Core Viewpoint - The company plans to engage in commodity futures and foreign exchange hedging activities in 2026 to mitigate the impact of raw material price fluctuations and significant exchange rate volatility on its operational costs and financial stability [1] Group 1 - The company aims to reduce the impact of raw material price volatility on its production and operational costs [1] - The company seeks to prevent adverse effects from significant exchange rate fluctuations on its operational results [1] - The initiative is intended to enhance the company's financial stability [1]

螺纹钢、热卷产业风险管理日报 2025/11/25 陈敏涛 投资咨询证号：Z0022731 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1290号 螺纹价格区间预测 | | 01合约区间预测（月度） | 当前波动率 | 波动率百分位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 螺纹钢 | 2900-3300 | 11.25% | 14.7% | | 热卷 | 3100-3500 | 9.34% | 3.80% | source： 南华研究,同花顺 螺纹风险管理策略建议 | 行为导 | 情景分析 | 现货敞 | 策略推荐 | 套保工具 | 买卖方向 | 套保比例（%） | 建议入场 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 向 | | 口 | | | | | 区间 | | 库存管 | 产成品库存偏高，担 | | 为了防止存货叠加损失，可以根据企业的 库存情况，做空螺纹或是热卷期货来锁定 | RB2601 | 卖出 | 30% | 3200-325 0 3350-340 | | | | | 利润，弥补企业的生产成本 | | | | | | ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - Strategy: For unilateral trading, maintain a long - position mindset, monitor price movements at previous high levels (take profit if there is a sharp rally), and set stop - profit points. For options, hold out - of - the - money short put options with a light position and manage risks (rolling operations are possible). For calendar spreads, stay on the sidelines [4]. - Supply: Yichun's lithium mines are less likely to stop production. The Zhenkouli - Jianxiawo mine in Jiangxi is unlikely to resume production this year, eliminating supply concerns. Overall, supply is expected to increase steadily as expected. Also, new warehouse receipts registration volume may be a concern due to high demand and large open interest [5]. - Demand: Energy storage cell production is full, with independent energy storage contributing significant growth. New energy vehicles are in the peak production and sales season, and demand is expected to remain high in Q4 2025. Lithium prices are supported by strong demand, but supply growth may increase price volatility [5]. - Hedging: Lithium salt producers should conduct low - proportion short hedging, and downstream enterprises can conduct medium - proportion long hedging based on orders to lock in procurement costs [5]. - Basis: Hold cash - and - carry arbitrage portfolios with a light position and manage risks [5]. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Market Review - As of November 13, battery - grade lithium carbonate increased by 3950 yuan week - on - week to 84350 yuan/ton, and industrial - grade lithium carbonate increased by 3800 yuan to 82000 yuan/ton. Battery - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles) increased by 500 yuan to 76180 yuan/ton. The price difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 2350 yuan/ton, and the price difference between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate was - 8170 yuan/ton [9]. - As of November 13, the closing price of the lithium carbonate 2601 contract increased by 5540 yuan (+6.73%) week - on - week to 87840 yuan/ton, and the weighted open interest increased by 128,300 lots to 1,037,300 lots [9]. 2. Supply - Side Analysis 2.1 Lithium Ore Production and Import - In October 2025, the output of Chinese sample lithium spodumene was 7350 tons, a month - on - month increase of 550 tons (+8%); the total output of Chinese lithium mica was 12,700 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 450 tons (-3%) [12]. - In September 2025, China's lithium spodumene imports reached 711,000 physical tons, a month - on - month increase of 14.8%, equivalent to about 67,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE). Imports from Australia were 347,000 tons, a significant month - on - month increase of 64.1%; imports from Nigeria were about 120,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 14.4%; imports from Zimbabwe were 109,000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 7.8% [12]. - From November 3 to November 9, 2025, the total shipment of Mysteel's Australian lithium concentrate to China was 76,000 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 27,000 tons. The weekly average shipment to China was 68,000 tons, and the global shipment that week was 76,000 tons [12]. 2.2 Lithium Ore Price and Inventory - As of November 13, the price of Australian lithium spodumene concentrate increased by 125 dollars week - on - week to 1050 dollars/ton, and the price of lithium mica (2.0% - 2.5%) increased by 195 yuan to 2280 yuan/ton. As of November 7, the available inventory of lithium ore was 100,000 tons (82,000 tons in the previous period, increasing for three consecutive weeks) [15]. - As of November 13, the cash cost of producing lithium carbonate from imported lithium spodumene was 84,065 yuan/ton, with a production loss of 907 yuan/ton; the cash cost of producing lithium carbonate from imported lithium mica was 87,365 yuan/ton, and the loss from imported mica production was 6361 yuan/ton. The loss from producing lithium carbonate from imported raw materials deepened [15]. 2.3 Lithium Mine Project Progress - On November 6, 2025, the Natural Resources Department of Jiangxi Province released the "Public Notice of the Assessment Report on the Mining Right Transfer Income of the Zhenkouli - Jianxiawo Mine (Utilized but Unpaid Resources) in Yifeng County, Jiangxi Province". It is estimated that the probability of resuming production this year is low, and concerns about its resumption are weakened in the short term [15]. 2.4 Lithium Carbonate Production - According to SMM statistics, the weekly output of lithium carbonate in the week of November 13 was 21,545 tons, a week - on - week increase of 11 tons. Among them, the output from spodumene decreased by 220 tons to 12,904 tons (accounting for 60%), the output from mica decreased by 70 tons to 2941 tons (accounting for 14%), the output from salt lakes increased by 236 tons to 3555 tons (accounting for 17%), and the output from recycled materials increased by 65 tons to 2145 tons (accounting for 10%) [21]. - In October 2025, the monthly output of domestic lithium carbonate was 92,260 tons, a month - on - month increase of 6% and a year - on - year increase of 55%. The cumulative output from January to October was 780,000 tons, a year - on - year increase of 39%. It is expected that the output of domestic lithium carbonate in November can still maintain the production level of October, with a roughly flat month - on - month change [21]. 2.5 Lithium Carbonate and Hydroxide Import and Export - According to Chilean customs data, in October 2025, Chile exported 25,000 tons of lithium carbonate, a month - on - month increase of 56%; the amount exported to China was 16,200 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 4% and a month - on - month increase of 46%. From January to October 2025, Chile exported a total of 189,400 tons of lithium carbonate, a year - on - year decrease of 5.3%, and the amount exported to China was 137,100 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 15% [27]. - According to customs data, in September 2025, China's lithium carbonate imports were about 19,600 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 10.3%, mainly affected by previous concentrated arrivals and domestic inventory digestion rhythms. Among them, 10,800 tons were imported from Chile, accounting for 55.2%, and 6948 tons were imported from Argentina, accounting for 35.5% [27]. - According to SMM statistics, in October 2025, the output of lithium hydroxide was 29,220 tons, a month - on - month increase of 6% and a year - on - year decrease of 5%. Among them, the smelting output was 24,950 tons, and the causticizing output was 4270 tons. It is expected that the overall output of lithium hydroxide in November will have a slight upward trend, with a roughly flat year - on - year performance [28]. - According to customs data, China's lithium hydroxide imports in September 2025 were 1473 tons, a month - on - month increase of 20.3%, mainly due to the moderate recovery of high - nickel ternary material demand; exports were 6526 tons, a month - on - month increase of 15% and a year - on - year decrease of 48.7% [28]. 3. Demand - Side Analysis 3.1 New Energy Vehicle Market - In October 2025, the production and sales of new energy vehicles were 1.772 million and 1.715 million respectively, a year - on - year increase of 21.1% and 20%, and a month - on - month increase of 9.6% and 6.9% respectively. From January to October, the cumulative production and sales of new energy vehicles were 13.015 million and 12.943 million respectively, a year - on - year increase of 33.1% and 32.7% respectively [33]. - In 2025, from January to October, the sales of new energy heavy - duty trucks in China exceeded 119,600, a year - on - year increase of 198%. In September 2025, 392,000 new energy vehicles were sold in Europe, a year - on - year increase of 33% and a month - on - month increase of 62%, with a market penetration rate of 31.7% [33]. - In October 2025, new energy vehicle exports were 256,000, a month - on - month increase of 15% and a year - on - year increase of 100%. From January to October, the cumulative exports were 1.983 million, a year - on - year increase of 87.4% [33]. - As of November 13, 17 mainstream automobile brands have launched purchase tax subsidy plans, which will ease the cliff - like decline in vehicle sales across the year to some extent [33]. 3.2 Energy Storage Market - Domestic energy storage cell supply is growing steadily, and demand from diversified investment entities is increasing. Overseas energy storage orders are also growing due to tariff relief and favorable policies [36]. - The "New Energy Storage Large - scale Construction Special Action Plan (2025 - 2027)" sets a goal of reaching an installed capacity of over 180 million kilowatts by 2027, driving direct investment of about 250 billion yuan [36]. - Australia, the UK and other countries have introduced policies to support the development of energy storage, ensuring sufficient energy storage orders [36]. 3.3 Lithium Battery Production - According to SMM statistics, in October 2025, China's lithium battery output was 192.9 GWh, a month - on - month increase of 8%. Among them, the output of power cells increased by 11% to 125 GWh, the output of energy storage cells increased by 3% to 54 GWh, and the output of consumer and other cells increased by 3% to 14 GWh [43]. - From November 7, 2025, to November 10, 2026, the implementation of 6 export control measures related to strategic fields such as rare earths, lithium batteries, and super - hard materials will be suspended [43]. - According to大东时代智库, in November 2025, the production of power + energy storage batteries in Chinese battery factories was 193 GWh; the production of lithium battery A was 71.4 GWh, the production of lithium battery B was 31.4 GWh, and the production of lithium battery C was 14.9 GWh. The production of consumer - type batteries in the Chinese market was about 16 GWh. The production of power + energy storage + consumer - type batteries in the Chinese market in November 2025 was 209 GWh, a month - on - month increase of 12.4% and a year - on - year increase of 64.6% [47]. 3.4 Lithium Battery Material Market - Lithium iron phosphate: In October 2025, the output of lithium iron phosphate was 394,350 tons, a month - on - month increase of 10.5% and a year - on - year increase of 51%. It is expected that the production in November will increase by 8% month - on - month to 425,898 tons [49]. - Ternary materials: In October 2025, the output of ternary materials was 84,090 tons, a month - on - month increase of 11.6% and a year - on - year increase of 43%. It is expected that the market demand will continue to improve in November, and the production plan will continue to rise slightly, with a month - on - month increase of 1.37% and a year - on - year increase of 39.76% [49]. - According to SMM statistics, in October 2025, China's electrolyte output increased by 4.8% month - on - month to 207,580 tons, a year - on - year increase of 29%. From January to October, the cumulative output was 1.655 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 52.3% [50]. - According to SMM research, in October 2025, China's lithium hexafluorophosphate output increased by 14% month - on - month to 25,420 tons, a year - on - year increase of 29%. From January to October, the cumulative output was 200,000 tons, a year - on - year increase of 38.4% [50]. 4. Inventory Analysis - As of November 13, the lithium carbonate inventory decreased by 3481 tons week - on - week to 120,500 tons. Among them, the smelter inventory decreased by 2445 tons to 28,000 tons, the downstream inventory decreased by 3236 tons to 48,800 tons, and the inventory of other sectors such as traders increased by 2200 tons to 43,400 tons [54]. - As of November 13, the warehouse receipt volume was 26,420 tons, a week - on - week increase of 176 tons and a month - on - month decrease of 2384 tons. New warehouse receipts registration volume may be a concern due to high demand and the forced cancellation of non - compliant warehouse receipts at the end of November [54]. 5. Basis Analysis - The holding cost for 1 - month is about 1838 yuan/ton, and for 2 - month is about 2460 yuan/ton. Hold cash - and - carry arbitrage portfolios and manage risks [56]. 6. Spread Analysis - The 11 - 12 spread showed a reverse - arbitrage trend approaching the November delivery month. Pay attention to the reverse - arbitrage opportunity of the 03 - 04 spread approaching the March delivery month [58].

铂钯启航 绿动未来——广期所铂钯期货和期权"系列报道之二 为国内企业提供更为适配的风险管理工具 业内人士认为，期货价格具有透明性、连续性、公允性、权威性等特点，铂、钯期货上市后将成为现货 定价的"锚"，填补产业缺少风险管理工具的空白。 世界铂金投资协会亚太区总经理邓伟斌认为，铂、钯期货上市后，将在价格发现与套期保值等方面给 铂、钯市场带来多维度改变。比如，广期所铂、钯期货上市后，中国企业可以通过人民币计价结算和本 土交割体系，吸引国际参与者关注中国市场供需动态，这将逐步增强中国铂、钯市场的价格影响力。 "在交易规则上，广期所铂、钯期货契合国内现货市场特点，尤其是细化了交割标准，提升了实物交割 的可操作性，降低了产业客户参与门槛。这些制度可帮助加工企业、贸易商等在面对国际价格波动、汇 率变动以及供应链扰动时，更高效地进行套期保值，降低库存和原料成本的不确定性，稳定国内产业链 运行节奏。"中国黄金协会铂钯分会相关负责人表示，广期所铂、钯期货上市后，将强化中国与全球定 价体系的联动。随着境内交易量和价格影响力提升，广期所铂、钯价格有望成为亚洲乃至全球市场的重 近年来，受国际形势、国内回收产能、下游消费需求变化等多重 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Luo Niu Shan Co., Ltd., has announced the initiation of commodity futures hedging business to mitigate the impact of price fluctuations in live pigs and feed raw materials on its operations [1][2]. Group 1: Business Focus and Objectives - The primary aim of the hedging business is to use futures tools to hedge against price volatility of live pigs and key raw materials such as corn and soybean meal, thereby reducing the uncertainty of market prices on operational results [2]. - The company will engage in commodity futures trading closely related to its production operations, including live pigs, corn, and soybean meal, ensuring that all required funds come from its own resources [2]. Group 2: Business Scope and Duration - The maximum margin and premium for the hedging business will not exceed 50 million yuan, and this amount can be recycled within a 12-month period starting from the board's approval date [3]. - The business will be effective from November 24, 2025, to November 23, 2026, and the board has authorized a dedicated futures decision-making team to manage the implementation of this business [3]. Group 3: Risk Management and Control Measures - The company has identified four potential risks associated with the hedging business, including price abnormal fluctuations, funding risks, technical risks, and policy risks [4]. - To address these risks, the company has established five control measures, including institutional safeguards, scale control, fund management, personnel and system management, and continuous monitoring [4]. Group 4: Financial Treatment and Information Disclosure - The company will follow relevant accounting standards for financial treatment and will disclose the status of the hedging business in its periodic reports to ensure transparency [5]. - Industry analysis suggests that the cyclical volatility of live pig and feed raw material prices makes this hedging initiative a standard practice for stabilizing operational risks and enhancing performance stability [5].

Core Viewpoint - Igor Electric Co., Ltd. has approved a plan to engage in copper futures hedging to mitigate raw material cost volatility, thereby stabilizing profit margins [1][2][5]. Group 1: Business Strategy - The company will utilize its own funds to conduct copper futures and options hedging, with a total margin and premium not exceeding 12 million yuan, and the funding period is set for 12 months from the board's approval [1][3]. - Copper is a significant raw material for Igor's main products, which include energy-related distribution transformers, power transformers, and reactors, making its price fluctuations directly impactful on production costs [2][5]. Group 2: Risk Management - The hedging activities will be strictly limited to copper futures and options related to production operations, ensuring that the 12 million yuan can be rolled over within the authorized period [3]. - The company has identified five potential risks associated with the hedging business, including market risk, liquidity risk, internal control risk, technical risk, and policy risk, and has established six control measures to mitigate these risks [4]. Group 3: Compliance and Approval - The proposal was approved by the company's board of directors and does not require shareholder meeting approval. The sponsor, Guotai Junan Securities, confirmed that the business aims to reduce the impact of raw material price fluctuations and does not harm the interests of the company or its shareholders [5].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rising copper prices and how manufacturing companies, particularly Zhejiang-based Zhengtai Electric, are utilizing flexible hedging strategies to mitigate the risks associated with price fluctuations [1][2]. Group 1: Copper Price Trends - Copper prices have been on a significant upward trend, with Shanghai copper futures surpassing 86,000 yuan/ton, marking a near-high level [1]. - The price of copper has increased from approximately 72,000 yuan/ton in early April to over 86,000 yuan/ton by early November [4]. Group 2: Hedging Strategies - Zhengtai Electric has implemented flexible hedging strategies to convert price volatility risks into cost reduction and efficiency gains, achieving hundreds of thousands of yuan in option premium income in a single quarter [2][4]. - The company initiated its hedging business in 2021, initially focusing on futures tools and later exploring options tools to create a more flexible and refined risk management system [3]. Group 3: Option Strategy Effectiveness - In the third quarter of this year, Zhengtai Electric sold put options corresponding to 8,000 tons of copper, generating over 6 million yuan in premium income, while copper prices remained within the 78,000-81,500 yuan/ton range [4]. - The company designed a "cash-settled put option" strategy to optimize costs while retaining the right to purchase at lower prices, effectively managing risks associated with price fluctuations [5]. Group 4: Risk Management Insights - The company has developed three mature strategies for options: selling put options to optimize costs in a volatile market, bull spread strategies to control expenses during moderate price increases, and covered call strategies to enhance returns while holding futures [6]. - Key lessons learned include the importance of market analysis capabilities, prioritizing risk control, adopting a gradual innovation approach, and using a combination of tools for effective risk management [6].

Core Points - Zhendemedical (603301) closed at 75.49 yuan on November 21, 2025, down 14.79% from last week's 88.59 yuan [1] - The company's current market capitalization is 20.114 billion yuan, ranking 11th out of 126 in the medical device sector and 909th out of 5167 in the A-share market [1] Trading Information Summary - Zhendemedical was listed on the "Dragon and Tiger List" due to a price drop deviation of 7% on November 17, 2025, marking the first time in the last five trading days [1][3] Company Announcement Summary - Zhendemedical plans to engage in hedging activities related to polyethylene, polypropylene, and rubber to mitigate the impact of raw material price fluctuations on its operations. The maximum margin for this trading is set at 30 million yuan, with a maximum contract value of 200 million yuan, funded by the company's own resources. The trading period will last for 12 months from the date of board approval, which has already been granted without the need for shareholder meeting approval [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the importance of utilizing financial derivatives, particularly peanut futures, to manage price risks and enhance operational stability in the peanut industry in Henan Province, China [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Characteristics - The peanut market is characterized by a differentiated supply-demand structure, increased price volatility, and a diverse range of participants, posing significant challenges for enterprises, especially small processing companies [2]. - The fluctuation in agricultural product prices and market uncertainties have made effective price risk management a persistent challenge for companies in the peanut industry [1]. Group 2: Company Initiatives - Henan Yixin Industrial Co., Ltd. has embraced financial tools under the guidance of Tongzhou Group, establishing a professional futures research and risk control team, which has led to a mature trading system and strategy execution capabilities [2][3]. - The company has shifted from a passive market price acceptance to an active pricing strategy based on market analysis, allowing for better inventory management and procurement optimization [5]. Group 3: Risk Management Strategies - Yixin Industrial has successfully implemented a "cooperative hedging" approach, allowing them to reduce procurement costs by buying peanut futures at a lower price compared to the spot market [3]. - The company collaborates with downstream enterprises to hedge against price declines, demonstrating the effectiveness of customized hedging solutions in managing risks [3][4]. Group 4: Industry Impact - The promotion of peanut futures is expected to enhance the entire industry chain's ability to respond to price fluctuations, stabilize development, and improve operational efficiency [6][7]. - The integration of financial tools with traditional agriculture is seen as a key factor for companies to enhance competitiveness and achieve high-quality development [7].

Core Insights - The article discusses how Huishang Futures has assisted Anhui Huishang Group Material Co., Ltd. in successfully implementing ethylene glycol hedging practices to manage price risks associated with commodity price fluctuations [1][4]. Group 1: Company Overview - Anhui Huishang Group Material Co., Ltd. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Anhui Huishang Group, specializing in the operation of production materials, covering areas such as metal materials, warehousing logistics, processing and distribution, and supply chain services [1]. - The company aims to become a leading comprehensive trading platform and integrated service provider in Anhui, East China, and nationwide [1]. Group 2: Risk Management Practices - In response to the challenges posed by ethylene glycol price volatility, the company sought effective risk management strategies using futures and derivative tools [1]. - Huishang Futures established a project service team in the second half of 2023 to provide comprehensive support, including professional training, management system development, and organizational structure setup [2]. Group 3: Training and System Development - Huishang Futures organized tailored training courses covering futures basics, hedging operations, software usage, delivery processes, and market research, significantly enhancing the professional skills of the company's personnel [2]. - The project service team assisted in developing the operational guidelines for hedging, which included principles, responsibilities, business processes, fund management, risk monitoring, and confidentiality [2]. Group 4: Implementation of Hedging Business - After completing the system setup and obtaining necessary approvals, the company officially launched its ethylene glycol hedging business in December 2023, primarily using a sell hedge model [3]. - From December 2023 to April 2024, the company executed five hedging operations with a total hedged volume of 2,500 tons, achieving a cumulative profit of 129,800 yuan from futures operations [3]. Group 5: Impact and Future Prospects - The successful implementation of hedging practices has allowed the company to establish a comprehensive price risk management system, enhancing operational stability and market competitiveness [4]. - The experience gained from this project has provided a replicable model for other state-owned enterprises in Anhui to engage in futures markets in a compliant and stable manner [4].