jianyuhan@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790525050005 一季报利润增速由负转正，更多归功于低基数，并非内生性盈利周期改善 回顾过往五轮盈利下行周期，本轮 A 股处在历史上最长的负增长区间，带来了很低 的基数。2025Q1，周转率和杠杆率仍在向下，而利润率的改善带来了本次一季度的 上行，但抽丝剥茧发现，本次利润率的改善并非"量"或"价"有很显著的改变， 更大的原因来自于营业成本端、费用端的减少。 仔细分析一季报：①收入端，一季度 A 股整体需求尚未出现拐点，整体复苏动能疲 弱。②盈利端，全 A 非金融 ROE 连续 15 个季度下行，凸显深层次结构性压力对盈 利能力的持续性的影响，可归结于"资产负债表衰退"和杠杆率的持续衰退。③盈 利能力归因：一季度利润增速同比转正，核心动能源于低基数效应、营业成本下降 和费用小幅下降，导致销售净利率提升 0.06 个百分点至 4.57%。④企业信心尚未恢 复，产能周期、库存周期触底许久并未上行。 投资策略周报 2025 年 06 月 08 日 策略研究团队 ——投资策略周报 韦冀星（分析师） 简宇涵（分析师） weijixing@kysec.cn 一季度 ...

本报讯 （记者昌校宇）随着《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》的发布，首批新型浮动管理费产品 迅速落地。 从已披露发行信息的首批产品来看，在业绩比较基准设置上，权益资产的基准均采用了"A股+港股宽基 指数"的结构。其中，在A股资产基准的选择上，正在发行中的景顺长城成长同行混合型基金是当前唯 一一只采用中证A500指数为业绩基准的产品。中证A500指数以其均衡的行业分布和对科技成长领域的 侧重，较好体现了中国经济转型升级的特征。同时，该产品业绩比较基准对于中证港股通指数的纳入， 将有助于丰富组合的收益来源。 展望后市，农冰立表示，只要风险得到合理的定价，即使存在不确定性，股票的价值仍然值得关注，而 经过4月份的市场调整，部分优质公司已显现投资价值。特别关注AI技术在国内的应用演进，预计下半 年，围绕着大模型的迭代和变现会有更多的应用场景可以期待。同时，军工部分细分领域和芯片领域的 结构性机会也值得关注。 从景顺长城成长同行混合型基金的具体费率来看，若持有满一年，业绩跑赢基准6%以上且收益为正， 管理费率为1.5%/年；业绩跑输基准3%以上，管理费率为0.6%/年；业绩的其他情形及持有不满一年则 按1.2%/年的管 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the performance and potential of the high-end equipment ETF, indicating a stable liquidity and significant market interest in the defense sector [2] - As of June 5, the high-end equipment ETF has a recent average daily trading volume of 62.60 million yuan, with a total trading volume of 24.83 million yuan on a specific day [2] - The latest scale of the high-end equipment ETF reached 1.25 billion yuan, with a balanced inflow and outflow of funds recently [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI High-end Equipment Sub-index account for 45.86% of the index, with key players including AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, AVIC Optical, and Aero Engine Corporation of China [2] - The release of the "Important Military Facility Protection Regulations" on May 26 emphasizes the protection of enterprises involved in national defense research and production, enhancing the institutional support for national defense modernization [2] Group 2 - The military industry sector is experiencing a re-evaluation of military trade logic due to regional conflicts, which is expected to break through domestic military product pricing bottlenecks and achieve sustainable long-term returns [2] - The defense and military industry sector is characterized by long-term growth certainty, with the current "14th Five-Year Plan" entering its final year and industry disturbances largely eliminated [2] - The recovery of downstream demand and optimization of production capacity structure contribute to a high safety margin for the sector [2] - Investors can consider the CSI High-end Equipment Sub-index 50 ETF linked fund (018028) to capitalize on industry rotation opportunities [3]

Commercial Aerospace - Globalstar is expanding its second-generation direct-to-device (D2D) satellite constellation to provide network coverage for Apple devices, with Apple set to pay up to $1.1 billion to enhance iPhone's non-ground network connectivity [1] - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing rapid development in reusable rockets and low-orbit satellite constellations, marking a dual turning point for China's commercial aerospace industry [1] - The low-orbit satellite launch acceleration is driving a comprehensive upgrade of the "satellite manufacturing-launch-application" chain, with low-orbit communication satellites being a significant future trend [1] Military Industry - The China Weaponry Equipment Group has received approval for a restructuring that will separate its automotive business into an independent central enterprise, which will not significantly impact the normal operations of related companies [2] - Analysts expect military industry orders to see a turning point by 2025, driven by new technologies and products aimed at enhancing equipment performance or reducing costs [2] - The restructuring is anticipated to lower the asset-liability ratio of the weaponry group to below 50%, enhancing financing cost advantages and increasing the expectation of asset securitization [2] Foldable Phones - Huawei's new tri-fold smartphone is expected to debut in the second half of the year, featuring an upgraded processor and imaging capabilities, while the first-generation model has seen strong sales [3] - The MateXT tri-fold phone, released in September 2024, achieved significant sales success, with all models selling out immediately and second-hand prices reaching up to 68,000 yuan [3] - The new tri-fold model is expected to generate renewed interest in the market, benefiting companies within the supply chain [3] Metformin - A study from the University of California, San Diego, found that women with type 2 diabetes taking metformin have a 30% higher chance of living to 90 years or older compared to those using sulfonylureas [4] - Metformin is being recognized for its potential anti-aging properties, with mechanisms including improved insulin sensitivity and cellular repair [4] Data Elements - The National Data Bureau announced the establishment of 10 national data element comprehensive pilot zones in various regions to support the development of data markets and enhance the integration of the digital and real economies [5] - The pilot zones aim to explore data value release paths and stimulate market growth, potentially creating an additional 100 trillion yuan in asset scale once data assets are recognized [5]

● 国内金融市场 · | | 回元 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0 | | 股指期货 | D | | | | 4 | | | 品种 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | 品种 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3376.2 | 0. 42% | 上证当月连续 | 2673.6 | 0.16% | | 深证成指 10144.58 | | 0. 87% | 沪深当月连续 | 3842. 4 | 0.41% | | 创业板指 | 2024. 93 | 1.11% | 恒生期货指数 | 30352. 92 | 0.74% | 宏观消息汇总 1.工业和信息化部、国家发展改革委等部门组织开展2025年新 能源汽车下乡活动。 2。科技部副部长在会上表示，第二届"一带一路"科技交流大会将 于6月10日至12日在四川成都举办。 3.据相关媒体报道，台积电即将迎来2纳米制程的投产。 二、行业最新动态 我们不是资讯的搬运工 而是有态度的发现者 万和财富早班车 2025年6月5日 3.德尔股份(300473)：拟约3亿元 ...

Group 1 - The focus is on sectors that can achieve supply-demand improvement first, such as new consumption perspectives on IP and pet economy, as well as sectors with comparative advantages like rare earths, innovative pharmaceuticals, intelligent driving, and military industry [1][11] Group 2 - The domestic fuel surcharge for air routes has been reduced [2] - The European Central Bank announced its interest rate decision [2] Group 3 - U.S. stock market showed mixed results with technology stocks strengthening, offsetting weak employment and service sector data [4] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 42,427.74, down 91.90 points or 0.22%, while the Nasdaq rose 0.32% to 19,460.49 [4] - Tesla's stock fell 3.6% due to a continuous decline in sales in major European markets for five consecutive months [4] Group 4 - The National Energy Administration announced the first batch of pilot projects for the construction of a new power system, focusing on key energy hub nodes and regions with favorable energy resource conditions [5] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting to discuss promoting the development of the artificial intelligence industry [5] - A public notice was issued regarding the proposed mandatory national standard project for safety requirements of intelligent connected vehicles [5] Group 5 - Estun plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global strategy and international brand image [7] - Kingsoft Office continues to appoint Lei Jun as honorary chairman to guide the company in technology innovation and management optimization [8] - Zhongke Electric plans to invest no more than 8 billion yuan in a lithium-ion battery anode material integrated base project in Oman [9] - Hainan Huatie is planning to issue shares overseas and list on the Singapore Exchange to promote its international strategy [10] Group 6 - Galaxy Securities noted that sector rotation shows a diffusion effect, while Oriental Securities highlighted increased overseas disturbances and a continuous weakening of the dollar [11]

Core Viewpoint - The company is facing pricing disputes with a key client (E Unit) regarding the M03 fire extinguishing system and M29 explosion suppression system, which may impact future revenue and profitability due to potential price adjustments and ongoing negotiations [1][2][3]. Group 1: Pricing Disputes and Financial Impact - The company has not reached an agreement on the pricing for the M03 and M29 systems, leading to delays in contract signing for new products scheduled for 2025 [1]. - As of the end of 2024, the company has recognized a total revenue of 53.56 million yuan from the disputed products, with an additional 2.76 million yuan recognized in 2025 [2]. - If the pricing dispute is resolved with a price reduction, the company will adjust the cumulative differences in pricing to the current period, potentially affecting revenue for that period [2][3]. Group 2: Revenue and Profitability Projections - The company anticipates that reaching an agreement with E Unit will require repayment of previously disputed amounts, which could significantly impact 2025's revenue and net profit [3]. - Various scenarios of price adjustments (ranging from -5% to -25%) have been simulated, indicating potential impacts on revenue and net profit, with the most severe scenario projecting a decrease in net profit by approximately 1.14 million yuan [4][5]. Group 3: Market Development and Risks - The company is focusing on expanding its civilian product market, leveraging military technology to develop customized solutions in various sectors, including smart parks and energy storage [5][7]. - The company has faced challenges in developing civilian products, which may not meet market expectations, leading to risks of continued low revenue and potential delisting if revenues fall below 100 million yuan [7]. Group 4: Investment Project Delays - As of April 30, 2025, the company has invested 179.94 million yuan in fundraising projects, with a progress rate of 35.38%, but has experienced delays due to macroeconomic uncertainties [7]. - The completion of three fundraising projects has been postponed to July 30, 2026, with potential for further delays or changes depending on market conditions and policies [7]. Group 5: Financial Performance and Comparisons - The company's revenue from key products has declined significantly, with a 30.48% drop in total revenue compared to the previous year, primarily due to reduced orders for the fire extinguishing and explosion suppression systems [8][12]. - A comparison with competitors shows that the company has experienced a more significant decline in gross margin, attributed to its reliance on a narrow product range compared to competitors with diversified offerings [13].

首次修订《北证指数计算与维护细则》，北证 50 成分迎来调整 ——北交所点评报告 评级： 增持（维持） 执业证书编号：S0740524040002 分析师：冯胜 执业证书编号：S0740519050004 Email：yangshuai01@zts.com.cn | 上市公司数 | 266 | | --- | --- | | 行业总市值(亿元) | 8,070.11 | | 行业流通市值(亿元) | 4,845.83 | Email：fengsheng@zts.com.cn 分析师：杨帅 1、《北证 50 周涨幅超三大指数，国 家级经开区为"投资中国"首选》 2025-06-03 2、《多部委联合印发文件支持小微企 业发展，北交所交易热度持续》 2025-05-27 3、《证监会等八部委：支持符合条件 的小微企业在新三板挂牌，规范成长 后到北交所上市》2025-05-27 北交所 证券研究报告/行业点评报告 2025 年 06 月 04 日 报告摘要 北交所首次修订《北证指数计算与维护细则》 1）2025 年 5 月 30 日，北交所发布关于修订《北证指数计算与维护细则》（以下简称 《细则》）的通知，此次修订 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the military equipment restructuring concept has experienced a decline, with a drop of 0.34% as of the market close on June 4, positioning it among the top decliners in the concept sector [1][2] - Within the military equipment restructuring concept, stocks such as Dong'an Power, Chang'an Automobile, and Changcheng Military Industry saw significant declines, while Hunan Tianyan, Huqiang Technology, and Construction Industry were among the few that increased, with respective gains of 0.44%, 0.18%, and 0.15% [1][2] - The military equipment restructuring concept faced a net outflow of 0.43 billion yuan from main funds today, with six stocks experiencing net outflows, led by Chang'an Automobile, which saw a net outflow of 22.58 million yuan [2] Group 2 - The top decliners in the military equipment restructuring concept included Chang'an Automobile (-0.24%), Dong'an Power (-2.14%), and Changcheng Military Industry (-0.66%), while Hunan Tianyan was the only stock with a positive change [2] - The trading volume for Chang'an Automobile was 0.52%, and it had the highest net outflow of main funds at 22.58 million yuan, followed by Dong'an Power with a net outflow of 18.22 million yuan [2] - The overall performance of the military equipment restructuring concept contrasts with other sectors, such as the beer concept, which increased by 3.85% [2]

Group 1 - The military information technology sector experienced a decline of 0.06%, ranking among the top losers in the concept sector as of June 4 [1] - Within the military information technology sector, notable declines were observed in companies such as Sixty-Nine Twelve, Four Creation Electronics, and Kangda New Materials, while 44 stocks saw price increases, with China Electric Xindong, Ganhuakegong, and Gao Ling Information leading the gains at 10.05%, 6.77%, and 4.26% respectively [1][5] Group 2 - The military information technology sector faced a net outflow of 930 million yuan from major funds today, with 62 stocks experiencing net outflows, and five stocks seeing outflows exceeding 50 million yuan [2] - The stock with the highest net outflow was Haige Communication, with a net outflow of 215 million yuan, followed by Four Creation Electronics, Taihao Technology, and Dongtu Technology with net outflows of 122 million yuan, 102 million yuan, and 83 million yuan respectively [2][3] Group 3 - The top gainers in terms of net inflow of major funds included China Electric Xindong, Ganhuakegong, and Shenyu Co., with net inflows of 161 million yuan, 43 million yuan, and 33 million yuan respectively [2][5] - The military information technology sector's outflow list included companies like Haige Communication, Four Creation Electronics, and Taihao Technology, which had declines of 2.19%, 4.81%, and 2.29% respectively [3][4]