研究中心宏观团队 2025/05/21 | 全 球 资 产 市 场 表 现 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主要经济体10年期国债收益率 | | | | | | | | | | | 美国 | 英国 | 法国 | 德国 | 意大利 | 西班牙 | 瑞士 | 希腊 | | 2025/05/20 | 4.489 | 4.702 | 3.262 | 2.605 | 3.601 | 3.217 | 0.350 | 3.348 | | 最新变化 | 0.039 | 0.039 | 0.004 | 0.018 | 0.005 | 0.007 | 0.039 | 0.008 | | 一周变化 | 0.022 | 0.033 | -0.091 | -0.073 | -0.096 | -0.080 | -0.013 | -0.100 | | 一月变化 | 0.163 | 0.137 | 0.023 | 0.136 | -0.043 | 0.048 | -0.016 | -0.017 | | 一年变化 | -0. ...

- The industry crowding monitoring model was constructed to monitor the daily crowding levels of Shenwan primary industry indices. The model identifies industries with high crowding levels, such as textiles, beauty care, and light manufacturing, while industries like media and electronics show lower crowding levels. It also tracks significant daily changes in crowding levels for industries like environmental protection, food & beverage, and real estate[4] - The Z-score premium rate model was developed to screen ETF products for potential arbitrage opportunities. This model uses rolling calculations to identify ETFs with significant deviations from their intrinsic value, providing signals for potential trades while warning of possible price corrections[5] - The industry crowding monitoring model highlights that defense, non-bank finance, and environmental protection sectors saw significant inflows of main funds, while sectors like automobiles, electrical equipment, and basic chemicals experienced outflows. Over the past three days, coal, beauty care, and banking sectors were favored, while computing, electronics, and electrical equipment were reduced[4] - The Z-score premium rate model provides ETF signals, including top inflows for ETFs like Sci-Tech 50 ETF (+5.77 billion yuan) and Sci-Tech 100 Index ETF (+2.27 billion yuan), while ETFs like Shanghai 50 ETF (-4.86 billion yuan) and ChiNext ETF (-3.46 billion yuan) saw significant outflows[6][7] - The industry crowding monitoring model's evaluation indicates its effectiveness in identifying crowded sectors and tracking fund flows, aiding investors in understanding market dynamics[4] - The Z-score premium rate model is evaluated as a useful tool for identifying arbitrage opportunities in ETFs, though it requires caution due to potential risks of price corrections[5] - The industry crowding monitoring model's testing results show significant fund flow changes in various sectors, such as coal (+4.28 billion yuan over three days) and computing (-129.02 billion yuan over three days)[14][15] - The Z-score premium rate model's testing results include ETF fund flow data, such as Sci-Tech 50 ETF (+5.77 billion yuan) and Shanghai 50 ETF (-4.86 billion yuan)[6][7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance and valuation of Aidi Te (爱迪特), indicating a recent stock price increase and a low rolling PE ratio compared to the industry average [1] - As of May 20, Aidi Te's closing price was 56.11 yuan, with a rolling PE ratio of 26.95, marking a new low in 31 days, and a total market capitalization of 4.271 billion yuan [1] - The company ranks 59th in the medical device industry, which has an average PE ratio of 49.51 and a median of 36.17 [2] Group 2 - Aidi Te experienced a net outflow of 351,100 yuan in principal funds on May 20, with a total outflow of 1.749 million yuan over the past five days [1] - The company's main business includes the research, production, and sales of dental restoration materials and the design and sales of dental digital equipment [1] - In the latest quarterly report for Q1 2025, Aidi Te achieved an operating income of 205 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.07%, and a net profit of 31.271 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 34.21% with a gross profit margin of 51.00% [1]

资金流向方面，今日该股主力资金净流入4652.86万元，其中，特大单净流入1294.19万元，大单资金净 流入3358.67万元。近5日主力资金净流入1.61亿元。（数据宝） 丰茂股份5月20日交易公开信息 | 买/ | 会员营业部名称 | 买入金额（万 | 卖出金额（万 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 卖 | | 元） | 元） | | 买一 | 中国银河证券股份有限公司广州华夏路证券营业部 | 2045.81 | 0.00 | | 买二 | 东北证券股份有限公司盐城腾飞路证券营业部 | 1693.03 | 0.00 | | 买三 | 机构专用 | 1272.56 | 913.81 | | 买四 | 中信建投证券股份有限公司福州东街证券营业部 | 1110.27 | 0.00 | | 买五 | 金元证券股份有限公司广州花城大道证券营业部 | 1027.30 | 13.80 | | 卖一 | 机构专用 | 0.00 | 3596.97 | | 卖二 | 申万宏源证券有限公司上海闵行区东川路证券营业部 | 1.32 | 3346.85 | | 卖三 | 中信证券股份有限公司上海浦东新 ...

资金面上，今日主力资金全天净流出10.37亿元。其中，创业板主力资金净流出11.19亿元；科创板主力 资金净流出6.46亿元；沪深300成份股主力资金净流入24.02亿元。 5月20日，沪指上涨0.38%，深成指上涨0.77%，创业板指上涨0.77%，沪深300指数上涨0.54%。可交易 A股中，上涨的有3837只，占比71.13%，下跌的1380只。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 行业资金流向方面，今日有18个行业主力资金净流入，电子行业主力资金净流入规模居首，该行业今日 上涨0.71%，全天净流入资金26.73亿元，其次是医药生物行业，日涨幅为1.64%，净流入资金为15.55亿 元。 主力资金净流出的行业有13个，国防军工行业主力资金净流出规模居首，今日下跌0.50%，全天净流出 资金30.14亿元，其次是基础化工行业，今日涨幅为0.14%，净流出资金为26.24亿元，净流出资金较多 的还有计算机、交通运输、有色金属等行业。 今日各行业资金流向 | 行业 | 日涨跌幅（%） | 资金流向（亿元） | 行业 | 日涨跌幅（%） | 资金流向（亿元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

沪指本周上涨0.76%，深成指上涨0.52%，创业板指上涨1.38%，沪深300指数上涨1.12%。可交易A股 中，上涨的有2802只，占比51.97%，下跌的2470只。 资金面上，本周主力资金合计净流出655.00亿元。其中，创业板主力资金净流出260.66亿元；科创板主 力资金净流出87.28亿元；沪深300成份股主力资金净流出22.47亿元。 本周主力资金流向概况（单位：亿元） | 行业 | 日涨跌幅（%） | 资金流向（亿元） | 行业 | 日涨跌幅（%） | 资金流向（亿元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 非银金融 | 2.49 | 33.59 | 家用电器 | 0.00 | -7.86 | | 煤炭 | 1.50 | 5.64 | 有色金属 | 0.61 | -8.15 | | 美容护理 | 3.08 | 4.93 | 纺织服饰 | 1.01 | -10.81 | | 银行 | 1.43 | 2.57 | 房地产 | -0.31 | -14.05 | | 医药生物 | 1.27 | 0.28 | 农林牧渔 | 0.05 | -14.40 | ...

Market Overview - On May 16, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.4%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.07%, and the ChiNext Index declined by 0.19% [2] - A total of 45 stocks appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" due to significant market movements, with the highest net inflow of funds being 505 million yuan into Hongbaoli (002165.SZ) [2] Stock Performance - Among the 45 stocks on the list, 30 experienced net buying while 15 faced net selling [2] - Hongbaoli saw a closing price increase of 9.99% with a turnover rate of 41.28% [2] - The stock with the highest net outflow was Yushanchuan A (000565.SZ), which had a net selling amount of 96 million yuan, despite a closing price increase of 9.97% and a turnover rate of 32.9% [2] Institutional Activity - On the same day, 21 stocks on the list showed institutional involvement, with a total net buying of 227 million yuan by institutions [2] - The stock with the highest institutional net buying was Kuaijingtong (002640.SZ), which closed up by 2.31% and had a turnover rate of 39.61% [2] - The stock with the highest institutional net selling was Changhua Chemical (301518.SZ), which closed up by 5.28% and had a turnover rate of 39.15% [2] Northbound Capital - Northbound funds participated in 7 stocks on the Dragon and Tiger List, with a total net buying of 128 million yuan [3] - The highest net buying from northbound funds was in Huaxia Happiness (600340.SH), amounting to 39.65 million yuan, which accounted for 6.83% of the total transaction amount [3] - The stock with the highest net selling by northbound funds was Haoen Qidian (301488.SZ), with a net selling amount of 646,970 yuan, despite a closing price increase of 20% and a turnover rate of 30.02% [3] Divergence in Institutional and Northbound Funds - There was a divergence in the trading of Gribro, where institutions sold 24.37 million yuan while northbound funds bought 7.87 million yuan [3]

Figure 1. Latest flows in DM and EM equity funds by geo focus | 14- May- 2025 | | Weekly Flow (USD bn) | | | Fund | 13W Wkly | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | ETF (blue) vs non- ETF (grey) | | | Perf | Flow | | -10.0 | - | 10.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | | | | Global | 5.2 | 5.1 | 0.2 | | 2.7% | | | North America | 20.0 | 20.5 | -0.6 | | 4.6% | | | Western Europe | 2.7 | 2.2 | 0.5 | | 1.7% | | | JP | 0.8 | 2.1 | -1.3 | | 2.3% | | | DM AxJ | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.2 | | 1.7% | | | GEM | -0.2 | 1.4 | -1.6 | ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights Tongyuan Petroleum's current financial performance and market position within the oil and gas extraction industry [1][2] - As of May 15, Tongyuan Petroleum's stock closed at 3.98 yuan, down 1.24%, with a rolling PE ratio of 44.66 times and a total market capitalization of 2.342 billion yuan [1] - The average industry PE ratio is 26.24 times, with a median of 36.91 times, placing Tongyuan Petroleum at the 16th position within its industry [1][2] Group 2 - In terms of capital flow, on May 15, there was a net outflow of 1.878 million yuan in main funds, although the overall trend over the past five days showed a net inflow of 4.0589 million yuan [1] - The company's main business focuses on providing comprehensive solutions and technical services for oil and gas field development, with key products including perforation sales and other oilfield services [1] - The latest quarterly report for Q1 2025 indicates that the company achieved an operating income of 258 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.21%, while net profit was 782,700 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 80.38%, with a sales gross margin of 22.53% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the financial performance and market position of Zhongdian Port, indicating a decline in stock price and a high PE ratio compared to industry averages [1][2] - As of May 15, Zhongdian Port's closing price was 18.96 yuan, down 2.27%, with a rolling PE ratio of 53.29 times and a total market capitalization of 14.408 billion yuan [1] - The average PE ratio for the trade industry is 44.88 times, with a median of 34.47 times, placing Zhongdian Port at the 29th position within the industry [1][2] Group 2 - In terms of capital flow, Zhongdian Port experienced a net outflow of 16.4332 million yuan on May 15, with a total outflow of 54.768 million yuan over the past five days [1] - The main business of Shenzhen Zhongdian Port Technology Co., Ltd. includes electronic component distribution, design chain services, supply chain collaboration, and industrial data services [1] - The latest quarterly report for Q1 2025 shows that the company achieved an operating revenue of 17.470 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.01%, and a net profit of 84.5551 million yuan, up 64.99%, with a sales gross margin of 2.66% [1]