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《金融》日报-20251017
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-10-17 04:03
Report 1: Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report Core View - Presents the latest values, historical 1 - year and full - history percentiles, and changes compared to the previous day of various stock index futures spreads (including inter - period spreads and basis spreads) on October 17, 2025 [1]. Summary by Relevant Catalog - **Basis Spreads**: For example, the IF basis spread is - 0.20, the IC basis spread is - 169.53, and the IM basis spread is - 196.84. Different contracts have corresponding basis spread values and percentile data [1]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: Such as the "next month - current month", "quarter month - current month", etc. Each spread has its own latest value, change, and percentile information [1]. Report 2: Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report Core View - Displays the latest values, changes compared to the previous trading day, and percentiles since listing of various spreads (including basis spreads and inter - period spreads) of Treasury bond futures on October 17, 2025 [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalog - **Basis Spreads**: The TS basis is - 0.0217, the TF basis is 1.5010, the T basis is 1.6211, and the TL basis is 0.1552, with corresponding percentile and change data [2]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: Different inter - period spreads like "current quarter - next quarter", "next quarter - far quarter" have their values, changes, and percentiles [2]. - **Cross - variety Spreads**: Spreads such as TS - TF, TS - T, etc. are presented with their data [2]. Report 3: Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report Core View - Provides the closing prices of domestic and foreign precious metals futures, spot prices, basis spreads, ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions on October 17, 2025 [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalog - **Futures and Spot Prices**: Domestic AU2512 contract closed at 966.42, and foreign COMEX gold closed at 4344.30. Spot London gold was at 4326.48, etc., with corresponding price changes and percentage changes [3]. - **Basis Spreads**: Gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract basis is 0.87, and silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract basis is - 36, with historical 1 - year percentile data [3]. - **Ratios, Interest Rates, and Exchange Rates**: Ratios like COMEX gold/silver, and interest rates of 10 - year and 2 - year US Treasury bonds, as well as the US dollar index and offshore RMB exchange rate are provided [3]. - **Inventory and Positions**: Information on inventories of Shanghai Futures Exchange and COMEX, and positions of ETFs are given [3]. Report 4: Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report Core View - Shows the spot quotes, container shipping indices, futures prices, basis spreads, and fundamental data of the container shipping industry on October 17, 2025 [4]. Summary by Relevant Catalog - **Spot Quotes**: Spot quotes of shipping routes from Shanghai to Europe by different shipping companies (e.g., MAERSK, CMA) are presented with price changes and percentage changes [4]. - **Container Shipping Indices**: Settlement price indices of European and US - West routes, and Shanghai export container freight indices have corresponding price changes and percentage changes [4]. - **Futures Prices and Basis Spreads**: Futures prices of different contracts (e.g., EC2602, EC2604) and the basis spread of the main contract are provided [4]. - **Fundamental Data**: Data on global container shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators in Shanghai, monthly export amounts, and overseas economic indicators are presented [4].
硅铁:主产区报价松动,宽幅震荡,锰硅,锰矿港口报价下移,宽幅震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-10-15 02:26
Group 1: Investment Ratings - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report Group 2: Core Views - The main产区 of ferrosilicon has seen a loosening in quotes, and it is in a wide - range shock. The port quotes of manganese ore for silicomanganese have moved down, and it is also in a wide - range shock [1] - The trend strength of ferrosilicon and silicomanganese is both 0, indicating a neutral view [3] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Fundamental Tracking Futures - Ferrosilicon 2511 closed at 5378, down 28 from the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 92,807 and an open interest of 74,528. Ferrosilicon 2601 closed at 5322, down 46, with a trading volume of 87,575 and an open interest of 173,437. Silicomanganese 2511 closed at 5726, down 8, with a trading volume of 8,789 and an open interest of 21,570. Silicomanganese 2601 closed at 5738, down 8, with a trading volume of 133,881 and an open interest of 382,892 [1] Spot - The price of ferrosilicon FeSi75 - B in Inner Mongolia was 5150 yuan/ton, down 50. The price of silicomanganese FeMn65Si17 in Inner Mongolia was 5650 yuan/ton. The price of manganese ore Mn44 block was 39.8 yuan/ton - degree, down 0.2. The price of small - sized semi - coke in Shenmu was 710 yuan/ton [1] Price Differences - The basis of ferrosilicon (spot - 11 futures) was - 228 yuan/ton, down 22. The basis of silicomanganese (spot - 01 futures) was - 88 yuan/ton, up 8. The near - far month spread of ferrosilicon 2511 - 2601 was 56 yuan/ton, up 18. The near - far month spread of silicomanganese 2511 - 2601 was - 12 yuan/ton, unchanged. The cross - variety spread of silicomanganese 2511 - ferrosilicon 2511 was 348 yuan/ton, up 20. The cross - variety spread of silicomanganese 2601 - ferrosilicon 2601 was 416 yuan/ton, up 38 [1] 2. Macro and Industry News - On October 13, the price of 72 ferrosilicon in Shaanxi was 5100 - 5200 yuan/ton, in Ningxia 5100 - 5200 yuan/ton, in Qinghai 5150 - 5250 yuan/ton, in Gansu 5150 - 5250 yuan/ton, and in Inner Mongolia 5200 - 5250 yuan/ton (down 50). The price of 75 ferrosilicon in Shaanxi was 5950 - 6000 yuan/ton, in Ningxia 5900 - 6000 yuan/ton, in Qinghai 5900 - 6000 yuan/ton, in Gansu 5850 - 5950 yuan/ton (down 50), and in Inner Mongolia 5950 - 6000 yuan/ton (down 50). The FOB price of 72 ferrosilicon was 1040 - 1050 US dollars/ton (down 10), and that of 75 was 1110 - 1140 US dollars/ton (down 10). The northern quote of 6517 silicomanganese was 5600 - 5700 yuan/ton, and the southern quote was 5650 - 5750 yuan/ton [1] - The spot price of manganese ore at Tianjin Port: Australian block Mn46% was quoted at 41 - 41.5 yuan/ton - degree (down 0.5), with a transaction price of around 41; Australian block Mn42% was quoted at 39.5 - 40 yuan/ton - degree (down 0.5), with a transaction price of around 39.5; South African block was quoted at 34 - 34.5 yuan/ton - degree, with a transaction price of around 34; Gabonese block was quoted at 40 - 40.5 yuan/ton - degree, with a transaction price of around 40. The manganese ore market is mainly affected by macro sentiment and downstream procurement rhythm. China's special port charges on US vessels have officially taken effect, but the proportion of vessels built or operated by the US in imported manganese ore vessels is relatively small [1][3]
硅铁:资金情绪博弈,宽幅震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-24 01:46
Report Summary Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. Core Viewpoint - The market for silicon iron and manganese silicon is characterized by capital - sentiment games and wide - range fluctuations [1]. Detailed Summaries Macro and Industry News - On September 23, the price range of 72 silicon iron was 5200 - 5300 yuan/ton in Shaanxi, 5400 - 5450 yuan/ton in Ningxia, etc.; 75 silicon iron prices increased, with a 20 - dollar/ton increase in FOB price for 75. Silicon manganese 6517 had different price changes in the north and south. The northern price was 5650 - 5750 yuan/ton (-50), and the southern price was 5750 - 5800 yuan/ton (+50) [1]. - Zhongtian Iron and Steel in Changzhou set the silicon iron purchase price at 5850 yuan/ton, 50 yuan/ton lower than the previous round, with a quantity of 600 tons [1]. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of silicon iron is 0, and that of manganese silicon is also 0 [1]. Fundamental Data - For silicon iron futures contracts: the closing price of SiFe2511 was 5698 with a change of 5 compared to the previous trading day, and the volume was 244,716 with a position of 187,402; for SiFe2601, the closing price was 5666 with a change of 2, volume of 67,451, and position of 101,301 [2]. - For manganese silicon futures contracts: the closing price of MnSi2511 was 5864 with a change of 14 compared to the previous trading day, and the volume was 89,016 with a position of 93,273; for MnSi2601, the closing price was 5882 with a change of 12, volume of 246,470, and position of 335,174 [2]. - The spot - futures price differences, near - far month price differences, and cross - variety price differences for silicon iron and manganese silicon are also provided in the report [2].
大越期货沪铜周报-20250922
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-09-22 03:46
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Last week, Shanghai copper prices rose first and then fell. The main contract of Shanghai copper decreased by 1.42%, closing at 79,910 yuan/ton. Geopolitical factors and US tariff issues affected copper prices, and global instability persists. Domestically, the consumption season is approaching, but downstream consumption willingness is average. In the industrial sector, domestic spot trading is mediocre, mainly driven by rigid demand. In terms of inventory, LME copper inventory was 148,875 tons, with a slight decrease last week, while SHFE copper inventory increased by 11,760 tons to 105,814 tons compared to the previous week [3]. - The copper market will be in a tight balance in 2024 and face an oversupply in 2025 [10]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review - Last week, the main contract of Shanghai copper decreased by 1.42%, closing at 79,910 yuan/ton. Geopolitical factors and US tariff issues affected copper prices, and global instability persists. Domestically, the consumption season is approaching, but downstream consumption willingness is average. In the industrial sector, domestic spot trading is mediocre, mainly driven by rigid demand. LME copper inventory was 148,875 tons, with a slight decrease last week, while SHFE copper inventory increased by 11,760 tons to 105,814 tons compared to the previous week [3]. 3.2 Fundamentals 3.2.1 PMI - No specific content about PMI is provided in the report. 3.2.2 Supply - Demand Balance - The copper market will be in a tight balance in 2024 and face an oversupply in 2025. The Chinese annual supply - demand balance table shows production, import, export, apparent consumption, actual consumption, and supply - demand balance data from 2018 to 2024 [10][13]. 3.2.3 Inventory - Exchange inventory is in the process of destocking, and bonded area inventory remains at a low level [14][18]. 3.3 Market Structure 3.3.1 Processing Fees - Processing fees are at a low level [21]. 3.3.2 CFTC Positions - There is an outflow of non - commercial net long positions in CFTC [23]. 3.3.3 Futures - Spot Price Spread - No specific content about the futures - spot price spread is provided in the report. 3.3.4 Import Profits - No specific content about import profits is provided in the report. 3.3.5 Warehouse Receipts - No specific content about warehouse receipts is provided in the report.
《金融》日报-20250919
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-09-19 02:49
1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided in the reports regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Views The reports present a comprehensive analysis of various financial products including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metals, and container shipping industry. They provide detailed data on price differences, price changes, and historical percentile rankings, which can help investors understand the market trends and potential investment opportunities in these sectors. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Stock Index Futures - **IF Contracts**: The IF spot - futures price difference is -10.91, with a change of -13.09 from the previous day, and the historical 1 - year percentile is 40.50%. Different IF inter - period price differences also show various values and changes, such as the next - month minus current - month being -11.20 with a change of 0.20 and a historical 1 - year percentile of 34.80% [1]. - **IH Contracts**: The IH spot - futures price difference is -2.03, with a change of -5.45, and the historical 1 - year percentile is 46.40%. IH inter - period price differences have their own values and percentile rankings [1]. - **IC Contracts**: The IC spot - futures price difference is -28.28, with a change of -20.65, and the historical 1 - year percentile is 57.50%. IC inter - period price differences show different characteristics [1]. - **IM Contracts**: The IM spot - futures price difference is -21.60, with a change of -13.79, and the historical 1 - year percentile is 75.00%. IM inter - period price differences are also presented [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: Ratios such as IC/IF, ICMH, IF/IH, and IM/IF are provided, along with their changes and historical percentile rankings [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - **Basis**: The TS basis is 1.5173, with a change of -0.0347, and the percentile since listing is 22.10%. TF, T, and TL bases also have their own values, changes, and percentile rankings [2]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: Different inter - period spreads for TS, TF, T, and TL contracts are given, including values, changes, and percentile rankings since listing [2]. - **Cross - Variety Spreads**: Cross - variety spreads such as TS - TF, TS - T, TF - T, etc. are presented with their values, changes, and percentile rankings [2]. Precious Metals - **Futures Closing Prices**: Domestic and foreign futures closing prices of gold and silver are reported, along with their price changes and percentage changes. For example, the AU2510 contract closed at 824.10 yuan/gram on September 18, down 10.98 yuan or -1.31% from the previous day [4]. - **Spot Prices**: Spot prices of gold and silver in different markets are provided, including London, Shanghai Gold Exchange, etc., along with their price changes and percentage changes [4]. - **Basis**: The basis values for gold and silver, such as gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract, silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract, etc., are given, along with their changes and historical 1 - year percentile rankings [4]. - **Ratios, Interest Rates, and Exchange Rates**: Ratios like COMEX gold/silver,上期所金/银, and interest rates (10 - year US Treasury bond yield, 2 - year US Treasury bond yield, etc.) and exchange rates (US dollar index, offshore RMB exchange rate) are presented with their changes and percentage changes [4]. - **Inventory and Positions**: Inventory and position data for gold and silver in different markets are provided, including上期所黄金库存,上期所白银库存, COMEX gold inventory, etc., along with their changes and percentage changes [4]. Container Shipping Industry - **Spot Quotes**: Spot quotes for container shipping from Shanghai to Europe by different shipping companies are given, along with their price changes and percentage changes. For example, MAERSK's price on September 19 was 1570 dollars/FEU, up 18 dollars or 1.16% from the previous day [6]. - **Shipping Indexes**: Settlement price indexes such as SCFIS (European route), SCFIS (US West route), and Shanghai export container freight rates (SCFI) are presented, along with their price changes and percentage changes [6]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Futures prices of different container shipping contracts (EC2602, EC2604, etc.) and the basis of the main contract are provided, along with their price changes and percentage changes [6]. - **Fundamental Data**: Fundamental data including global container shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators in Shanghai, monthly export amounts, and overseas economic indicators are given, along with their changes and percentage changes [6].
《金融》日报-20250915
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 08:05
Report 1: Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report Core Data Summary - **Spot-Futures Spreads**: The IF spot-futures spread was 1.20, down 12.76 from the previous day; the IH was 0.06, down 7.06; the IC was -9.64, down 7.75; the IM was -30.08, down 18.00 [1]. - **Inter - Delivery Spreads**: For example, the next - near spread of IF was -6.20, up 1.40; the far - near spread of IM was -45.20, up 58.60 [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: The ratio of CSI 500 to SSE 50 was 2.4078, up 0.0201; the ratio of CSI 1000 to SSE 300 was 1.6415, up 0.0145 [1]. Report 2: Bond Futures Basis and Spread Daily Report Core Data Summary - **Basis**: The TF basis on September 12, 2025, was 1.1549, up 0.0604; the T basis was 0.9678 [2]. - **Inter - Delivery Spreads**: The current - next spread of TS was -0.0280, up 0.0300 on September 12, 2025 [2]. - **Cross - Variety Spreads**: The spread between TS and TF was -3.2200, down 0.0400 on September 12, 2025 [2]. Report 3: Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report Core Data Summary - **Futures Closing Prices**: The domestic AU2510 contract closed at 834.22 yuan/gram on September 12, up 3.44; the AG2510 contract closed at 10035 yuan/kg, up 237 [3]. - **Spot Prices**: London gold was 3642.64 dollars/ounce on September 12, up 9.10; London silver was 42.16, up 0.66 [3]. - **Basis**: The basis of gold TD - SHFE gold was -3.88, up 0.81; the basis of silver TD - SHFE silver was -1, up 25 [3]. - **Ratios**: The ratio of COMEX gold to silver was 86.24, down 1.09; the ratio of SHFE gold to silver was 83.13, down 1.66 [3]. Report 4: Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report Core Data Summary - **Spot Quotes**: The Shanghai - Europe future 6 - week freight rate of MAERSK was 1705 dollars/FEU on September 12, down 81 [4]. - **Container Shipping Indexes**: The SCFIS (European route) settlement price index on September 8 was 1556.46, down 217.1 from September 1 [4]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: The EC2602 contract closed at 1497.4 points on September 11, down 26.6; the basis of the main contract was 125.9, down 203.8 [4]. - **Fundamental Data**: The global container shipping capacity supply on September 14 was 3302.99 TEU, down 0.20 [4].
广发期货《金融》日报-20250902
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-09-02 05:33
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views The reports present a comprehensive analysis of various futures markets, including stock index futures, bond futures, precious metals futures, container shipping futures, and also provide information on trading calendars and potential data releases. They offer detailed data on price changes, spreads, ratios, and related market indicators for different futures products, which can help investors understand market trends and potential investment opportunities. 3. Summary by Directory Stock Index Futures - **Price and Spread Data**: The report provides detailed data on the price differences between futures and spot prices, as well as inter - period spreads for different stock index futures such as IF, IH, IC, and IM. For example, the IF spot - futures spread is - 22.55, down 13.11 from the previous day [1]. - **Historical Percentiles**: It also includes historical 1 - year and full - history percentiles of these spreads, which can help investors assess the relative position of current spreads in historical data. For instance, the historical 1 - year percentile of the IF spot - futures spread is 31.40% [1]. Bond Futures - **IRR and Basis**: Data on the implied repo rate (IRR) and basis for different bond futures (TS, TF, T, TL) are presented. For example, the TS IRR is 1.5138, down 0.0400 from the previous day, and the T basis is 1.3586, up 0.3549 [2]. - **Inter - period and Cross - product Spreads**: Inter - period spreads (e.g., current quarter - next quarter) and cross - product spreads (e.g., TS - TF) are provided, along with their historical percentiles, which can assist investors in analyzing the relative value between different bond futures contracts [2]. Precious Metals Futures - **Price Changes**: The report shows price changes in domestic and foreign precious metals futures, spot prices, and related spreads. For example, the AU2510 contract price increased by 1.97% from August 29th to September 1st, and the COMEX gold price rose by 1.13% [4]. - **Basis and Ratio Analysis**: It also includes basis data (e.g., gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract) and ratio analysis (e.g., COMEX gold/silver ratio), which can help investors understand the relationship between different precious metals prices [4]. Container Shipping Futures - **Spot and Index Data**: Spot quotes for container shipping from Shanghai to Europe by different shipping companies are provided, along with various container shipping indices such as SCFIS and SCFI. For example, the MAERSK Shanghai - Europe freight rate decreased by 1.74% from September 1st to September 2nd [6]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Futures prices of different container shipping contracts (e.g., EC2602, EC2510) and their basis are presented, which can help investors analyze the relationship between futures and spot prices in the container shipping market [6]. Trading Calendar - **Data and Event Schedule**: The report lists overseas and domestic economic data and events to be released on September 2nd, 2025. Overseas events include euro - zone CPI data and US manufacturing PMI data, while domestic events cover inventory and production data for various commodities such as manganese ore, iron ore, and glass [7].
硅铁:市场信息扰动,日内宽幅震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-08-29 04:13
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View The silicon iron and manganese silicon markets are disturbed by market information, showing wide - range intraday fluctuations [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Data**: - Silicon iron 2511 closed at 5624, down 10 from the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 208,650 and an open interest of 222,047. Silicon iron 2601 closed at 5604, down 2, with a trading volume of 33,111 and an open interest of 96,724 [1]. - Manganese silicon 2511 closed at 5828, up 10, with a trading volume of 66,101 and an open interest of 107,056. Manganese silicon 2601 closed at 5842, up 10, with a trading volume of 138,956 and an open interest of 312,315 [1]. - **Spot Data**: - The price of silicon iron: FeSi75 - B in Inner Mongolia was 5350 yuan/ton. The price of silicon manganese: FeMn65Si17 in Inner Mongolia was 5720 yuan/ton, down 30 yuan/ton from the previous trading day [1]. - The price of manganese ore: Mn44 block was 39.5 yuan/ton - degree, and the price of blue charcoal: small material in Shenmu was 650 yuan/ton [1]. - **Spread Data**: - The silicon iron spot - 11 futures spread was - 274 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton; the manganese silicon spot - 01 futures spread was - 122 yuan/ton, down 40 yuan/ton [1]. - The silicon iron 2511 - 2601 near - far month spread was 20 yuan/ton, down 8 yuan/ton; the manganese silicon 2511 - 2601 near - far month spread was - 14 yuan/ton, unchanged [1]. - The manganese silicon 2511 - silicon iron 2511 cross - variety spread was 204 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan/ton; the manganese silicon 2601 - silicon iron 2601 cross - variety spread was 238 yuan/ton, up 12 yuan/ton [1]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - On August 28, the price of 72 silicon iron in Shaanxi was 5300 - 5400 yuan/ton, in Ningxia 5300 - 5400 yuan/ton, in Qinghai 5300 - 5400 yuan/ton, in Gansu 5350 - 5400 yuan/ton, and in Inner Mongolia 5300 - 5500 yuan/ton. The price of 75 silicon iron in Shaanxi was 5900 - 5950 yuan/ton, in Ningxia 5800 - 5850 yuan/ton, in Qinghai 5800 - 5850 yuan/ton, in Gansu 5800 - 5850 yuan/ton, and in Inner Mongolia 5800 - 5850 yuan/ton. The FOB price of 72 silicon iron was 1030 - 1050 dollars/ton, and that of 75 was 1100 - 1130 dollars/ton [2]. - The northern quotation of 6517 silicon manganese was 5700 - 5800 yuan/ton, and the southern quotation was 5800 - 5850 yuan/ton [2]. - Kangmilaou announced the offer of Gabon block to China in October 2025 at 4.27 dollars/ton - degree, unchanged from last month. Some long - term agreement enterprises reported a decrease in the quantity of Gabon block. The stable overseas price is positive for the long - term cost support of manganese ore [2]. - United Mining (CML) announced the offer to China in October 2025. The offer of Australian block (Mn>46% Fe<6% SiO2<18%) was 4.57 dollars/ton - degree, unchanged from last month [3]. - On the 27th, Ningbo Iron and Steel set the price of silicon manganese at 6030 yuan/ton (acceptance and tax included, delivered to the factory), with a purchase volume of 1000 tons [4]. 3.3 Trend Intensity The trend intensity of silicon iron is 0, and that of manganese silicon is 0. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 to 2, with - 2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [4].
《金融》日报-20250827
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-08-27 02:33
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints No clear core viewpoints presented in the provided reports. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - **Futures - Spot Spread**: IF futures - spot spread is -3.59, down 8.97 from the previous day; IH is 1.02, down 1.12; IC is -47.67, down 5.37; IM is -61.07, up 4.46 [1]. - **Inter - Delivery Spread**: For example, IF's next - to - current month spread is -7.40, down 4.40; H's is -20.40, down 3.20 [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratio**: Ratios like CSI 500/CSI 300 is 1.5640, up 0.0085; IC/IF is 1.5546, up 0.0104 [1]. 2. Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - **Basis**: IRR for 15 - bond is 1.4476, down 0.0217; TF basis is 1.2758, up 0.0468; T basis is 0.9147, up 0.5196; TL basis is 0.5493, up 0.9191 [2]. - **Inter - Delivery Spread**: TS's current - to - next quarter spread is -0.0720, up 0.0040; TF's is 0.1750, down 0.0350; T's is 0.4500, down 0.0100 [2]. - **Cross - Variety Spread**: TS - TF is -3.1600, down 0.0460; TS - T is -5.5950, down 0.0610; TF - T is -2.4350, down 0.0150 [2]. 3. Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Futures Closing Prices**: AU2510 contract closed at 781.12 yuan/g on Aug 26, up 1.94 from Aug 25; AG2510 closed at 9354 yuan/kg, down 40 [7]. - **Spot Prices**: London gold was at 3393.47 dollars/ounce on Aug 26, up 27.86; London silver was at 38.60 dollars/ounce, up 0.05 [7]. - **Basis**: Gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract basis is -4.29, down 0.45; silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract basis is -43, down 13 [7]. 4. Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Spot Quotes**: Maersk's Shanghai - Europe 6 - week future freight rate is 2235 dollars/FEU on Aug 27, down 118 from Aug 26; CMA CGM is 2591 dollars/FEU, up 23 [8]. - **Container Shipping Index**: SCFIS (European route) settlement price index on Aug 25 is 1990.20, down 190.0 from Aug 18; SCFIS (US West route) is 1041.38, down 64.9 [8]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: EC2602 contract on Aug 26 is 1469.3, down 27.6 from Aug 25; EC2510 (main contract) is 1318.9, down 39.1; basis of the main contract is 573.6, down 160.9 [8]. - **Fundamentals**: Global container shipping capacity supply on Aug 27 is 3292.63 million TEU, unchanged from Aug 26; Shanghai port on - time rate in July is 32.58%, down 1.99 from the previous month [8]. 5. Trading Calendar - **Overseas Data/Information**: US API crude oil inventory for the week ending Aug 22 is reported at 4:30; EIA crude oil inventory is reported at 22:30 [9]. - **Domestic Data/Information**: Steel Union's weekly production and sales survey of 523 mines for coking coal is in the evening; China's port commercial crude oil inventory (in 10,000 tons) is reported at 14:30 [9].
广发期货金融日报-20250826
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-08-26 06:38
1. Investment Ratings - The provided reports do not mention any industry investment ratings. 2. Core Views - The reports offer a comprehensive analysis of various financial products, including stock index futures, Treasury bond futures, precious metals, container shipping, and relevant economic data. They present current price information, price changes, and historical percentile data for different contracts and indicators, enabling investors to understand market trends and potential investment opportunities. 3. Summary by Directory Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - **Price Differences**: Presents the current price differences and historical percentile data of various stock index futures contracts, including F, H, IC, and IM. For example, the F period - spot price difference is 5.38, with a historical 1 - year percentile of 86.40% [1]. - **Cross - Period Spreads**: Details the cross - period spreads of different contracts, such as the next - month minus the current - month spread, the far - month minus the current - month spread, etc. For instance, the next - month minus the current - month spread of F is - 3.00, with a change of 3.20 compared to the previous day [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: Provides cross - variety ratios, like the ratio of IC to IF, which is 1.5442, with a historical 1 - year percentile of 96.70% [1]. Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - **Basis**: Displays the basis of different Treasury bond futures, including TS, TF, T, and TL. For example, the TS basis is 1.4868, with a change of - 0.0340 compared to the previous day and a historical percentile of 20.50% [2]. - **Cross - Period Spreads**: Covers the cross - period spreads of different Treasury bond futures contracts. For instance, the current - quarter minus the next - quarter spread of TS is - 0.0760, with a change of - 0.0720 compared to the previous day and a historical percentile of 12.50% [2]. - **Cross - Variety Spreads**: Presents cross - variety spreads, such as the spread between TS and TF, which is - 3.1140, with a change of - 0.0620 compared to the previous day and a historical percentile of 13.30% [2]. Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Futures Prices**: Shows the closing prices and price changes of domestic and foreign precious metal futures contracts. For example, the AU2510 contract price is 779.18 yuan/gram, with a rise of 5.78 yuan and a rise rate of 0.75% compared to the previous day [4]. - **Spot Prices**: Provides the spot prices and price changes of precious metals, including London gold, London silver, and Shanghai Gold Exchange T + D products. For instance, the London gold price is 3365.61 dollars/ounce, with a fall of 5.63 dollars and a fall rate of - 0.17% compared to the previous day [4]. - **Other Indicators**: Includes indicators such as the difference between gold TD and Shanghai gold futures, the ratio of COMEX gold to silver, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions [4]. Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Spot Quotes**: Offers spot quotes for container shipping, such as the freight rates of different shipping companies on the Shanghai - Europe route. For example, the MAERSK freight rate is 2353 dollars/FEU, with a rise of 80 dollars and a rise rate of 3.52% compared to the previous day [6]. - **Container Shipping Index**: Presents the settlement price index and price changes of container shipping, including SCFIS (European route) and SCFIS (US West route). For instance, the SCFIS (European route) settlement price index is 1990.20, with a fall of 190.0 and a fall rate of - 8.71% compared to the previous day [6]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Displays the futures prices and basis of container shipping contracts. For example, the EC2602 futures price is 1496.9, with a rise of 31.9 and a rise rate of 2.18% compared to the previous day, and the basis of the main contract is 544.5, with a fall of 205.7 and a fall rate of - 27.42% compared to the previous day [6]. - **Fundamental Data**: Covers fundamental data such as global container shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators, export differences, and overseas economic indicators [6]. Overseas and Domestic Data/Information Report - **Overseas Data**: Lists overseas economic indicators and financial events, including the US durable goods orders monthly rate, the Brazilian agricultural product production survey results, etc. [8] - **Domestic Data**: Presents domestic economic indicators and financial events, such as the expiration of 3000 billion yuan of 1 - year medium - term lending facilities (MLF), the inventory and port throughput of manganese ore in Qinzhou Port, etc. [8]