当地时间14日，总台记者获悉，伊朗警告美国、英国和法国不要向以色列提供支持，否则伊朗方面 会将以上国家的军事基地和船只视为目标。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Israel has attacked fuel storage tanks in southern Tehran, as reported by Iran's Oil Ministry official website Shana [1] Group 1 - The attack specifically targeted fuel storage facilities, indicating a strategic move by Israel in the region [1]

中东紧张局势引爆能源市场。 美东时间6月13日，美股开盘后，能源股全线爆发，休斯敦能源盘中一度涨至熔断，最高暴涨超176%，美国能 源最高大涨超93%。美股能源板块大涨的导火索无疑是以色列与伊朗的冲突升级，国际油价日内一度飙涨超 10%。 当前中东紧张局势正持续升级。据央视新闻，当地时间13日晚，伊朗已发动第三波导弹袭击，向以色列方向发 射约150枚导弹。另据以色列军方消息人士称，美国正在帮助以色列拦截来自伊朗的导弹。美军的萨德反导系 统参与了拦截行动。以色列国防部长在一份声明中表示，伊朗发射导弹的行为已经"越过了红线"。 与此同时，美军也有大动作。为回应以色列袭击伊朗以及伊朗可能采取的报复性袭击，美国正在调动其在中东 的舰艇和其他军事资源，美国海军已指示"托马斯·哈德纳"号驱逐舰驶往东地中海。 全线暴涨 美东时间6月13日，美股能源股全线爆发，休斯敦能源盘中一度暴涨超176%，截至收盘，涨幅仍达119.19%， 美国能源大涨超55%，Indonesia Energy大涨超46%，哈里伯顿涨超5%，西方石油涨超3%，埃克森美孚、戴文 能源、康菲石油涨超2%。 美股能源板块大涨无疑与以色列与伊朗的冲突升级有关， ...

稍早之前，据美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）、英国《卫报》等媒体报道，美国总统特朗普当地时间13日在社交平台上发帖，警告伊朗在"一无所有"之前达成核协 议，并称以色列下一轮针对伊朗的袭击会更加"残酷"。 据央视新闻消息，当地时间6月13日，伊朗正式退出与美国的核谈判。 延伸阅读： 伊朗西部一空军基地附近传出爆炸声 伊朗迈赫尔通讯社13日报道，位于伊朗西部哈马丹省的一座空军基地附近传出爆炸声。 伊朗暂停国内和国际航班 据伊朗民航组织当地时间13日发布的消息，当前伊朗所有机场的国内和国际航班暂停，直至另行通知。 以军继续对伊打击 以军发言人：正在为伊朗的回应做准备 消息人士称，至少有20名伊朗高级指挥官在以色列13日对伊朗的袭击中身亡，其中包括伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队空军司令阿米尔·阿里·哈吉-扎德。 当天稍早前，以色列国防军称，12日夜间至13日凌晨，以色列情报部门确认伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队空军最高指挥部正在地下聚集，准备进攻以色列。随后，以色列空 军战斗机袭击了伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队空军司令阿米尔·阿里·哈吉-扎德、空军无人机指挥部司令塔赫尔-普尔和革命卫队空军防空指挥部司令达乌德·希希安。 以色列将关闭所有驻外使馆 以色列外 ...

Market Overview - The recent escalation of tensions in the Middle East has led to a decline in A-shares, while Hong Kong stocks showed a slight decrease with the Hang Seng Index down by 0.59% [1] - Israeli airstrikes on Iran involved over 200 aircraft and more than 330 bombs, targeting key facilities related to Iran's nuclear program [1] Oil Market Impact - Brent crude oil futures surged over 13% during Asian trading on June 13, with significant increases in related stocks such as Shandong Molong up over 75% and Sinopec Oilfield Service up 25% [2][3] - In the worst-case scenario, a larger conflict could reduce Iranian oil exports by 2.1 million barrels per day, impacting global oil supply [3] Gold and Defense Sector - Gold prices typically rise during conflicts, with stocks like Chifeng Jilong Gold up over 10% and other jewelry-related companies also seeing gains [3] - The Middle East's military trade, which accounted for 36.87% of global imports from 2013 to 2022, may see increased activity, particularly benefiting domestic defense manufacturers like AVIC [3] Shipping and Utilities - The demand for shipping is strong, with companies like China Shipbuilding Leasing seeing significant stock price increases, indicating a supply-demand imbalance [4] - Utility stocks are favored in the current market environment, with companies like Anhui Expressway and Datang International Power Generation also experiencing gains [4] Pharmaceutical Sector - The pharmaceutical sector is showing signs of weakness, with companies like Junshi Biosciences experiencing a drop of over 10% due to financing activities [4] - Conversely, companies like Innovent Biologics are seeing gains, indicating a mixed performance within the sector [5] Real Estate Policy Changes - Guangzhou's proposed consumption stimulus plan includes easing restrictions on real estate, which may positively impact local developers like Yuexiu Property and China Resources Land [6] Refrigerant Market - Dongyue Group is positioned to benefit from rising refrigerant prices, with significant production capacity and market share in R22 and R32 refrigerants [7][8] - The company is expected to see substantial profit growth as refrigerant prices rise due to increased demand [7]

Core Viewpoint - The sudden drop in A-shares is attributed to a black swan event, specifically geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which has led to widespread market panic and a significant decline in stock prices [1][4]. Market Reaction - A-shares and Hong Kong stocks experienced a collective decline, with the ChiNext Index dropping over 1% and more than 4,400 stocks falling [1][4]. - Defensive sectors such as oil, gas, and precious metals saw gains despite the overall market downturn, indicating a shift towards defensive asset allocation [3][5]. Geopolitical Impact - The escalation of tensions, particularly the news of Israel's attack on Iran, has raised serious concerns about broader regional conflict, triggering a risk-averse sentiment across global markets [4][8]. - Analysts suggest that while the current geopolitical situation is concerning, it is essential not to overreact, as markets tend to stabilize over time [3][9]. Investment Strategy - In light of the current market volatility, maintaining a defensive asset allocation is crucial. Historical data indicates that defensive sectors like gold and oil tend to outperform in the month following a conflict outbreak [11]. - Investors are advised to diversify their portfolios across various asset classes, including stocks, bonds, commodities, and cash, to mitigate the impact of single events on their overall investment [20]. Position Management - It is recommended to maintain a cash position of 10%-15% to provide liquidity and the ability to capitalize on opportunities during market downturns [21]. - Utilizing dollar-cost averaging through systematic investment plans can help smooth out volatility and reduce overall investment costs during market dips [23]. Conclusion - A well-structured investment portfolio should be resilient enough to withstand market turbulence, emphasizing the importance of preparation and strategic asset allocation in navigating through volatile periods [24].

Core Viewpoint - The sudden drop in A-shares due to a black swan event has raised concerns about its impact on the market, while defensive sectors like oil and precious metals have shown resilience [1][5][6]. Market Reaction - A-shares and Hong Kong stocks experienced a collective decline, with the ChiNext index dropping over 1% and more than 4,400 stocks falling [1][3]. - The total trading volume in both markets exceeded 1.47 trillion, with defensive sectors such as mining, precious metals, and oil rising against the trend [3][6]. Geopolitical Impact - The escalation of tensions in the Middle East, particularly the news of Israel's attack on Iran, has triggered global market panic and heightened concerns about potential wider conflicts [5][9]. - Analysts suggest that while short-term impacts are significant, systemic risks remain manageable, and markets may stabilize over time [4][9][10]. Defensive Asset Allocation - Historical data indicates that defensive sectors like gold and oil tend to outperform in the month following a conflict outbreak, while tech growth sectors may experience increased volatility [11]. - Recommendations for defensive asset allocation include diversifying investments across stocks, bonds, commodities, and cash to mitigate risks from single events [20]. Investment Strategies - Maintaining a defensive asset allocation is crucial during market volatility, with a focus on bond funds, money market funds, and high-dividend funds [19][18]. - Cash management is emphasized, suggesting a 10%-15% cash position to provide liquidity and opportunities during market downturns [21]. - Dollar-cost averaging through regular investments can help smooth out volatility and lower overall costs during market dips [23]. Conclusion - A well-structured investment portfolio should maintain its course during turbulent times, with preparedness being key to navigating market fluctuations [24].

Core Viewpoints - The recent geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict between Israel and Iran, have led to significant market reactions, including a drop in U.S. futures and a surge in gold and oil prices [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - A total of 4,477 stocks in the A-share market declined, with only 849 stocks rising, indicating a broad market downturn [2]. - The consumer sector, both new and old, has been heavily impacted, with traditional consumption stocks like liquor continuing to decline, particularly Moutai since May 15 [2]. - The innovative drug sector showed strength but experienced a significant pullback after a brief surge, with only a few stocks like Shuyitai continuing to rise [2]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - The military industry is highlighted as a key area of focus, with stocks like AVIC Chengfei rising by 11% and Chengfei Integration hitting the daily limit, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and increased domestic military product reputation [3]. - The oil sector experienced a sharp increase of 14% but is viewed as having limited sustainability due to global economic fundamentals affecting oil prices [3]. - Gold remains a safe haven asset during turbulent times, with its price fluctuations reflecting ongoing global uncertainties [3]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The market is transitioning from sector rotation to a weaker overall performance, suggesting a cautious approach is necessary [4]. - There are questions regarding how to navigate the current market adjustment and which segments of the military industry may present better investment opportunities [4]. - The robotics sector has faced several months of adjustment, raising concerns about its future attractiveness and potential buying points [4]. - The innovative drug sector's recent performance raises questions about whether the current pullback is a buying opportunity or the start of a more significant adjustment [4].

龙虎榜机构热股 今天机构龙虎榜上榜34只个股，净买入14只，净卖出20只。当日机构买入最多的个股前三位是：巨人网络（3日7642万）、永安药业（3日6707万）、新锦动 力（5640万）。 | 上榜热股 | 实时涨跌幅 | 买/卖家数 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 巨人网络 002558.SZ | +3.90% | 3 / 3 | +76 | | 3日 | | | | | 永安药业 002365.SZ | +10.02% | 1 / 0 | +67 | | 3日 | | | | | | | 巨人网络 3日龙虎榜显示，6家机构净买入7642万。 子公司一龙恒业中标利比亚国家石油公司钻机项目，海外市场已覆盖阿尔及利亚、利比亚、哈萨克斯坦等油气开发市场表现优异地区。 德石股份 个股龙虎榜 据苹果APP store显示，公司的《超自然行动组》目前在免费游戏排行榜中进入前10。 龙虎榜知名游资 一、油气 6月13日早间，中东地区地缘冲突再次升级，引发市场对中东原油供应链中断或不稳定的担忧，国际油价应声飙升。 特原油主力期货合约、WTI原油主力期货合约双双暴涨，盘中涨幅一度超过13%，为 ...

Core Insights - Israel launched a significant attack on Iranian nuclear facilities and missile bases, prompting Iran to vow severe retaliation against both Israel and the U.S., despite U.S. denial of involvement [1] - The attack resulted in a spike in oil prices and targeted high-level military commanders, with reports indicating the death of IRGC commander Hossein Salami [1] Geopolitical Analysis - Experts suggest that destroying Iranian facilities would require sustained bombing over several days, ideally using heavy bunker-busting bombs, as many facilities are deeply buried [2] - Iran's potential retaliation could target military bases or civilian areas, with the possibility of indiscriminate attacks leading to a significant escalation of conflict [2][3] - The conflict is expected to remain regional, with Sunni Arab states likely to covertly support Israel, while Iran's global retaliation may not escalate into a larger war without major power backing [3] Long-term Implications - The current military action is viewed as part of a prolonged campaign rather than a one-time strike, with expectations of varied responses from Iran [3] - The impact on Iran's nuclear program may be limited unless Israel employs unexpected tactics, indicating a strategic gamble rather than a definitive solution [5] - The situation is described as precarious, with the potential for significant political ramifications if key Iranian leaders are targeted [5]