价值投资

Search documents
中泰资管天团 | 姜诚:用现实主义的方法,实现理想主义的目标
中泰证券资管· 2025-06-12 11:31
再三被问到这个问题时,才发现这背后不是对价值投资本身的质疑,而是对它在资产管理行业中应用前景 的焦虑,包括对价值投资还能否战胜市场的焦虑,还有对持有人能否再次相信主动管理的焦虑。这样的焦 虑事出有因,应该认真对待。 最近的交流中,我被问到最多的问题是:价值投资在A股适不适用?问题让人意外,因为答案是显而易见 的——适用。只要有透明的价格和价值可以被评估的资产,价值投资就适用,它不局限于股市,更不存在 A股例外论。至于什么样的资产是好资产,什么样的价格是好价格,可以仁者见仁智者见智。 对超额收益的担忧或许是多虑,几个常被忽略的事实给予我们信心:一是所有投资者作为一个整体不会有 超额收益,所有人的总收益等于市场总收益减去交易成本;二是总有人能够获得超额收益,这不取决于他 们做的是哪种投资,而取决于他们做得如何;三是指数基金大发展其实是超额收益衰减的结果,而不是超 额收益消失的原因。指数是基准,不是对手,主动投资者不会把钱输给"指数",只会输给其他主动投资 者。主动投资者是一体的两面,一个人没法通过左脚踩右脚登天,也无法通过敲自己的头把自己钉到地 里。 有多少人能够获得超额收益以及能够获得多少超额收益,跟投资者投资 ...
百亿投资经理连续十年跑赢沪深300!徐志敏靠什么识别好公司?
华尔街见闻· 2025-06-12 10:42
见闻 618 · 活动进行 中 新人 9元 解锁 VIP 长按 图片 识别 二维码 进入主会场 2025 年全球贸易与金融格局剧烈变动,让本就以高波动著称的 A股 加剧震荡, 板块轮动也 越来越 快 。 据中国新闻网 6 月 11日报道 ,谈到中美经贸磋商机制首次会议,商务部国际贸易谈判代表兼副部 长李成钢表示,双方进行了专业、理性、深入、坦诚的沟通。 双方原则上就落实两国元首 6月5号通 话共识以及日内瓦会谈共识达成了框架。 6 月 11 日, 上证指数再次 冲击 3400 点。在今年 4 月以来,在特朗普关税战的影响下, A股和 港股均走出一波剧烈振荡的过山车行情。 在这个不确定性越来越高的时代,我们普通人用什么方法去识别能够穿越牛熊的优质资产?如何让自 己的投资组合更安稳?为了帮大家解决这些刚需痛点,我们盘点全市场一线投资大咖后,邀请 中泰 证券 资管 首席投资官徐志敏 , 于 6 月 21 日在上海担任 大师课 主讲嘉宾,围绕 《穿越牛熊追寻 Alpha 》分享 他持续多年实现 Alpha超额收益的方法。 徐志敏有 近 20 年证券从业经验, 目前 管理超过百亿资金, 已 连续 十 年跑赢 沪深 30 ...
杨德龙:稳股市可以提升居民财产性收入 可以有效提振消费推动经济增长
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-06-12 09:45
Group 1: Pharmaceutical Sector - The pharmaceutical stocks have collectively surged, particularly in the innovative drug sector, boosting market confidence and leading to the ChiNext Index surpassing the 3400-point mark [1] - Various sub-sectors within the pharmaceutical industry, such as innovative drugs, CRO, and weight-loss drugs, have shown strong performance, indicating a robust recovery after years of adjustment due to centralized procurement [1] - China's innovative drug sector has made significant progress, with 73 studies selected for oral presentations at the 2025 ASCO, including 11 major research abstracts [1] - The total value of outbound licensing transactions for Chinese innovative drugs reached $51.9 billion in 2024, marking a 26% year-on-year increase, with Q1 2025 alone accounting for $36.93 billion [1] - The low R&D costs in China, combined with a skilled workforce, have positioned many pharmaceutical companies to conduct R&D outsourcing for global pharmaceutical giants, particularly in the Hong Kong market [1] - After years of decline, pharmaceutical stocks are gaining momentum, with many still trading at low valuations, especially those with innovative capabilities [1] Group 2: Technology and Consumer Sectors - The biotechnology sector is fundamentally part of the technology sector, which is currently characterized by a tech bull market expected to continue throughout the year [2] - The new consumption sector remains strong, but there are concerns about potential valuation bubbles due to significant price increases [2] - Traditional consumption has been underperforming, influenced by declining growth in household income, leading to a prolonged drop in stock prices and valuations [2] - Investors are increasingly focusing on emerging industries that represent economic development directions, indicating a shift in investment strategies [2] Group 3: Economic Policies and Market Dynamics - Recent government policies aim to improve living standards by raising the minimum wage, which is expected to enhance overall wage levels and stimulate consumption [3] - A vibrant stock market is seen as a crucial mechanism for boosting consumer spending, which is a primary driver of economic recovery [3] - With household savings reaching 160 trillion yuan, there is a growing need for new investment opportunities, as traditional real estate investments are becoming less attractive [3] - The stability of the stock market is essential for preserving and increasing investor wealth, attracting long-term capital, and providing companies with better financing channels for R&D and production expansion [3]
中泰资管天团 | 姜诚:用现实主义的方法,实现理想主义的目标
中泰证券资管· 2025-06-12 09:35
最近的交流中,我被问到最多的问题是:价值投资在A股适不适用?问题让人意外,因为答案是显而易见 的——适用。只要有透明的价格和价值可以被评估的资产,价值投资就适用,它不局限于股市,更不存在 A股例外论。至于什么样的资产是好资产,什么样的价格是好价格,可以仁者见仁智者见智。 再三被问到这个问题时,才发现这背后不是对价值投资本身的质疑,而是对它在资产管理行业中应用前景 的焦虑,包括对价值投资还能否战胜市场的焦虑,还有对持有人能否再次相信主动管理的焦虑。这样的焦 虑事出有因,应该认真对待。 对超额收益的担忧或许是多虑,几个常被忽略的事实给予我们信心:一是所有投资者作为一个整体不会有 超额收益,所有人的总收益等于市场总收益减去交易成本;二是总有人能够获得超额收益,这不取决于他 们做的是哪种投资,而取决于他们做得如何;三是指数基金大发展其实是超额收益衰减的结果,而不是超 额收益消失的原因。指数是基准,不是对手,主动投资者不会把钱输给"指数",只会输给其他主动投资 者。主动投资者是一体的两面,一个人没法通过左脚踩右脚登天,也无法通过敲自己的头把自己钉到地 里。 有多少人能够获得超额收益以及能够获得多少超额收益,跟投资者投资 ...
22年前25万美金拍下“巴菲特午餐”,绿光资本艾因霍恩:市场失灵了,现在的价值投资者有点像恐龙……
聪明投资者· 2025-06-12 07:13
"市场结构已经变了……这让我们变得像恐龙一样稀有,我们成了少数几个仍然按照传统方式研究公司 的人。" 在最新一期鲁宾斯坦的访谈节目中,绿光资本( Greenlight Capital )创始人大卫 · 艾因霍恩( David Einhorn )表达了对市场失灵的担忧。 拥有"价值投资者"名声的艾因霍恩,是有点另类的。 他坚持基本面研究,以买入 被低估的好公司为 主,也会去做空被显著高估的股票。 艾因霍恩 1970 年出生于美国新泽西, 1996 年创立绿光资本,在随后的 10 年间取得了年化超 25% 的回报。2000 年前后准确预判科技股泡沫破裂,避免重大回撤;随后又因做空安然和雷曼兄弟等公司 而一战成名。 根据艾因霍恩的历年股东信,截至 2014 年前后,其历史年化回报率仍维持在 13% 左右。 而在 2015 年之后,绿光遭遇困境,错判 SunEdison 等案例导致重大亏损,加之市场结构变化、价值 风格承压,基金出现大规模赎回。 绿光资本原本从 2000 年代初期关闭对外募资,一度封闭近 20 年,结果在 2021 年不得不因规模问 题重新向外部投资者开放。 在与大卫 · 鲁宾斯坦的对谈中,艾因霍恩并 ...
22年前25万美金拍下“巴菲特午餐”,绿光资本艾因霍恩:市场失灵了,现在的价值投资者有点像恐龙……
聪明投资者· 2025-06-12 07:12
"市场结构已经变了……这让我们变得像恐龙一样稀有,我们成了少数几个仍然按照传统方式研究公司 的人。" 在最新一期鲁宾斯坦的访谈节目中,绿光资本( Greenlight Capital )创始人大卫 · 艾因霍恩( David Einhorn )表达了对市场失灵的担忧。 拥有"价值投资者"名声的艾因霍恩,是有点另类的。 他坚持基本面研究,以买入 被低估的好公司为 主,也会去做空被显著高估的股票。 艾因霍恩 1970 年出生于美国新泽西, 1996 年创立绿光资本,在随后的 10 年间取得了年化超 25% 的回报。2000 年前后准确预判科技股泡沫破裂,避免重大回撤;随后又因做空安然和雷曼兄弟等公司 而一战成名。 根据艾因霍恩的历年股东信,截至 2014 年前后,其历史年化回报率仍维持在 13% 左右。 而在 2015 年之后,绿光遭遇困境,错判 SunEdison 等案例导致重大亏损,加之市场结构变化、价值 风格承压,基金出现大规模赎回。 绿光资本原本从 2000 年代初期关闭对外募资,一度封闭近 20 年,结果在 2021 年不得不因规模问 题重新向外部投资者开放。 在与大卫 · 鲁宾斯坦的对谈中,艾因霍恩并 ...
喜娜AI速递:昨夜今晨财经热点要闻|2025年6月12日
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-12 07:02
Group 1 - The first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism was held in London, where both sides reached a principled consensus on addressing economic concerns and implementing measures from previous discussions [2] - President Trump called for a 100 basis point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve, citing strong CPI data, which has led traders to increase bets on a rate cut in September [2] - The A-share market experienced a rebound, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 3400 points, indicating a potential "Chinese version of a slow bull market" [2] Group 2 - Following the inauguration of President Lee Jae-myung, the South Korean stock market saw a six-day consecutive rise, with the KOSPI index reaching its highest level since January 2022 [3] - Seventeen major automotive companies, including BYD and Dongfeng, committed to standardizing supplier payment terms to within 60 days, promoting stability in the supply chain [3] - Tensions in the Middle East led to a significant increase in oil prices, with WTI crude futures rising by 4.88% to $68.15 per barrel [3] Group 3 - The founder of Pang Donglai projected a profit of approximately 1.5 billion yuan for the company this year, with average monthly income for employees around 9,000 yuan [4] - Hillhouse Capital's founder Zhang Lei faced significant losses in investments in Longi Green Energy, as the solar industry encounters a cyclical downturn [4] Group 4 - Xiaomi's SU7 Ultra production model set a record for the fastest production electric vehicle at the Nürburgring Nordschleife with a time of 7 minutes and 4.957 seconds [5] - Huawei launched the Pura 80 series smartphones, highlighting a substantial investment of 1.249 trillion yuan in R&D over the past decade, with 2024 R&D expenses projected to reach 179.7 billion yuan [5]
【私募调研记录】玖歌投资调研雄帝科技
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-12 00:10
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the recent research conducted by Jiuge Investment on a listed company, Xiongdi Technology, showcasing significant growth in orders and revenue [1] - Xiongdi Technology reported a 92.68% year-on-year increase in orders for Q1 2025, with total revenue for 2024 projected at 552.03 million yuan, representing a 33.93% increase [1] - The net profit for Xiongdi Technology is expected to reach 29.15 million yuan in 2024, marking a substantial year-on-year growth of 223.78% [1] - The growth in performance is attributed to various business segments, including border control and comprehensive policing, overseas markets for security documents, smart delivery solutions, and innovations in smart transportation [1] - Future profit growth drivers for Xiongdi Technology include a technology-driven strategy and increased overseas strategic layout, with plans to promote security document projects in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and South America [1] - The company's core competitive advantages lie in technological innovation, compliance with international standards, and capabilities in production and project implementation [1] - The second phase of the equity incentive plan requires a revenue growth rate of no less than 40% and a net profit of at least 20 million yuan by 2025 [1] Group 2 - Jiuge Investment Management Co., Ltd. was established in 2002 with a registered capital of 100 million yuan, making it one of the earliest private equity fund companies in China [2] - The company manages assets exceeding 5 billion yuan and has a diverse investment portfolio, including securities investment, stock block trading, directed issuance, merger funds, private equity, and fixed income investments [2] - Jiuge Investment adheres to a value investment philosophy and aims to achieve steady growth while providing excess returns to clients through fundamental research and active management [2]
张磊的“价值投资”,缘何梦碎光伏龙头?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-11 13:52
21世纪经济报道记者曹恩惠 上海报道 2021年3月20日,高瓴资本创始人张磊以视频形式,在中国发展高层论坛2021年会经济峰会上做了一场 演讲。 2020年12月底,高瓴资本又以约158亿元的对价从隆基绿能(601012.SH)重要股东李春安手里,接过 了2.26亿股、约占总股本6.0%的股份。 2021年1月,张磊和阳光电源(300274.SZ)董事长曹仁贤的合照,被后者发到了微信朋友圈。 2020年至2021年这三年,隆基绿能、通威股份以及阳光电源,成了中国光伏行业的"三剑客",市值持续 走高。 然而,在持股时间最久的隆基绿能身上,高瓴资本目前的投资浮亏巨大。 张磊奉行的"价值投资",难道在隆基绿能身上失灵了? 从百亿浮盈到"变相"减持 拿下李春安手中价值百亿元的股份,是高瓴资本对光伏的一场豪赌。 2020年12月21日,隆基绿能发布公告称,股东李春安以70元/股的价格,将其所持有的2.26亿股股份、 约占上市公司股份总数的6.00%转让给高瓴资本旗下基金HHLR管理有限公司-中国价值基金(交易所) (下称HHLR)。 他说道:"高瓴在新能源技术、材料、工艺,整个的绿色经济链上做了一个'碳中和'技术路线 ...
腾讯回A股上市?
表舅是养基大户· 2025-06-11 13:36
Group 1 - The market showed strong performance today, with significant gains in sectors such as rare earths, Hong Kong brokerage firms, and Hong Kong automotive stocks [4][5][8] - The US-China talks are progressing positively, with the US focusing on rare earths and China on chips, leading to a surge in the rare earth sector, which saw an 18% increase today and over 110% this week [5][8] - The automotive industry is experiencing a shift towards reducing payment terms for suppliers to 60 days, down from an average of 150 days last year, which is expected to benefit automotive parts manufacturers in the short term [11][12] Group 2 - Tencent is a key player in the potential return of Hong Kong-listed companies to the A-share market, following new policies allowing companies from the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area to list on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [15][16][17] - The market capitalization of Tencent is significantly higher than that of the largest A-share company, indicating its dominance and the potential impact of its return on the A-share market [17] - The return of major tech companies to the A-share market could improve the overall structure of A-share indices, which currently have a high concentration of traditional industries and low growth potential [19][20]