Core Viewpoint - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Chairman, Philip Lowe, is currently awaiting confirmation that the inflation rate is moving towards the target midpoint [1] Group 1 - The RBA is monitoring inflation trends closely to ensure they align with the established target [1] - There is an emphasis on the importance of achieving the inflation target for economic stability [1]

澳大利亚储备银行将基准利率维持在3.85%不变，市场预期为降息25个基点。澳储行表示，委员会对经 济前景仍持谨慎态度，特别是在总需求和总供给方面的不确定性加剧的情况下；可以再等待一些信息， 以确认通胀率有望在可持续的基础上达到2.5%。（新华财经） ...

澳洲联储：可以再等待一些信息，以确认通胀率有望在可持续的基础上达到2.5%。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the Reserve Bank of Australia acknowledges that the monthly consumer price index suggests the inflation rate for the June quarter may be in line with expectations, albeit slightly higher than anticipated [1]

越南央行：今年将保持通胀率在4.5%至5.0%的范围内。 ...

Domestic News - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange reported that as of June 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves reached $33,174 billion, an increase of $322 billion from May, marking a rise of 0.98% and maintaining stability above $3.2 trillion for 19 consecutive months. This increase is attributed to the depreciation of the US dollar and the overall rise in global financial asset prices, alongside China's steady economic growth [1][1]. - The People's Bank of China announced that as of the end of June, China's gold reserves stood at 7.39 million ounces (approximately 2,298.55 tons), with an increase of 70,000 ounces (about 2.18 tons) month-on-month, marking the eighth consecutive month of gold accumulation [1][1]. - The National Development and Reform Commission and three other departments issued a notice aiming to plan and construct over 100,000 high-power charging facilities nationwide by the end of 2027, emphasizing the need for market-driven planning and integration with existing infrastructure [2][2]. - The Shanghai Municipal Government released measures to promote high-quality development in the software and information services industry, including reducing financing costs for small and medium-sized enterprises and providing guarantees for eligible companies up to 30 million yuan [3][3]. - The Wuhan Housing and Urban Renewal Bureau reported that in June, new and second-hand housing transactions in Wuhan totaled 21,551 units, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 30.9% and a year-on-year increase of 26.3%, with new home sales exceeding 10,000 units for the first time this year [3][3]. International News - Japan's Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare reported that real wages have declined for five consecutive months this year, as wage growth has not kept pace with rising prices [6][6]. - European Central Bank Governing Council member Centeno expressed concerns that the main risk for the Eurozone is inflation falling below the ECB's 2% target, indicating that measures may be needed if economic growth and investment do not improve [6][6]. - UK employers are reducing hiring plans, with recruitment confidence dropping to its lowest level since 2011 (excluding the pandemic period), primarily due to rising hiring costs [6][6].

Group 1 - The inflation rate in Israel has decreased to 3.1% over the past 12 months, but it remains above the upper limit of the target range [1] - The Bank of Israel staff predicts that the economy will grow by 4.6% in 2026, an increase from the previous forecast of 4.0% [1]

巴西经济学家预测2025年通胀率为5.18%，此前预估为5.2%；预测2026年通胀率为4.5%，此前预估为 4.5%。预测2025年国内生产总值将增长2.23%，此前预估为2.21%；预测2026年国内生产总值将增长 1.86%，此前预估为1.87%。 ...

欧洲央行管委森特诺：通胀率跌破2%是主要风险。 ...

上周，美国股市因公共假期休市一天。在四个交易日里，特朗普政府所谓"大而美"的大规模税收和支出 法案在美国国会参众两院艰难闯关，牵动市场神经，美国三大股指走出震荡行情。最终这一备受争议的 法案在当地时间上周五由特朗普签署成为法律。不过，在美国和越南达成贸易协议以及美国6月新增非 农就业人数大幅高于预期等积极因素的带动下，美国三大股指上周累计上涨，标普500指数和纳指两次 刷新收盘历史纪录。其中，道指累计上涨2.30%，标普500指数上涨1.72%，纳指上涨1.62%。 上周国际油价上涨 贵金属期货方面，上周，全球贸易局势仍面临很大不确定性，加之中东地缘冲突风险抬头，市场避险情 绪有所升温，推动国际金价累计上涨1.68%。 美国"对等关税"暂缓期本周结束 投资者关注美国与主要贸易伙伴谈判进展 本周，投资者较为关注的仍然是关税方面的消息。9日，也就是本周三，美国所谓"对等关税"90天暂缓 期将结束。截至目前，美国仍未与欧盟、日本等主要贸易伙伴达成协议。美国总统特朗普上周日（6 日）表示，他可能会在当地时间周一发出12或15封关于关税的信函，但并未透露这些信函发送的目的 地。有分析认为，美国在与主要贸易伙伴谈判进展不 ...