Core Viewpoint - The company is preparing for its 2024 Annual General Meeting, focusing on various proposals including financial reports, budget plans, and compensation schemes for executives and board members [1][4][5]. Group 1: Meeting Structure and Procedures - The meeting will be chaired by Chairman Xi Gang, and shareholders will have the right to speak, inquire, and vote on each proposal [1][2]. - Voting will be conducted through a combination of on-site and online methods, with results announced immediately [2][4]. - The meeting will include the election of vote counters and monitors from among the attending shareholders [2][4]. Group 2: Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 1,066,542.35 million yuan for 2024, a decrease of 2.93% compared to 2023 [6][13]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 53,769.09 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 24.80% year-on-year [6][13]. - The total assets as of December 31, 2024, amounted to 887,866.69 million yuan, a slight decrease of 0.66% from the previous year [6][7]. Group 3: Financial Indicators - The company’s operating profit was reported at 68,000.76 million yuan, an increase of 33.89% from 2023 [6]. - The basic earnings per share rose to 0.62 yuan, a 24.00% increase compared to the previous year [6][12]. - The asset-liability ratio improved from 70.47% to 64.61%, indicating a reduction of 5.86 percentage points [6][9]. Group 4: Budget and Financing Proposals - The company proposed a financing guarantee limit of 575 million yuan for 2025, which would not exceed 18.82% of the latest audited net assets [21][22]. - The company plans to apply for a comprehensive credit limit from financial institutions for 2025, with specific details to be discussed at the meeting [23].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a total revenue of 10.665 billion yuan for 2024, a decrease of 2.93% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 24.8% to 538 million yuan [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.516 billion yuan, down 9.94% year-on-year, with a net profit of 63.974 million yuan, up 28.08% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.625 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.42% year-on-year, and a net profit of 133 million yuan, up 48.46% [1] - The company's liquid milk business generated revenue of 9.907 billion yuan in 2024, a growth of 0.75%, while other business revenues fell by 34.27% to 758 million yuan [2] Group 2: Profitability and Margins - The net profit margin for 2024 increased by 1.12 percentage points to 5.04%, and the gross margin improved by 1.49 percentage points to 28.36% [3] - In Q4 2024, the net profit margin rose by 0.75 percentage points to 2.54%, with a gross margin of 25.99% [3] - For Q1 2025, the net profit margin increased by 1.64 percentage points to 5.08%, and the gross margin was 29.5% [3] Group 3: Strategic Focus and Future Outlook - The company continues to focus on the "Fresh Cube" strategy, enhancing its fresh product capabilities despite overall weak liquid milk demand [4] - The company is leveraging innovation and digital transformation to drive growth, with expectations of net profits of 703 million yuan and 830 million yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively [4] - The company maintains a "buy" rating with a projected PE valuation of 22 and 18 times for 2025 and 2026 [4]

Core Viewpoint - New Dairy Industry is facing challenges with a decline in revenue for the first time in ten years, prompting the need for alternative growth strategies amidst a competitive market environment [1][3][4] Group 1: Revenue and Financial Performance - New Dairy's revenue decreased by 2.93% to 10.665 billion yuan in the last fiscal year, marking the first decline since 2015 [1][3] - The company reported a net increase of 52 distributors in 2024, but revenue from the distribution model fell by 13.29% year-on-year [3] - The Southwest region, which accounts for approximately 36% of New Dairy's revenue, saw a 6.51% decline in income, negatively impacting overall performance [3] Group 2: Product Strategy and Market Positioning - New Dairy launched a new product, "Super Pasteurized Milk," in collaboration with Jingtailan, aiming to capture the low-temperature milk market [1][4] - The company is focusing on high-end products, with low-temperature fresh milk and yogurt achieving mid-single-digit growth, while high-end fresh milk and low-temperature modified milk saw double-digit growth [3][4] - The "Super Pasteurized Milk" is positioned as a compromise product, offering taste similar to pasteurized milk while retaining better nutritional value than shelf-stable milk [4][5] Group 3: Industry Challenges and Strategic Response - The dairy industry is experiencing a slowdown in revenue growth, particularly in high-end yogurt sales, due to increased competition and market saturation [4][6] - New Dairy's strategy includes maintaining focus on core product categories, innovating to meet new consumer trends, and enhancing regional market penetration [4][6] - The company is also addressing internal management efficiencies to reduce costs and improve profitability amidst a challenging external environment [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by more than 15% in the next six months [16]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated strong growth in its low-temperature product category, which has positively impacted profitability. The strategy of focusing on high-quality low-temperature dairy products is yielding results [2][3]. - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 99.1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.7%. The low-temperature product segment continues to show robust growth, particularly in high-end fresh milk and specialty yogurt [2]. - The gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 28.4%, an increase of 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, driven by cost advantages and product mix optimization [3]. Financial Summary - For 2023, the company reported a revenue of 10,987 million yuan, with a projected revenue of 10,665 million yuan for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.9% [1]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 was 431 million yuan, with an expected increase to 538 million yuan in 2024, representing a growth rate of 24.8% [1]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 16.6% in 2023 to 17.5% in 2024 [1]. Dividend Policy - The company plans to increase its dividend payout, with a total dividend amount expected to be 215 million yuan for 2024, which represents 45.62% of the net profit attributable to the parent company, up from 30% in 2023 [4]. Strategic Focus - The company will implement the "Fresh Cube Strategy" in 2025, focusing on low-temperature fresh milk and specialty yogurt, enhancing product innovation and promotion [3]. - The direct-to-consumer (DTC) business will be a core strategic channel to improve channel capabilities and user experience [3]. Market Position - The company is positioned in the food and beverage industry, with a market capitalization of approximately 14,089.23 million yuan as of April 29, 2025 [4]. - The stock price as of the same date was 16.37 yuan, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreasing from 32.7 in 2023 to 26.2 in 2024 [1][4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][4] Core Views - The company has demonstrated high-quality growth in the low-temperature product category, with profitability exceeding expectations [2][4] - The company reported a revenue of 10.67 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 2.93%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 537.69 million yuan, an increase of 24.8% [4][5] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.63 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.42%, and a net profit of 133 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.46% [4][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s main revenue for 2024 is projected at 10,665.42 million yuan, with a forecasted growth of 4.85% in 2025, 6.25% in 2026, and 6.38% in 2027 [3][5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow from 537.69 million yuan in 2024 to 966.23 million yuan in 2027, with respective growth rates of 24.80%, 26.17%, 20.71%, and 17.99% [3][5] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 0.62 yuan in 2024 to 1.12 yuan in 2027 [3][5] Product and Market Analysis - The low-temperature fresh milk and yogurt categories achieved mid-to-high single-digit growth in 2024, with high-end fresh milk and low-temperature modified milk showing double-digit growth [4][5] - The company’s strategy focuses on the "fresh and sour strong" product development, with the high-end "24-hour" series seeing over 15% revenue growth [4][5] - The East China region performed well, benefiting from a higher proportion of low-temperature products and rapid expansion of DTC channels [4][5] Profitability and Cost Management - The company’s net profit margin improved to 5.15% in 2024, with a gross margin of 28.36% [4][5] - The asset-liability ratio decreased from 64.61% in 2024 to 62.24% in Q1 2025, indicating improved financial stability [4][5] - Sales expense ratio was 15.56% in 2024, with a slight increase due to competitive pressures, but was well-controlled in Q1 2025 [4][5] Investment Strategy - The company is committed to its "Fresh Cube Strategy," focusing on low-temperature products and DTC channels, with a clear strategic goal [4][5] - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with new estimates of 6.78 billion yuan for 2025, 8.19 billion yuan for 2026, and 9.66 billion yuan for 2027 [4][5] - The corresponding EPS estimates have also been revised to 0.79 yuan for 2025, 0.95 yuan for 2026, and 1.12 yuan for 2027 [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight decline in revenue for 2024 but achieved significant growth in net profit, indicating strong operational performance despite challenging market conditions [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 10.665 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2.93%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 538 million, an increase of 24.80% [1]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw operating revenue of 2.516 billion, down 9.94%, but net profit rose by 28.08% to 64 million [1]. - For the first quarter of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 2.625 billion, a slight increase of 0.42%, and net profit of 133 million, up 48.46% [1]. Product Strategy - The company focuses on its "Fresh and Sour Dual Strong" development strategy, achieving mid to high single-digit growth in low-temperature fresh milk and yogurt in 2024, with double-digit growth in high-end fresh milk and low-temperature modified milk [2]. - The "24-hour" fresh milk high-end series saw over 15% growth, and the "Active Moist" brand grew over 20%, with new product revenue maintaining a double-digit proportion [2]. Profitability Improvement - The company's gross margin and net profit margin for 2024 were 28.36% and 5.04%, respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 1.49 and 1.12 percentage points [3]. - Key factors for the gross margin improvement included enhanced product mix, strong performance in direct-to-consumer (DTC) channels, and cost advantages in raw milk [3]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 29.50%, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.12 percentage points, indicating stable profitability [3]. Strategic Outlook - The company is expected to continue its "Fresh Cube Strategy," solidifying its advantages in low-temperature fresh milk and yogurt, and is on track to meet its five-year net profit doubling target [4]. - Forecasts for net profit from 2025 to 2027 are 676 million, 816 million, and 938 million, representing year-on-year growth rates of 26%, 21%, and 15%, respectively [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the company's continuous improvement in core business advantages and profit margin enhancement, with a focus on the "Fresh Cube Strategy" to strengthen core business and expand market share [6][9]. - The company reported a revenue of 10.665 billion yuan for 2024, a slight decrease of 2.93% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 24.8% to 538 million yuan [5][9]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.625 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.42%, and a net profit of 133 million yuan, up 48.46% year-on-year [5][9]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The company's stock performance over the past year shows a 65.2% increase compared to the CSI 300 index, which only increased by 5.5% [4]. - The current stock price is 15.99 yuan, with a 52-week price range of 7.88 to 18.26 yuan [4]. Financial Highlights - The company’s gross profit margin improved by 1.5 percentage points in 2024, attributed to structural improvements and cost benefits, with the average price of fresh milk decreasing by 13.5% year-on-year [6]. - The net profit margin for 2024 was 5.04%, an increase of 112 basis points year-on-year [6]. Growth Drivers - Low-temperature products performed exceptionally well, with significant growth in low-temperature fresh milk and yogurt, while the contribution from room-temperature products was under pressure [6]. - The East China region became a key growth driver, with revenue growth supported by a higher proportion of low-temperature products and strong product innovation [6][9]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 11.178 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 5%, and net profits of 684 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 27% [8][9]. - The report anticipates continued profit margin improvements, with a diluted earnings per share (EPS) forecast of 0.79 yuan for 2025 [8][9].

Core Insights - New Dairy achieved a revenue of 10.665 billion yuan and a net profit of 538 million yuan in 2023, marking a 24.8% increase in net profit [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.625 billion yuan and a net profit of 133 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 48.46% [1] - The company is in the second year of its five-year strategic plan, focusing on boosting dairy consumption amid a slowing industry growth and intensified competition [1][3] Financial Performance - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 5.25%, an increase of 1.69 percentage points year-on-year [3] - Operating cash flow improved significantly, reaching 160 million yuan [3] - The asset-liability ratio decreased by 2.38 percentage points compared to the beginning of 2025, indicating improved financial health [3] Strategic Initiatives - New Dairy continues to implement its "Fresh Cube Strategy," focusing on core product categories, with low-temperature fresh milk and yogurt showing mid-single-digit growth [3] - High-end fresh milk and low-temperature modified milk achieved double-digit growth, with the "24-hour" fresh milk high-end series seeing over 15% revenue growth [3] - The company is actively involved in the "Quality Milk Project," enhancing quality from farm to table and participating in the establishment of 31 standards [3] Innovation and Development - In 2024, New Dairy filed 37 patent applications, including 14 invention patents, and received 19 patent grants, with 8 being invention patents [3] - The company has built a resource library of over 2,000 unique strains of lactic acid bacteria, leveraging key technologies for product innovation [3] Distribution and Retail Expansion - The "Fresh Go" system allows for nationwide delivery coverage across 141 cities and regions, with a standardized delivery process [4] - New Dairy has surpassed 500 image stores in 2024, enhancing its retail presence [4] - The company aims to achieve revenue growth and improved net profit margins in 2025, focusing on long-term value creation [4]

Core Viewpoint - New Dairy Industry is making steady progress towards its goals of reducing debt ratio and doubling net profit margin, despite facing challenges in the dairy market [1][5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, New Dairy Industry achieved operating revenue of 10.665 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.93%, marking the third consecutive year of revenue exceeding 10 billion yuan [1][3]. - The net profit for 2024 was 538 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.80%, with double-digit growth sustained for five consecutive years [1][3]. - The asset-liability ratio at the end of 2024 was 64.61%, down 5.86 percentage points from the previous year and 7.3 percentage points from 2022 [1][5]. - The net profit margin for 2024 reached 5.15%, an increase of 1.17 percentage points from the previous year and 1.53 percentage points from 2022 [1][5]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from liquid milk and dairy product manufacturing reached 9.907 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.75%, accounting for 92.89% of total revenue [3]. - Other revenue amounted to 758 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 34.27%, making up 7.11% of total revenue [3]. Market Context - The dairy industry in China is undergoing a deep adjustment period, with supply-demand balance pressures becoming evident. In 2024, domestic milk production was 40.79 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 2.8% [2]. - Nielsen data indicates that the dairy product industry is facing slowing demand growth, with slight declines in overall liquid milk sales [2]. Strategic Initiatives - New Dairy Industry is committed to its "Fresh Cube Strategy," focusing on improving profitability despite external environmental changes [3]. - The company has been investing in breeding technology improvements, with average milk production per cow exceeding 12 tons per head in 2024 [6]. Research and Development - Research and development expenses exceeded 40 million yuan for three consecutive years from 2021 to 2023, reaching 49.103 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.63% [7]. - Sales expenses in 2024 were 1.659 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.14% [7]. Dividend Policy - New Dairy Industry proposed a cash dividend of 2.5 yuan per share (before tax) for 2024, totaling 215 million yuan, and implemented its first interim dividend since listing, amounting to 30.1236 million yuan [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's main revenue remains stable, with a significant improvement in profitability. Total revenue and net profit for 2024 were 10.665 billion and 538 million yuan, respectively, showing a year-on-year decline of 3% and an increase of 25% [5] - The low-temperature product category continues to perform well, with expectations for new products to drive further growth. Revenue from liquid milk, milk powder, and other categories for 2024 were 9.836 billion, 71 million, and 758 million yuan, respectively, with liquid milk showing a stable performance [6] - Direct sales channels are growing rapidly, particularly in the East China region, with direct sales revenue reaching 6.225 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11% [8] - The company aims to double its net profit margin over the next five years, focusing on expanding its core business and enhancing corporate value [9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, total revenue was 10.665 billion yuan, with a net profit of 538 million yuan, reflecting a 25% increase year-on-year. The Q1 2025 figures showed a revenue of 2.625 billion yuan and a net profit of 133 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 0.4% and 48% respectively [5] - The gross margin for 2024 was 28.36%, increasing by 1.5 percentage points, while the net margin was 5.15%, up by 1.2 percentage points [5] Product Performance - The low-temperature milk segment, including fresh milk and yogurt, achieved mid-to-high single-digit growth, with the "24-hour" series seeing over 15% revenue growth [6] - New product launches contributed to maintaining a double-digit revenue share, with the "初心" series and "活润" brand both achieving significant growth [6][7] Sales Channels - Direct sales revenue reached 6.225 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 11%, while online sales through platforms like Douyin and JD.com grew by 32% [8] - The company's self-developed "鲜活 go" platform has shown significant growth in user retention and repurchase rates [8] Profit Forecast - The company projects EPS of 0.78, 0.92, and 1.03 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 22, 19, and 17 times [9]