中国核电 20250429 摘要 • 中国核电 2025 年第一季度累计发电 597 亿度，同比增长 16.93%，实现 营业收入 202 亿元，同比增长 12.7%。核电业务收入 167 亿元，同比增 长 10.46%；新能源业务收入 35 亿元，同比增长 24.64%。归母净利润 31 亿元，同比增长 2.55%，其中核电贡献 29 亿元，同比增 11.52%；新 能源贡献 2 亿元，同比下降 51%。 • 截至 2025 年 3 月底，中国核电控股的非核清洁能源装机容量达到 3,069 万千瓦，提前完成十四五规划目标。公司积极发展风能和光伏项目，并推 动钙钛矿产业取得阶段性成果，小型组件效率达到行业领先水平。此外， 公司探索新型储能及相关产业协同开发，推动新能源与储能产业协同发展。 • 2025 年一季度核电综合电价与 2024 年同比略有下降，下降幅度约为一 分左右，整体仍维持在每度电 0.4 元左右，总体较为平稳。江苏地区市场 用电量从 271 度提升至 310 度，反映出当地经济发展带来的用电需求增 长。 • 2025 年的大修计划包括 17 次大修，公司已发布详细公告，包括全年大修 次数及具体季 ...

Core Insights - The 2025 Shanghai International Automobile Industry Exhibition has marked the beginning of a new round of competition in power systems, driven by the "dual carbon" goals and innovations in battery technologies [1] Group 1: Battery Technology Developments - Numerous battery companies showcased their latest technologies and products, including Huizhou EVE Energy Co., Ltd. with its comprehensive battery solutions and BYD's solid-state battery models [2] - The focus on solid-state batteries, high-nickel ternary batteries, and lithium iron phosphate batteries indicates a diverse technological landscape, with solid-state batteries seen as the next generation of power batteries [2] - CATL introduced its dual-core battery technology, emphasizing the combination of different chemical systems to enhance performance across various conditions [3] Group 2: Market Trends and Competition - The entry into a "multi-core era" for power batteries signifies a shift from single-material competition to a collaborative approach among various battery technologies [4] - The competition is intensifying with advancements in sodium-ion batteries, hydrogen fuel cells, and methanol fuel technologies, which are expected to redefine market dynamics [5] - The introduction of a low-pressure, ambient temperature solid-state hydrogen storage fuel cell vehicle at the exhibition highlights the growing interest in hydrogen technology [6] Group 3: Future Outlook - The automotive power system competition is anticipated to become more intense by 2025, pushing the industry towards greener, smarter, and more efficient solutions [6] - Industry experts suggest that companies must enhance R&D efforts, improve product performance, and lower costs to meet market demands and foster collaboration for technological advancement [7]

然而，反应到二级市场上，投资者兴趣却似乎稍显平淡——4月28日，港股核电板块强势高开，而后盘中涨幅收窄，截止收盘板块上涨2.19%，个股中广核 电力(01816)、中广核新能源(01811)则分别录得2.45%、2.20%涨幅，中广核矿业则微微下跌0.67%。4月29日，该板块和相关核电概念股又纷纷走绿。 作为港股市场并不"显眼"的冷门板块，核电板块近日终于迎来"大消息"。 4月27日，国务院总理李强主持召开国务院常务会议，决定核准浙江三门三期工程等10台核电机组，分别为广西防城港核电三期(5、6号机组)、广东台山核 电二期(3、4号机组)、浙江三门核电三期(5、6号机组)、山东海阳核电三期(5、6号机组)、福建霞浦核电一期(1、2号机组)五个工程。 这是今年首次有新核电项目通过审批。核电机组从核准到建成的周期一般为56-60个月，一台核电机组投资额约200亿元。以此计算，10台机组预计总投资超 2000亿元。对此，中信建投表示，受益于自2019年以来核电项目建设重启、2021年以来核电连续成规模核准，产业链相关公司在手订单饱满，考虑核电订单 交付周期，预计行业将迎来业绩景气期。 可以看到，尽管此次核准的10 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 663 million yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.03%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 92 million yuan, up 1.65% year-on-year. The gross margin and net margin improved to 36.83% and 12.89%, respectively, reflecting a significant enhancement in profitability [1] - The company benefits from the rising demand in the "two machines" industry, with contract liabilities exceeding 1.2 billion yuan, indicating strong revenue growth potential for 2025. The domestic orders are expected to increase due to accelerated localization efforts in gas turbines and aviation engines [2] - The approval of nuclear power projects is expected to boost the company's revenue from nuclear main pump castings, with strategic partnerships and contracts already in place for multiple nuclear projects [3] Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 663 million yuan and a net profit of 92 million yuan, with improved profitability metrics [1] Operational Analysis - The company signed long-term agreements with major clients in the "two machines" sector, leading to a significant increase in contract liabilities, which grew over 100% year-on-year to 1.76 billion yuan. This positions the company for accelerated revenue growth in 2025 [2] - The domestic market for gas turbines is expanding, with successful certification of domestically developed aircraft engines, indicating a positive trend for future orders [2] Nuclear Power Sector - The approval of five nuclear power projects is expected to enhance demand for the company's nuclear pump products, with existing contracts already in place for significant deliveries [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 3.2 billion, 3.9 billion, and 5 billion yuan, with net profits of 450 million, 630 million, and 890 million yuan, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are 30, 22, and 15 [4]

2025.04. 29 导读 ： 全国一体化算力网加快构建；核电核准节奏加速；解锁【第一财经智享会员】实时解读市场动态，把握投资 先机。 【第一财经智享会员专属】 【 今 日 速 读 】 精选行业研报，助您捕捉行业风口 【精选快读】 1、全国一体化算力网加快构建，机构看好相关产业链高速增长 1、全国一体化算力网加快构建，机构看好相关产业链高速增长 2、核电核准节奏加速，产业发展高景气延续 我国算力资源布局进一步优化，全国一体化算力网加快构建。 最 新 数 据 显 示 ， 截 至 今 年 一 季 度 ， 我 国 " 东 数 西 算 " 八 大 枢 纽 节 点 算 力 总 规 模 达 到 每 秒 2 1 5 . 5 百 亿 亿 次 浮 点 运 算 ， 其 中，智能算力规模占枢纽节点算力总规模的8 0 . 8 %；枢纽节点间2 0毫秒时延圈已基本实现，用户体验进一步提升；试 点开通9条"公共传输通道"，为中小企业、科研机构提供弹性网络服务，有助于生产经营和研发创新。算力作为支撑 人工智能发展的核心生产力，呈现出稳中有进的发展态势。 在2 8日举行的第八届数字中国建设峰会"数算一体 驱动未来"交流活动上，国家数据局相 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 3.30, indicating a potential upside of 31.5% from the recent closing price of HKD 2.51 [1][4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of CNY 20.028 billion in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.41%, driven by increased power generation from subsidiaries [2][4]. - However, the company's profit faced pressure, with a net profit of CNY 3.026 billion, down 16.07% year-on-year, primarily due to increased market trading volumes, declining market prices, and a significant rise in R&D expenses [2][4]. - The approval of four new nuclear units is expected to provide stable growth for the company's future capacity [3][4]. - The company has 16 units under construction, with a total capacity of 19,406 MW, indicating substantial growth potential [3][4]. Revenue and Profitability - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are CNY 89.4 billion, CNY 93.6 billion, and CNY 99.2 billion, with growth rates of 2.96%, 4.69%, and 6.1% respectively [4][9]. - The net profit forecasts for the same period are CNY 11 billion, CNY 11.7 billion, and CNY 12.2 billion, with growth rates of 2.08%, 5.73%, and 4.90% respectively [4][9]. Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a final dividend of CNY 0.095 per share for 2024, maintaining a payout ratio of 44.36%, which is an increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [4][6].

2025 年 4 月 29 日 【今日关注】 周一市场小幅下挫，成交额 1.08 万亿，比上一交易日减少约 600 亿。 行业多数下跌，银行、钢铁、公用事业等少数行业小幅上涨。地产、 社会服务、汽车、建材等行业跌幅居前。 指数开盘即下挫，之后全天弱势震荡，成交量维持在低位，与前一段 时间差别不大。指数连续一段时间以来的走势，反应的主要是偏弱的 市场情绪。银行和公用事业相对强势，其他多数行业下挫并且有部分 行业跌幅较大，这种行业特征所反映出的并非简单的风格切换，当前 背景下不排除有政策性维稳资金在适当干预。展望后市，关税博弈的 信息仍然左右市场，其中充满不确定性和反复，另外叠加一季报业绩 披露的最后两日，以及之后的长假因素，预计市场仍以弱势震荡为主。 贸易战和关税博弈，长假因素以及季报业绩最后披露日，均对市场有 一定压制，市场资金多以观望为主，多数行业预计难以出现明显的上 涨行情。建议暂时控制仓位，减少短线操作，将关注重点调整到已披 露业绩的内需、科技、安全等主题方问。 【市场回顾】 市场概况：4 月 28 日，市场全天震荡调整，三大指数小幅下跌。截至 收盘，沪指跌 0.2%，深成指跌 0.62%，创业板指跌 ...

我国日前决定核准浙江三门三期工程、福建霞浦压水堆1、2号机组、山东海阳三期工程、广东台山 二期工程、广西防城港三期工程等5个核电项目。我国在运和核准在建核电装机容量超过1.2亿千 瓦。 这是国家能源局28日举行的新闻发布会上发布的最新信息。 2024年全国核电发电量4509亿千瓦时，同比增加3.7%，占全国总发电量的4.5%。全年等效减少标煤消 耗约1.4亿吨，减少排放二氧化碳约3.7亿吨。我国在运核电机组始终保持良好的安全纪录，主要运行指 标保持国际领先水平，未对公众和环境造成任何不良影响。 下一步，国家发展改革委、国家能源局将指导督促企业按照全球最高安全标准建设和运营核电机组，进 一步提高核电工程建设和运行管理水平，确保核电安全万无一失。大力支持第四代核电技术、小型模块 化反应堆、核聚变等前沿技术攻关。（戴小河） （来源：新华社） 相 关 阅 读 国家能源局2025年二季度新闻发布会文字实录 核电阀门自主可控 拿捏！丨能源高质量发展调研行·民企力量 人民日报：我国核电在运在建规模升至世界第一 央视新闻：加快建设新型能源体系 我国将核准开工一批条件成熟沿海核电项目 中国之声：我国核电在运在建规模升至世界第一 ...

证券研究报告 中国核电 (601985 CH) 净利或已触底，核电投产有望提速 华泰研究 年报点评 2025 年 4 月 29 日│中国内地 发电 中国核电发布业绩，2024 年实现营收 772.72 亿元（yoy+3%），归母净利 87.77 亿元（yoy-17%），扣非净利 85.69 亿元（yoy-18%），归母净利低于 华泰预测（111 亿元），主要是所得税费用高于预期；公司 1Q25 实现营收 202.73 亿元（yoy+13%），归母净利 31.37 亿元（yoy+2.6%）。2025 年有 望受益于核电新机组投产。2024 年公司 DPS 为 0.18 元/股，派息率升至 42%。维持"买入"评级。 核电：所得税费上升致净利承压，2025 年有望受益于新机组投产 截至 2025 年 4 月 28 日，公司核电在运机组合计 26 台、装机容量 24.96GW， 在建机组 12 台、装机容量 13.92GW，核准待建机组 7 台、装机容量 7.94GW， 公司开展前期准备工作的核电机组仍超过 10 台，为后续核准奠定基础。 4Q24/1Q25核电发电量yoy+1.0%/+13.3%，得益于漳州1号机 ...

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.143 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.48%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 295 million yuan, up 9.68%, meeting expectations [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The nuclear power sector saw a revenue increase of 7.06% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 36.75%, down 3.09 percentage points [2] - The metallurgy sector experienced a revenue growth of 13.38% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 29.12%, down 2.27 percentage points [2] - The energy services sector benefited from a rise in demand for contract energy management, with revenue increasing by 63.06% year-on-year and a gross margin of 35.86%, up 0.45 percentage points [2] - The energy sector faced a revenue decline of 38.18% year-on-year, but the gross margin improved by 5.06 percentage points to 16.97% [2] Order and Product Structure - The company secured new orders worth 2.521 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 13.55% year-on-year [2] - Metallurgy orders amounted to 409 million yuan, down 9.31% year-on-year, while energy orders were 193 million yuan, down 8.53% year-on-year [2] - Nuclear power orders reached 1.102 billion yuan, a significant increase of 37.24% year-on-year, accounting for 43.7% of new orders, up 16.2 percentage points [2] Research and Development - The company increased its R&D expenditure, with an R&D expense ratio of 4.71% in 2024, up 0.28 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company is positioned to benefit from the rising domestic production rate of nuclear power valves and has a comprehensive product range in hydrogen energy [3] - Long-term investments in the semiconductor equipment sector are aimed at providing critical components for the semiconductor and photovoltaic industries [3] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 2.392 billion yuan, 2.592 billion yuan, and 2.743 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 11.59%, 8.36%, and 5.83% respectively [4] - Net profit forecasts for the same years are 325 million yuan, 365 million yuan, and 406 million yuan, with growth rates of 10.15%, 12.31%, and 11.26% respectively [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.64 yuan, 0.72 yuan, and 0.80 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4]