每日市场观察 2025 年 6 月 5 日 【今日关注】 周三 A 股开盘小幅高开后，全天市场基本在前一交易日收盘上方区域运 行，三大股指收盘均上涨，沪指涨 0.42%，深证成指涨 0.87%，创业板 指上涨幅度超过 1%。沪深两市成交额超过 1.15 万亿元，较前一交易日 小幅放量 110 多亿元左右；行业板块基本呈现普涨状态，纺织、轻工、 建材、有色、电子、钢铁、通信等行业涨幅居前；市场热点方面，铜缆 高速连接、锂矿、黄金、稀土永磁、新零售等板块市场资金流入较多， 两市上涨股票数量接近 4000 只。 三大股指承接前一交易日的上涨，周三继续上行，三大股指近五个交易 日呈现三阳两阴的 K 线组合，其中阳线的实体幅度较大，沪指重新站到 20 日均线之上，两市上涨股票数量也逐渐增多，券商股近期也有走强的 迹象，显示市场投资信心转强；创业板指数周三领涨三大指数，突出了 市场资金偏好成长股的趋向，操作上可积极关注科技成长类个股。 近期创业板反弹，从全球科技和创新的整体环境上看，AI 基础设施和 AI 的应用扩展较快，中国和美国为代表在人工智能创新突破进展不断， 人工智能产业链和技术应用的扩张将会不断孕育新的投资机会 ...

Domestic News - The FTSE China A50 Index will include Jiangsu Bank and exclude Great Wall Motor [4] - The Energy Administration is organizing the first batch of pilot projects for the construction of a new power system [4] - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission is considering introducing virtual asset derivatives trading for professional investors [4] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is focusing on promoting the development of the artificial intelligence industry and empowering new industrialization [4] - Shanghai encourages local enterprises to actively apply for infrastructure REITs reserve projects [4] - The China Passenger Car Association estimates that wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles in May reached 1.24 million units, a year-on-year increase of 38% [4] - Tiger International denies "violating regulations to develop new clients in mainland China," stating that all operations are conducted within the regulatory framework [4] International News - Saudi Arabia plans to push OPEC+ to continue increasing oil production by at least 411,000 barrels per day in August and September to consolidate its market share [3] - Reports indicate that the Bank of Japan will consider slowing down its bond reduction pace next year [3] - The ISM survey shows that the US services PMI unexpectedly contracted in May, indicating rising inflation [3] - Trump calls for the complete elimination of the debt ceiling and urges bipartisan cooperation to achieve this [3] - Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei states that completely abandoning uranium enrichment is against Iran's interests [3] - The Bank of Canada maintains its key interest rate but may consider lowering it in the future, with the Canadian dollar reaching a new high [3] - The US ADP employment figures for May significantly fell short of expectations, prompting Trump to call for immediate interest rate cuts from Powell [3] - Musk continues to criticize Trump's tax law, publicly urging fans to call legislators to reject the law [3] - The US Congressional Budget Office states that Trump's tax law will increase the US deficit by $2.4 trillion over the next decade [3] - Saudi Arabia lowers the oil price for July shipments to Asia to the lowest level in nearly four years, priced at $1.20 above the Oman/Dubai average [3] - The Federal Reserve's Beige Book reports slight declines in economic activity across six regions, with businesses generally expecting future costs to rise [3]

Core Insights - The real estate market in China is experiencing significant fluctuations, with a notable decline in new home sales and second-hand home prices in 2024, but signs of recovery are emerging in 2025 [1][3][4] Market Performance - In 2024, the national new residential sales area decreased by 12.9%, and second-hand home prices fell across all major cities, with Xiamen seeing a drop of 13.1% [1] - By April 2025, 22 out of 70 major cities reported a month-on-month increase in new home prices, and the transaction volume of second-hand homes in core areas like Beijing and Shanghai surged by 30% year-on-year [3] Policy Changes - The central government is actively promoting the stabilization of the real estate market, with measures such as reducing down payment ratios to 15% and lowering mortgage rates to just above 3% [3] - A significant investment plan for 2025 includes the addition of 1 million urban village renovation projects and the conversion of existing housing stock into affordable housing [3] Market Segmentation - Major cities and strong second-tier cities are stabilizing due to economic vitality and population inflow, while third and fourth-tier cities are struggling with significant declines in land sale revenues and high inventory levels [4][5] - In June 2025, the average new home price in Zhengzhou was 13,404 yuan per square meter, with core area properties showing strong sales, while suburban areas continued to see price declines of 3%-8% [3][4] Investment Opportunities - The shift in policy to classify real estate as "mass consumption" is expected to stimulate demand, particularly for larger homes with improved standards [5] - Financial innovations such as REITs for affordable housing and commercial properties are providing new funding avenues for developers, potentially stabilizing returns for investors [5] Future Outlook - Predictions indicate that core city home prices may rise by 3%-5% with transaction volumes increasing by 15%, while third and fourth-tier cities may continue to see price declines of 3%-8% [6] - The overall sentiment suggests that the real estate market is nearing a bottom, with a high probability of recovery in the coming year [5][6]

研 究 专 题 2025 年 06 月 04 日 中金亦庄 REIT（508080）申购价值分析 投资提示： 证券分析师 彭文玉 A0230517080001 pengwy@swsresearch.com 朱敏 A0230524050004 zhumin@swsresearch.com 任奕璇 A0230525050002 renyx2@swsresearch.com 联系人 任奕璇 (8621)23297818× renyx2@swsresearch.com 行 证 券 研 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 新 股 发 究 报 告 相关研究 - ⚫ 中金亦庄 REIT 首发询价期间为 2025 年 6 月 5 日的 9:00-15:00，初步询价区间为 2.257 元/份-2.758 元/份，预计募集资金为 10.03 亿元。 ⚫ 汽车产业聚集效应显著，原始权益人运营资产丰富。中金亦庄 REIT 的基础设施项目为高端 汽车及新能源汽车关键零配件产业园 N12 项目、N20 项目，位于北京市大兴区，目前已运 营超过 5 年，项目租户中汽车制造业租户租赁 ...

Core Viewpoint - The public REITs market experienced fluctuations last week, with a mixed performance across different sectors, indicating a stable yet cautious investment environment [1][2]. Market Performance - As of May 30, the CSI REITs Index decreased by 0.10% to 868.4 points, while the CSI REITs Total Return Index increased by 0.03% to 1090.1 points [1][2]. - Among the REITs, operating rights REITs outperformed property rights REITs, with average weekly changes of -0.3% and 0.6% respectively [1]. Product Performance - Out of 66 listed public REITs, 31 saw a week-on-week increase, while 35 experienced declines [1][3]. - The top three performing products were: - Huaxia Tebian Electric New Energy REIT, up 4.26% - ICBC Mengneng Clean Energy REIT, up 4.04% - Huaxia Jinmao Commercial REIT, up 3.59% [1][3]. Sector Analysis - The transportation and energy REITs performed well, while consumer and industrial park REITs showed relatively weaker performance [2]. - Weekly performance by asset type ranked as follows: - Transportation: 0.67% - Energy: 0.60% - Affordable housing: 0.27% - Municipal environmental protection: -0.34% - Warehousing: -0.48% - Consumer: -0.53% - Industrial park: -0.80% [2]. New Projects and Approvals - Two new projects were approved: - Bank of China and China Foreign Transport Warehouse Logistics REIT - Guotai Junan Lingang Innovation Manufacturing Industrial Park REIT [8][9]. - The Bank of China project is notable as the first central enterprise warehouse logistics REIT in China, with a total leaseable area of approximately 300,000 square meters across six locations [9]. - The Guotai Junan project aims to acquire infrastructure assets in the Lingang area, covering an area of 182,400 square meters [9]. Market Activity - The public REITs market had a trading volume of 2.38 billion yuan last week, with the affordable rental housing REITs leading in average turnover rate [6]. - The top three REITs by trading volume were: - Huaxia Hefei High-tech REIT - Huatai Suzhou Hengtai Rental Housing REIT - Hongtu Innovation Yantian Port REIT [6]. Future Outlook - As of last week, there are 14 REITs waiting to be listed, indicating an active issuance market [11].

2025 年 6 月 4 日 截至 2025 年 5 月 31 日，我国公募 REITs 产品数量达 66 只，合计发行规模达 1743.93 亿元（不含扩募）。从底层资产类型来看，截至 2025 年 5 月 31 日， 交通基础设施类发行规模最大，共发行 687.71 亿元，园区基础设施类 REITs 发 行规模次之，为 270.62 亿元。 根据上交所及深交所项目动态披露，截至 2025 年 5 月 31 日，共有 26 只 REITs 处于待上市状态，其中 14 只为首发 REITs，另外 12 只为待扩募 REITs。 2、 二级市场表现 总量研究 二级市场价格震荡上行，多只 REITs 产品等待上市 ——REITs 月度观察（20250501-20250531） 要点 1、 一级市场 价格走势：2025 年 5 月 1 日-2025 年 5 月 31 日，我国已上市公募 REITs 的二 级市场价格整体震荡上行：加权 REITs 指数收于 139.99，本月回报率为 3.71%。 与其他主流大类资产相比，回报率由高至低排序分别为：美股>可转债>REITs>A 股>黄金>纯债>原油。 从项目属性来看， ...

转自：新华财经 新华财经北京6月4日电（胡晨曦）沪深两市三大股指6月4日早盘高开高走，创业板指领涨。盘面上，算 力概念股展开反弹，华脉科技、得润电子涨停，太辰光等涨超10%；食品饮料等消费股再度走强，香飘 飘、嘉美包装、乐惠国际等涨停；稀土永磁板块再度走高，科恒股份、广晟有色涨停。下跌方面，稳定 币概念迎来调整，霍普股份跌超10%。 至午间收盘时，上证指数报3376.58点，涨幅0.43%，成交额约2764亿元；深证成指报10148.98点，涨幅 0.91%，成交额约4506亿元；创业板指报2027.16点，涨幅1.22%，成交额约2049亿元。 消息面上 深圳：探索建立深圳证券交易所与香港联合交易所会员互联互通机制 近日，深圳市商务局、市发展改革委联合印发《深圳市推动服务贸易和数字贸易高质量发展实施方 案》。其中提出，大力发展跨境金融保险服务。探索建立深圳证券交易所与香港联合交易所会员互联互 通机制。支持港澳银行内地分行开办外币银行卡业务以及对除中国境内公民以外客户的人民币银行卡业 务。支持符合条件的香港保险公司在深设立子公司。探索在前海开展私募股权和创业投资份额转让试 点。支持符合条件的银行和非银行支付机 ...

上海市发改委发布关于进一步加强项目储备谋划推动我市基础设施REITs提质扩容的通知。鼓励上海市 各有关企业积极申报基础设施REITs储备项目，拟申报储备项目需基本符合以下相关条件：资产规模方 面，对于首次发行基础设施REITs的项目，估值原则上不低于10亿元(租赁住房项目和养老设施项目不低 于8亿元)；对于已发行上市REITs项目的扩募项目，规模上不作要求。由同一发起人持有控制、归属同 一资产大类的多个项目可打包后合并计算。 ...

在过去多年里，购置写字楼曾被众多企业视为经营成熟乃至实力象征的重要标志。然而，到了2025年的今天，这一传统共识正面临前所未有的挑战。从宏 观层面来看，经济增速放缓、企业现金流压力加大，以及"租赁+弹性空间"这一新办公趋势的兴起，正在动摇原有的选址逻辑；在市场层面，一线城市写 字楼的租售价差不断扩大，空置率持续高位运行，促使资产估值逻辑发生根本性变化；而在组织层面，企业对办公空间的需求也正在发生转变，从过去 的"拥有"转向"使用"，从"固定资产"转向"战略资源"。 在这样的背景下，越来越多的企业决策者开始重新审视一个关键问题：我们到底应不应该购买写字楼？与过去主要考量"买不买得起"不同，如今这个问题 的答案更关乎"买得是否值得"。企业不再是单纯对写字楼"拥有权"感兴趣，而是越来越关注购置背后的三个价值判断： 是否有利于组织效率提升与成本优化；是否能够锁定核心地段与资源优势；是否为未来发展带来资产配置上的战略冗余与风险对冲。 因此，这已不再是一个二选一的命题，而是一个复合型决策过程。购置写字楼的企业，不仅要看准资产面，更要读懂组织面与战略面。 本篇文章正是立足于此，RET睿意德商业地产研究中心结合2018–20 ...

Core Viewpoint - The approval and registration of the CICC China Green Development Commercial Asset Closed-End Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund marks the launch of the ninth consumer REIT in China, focusing on the Jinan Lingxiucheng Guihe Shopping Center as its underlying asset [1][2]. Group 1: Project Overview - The underlying asset, Jinan Lingxiucheng Guihe Shopping Center, is the largest single commercial project in southern Jinan, with a total construction area of approximately 200,900 square meters [2]. - The shopping center is strategically located near major transportation hubs, enhancing its accessibility and potential customer base, with a resident population of 475,500 within a 3-kilometer radius [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - The projected net operating income (NOI) for the Jinan Lingxiucheng Guihe Shopping Center in 2024 is estimated to be 95.261 million yuan [3]. Group 3: Market Positioning and Strategy - The shopping center benefits from a stable consumer base, strong local market presence, and the backing of a state-owned enterprise, which provides confidence in its selection as the initial asset for the REIT [2]. - The management emphasizes the importance of diversifying customer traffic and enhancing profitability through innovative operational strategies, including green and intelligent initiatives [4][5]. Group 4: Future Plans and Expansion - The original equity holder aims to utilize public REITs to enhance asset management capabilities and support the national strategy of expanding domestic demand and boosting consumer confidence [6]. - Future plans include the potential inclusion of additional quality assets into the REIT platform, with a focus on creating a robust commercial asset management system [7].