东吴证券认为，周四，A股市场高开低走，震荡调整。盘面上，海南、银行等板块涨幅居前，美容护 理、光伏设备、食品加工等板块跌幅居前。走势上看，上证指数虽未跌破周二低点3926点，但收盘也很 接近，且周四阴线反包周三的震荡十字，技术上短期往3900点整数关口下探概率加大。创业板指数亦是 高开低走，收盘跌破60日均线，且近乎最低点收盘，创业板指数技术走势看继续向3000点整数关口甚至 5月线需求支撑的概率加大。 财信证券认为，周四，在隔夜美股以及当天日韩市场转暖的背景下，A股高开低走，成交额小幅缩量， 反映出当前市场情绪仍偏谨慎，需继续等待大盘出现明显的企稳回升信号。短期内，随着大盘近期震荡 消化整理已相对充分，指数层面下探空间或相对有限，但当日大盘高开低走的行情给市场带来了一定不 确定性。中期来看，在全球科技投资热情不减、"反内卷"政策持续推进、居民储蓄入市等因素支撑下， 本轮慢牛行情的根基并未动摇，后续A股指数仍存在继续走强的基础。 东莞证券认为，周四，A股市场高开低走，缩量调整。盘面上，建筑材料、综合、银行、通信和房地产 等板块涨幅靠前；美容护理、煤炭、电力设备、石油石化和商贸零售等板块跌幅靠前。当前市场仍处于 ...

Market Overview - On November 20, the A-share market experienced slight fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index facing resistance around 3967 points[2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3931.05 points, down 0.40%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.76% to 12980.82 points[7] - Total trading volume for both markets was 17,228 billion yuan, slightly lower than the previous trading day[3] Sector Performance - Strong performers included banking, real estate, energy metals, and cement materials, while battery, beauty care, photovoltaic equipment, and mining sectors lagged[3] - Over 70% of stocks in the two markets declined, with energy metals and cement materials showing the highest gains[7] Valuation Metrics - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 16.19 times and 48.48 times, respectively, above the median levels of the past three years[3] - The current market is in a consolidation phase, with the Shanghai Composite Index likely to stabilize around the 4000-point mark[3] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to maintain reasonable positions and avoid chasing highs or selling lows, while closely monitoring macroeconomic data and policy changes[3] - Short-term investment opportunities are suggested in sectors such as energy metals, insurance, banking, and cement materials[3] Risk Factors - Potential risks include unexpected overseas economic downturns, domestic policy changes, and macroeconomic disturbances[4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the A-share market is expected to maintain a long-term positive trend despite short-term fluctuations, with institutional allocations becoming more balanced as the year-end approaches [1] - The China Galaxy Securities anticipates that the year-end market will primarily exhibit a volatile structure, preparing for next year's economic direction [1] - The A500 ETF from E Fund saw a net subscription of approximately 80 million units throughout the day, reflecting investor interest [1] Group 2 - The A500 index rose by 0.3%, the A100 index increased by 0.6%, and the A50 index went up by 0.4%, indicating a positive performance across major indices [1] - There is a clear expectation of price recovery, with a focus on sectors that are less competitive internally, as well as a validation phase for technology-driven industries and their performance [1]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.18% to close at 3946.74 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index slightly declined, closing at 13080.09 points, and the ChiNext Index increased by 0.25% to 3076.85 points [2][4]. - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.7259 trillion yuan, a decrease of 200.2 billion yuan compared to the previous day, marking the lowest level this month and the third lowest in the past three months [5]. Individual Stock Performance - Despite the index performance appearing stable, the majority of individual stocks experienced significant declines, with approximately 3984 stocks down and only 1176 stocks up at market close. The median decline across all A-shares was about 1.50% [4][6]. - The main contributors to the rise in the Shanghai Composite Index were major state-owned enterprises in the oil and banking sectors, with PetroChina, CNOOC, and Sinopec contributing 8.04 points to the index's rise [6]. Sector Analysis - The oil sector showed strength, influenced by rumors of increased oil reserves, while the lithium mining sector also performed well due to rising lithium carbonate futures prices. However, the lithium mining companies are still in the process of turning profitable, and the rising lithium prices have pressured the battery sector, which fell by approximately 1.4% today [6]. - Notably, CATL, a leading company in the battery sector, rose by about 1.50%, closing at 391.1 yuan per share, indicating profitability for funds that acquired shares during a recent price reduction [6]. Market Sentiment - The market sentiment appears to be cautious, with a significant outflow of capital, totaling 513 billion yuan today, following a previous outflow of nearly 1000 billion yuan [6]. - The number of stocks hitting the daily limit down was 24, primarily from speculative stocks that had previously been driven by "mystical" trading strategies. The Hainan sector, once a hot topic, saw the largest decline today, around 4% [7]. Conclusion - The overall market sentiment is described as "disheartened," with concerns about liquidity as institutions face year-end accounting pressures, leading to potential further declines in trading volume [7].

免责声明：本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任何保 证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本报告版权仅为我公 司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院， 且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | IF主力合约（2512） IH主力合约（2512） | 4565.2 3011.0 | +22.2↑ IF次主力合约（2511） +16.6↑ IH次主力合约（2511） | 4583.4 3018.0 | +23.4↑ +17.4↑ | | | IC主力合约（2512） | 7054.8 | -1.6↓ IC次主力合约（2511） | 7116.6 | -15.6↓ | | | IM主力合约（2512） | 7298.2 | -31. ...

从全球局势来看，G2格局逐步确立，未来国际格局中，中美有望出现你追我赶、齐头并进的发展态 势，而非美国在科技上遥遥领先的局面。未来，中美在经贸领域还会继续在合作中竞争、在竞争中发 展。我国在硬件和软件两个方面均实现突破，特别是DeepSeek大模型横空出世，以及在芯片、半导体 方面实现的突破，都提升了全球资本对于中国科技创新的信心，这也是这轮牛市以科技为主线的重要原 因。虽然前期科技板块涨幅较大，一些投资者选择暂时获利了结，导致科技板块出现调整，但科技牛市 预计并没有结束。人工智能带来的科技进步以及生产力提升的趋势将会延续。结构性牛市以科技为主， 主要体现在资金集中投资于少数科技创新板块，如机器人、芯片、半导体、算法创新、固态电池等；到 了全面牛市阶段，更多板块可能会出现上涨，这或将会给市场带来赚钱机会。因此，预计2026年市场的 赚钱效应可能比今年更强，投资机会可能也更多，投资者的体验也可能会更好。 2025年，市场虽走出了牛市走势，但呈现出典型的哑铃型结构：一头是以银行为代表的低估值、高股息 板块，部分个股甚至创新高；另一头是代表新质生产力的科技股大幅上涨，而大多数板块没有明显表 现。2026年，如基本面 ...

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 船舶贵金属领涨 A 股小幅上行 ——市场分析 相关报告 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2025 年 11 月 19 日 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 《市场分析：传媒互联网领涨 A 股震荡整固》 2025-11-18 《市场分析：软件锂电行业领涨 A 股震荡整 理》 2025-11-17 《市场分析：光伏医药行业领涨 A 股小幅震 荡》 2025-11-14 联系人： 李智 电话： 0371-65585629 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 周三（11 月 19 日）A 股市场冲高遇阻、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指低 开后震荡上行，盘中沪指在 3958 点附近遭遇阻力，午后股指维持震 荡，盘中船舶制造、贵金属、能源金属以及银行等行业表现较好； 互联网服务、软件开发、文化传媒以及电子元件等行业表现较弱， 沪指全天基本呈现小幅震荡上行的运行特征。创业板市场周三震荡 上扬，创业板成分指数全天表现强于主板市场。 ◼ 后市研判 ...

市 场 研 究 · 一 周 市 场 回 顾 · 证 券 研 究 报 告 一周市场回顾 （2025.11.10—2025.11.14） A 股市场： 融资融券： 请务必阅读报告正文后各项声明 1 / 7 2025 年 11 月 19 日 一周市场回顾 证券研究报告-一周市场回顾 分析师：马遥识途 资格证书：S1330524050001 联系邮箱：mayst@hxzb.cn 联系电话：15201282186 相关研究 一 周 市 场 回 顾 （ 2025.11.03 — 2025.11.07） 2025.11.14 一周市场回顾 （ 2025.10.27 — 2025.10.31） 2025.11.03 一周市场回顾 （ 2025.10.20 — 2025.10.24） 2025.10.27 ◼ 本周 A 股上证指数下跌 0.18%，收于 3990.49 点，深证成指下跌 1.40%，收于 13216.03 点，创业板指下跌 3.01%，收于 3111.51 点。 价值风格类板块代表指数上证 50、中证 100、沪深 300 分别上涨 0.00%、下跌 0.80%、下跌 1.08%，成长风格类板块代表指数中小 1 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the market is building momentum for a new upward trend, supported by resilient fundamentals shown in the Q3 reports of listed companies [1] - The China Securities Galaxy suggests that structural highlights are prominent, emphasizing high-quality development and technological self-reliance as outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1] - There is an expectation of price recovery, with a clear logic for reversing the trend of internal competition in certain sectors, while the technology sector is entering a verification phase for its trends and performance [1] Group 2 - The CSI A100 index rose by 0.4%, the CSI A50 index increased by 0.3%, while the CSI A500 index saw a slight decline of 0.01% [1] - The A500 ETF from E Fund (159361) recorded a net subscription of 75 million units in the first half of the day [1] - The overall long-term positive trend of the A-share market remains unchanged [1]

Group 1 - The A-share market is currently in a phase of consolidation around the 4000-point level, with a likelihood of continued rebalancing between cyclical and technology sectors [1] - The semiconductor and robotics sectors showed active performance, while battery, coal, and steel sectors experienced significant declines [1][2] - The recent tightening of overseas liquidity is a major factor putting pressure on global equity markets, with expectations of a cooling in Fed rate cut predictions due to internal disagreements within the FOMC [2] Group 2 - The Shanghai Composite Index has been fluctuating around the 3950-point level, indicating a potential for technical and emotional recovery in the A-share market after a series of declines [1][2] - The market is expected to face challenges in generating strong upward momentum until new leading sectors emerge [1] - Investors are advised to consider opportunistic buying after the recent adjustments, as the index has been consolidating for some time [2]