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Goheal:当行业天花板来临,上市公司并购重组的方向在哪里?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-15 09:59
Core Viewpoint - The current capital market is experiencing a "growth silence" era, with many once-prominent sectors facing stagnation and companies struggling to find new growth paths [1][4]. Group 1: Industries Facing Stagnation - Several industries have hit a "ceiling," including a leading photovoltaic company announcing no capacity expansion for the next three years due to global oversupply and fierce price competition [4]. - New energy vehicle companies are shifting focus to "technology going abroad," while gaming and internet companies are struggling to find new growth narratives beyond AI [4]. Group 2: Mergers and Acquisitions as a Growth Strategy - A number of companies are successfully navigating this stagnation through mergers and acquisitions (M&A), such as a coal chemical company acquiring a smart logistics firm to become a "coal + smart logistics" platform [5][6]. - High-quality M&A involves deep strategic thinking and structural reorganization, rather than merely financial transactions [7][8]. Group 3: M&A Directions in a Stagnant Market - Goheal identifies four key M&A directions for companies facing industry ceilings: 1. Acquiring high-tech capabilities to enhance digital transformation and improve valuation [11]. 2. Expanding into overseas markets by acquiring established foreign agents with existing sales channels [12]. 3. Approaching consumer brands to increase pricing power and direct-to-consumer channels [13]. 4. Integrating the supply chain through vertical and horizontal acquisitions to mitigate cyclical fluctuations [14]. Group 4: Opportunities in Downturns - The downturn in the market presents a unique opportunity for acquisitions, as asset valuations become more reasonable and negotiation power increases [15]. - Goheal's experience shows that 64% of their M&A projects in 2024 occurred during "reverse cycle" windows, often at low premiums or with performance guarantees [15]. Group 5: Importance of Post-M&A Integration - The success of M&A largely depends on post-acquisition integration, with 70% of outcomes determined by how well companies manage integration processes [16]. - Key integration focuses include team integration mechanisms, financial performance metrics, and management authorization systems [16]. Group 6: The Need for Proactive Growth Strategies - Companies must actively seek growth opportunities rather than waiting for favorable market conditions, as true market leaders are those who dare to restructure and invest during slow growth periods [18].