [1][2][4] Group 1: Economic Development - A high electrification rate serves as a "booster" for high-quality economic development, as electricity has the highest economic efficiency compared to coal and oil, allowing for greater economic output from the same energy input [2] - The strong stability of China's power grid and high electrification rate are key supports for emerging industries such as electric vehicles, data centers, artificial intelligence, and high-end precision manufacturing [2] Group 2: Energy Security - High electrification rates act as a "ballast" for energy security, addressing the risks associated with China's resource endowment of "rich coal, scarce gas, and lack of oil" by combining electrification with renewable energy [2] - The installed capacity of renewable energy in China has increased significantly, from 530 million kilowatts to approximately 1.7 billion kilowatts during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with renewable energy generation accounting for about 60% of total generation [2] Group 3: Green Transition - Electrification is a primary method for achieving low-carbon energy consumption, with initiatives to replace fossil fuel vehicles and coal-fired boilers with electric alternatives, contributing to reduced pollutant and carbon emissions [3] - The leading electrification rate enhances China's international competitiveness, particularly in areas such as ultra-high voltage transmission, smart grids, and electric vehicle charging standards [3] Group 4: Challenges and Future Outlook - Despite achievements, challenges remain, particularly the need for cleaner electricity sources, as coal power still constitutes a significant portion of electricity supply [4] - The focus for future development will shift from "how much electricity" to "what kind of electricity" and "how to use electricity," indicating a higher-level competition involving technology, policy, and business models [4]
从“电气化率超欧美”看战略先机
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-08 22:55
Core Insights - China's electrification rate is projected to reach approximately 28.8% in 2024, surpassing major developed economies in Europe and the US, with an expected increase to around 35% by 2030, exceeding the OECD average by 8 to 10 percentage points [2][5] Group 1: Economic Efficiency - High electrification rates serve as a booster for high-quality economic development, as electricity has the highest economic efficiency compared to coal and oil, allowing for greater economic output from the same energy input [3] - The transition to electric energy can significantly enhance energy efficiency and reduce overall energy costs for enterprises, particularly benefiting emerging industries like electric vehicles, data centers, and high-precision manufacturing [3] Group 2: Energy Security - The electrification process, combined with renewable energy, is reshaping China's energy security landscape, addressing the risks associated with the country's reliance on imported oil and gas [3] - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, China's installed capacity for wind and solar energy increased from 530 million kilowatts to approximately 1.7 billion kilowatts, with renewable energy generation capacity rising from 40% to around 60% [3] Group 3: Green Transition - Electrification is a primary method for achieving low-carbon energy consumption, with initiatives such as replacing fuel vehicles with electric ones and coal-fired boilers with electric furnaces contributing to reduced pollution and carbon emissions [4] - A high electrification rate supports the development of low-carbon industrial chains, providing China with a competitive advantage in the face of emerging global carbon tariffs [4] Group 4: International Competitiveness - China's leadership in electrification enhances its international competitiveness, particularly in areas like ultra-high voltage transmission, smart grids, and electric vehicle charging standards, where it has become a significant force in standard-setting [4] Group 5: Challenges Ahead - Despite the achievements, challenges remain, particularly in ensuring that electricity generation is clean, as coal-fired power still constitutes a significant portion of the energy supply [5] - The transition to renewable energy sources presents challenges related to grid stability and flexibility, necessitating innovative solutions to balance cleanliness, safety, and economic viability [5]
沙特联手俄罗斯,每天减产366万桶石油,但中国的供应无需担心
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-08 10:46
能源市场这几年真是风起云涌,石油价格像过山车一样忽高忽低。 说起2023年那次大动作,沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯带头搞了个石油减产协议,当时每天减产总量高达366万桶,这事儿在国际上闹得沸沸扬扬。 不少人担心全球油价会飙升,尤其是像中国这样的大进口国,会不会供应跟不上。但实际情况是,中国这边石油供应稳得一批,没啥大问题。 石油是全球经济命脉,产油国们为了稳住价格,经常通过OPEC+这个组织来协调产量。OPEC是石油输出国组织,里面主要是中东国家,沙特是老大。 后来俄罗斯等非OPEC国家加入,就成了OPEC+。2022年下半年,全球石油市场供过于求,美国那边页岩油产量猛增,油价开始往下走。 2022年10月,OPEC+就决定减产200万桶每天,从11月开始执行到2023年底。这已经是很大一笔了,占全球需求的2%左右,目的是抬高油价,保护产油国的 收入。 大家一开始都怕中国石油供应会出问题,成品油价格会不会跟着涨。但说实话,中国没那么脆弱。 首先,中国石油储备超级充足,据国际能源署数据,中国是全球最大石油储备国,战略储备加上商业库存,达到4.5亿桶以上。这能顶几个月的需求波动, 就算短期减产,也够缓冲。 其次,中国和俄罗 ...