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沥青早报-20250707
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-07-07 00:59
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Report Core Viewpoint No information provided. 3) Summary by Relevant Catalog Futures Contracts - The closing price of the BU main contract on July 4 was 3576, a daily change of -12 and a weekly change of 13 [4]. - The trading volume on July 4 was 173,087, a daily change of -15,451 and a weekly change of -146,096 [4]. - The open interest on July 4 was 472,725, a daily change of -1,882 and a weekly change of -24,713 [4]. Spot Market - The low - end price in the Shandong market on July 4 was 3570, with a daily change of 0 and a weekly change of -10 [4]. - The low - end price in the East China market on July 4 was 3670, with a daily change of 20 and a weekly change of 20 [4]. Basis and Calendar Spread - The Shandong basis on July 4 was -6, with a daily change of 12 and a weekly change of -23 [4]. - The East China basis on July 4 was 94, with a daily change of 32 and a weekly change of 7 [4]. Crack Spread and Profit - The asphalt Brent crack spread on July 4 was -31, with a daily change of 16 and a weekly change of -64 [4]. - The ordinary refinery comprehensive profit on July 4 was 508, with a daily change of 10 and a weekly change of -76 [4]. Related Prices - The price of Brent crude oil on July 4 was 68.8, with a daily change of -0.3 and a weekly change of 1.0 [4]. - The Shandong market price of gasoline on July 4 was 7852, with a daily change of -10 and a weekly change of -74 [4].
燃料油早报-20250704
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-07-04 01:28
Report Information - Report Title: Fuel Oil Morning Report - Research Team: Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center - Date: July 4, 2025 [2] Core Viewpoints - This week, the high-sulfur cracking fluctuated and declined, the near-month spread decreased, and the EW weakened rapidly. The 380 8-9 spread dropped to $4.25, the basis oscillated at a low level, the FU07 internal and external spread oscillated at -$5, and the 09 spread oscillated at +$10. There was a large amount of delivery goods in the near month, maintaining a loose pattern. [4] - The 0.5 cracking in Singapore rebounded, the spread decreased to around $5, the basis weakened slightly, and oscillated at $6. The LU internal and external spread remained strong, with the 09 oscillating at around $17. [7] - This week, the onshore inventory in Singapore increased, the floating storage oscillated at a high level, the low-sulfur floating storage decreased slightly, the onshore inventory in ARA increased slightly, but the inventory was still at the lowest level in the same period in history, the floating storage inventory oscillated, and the low-sulfur floating storage increased. The onshore inventory in Fujairah increased significantly, and the floating storage decreased slightly. [7] - This week, the geopolitical risk was lifted. Recently, the fuel oil exports from Iran and Iraq remained at a high level, and Egypt's net imports reached a new high. The high-sulfur fundamentals were in an oscillating pattern. Recently, the high-sulfur was still in the peak power generation season, the near-month internal and external spreads of FU were suppressed, the valuation was low, and the game continued. Subsequently, pay attention to the shipping situation in the Middle East. The LU internal and external spreads were running at a high level, and pay attention to the domestic production situation. [7] Data Summary Rotterdam Market | Product | Change | | --- | --- | | 3.5% HSF Swap M1 | +$2.03 | | 0.5% VLSFO Swap M1 | +$6.35 | | HSFO-Brent M1 | -$0.30 | | 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | +$10.10 | | VLSFO-GO M1 | -$3.75 | | LGO-Brent M1 | +$1.48 | | VLSFO-HSFO M1 | +$4.32 | [3] Singapore Market Swap Data | Product | Change | | --- | --- | | 380cst M1 | +$2.80 | | 180cst M1 | +$3.46 | | VLSFO M1 | +$4.37 | | GO M1 | +$0.94 | | 380cst-Brent M1 | -$0.39 | | VLSFO-GO M1 | -$2.59 | [6] Spot Data | Product | Change | | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | +$0.30 | | FOB VLSFO | +$3.62 | | 380 Basis | -$1.50 | | High-sulfur Internal and External Spread | -$1.5 | | Low-sulfur Internal and External Spread | +$0.2 | [3] Domestic Market FU Data | Product | Change | | --- | --- | | FU 01 | +18 | | FU 05 | +14 | | FU 09 | +27 | | FU 01 - 05 | +4 | | FU 05 - 09 | -13 | | FU 09 - 01 | +9 | [3] LU Data | Product | Change | | --- | --- | | LU 01 | +27 | | LU 05 | +25 | | LU 09 | +27 | | LU 01 - 05 | +2 | | LU 05 - 09 | -2 | | LU 09 - 01 | 0 | [4]
LPG早报-20250702
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-07-02 01:13
Group 1: Report Core Data - The prices of South China LPG, East China LPG, Shandong LPG, Propane CFR South China, Propane CIF Japan, MB Propane Spot, CP Forecast Contract Price, Shandong Ether Rear Carbon Four, Shandong Alkylated Oil, Paper Import Profit, and Main Contract Basis on July 1, 2025, are 4690, 4582, 4600, 580, 530, 72, 556, 5120, 7850, -86, and 482 respectively [1] - The daily changes of these data are -10, -18, 20, 10, 6, -2, -3, 110, 0, -91, and 4 respectively [1] Group 2: Market Conditions Summary - The weekly view shows that the market is mainly stabilizing. The PG futures price has weakened, with a small change in the monthly spread (the latest 08 - 09 spread is 100). The arbitrage window from the US to the Far East is closed. The cheapest deliverable is East China civil LPG at 4582 [1] - The PP price has weakened, FEI and CP prices are basically the same, and the PDH production profit has deteriorated. The civil LPG price first rose and then fell. The overall supply is relatively large, and high - price products are resisted by downstream customers. The PG futures price has fallen sharply, the basis has strengthened to 345, and the monthly spread has changed little [1] - The external market price has weakened significantly, the oil - gas ratio has first decreased and then increased. The internal - external price difference has dropped significantly, the PG - CP has weakened to -4 (-33), and the FEI - CP has weakened significantly. The import price has dropped significantly [1] - The PDH spot production profit has improved, the paper - based production profit has increased, the alkylated oil profit has increased significantly, the MTBE gas separation etherification profit is basically flat, and the isomerization etherification profit has increased [1] Group 3: Fundamental Analysis - The port inventory has increased due to more arrivals, the factory inventory has increased slightly with regional differentiation (East China's inventory has decreased, while South China and Shandong's have increased), and the external sales have increased [1] - The PDH operating rate has increased to 70.54% (+4.33 pct), the alkylation operating rate is 46.02% (-1.84 pct), and the MTBE output is basically flat. The number of registered warehouse receipts is 8358 lots (+0) [1] Group 4: Market Forecast - Next week, it is expected that the PDH and alkylation operating rates will increase slightly, the combustion demand will remain weak, low prices will stimulate sales, and the subsequent prices will generally be stable [1]
LPG早报-20250701
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-07-01 04:30
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 2) Core Viewpoints - The cheapest deliverable is Shandong civil gas at 4580. PP prices fluctuate, FEI and CP prices decline, CP discount remains unchanged, PDH production profit improves, and FEI production cost is higher than CP. The PG futures market weakens, the monthly spread changes little, and the 08 - 09 spread is 95. The US - Far East arbitrage window closes [1]. - Civil gas prices rise first and then fall. Geopolitical tensions at the beginning of the week lead to a bullish market, but overall supply is abundant, high prices are resisted by downstream, and the easing of the Middle - East situation causes a sharp drop in oil prices, pressuring the market later in the week. The PG futures market falls sharply, the basis strengthens to 345, and the monthly spread changes little. External market prices weaken significantly, and the oil - gas ratio first suppresses and then rises. The internal - external price difference drops significantly, PG - CP weakens to - 4 (-33), FEI - CP weakens significantly, and the US - Asia arbitrage window closes. Import prices drop significantly, AFEI propane discount drops slightly, and CP propane - butane discount drops significantly. PDH spot production profit improves, paper - based production profit rises, FEI is lower than CP; alkylation oil profit rises significantly; MTBE gas - fractionation etherification profit is basically flat, isomerization etherification profit increases; FEI - MOPJ moves up [1]. - Fundamentally, increased arrivals lead to port inventory accumulation; factory inventory accumulates slightly with regional differentiation, East China destocks, and South China and Shandong accumulate inventory; external sales increase; PDH operating rate rises to 70.54% (+4.33 pct), alkylation operating rate is 46.02% (-1.84 pct), and MTBE production remains basically flat. The number of registered warrants is 8358 lots (+0). Next week, PDH and alkylation operating rates are expected to rise slightly, combustion demand remains weak, low prices stimulate sales, and subsequent prices will generally stabilize [1]. 3) Summaries by Related Catalogs Price Data - From June 24 - 30, 2025, prices of South China LPG, Shandong LPG, Shandong ether - post C4, and other related products change. For example, South China LPG prices range from 4710 - 4755, Shandong LPG prices range from 4599 - 4667 [1]. Market Conditions - Futures market: The PG futures market weakens, and the monthly spread changes little [1]. - External market: FEI and CP prices decline, and the US - Far East and US - Asia arbitrage windows close [1]. - Spot market: Civil gas prices show a trend of rising first and then falling [1]. Profit and Cost - PDH production profit improves, and FEI production cost is higher than CP. PDH spot production profit improves, and paper - based production profit rises [1]. Inventory and Production - Port inventory accumulates due to increased arrivals, factory inventory accumulates slightly with regional differentiation. PDH operating rate rises to 70.54% (+4.33 pct), and alkylation operating rate is 46.02% (-1.84 pct) [1].
燃料油早报-20250630
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-30 04:08
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur crack spread fluctuated and declined, the near - month spread decreased, and the EW weakened rapidly. The 380 8 - 9 month spread dropped to $4.25, the basis oscillated at a low level, the FU07 internal - external spread oscillated at - $5, and the 09 spread oscillated at + $10. There was a large amount of delivery goods in the near - month, maintaining a loose pattern [4]. - The low - sulfur crack spread rebounded, the month spread dropped to around $5, the basis weakened slightly and oscillated at $6. The LU internal - external spread remained strong, with the 09 spread oscillating at around $17 [7]. - This week, Singapore's on - shore inventory increased, floating storage oscillated at a high level, low - sulfur floating storage decreased slightly. ARA's on - shore inventory increased slightly, but the inventory was still at the lowest level in the same period of history, and floating storage inventory oscillated with low - sulfur floating storage increasing. Fujairah's on - shore inventory increased significantly, and floating storage decreased slightly [7]. - This week, geopolitical risks were lifted. Recently, fuel oil exports from Iran and Iraq remained at a high level, and Egypt's net imports reached a new high. The high - sulfur fundamentals were in an oscillating pattern. Currently, high - sulfur is in the peak power - generation season, the near - month internal - external spread of FU is under pressure, the valuation is low, and the game continues. In the future, pay attention to the shipping situation in the Middle East. The LU internal - external spread is running at a high level, and pay attention to the domestic production situation [7]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Data - From June 23 to June 27, 2025, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 decreased from $460.60 to $411.99, a change of - $1.97; the price of Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 increased from $509.41 to $474.54, a change of $0.38; and other related spreads also had corresponding changes [2]. Singapore Fuel Oil Data - Swap data: From June 23 to June 27, 2025, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 decreased from $471.10 to $415.91, a change of - $7.34; the price of Singapore VLSFO M1 increased from $540.67 to $498.49, a change of $3.37 [2][6]. - Spot data: From June 23 to June 27, 2025, the FOB 380cst price decreased from $475.90 to $416.77, a change of - $10.95; the FOB VLSFO price increased from $549.45 to $504.02, a change of $2.08 [3]. Domestic FU Data - From June 23 to June 27, 2025, the price of FU 01 changed from 3180 to 2864, a change of 1; the price of FU 05 changed from 3100 to 2811, a change of - 1; the price of FU 09 changed from 3385 to 3002, a change of - 17 [3]. Domestic LU Data - From June 23 to June 27, 2025, the price of LU 01 changed from 3815 to 3528, a change of 29; the price of LU 05 changed from 3701 to 3434, a change of 14; the price of LU 09 changed from 3968 to 3600, a change of - 23 [4].
LPG早报-20250630
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-30 04:06
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core View of the Report - The LPG market shows complex trends, with civil gas prices rising first and then falling. The PG futures price fluctuates widely, the basis strengthens, and the spread between months changes little. The external market price weakens significantly, and the oil - gas ratio first suppresses and then rises. The import price drops significantly, and the profit of PDH production improves slightly. It is expected that the operating rates of PDH and alkylation will rise slightly next week, the combustion demand remains weak, and the subsequent price will generally stabilize [1]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs Daily Data - From June 22 - 27, 2025, prices of various LPG - related products such as South China LPG, East China LPG, Shandong LPG, etc., show different trends. For example, South China LPG price changes from 4695 on June 22 to 4710 on June 27, with a daily change of - 45 on the 27th. The cheapest deliverable is Shandong civil gas at 4590. The 08 - 09 spread of PG is 94, and the US - to - Far - East arbitrage window is closed [1]. Weekly View - Civil gas prices rise first and then fall. The market is bullish at the beginning of the week due to geopolitical tensions, but then is under pressure as overall supply is high, high prices are resisted by downstream, and the easing of the Middle East situation leads to a sharp drop in oil prices. The basis of PG strengthens to 345. The external market price weakens significantly, and the oil - gas ratio first suppresses and then rises. The import price drops significantly, the profit of PDH spot production improves, and the profit calculated by paper goods rises. The profit of alkylation oil increases significantly, the profit of MTBE gas - fraction etherification remains basically flat, and the profit of isomerization etherification rises. In terms of fundamentals, port inventories increase due to more arrivals, factory inventories increase slightly with regional differentiation (East China destocks, South China and Shandong build up inventories), and external sales increase. The operating rate of PDH rises to 70.54% (+4.33 pct), and the operating rate of alkylation is 46.02% (-1.84 pct), with MTBE production basically flat. The number of registered warrants is 8358 (+0) [1].
燃料油早报-20250627
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-27 02:17
Report Summary 1. Core Viewpoint - This week, the high - sulfur cracking was volatile, with crude oil rising significantly. High - sulfur fuel oil, with a large proportion of Iranian supply, performed well in oil product profits. The 380 - cst monthly spread was volatile, at $7.5 for the 8 - 9 month spread, and the basis was also volatile. The domestic and foreign spreads of FU showed differentiation between near and far months. The 07 contract dropped to around -$7 (with expected large delivery volume), and the 09 contract fluctuated around $8. The 0.5 - cst cracking in Singapore declined, and the monthly spread was volatile. This week, Singapore's land inventory decreased, high - sulfur floating storage increased, low - sulfur floating storage increased, ARA's inventory decreased, floating storage inventory was volatile, and the US inventory decreased. Saudi Arabia's shipments decreased month - on - month, being moderately high compared to the same period, while Russia's shipments were neutral. Iran and Iraq accounted for about 15% - 20% of Singapore's high - sulfur imports, mainly affecting some bunkering and refinery feedstock in the Asia - Pacific region and not eligible for physical delivery on the futures market. It is expected that Iran's shipments will decline in the future due to US sanctions, and if the risk events in the Strait of Hormuz escalate, the impact will be greater. Recently, high - sulfur fuel oil is still in the peak power - generation season, with the overseas market operating strongly. The domestic and foreign near - month contracts of FU are under pressure, with low valuation and continued gaming. For far - month contracts, attention should be paid to the impact of supply disruptions. The domestic and foreign valuations of LU are high [6][7]. 2. Data Summary Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data | Product | Change from 2025/06/20 - 2025/06/26 | | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF Swap M1 | -0.89 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLSFO Swap M1 | 5.33 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | -0.75 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 7.43 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | -2.10 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 0.92 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 6.22 | [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data | Product | Change from 2025/06/20 - 2025/06/26 | | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 2.38 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 2.16 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | -3.21 | | Singapore Gasoil M1 | -0.81 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | 0.89 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | 2.78 | [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Product | Change from 2025/06/20 - 2025/06/26 | | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 3.56 | | FOB VLSFO | -4.12 | | 380 - cst Basis | 2.60 | | High - sulfur Domestic - Foreign Spread | -1.3 | | Low - sulfur Domestic - Foreign Spread | -6.1 | [5] Domestic FU and LU Contract Data | Contract | Change from 2025/06/20 - 2025/06/26 | | --- | --- | | FU 01 | -11 | | FU 05 | -2 | | FU 09 | 4 | | FU 01 - 05 | -9 | | FU 05 - 09 | -6 | | FU 09 - 01 | 15 | | LU 01 | -9 | | LU 05 | 0 | | LU 09 | -16 | | LU 01 - 05 | -9 | | LU 05 - 09 | 16 | | LU 09 - 01 | -7 | [5][6]
沥青早报-20250627
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-27 02:09
Report Information - Report Title: Asphalt Morning Report [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center [3] - Report Date: June 27, 2025 [3] Key Data Summary Futures Contracts - **Prices**: On June 26, BU主力合约 was at 3563, down 11 from the previous day and 132 from the previous week; BU06 was at 3274, down 6 and 142 respectively; BU09 was at 3563, down 11 and 132; BU12 was at 3396, down 9 from the previous week; BU03 was at 3321, unchanged from the previous day and down 113 from the previous week [4]. - **Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume on June 26 was 319,183, down 61,984 from the previous day and 40,161 from the previous week; the open interest was 497,438, down 13,001 from the previous day and 47,627 from the previous week [4]. - **Warehouse Receipts**: The warehouse receipts were 59,010, unchanged from the previous day and up 3,850 from the previous week [4]. Spot Market - **Prices**: On June 26, the low - end prices in Shandong, East China, South China, North China, and Northeast China markets were 3580, 3650, 3610, 3760, and 3920 respectively. The daily changes were - 20, 0, 0, - 20, - 30, and the weekly changes were - 20, - 30, - 10, - 20, - 10 [4]. - **Price Spreads**: The Shandong - East China spread was - 70, down 20 from the previous day and up 10 from the previous week; the Shandong - Northeast spread was - 340, up 10 from the previous day and down 10 from the previous week; the East China - South China spread was 40, unchanged from the previous day and down 20 from the previous week [4]. Basis and Monthly Spreads - **Basis**: The Shandong basis was 17, down 9 from the previous day and up 112 from the previous week; the East China basis was 87, up 11 from the previous day and up 102 from the previous week; the South China basis was 47, up 11 from the previous day and up 122 from the previous week [4]. - **Monthly Spreads**: For example, the 03 - 06 spread was 47, up 6 from the previous day and up 29 from the previous week; the 06 - 09 spread was - 289, up 5 from the previous day and down 10 from the previous week [4]. Crack Spreads and Profits - **Crack Spreads**: The asphalt Brent crack spread was 34, down 48 from the previous day and up 572 from the previous week [4]. - **Profits**: The asphalt Marrow profit was - 38, down 43 from the previous day and up 518 from the previous week; the ordinary refinery comprehensive profit was 584, down 55 from the previous day and up 529 from the previous week [4]. Related Prices - **Crude Oil and Refined Products**: On June 26, Brent crude oil was at 67.7, up 0.5 from the previous day and down 11.2 from the previous week; the Shandong market price of gasoline was 7926, down 71 from the previous day and 15 from the previous week; the Shandong market price of diesel was 6918, down 45 from the previous day and up 66 from the previous week; the Shandong market price of residue oil was 3725, down 75 from the previous day and 75 from the previous week [4].
燃料油早报-20250626
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-26 06:05
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - This week, the high-sulfur crack spread fluctuated, with crude oil prices rising significantly. High-sulfur fuel oil, with a large proportion of Iranian supply, performed well in terms of oil product profits. The 380-month spread fluctuated, with the August - September spread at $7.5, and the basis also fluctuated. The domestic FU showed a differentiation between near and far months, with the July contract dropping to around -$7 (it is expected that there will be a large amount of delivery goods), and the September contract fluctuating at around $8. The 0.5 crack spread in Singapore declined, and the month spread fluctuated. This week, onshore inventories in Singapore decreased, high-sulfur floating storage inventories increased, low-sulfur floating storage inventories increased, ARA inventories decreased, floating storage inventories fluctuated, and US inventories decreased. Saudi Arabia's shipments decreased month-on-month, remaining at a moderately high level compared to the same period, while Russia's shipments were neutral. Iran and Iraq account for about 15% - 20% of Singapore's high-sulfur imports, mainly affecting some bunkering and refinery feedstock in the Asia-Pacific region and cannot be used for physical delivery on the futures market. It is expected that Iran's shipments will decline in the future, mainly due to the impact of US sanctions. If the risk events in the Strait of Hormuz escalate, the impact magnitude will increase. Recently, high-sulfur fuel oil is still in the peak power generation season, with the overseas market performing strongly. The domestic FU near-month contracts are under pressure, with relatively low valuations, and the market game continues. For the far-month contracts, attention should be paid to the impact of supply disruptions. The domestic and overseas valuations of LU are relatively high. [4][5] Data Summaries Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From June 19 to June 25, 2025, the prices of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1, and other related products changed. For example, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 decreased from $481.08 to $414.85, with a change of $1.34. [2] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data - During the same period, the prices of Singapore 380cst M1, Singapore 180cst M1, and other related products also changed. For instance, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 decreased from $480.47 to $420.87, with a change of -$7.03. [2] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From June 19 to June 25, 2025, the FOB prices of Singapore 380cst and FOB VLSFO changed. The FOB 380cst price decreased from $485.32 to $424.16, with a change of -$7.46. [3] Domestic FU Data - The prices of domestic FU 01, FU 05, and FU 09 contracts changed. For example, the FU 01 contract price decreased from 3154 to 2874, with a change of -21. [3] Domestic LU Data - The prices of domestic LU 01, LU 05, and LU 09 contracts changed. The LU 01 contract price increased from 3787 to 3508, with a change of 8. [4]
燃料油早报-20250625
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-25 02:20
Report Information - Report Date: June 25, 2025 [1] - Report Team: Research Center's Energy and Chemicals Team [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - This week, the high-sulfur crack spread fluctuated, crude oil prices rose significantly, and high-sulfur fuel oil, with a large proportion of Iranian supply, performed well in terms of oil product profits. The 380-month spread fluctuated, with the August - September spread at $7.5, and the basis also fluctuated. The domestic and overseas spreads of FU showed differentiation between near and far months, with the July contract dropping to around -$7 (it is expected that there will be a large amount of delivery goods), and the September contract fluctuating around $8. The 0.5 crack spread in Singapore declined, and the month spread fluctuated. [4][5] - This week, land-based inventories in Singapore decreased, high-sulfur floating storage inventories increased, low-sulfur floating storage inventories increased, ARA inventories decreased, floating storage inventories fluctuated, and US inventories decreased. Saudi Arabia's shipments decreased month-on-month, and were moderately high compared to the same period. Russia's shipments were at a moderate level. Iran and Iraq account for about 15% - 20% of Singapore's high-sulfur imports, mainly affecting some bunker fueling and refinery feedstock in the Asia-Pacific region, and cannot be used for physical delivery in the futures market. It is expected that Iran's shipment volume will decline in the future, mainly due to the impact of US sanctions. If the risk events in the Strait of Hormuz escalate, the impact will be greater. [5] - Recently, high-sulfur fuel oil is still in the peak power generation season, the overseas market is running strongly, the domestic and overseas near-month spreads of FU are under pressure, the valuation is low, and the game continues. For the far-month contracts, attention should be paid to the impact of supply disruptions. The domestic and overseas valuations of LU are high. [5] Data Summary Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Prices | Type | 2025/06/18 | 2025/06/19 | 2025/06/20 | 2025/06/23 | 2025/06/24 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | 457.84 | 481.08 | 464.95 | 460.60 | 413.51 | -47.09 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | 497.59 | 517.59 | 508.06 | 509.41 | 466.22 | -43.19 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | -1.57 | -1.07 | -1.73 | -2.41 | -1.97 | 0.44 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 707.10 | 764.51 | 728.36 | 713.74 | 642.12 | -71.62 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | -209.51 | -246.92 | -220.30 | -204.33 | -175.90 | 28.43 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 19.64 | 24.87 | 22.22 | 26.31 | 21.22 | -5.09 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 39.75 | 36.51 | 43.11 | 48.81 | 52.71 | 3.90 | [2] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Prices | Type | 2025/06/18 | 2025/06/19 | 2025/06/20 | 2025/06/23 | 2025/06/24 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 478.90 | 480.47 | 478.09 | 471.10 | 427.90 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 484.42 | 487.41 | 487.09 | 481.07 | 436.97 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | 538.95 | 542.99 | 544.13 | 540.67 | 501.16 | | Singapore Gasoil M1 | 93.34 | 96.69 | 96.50 | 93.65 | 85.76 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | 0.93 | 0.26 | -0.27 | -0.98 | -0.54 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | -151.77 | -172.52 | -169.97 | -152.34 | -133.46 | [2] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Prices | Type | 2025/06/18 | 2025/06/19 | 2025/06/20 | 2025/06/23 | 2025/06/24 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 486.91 | 485.32 | 479.12 | 475.90 | 431.62 | -44.28 | | FOB VLSFO | 548.13 | 550.77 | 550.33 | 549.45 | 508.57 | -40.88 | | 380 Basis | 7.55 | 4.65 | 2.70 | 3.65 | 2.75 | -0.90 | | High - Sulfur Domestic - Overseas Spread | 9.2 | 7.5 | 8.3 | 9.1 | 9.8 | 0.7 | | Low - Sulfur Domestic - Overseas Spread | 20.0 | 20.4 | 16.2 | 18.8 | 21.1 | 2.3 | [3] Domestic FU Futures Prices | Type | 2025/06/18 | 2025/06/19 | 2025/06/20 | 2025/06/23 | 2025/06/24 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 3119 | 3154 | 3152 | 3180 | 2895 | -285 | | FU 05 | 3044 | 3068 | 3079 | 3100 | 2850 | -250 | | FU 09 | 3333 | 3369 | 3363 | 3385 | 3065 | -320 | | FU 01 - 05 | 75 | 86 | 73 | 80 | 45 | -35 | | FU 05 - 09 | -289 | -301 | -284 | -285 | -215 | 70 | | FU 09 - 01 | 214 | 215 | 211 | 205 | 170 | -35 | [3] Domestic LU Futures Prices | Type | 2025/06/18 | 2025/06/19 | 2025/06/20 | 2025/06/23 | 2025/06/24 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 3733 | 3787 | 3766 | 3815 | 3500 | -315 | | LU 05 | 3531 | 3674 | 3687 | 3701 | 3421 | -280 | | LU 09 | 3886 | 3948 | 3917 | 3968 | 3629 | -339 | | LU 01 - 05 | 202 | 113 | 79 | 114 | 79 | -35 | | LU 05 - 09 | -355 | -274 | -230 | -267 | -208 | 59 | | LU 09 - 01 | 153 | 161 | 151 | 153 | 129 | -24 | [4]