Summary of Accelink's 3Q25 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Accelink (Ticker: 002281.SZ) - **Sector**: Technology - **Date of Earnings Report**: 24 October 2025 Key Financial Highlights - **Revenue Growth**: - 3Q25 revenue increased by 45.0% year-over-year (y-y) and 8.9% quarter-over-quarter (q-q) to CNY 3.29 billion - 9M25 revenue growth was 58.65% y-y, with earnings growth at 54.95% y-y [1][2] - **Earnings Performance**: - 3Q25 earnings increased by 35.8% y-y and 56.0% q-q, reaching CNY 347 million - Adjusted operating margin improved by 0.2 percentage points (pp) y-y and 4.8 pp q-q [1][5] - **Gross Margin**: - Gross margin decreased by 1 pp y-y but increased by 3.9 pp q-q due to a better product mix in the optical transceivers sector [1][5] - **Operating Cash Flow**: - Strong performance with operating cash flow reaching CNY 1.08 billion in 9M25, a 206.64% increase y-y [1] Market and Industry Insights - **Demand Trends**: - Notable uptick in demand for optical transceivers in the global Automatic Identification and Data Capture (AIDC) market - Large Chinese Cloud Service Providers (CSPs) are investing in AI infrastructure, positioning Accelink to benefit from this trend [2] - **Future Growth Projections**: - Estimated 53% revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from the optical transceivers segment for FY25-27F, expected to contribute 49% of total revenue by FY27F [2] Investment Outlook - **Rating and Target Price**: - Maintained "Buy" rating with a target price of CNY 80, based on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 43x FY26F earnings per share (EPS) of CNY 1.87 [2][3] - **Current Stock Valuation**: - Stock trading at 33.8x FY26F EPS, indicating potential upside [2] Risks and Challenges - **Potential Risks**: - Lower-than-expected demand for optical components from the datacom and telecom markets - Slower-than-anticipated R&D progress on optical chipsets - Increased pricing competition leading to margin dilution - Potential sanctions affecting the technology sector [12] Additional Information - **Analysts**: Bing Duan and Ethan Zhang from Nomura International (Hong Kong) Ltd. [4] - **Closing Price on Report Date**: CNY 63.23 [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [3]. Core Views - The company's profitability is stabilizing, and AIDC is expected to become a new growth curve. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 58.98 billion, 74.50 billion, and 91.64 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 27.2%, 26.3%, and 23.0%. Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 3.06 billion, 4.55 billion, and 5.88 billion yuan, with growth rates of 4.8%, 48.4%, and 29.3% respectively. The PE ratios for 2025-2027 are expected to be 36X, 24X, and 19X based on the closing price on October 30 [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 38.08 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.32%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.78 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.14%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.66 billion yuan, down 12.71% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, revenue was 13.41 billion yuan, up 12.43% year-on-year but down 3.06% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for Q3 was 0.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 117.20% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.54% [1][3]. Investment in Data Center - The company has focused its resources on investing in transformer products for data centers. In the first half of 2025, the production capacity for data center transformers gradually increased, with breakthroughs in product structure and market expansion. The product range has expanded from phase-shifting transformers to epoxy resin cast dry-type transformers and oil-immersed transformers, with sales extending from the domestic market to overseas markets such as Japan [2]. Global Expansion - The opening of a new smart manufacturing plant in Fort Worth, Texas, marks a significant milestone in the company's global strategy. This facility enhances the company's ability to serve North American customers more responsively and flexibly while mitigating potential trade and logistics risks [3].

Core Insights - Yilian Technology (301631) reported revenue and profit growth for the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue reaching 3.506 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.93%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 221 million yuan, up 20.42% [1][2] - The company achieved a significant revenue increase of 40.15% in the third quarter, totaling 1.440 billion yuan, with a net profit of 84.58 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 23.69% [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Yilian Technology's revenue was 3.506 billion yuan, and net profit was 221 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 28.93% and 20.42% respectively [1] - In the third quarter alone, the company reported revenue of 1.440 billion yuan and net profit of 84.58 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 40.15% and 23.69% [1] Business Strategy and Market Focus - The company continues to focus on core business areas, enhancing product research and development, and expanding global presence and production capacity, which has strengthened its market competitiveness [1] - The growth in revenue and profit is driven by increased penetration of electric vehicles, rapid growth in the energy storage industry, and orderly advancement in emerging fields such as low-altitude economy and AIDC server power [1] Product Application and Market Segmentation - Yilian Technology's products, particularly electrical connection components, are widely used in various sectors, with new energy vehicles accounting for 83.6% of applications, energy storage systems at 10.9%, and other sectors like industrial equipment, medical devices, consumer electronics, low-altitude economy, and AIDC servers making up approximately 5.5% [1] - The company is actively developing emerging markets such as low-altitude economy and AIDC servers, generating approximately 9 million yuan and 19 million yuan in revenue respectively during the first three quarters [2] Company Background - Founded in 1991, Yilian Technology is a comprehensive provider of electrical connection components and solutions, encompassing research, design, production, sales, and service [2] - Recently, the company was ranked 234th in the "2025 Shenzhen Top 500 Enterprises" list [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company's Q3 2025 performance met expectations, with a slight decline in revenue but an increase in net profit year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, revenue was 46.396 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.03%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.179 billion yuan, an increase of 19.49% [1] - In Q3 2025, revenue was 16.777 billion yuan, down 3.70% year-on-year but up 11.40% quarter-on-quarter; net profit was 1.625 billion yuan, up 3.12% year-on-year and 16.79% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Non-recurring profit and loss included 340 million yuan in government subsidies for Q3 2025 [1] - Segment performance showed low-voltage electrical revenue at 6.1 billion yuan, up 6% year-on-year, and net profit at 631 million yuan, up 7.1% [1] - New energy revenue was 10.79 billion yuan, down 8.5% year-on-year, with net profit slightly increasing [1] - The household business (Aneng) generated revenue of 9.2 billion yuan, up 2.4% year-on-year, and net profit of 1.32 billion yuan, up 14.1% [1] Development Trends - Low-voltage overseas revenue grew significantly, with Q3 revenue at 1.429 billion yuan, up 42.1% year-on-year, and North America seeing over 100% growth [2] - The AIDC business is progressing as planned, with customer engagements in multiple regions including the US and Southeast Asia [2] - The company added 1.84 GW of household installations in Q3, with sales of 2.18 GW, a 40% increase quarter-on-quarter [2] - The company plans to explore new business models in the fourth quarter, focusing on overseas household and user-side energy storage [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has revised its 2025 other income forecast upward and slightly lowered the net profit forecast for 2025/2026 by 3.7% and -0.5% to 4.885 billion and 5.409 billion yuan respectively [3] - The target price has been raised by 11.8% to 38 yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 16.7 and 15.1 for 2025/2026, indicating a potential upside of 24.7% from the current stock price [3] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 13.4 and 12.1 for 2025/2026 [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively advancing its AIDC division's product development and market expansion, focusing on core products such as HVDC and SST [1] Group 1: Product Development - The product development and research are progressing smoothly and will follow the company's planned pace [1] - The company emphasizes that specific progress will be disclosed through official channels [1] Group 2: Market Strategy - As the AIDC business gradually develops, significant changes and evolution within the related industry chain are underway [1] - The company aims to leverage its accumulated experience in relevant fields and deepen communication with industry partners to seize development opportunities [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of total returns exceeding the relevant industry over the next 12 months [2][9]. Core Insights - The company's performance has exceeded expectations due to improved gross margins, with significant growth in demand for energy storage and AIDC (Automated Identification and Data Capture) supporting future growth [2][6]. - The gross margin reached a new high of 35.9% in Q3, with a year-on-year increase of 6.4 percentage points [6]. - The company has seen explosive growth in energy storage system revenue, which increased by 105% year-on-year, with overseas shipments rising from 63% to 83% of total shipments [6]. - The report anticipates continued high demand for energy storage, with global installations expected to grow at a rate of 40-50% through 2026 [6]. - The company has raised its earnings forecasts for 2025-2027 by 14%, 34%, and 54% respectively, with a compound annual growth rate of 29% expected from 2024 to 2027 [6]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 72,251 million RMB - 2024: 77,857 million RMB - 2025E: 97,343 million RMB - 2026E: 115,674 million RMB - 2027E: 138,847 million RMB - Net profit projections are: - 2023: 9,440 million RMB - 2024: 11,036 million RMB - 2025E: 16,572 million RMB - 2026E: 19,735 million RMB - 2027E: 23,526 million RMB [5][11]. - The company’s market capitalization is approximately 300.51 billion RMB, with a year-to-date stock price increase of 159.37% [4][11]. Price Target - The target price for the company's stock has been raised to 220.00 RMB from a previous target of 119.00 RMB, reflecting a potential upside of 14.9% [1][6].

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 66.4 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 32.9%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.88 billion yuan, up 56.3% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 22.87 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 20.8% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 6.6% [1] - The company is focusing on the AIDC sector, leveraging its power electronics technology to establish a new business unit, aiming to launch products next year, which could create a third growth curve [2] Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company's gross profit margin was 34.9%, an increase of 3.6 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 17.9%, up 2.7 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Operating expenses for Q1-Q3 2025 totaled 7.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.5%, with an expense ratio of 11.8%, down 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The operating cash flow for Q1-Q3 2025 was 9.91 billion yuan, a significant increase of 1133.1% year-on-year, with Q3 cash flow reaching 6.48 billion yuan, up 90.1% quarter-on-quarter [1] Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders to be 14.3 billion, 17.2 billion, and 19.3 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 29.9%, 20.1%, and 12.1% [2] - The company maintains a "buy" rating, supported by strong gross margins in its inverter and energy storage businesses, as well as continued high growth in global energy storage shipments [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in operating cash flow, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 99.14 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1133.14% [4] - The company benefits from strong global demand for energy storage, leading to an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [4] - The company’s revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 664.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.95%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 118.81 billion yuan, up 56.34% [4] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 664.02 billion yuan, with a net profit of 118.81 billion yuan [4] - The third quarter alone saw revenues of 228.69 billion yuan, a 20.83% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 41.47 billion yuan, up 57.04% [4] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 7.79 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 21.3, 17.1, and 15.5 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][8] Market Position and Product Development - The company’s inverter business saw a revenue increase of approximately 6% year-on-year, with domestic shipments decreasing from 48% to 40%, while high-margin overseas markets increased [5] - The energy storage business experienced a 70% increase in shipment volume, with overseas shipments rising from 63% to 83% [5] - The company is actively developing AIDC power products, aiming for product delivery and small-scale deployment by 2026, which is expected to become a new growth driver [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 66.402 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 32.95%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.881 billion yuan, up 56.34% year-on-year [1][3] - The energy storage business continues to grow, with a revenue of 28.8 billion yuan in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 105%, and a shipment volume of 29 GWh [1][2] - The company is expanding into the AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) business, aiming for product launch and small-scale delivery by 2026 [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 22.869 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.83% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.65%, with a net profit of 4.124 billion yuan, up 57.04% year-on-year and 6.10% quarter-on-quarter [1][3] - The net profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 18%, an increase of approximately 2.53 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross profit margin was 34.88%, up 3.56 percentage points year-on-year [2] Revenue Projections - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 14.826 billion yuan, 17.583 billion yuan, and 21.002 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 34.3%, 18.6%, and 19.4% [3][4] Research and Development - The company invested over 3.1 billion yuan in R&D in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 32.16%, with more than 7,000 R&D personnel focusing on various technological innovations [2]

Group 1: Core Insights - The development of AI models is transforming AI agents from execution tools to decision-making partners, driving an industrial revolution, with total computing power expected to increase by 100,000 times by 2035 [2] - The demand for computing power is surging, with China's daily token consumption projected to grow from 100 billion at the beginning of 2024 to 30 trillion by June 2024, reflecting a 300-fold increase [3] - AI applications are entering a phase of large-scale explosion, with public cloud model invocation in China expected to rise from 114 trillion tokens in 2024 to 536.7 trillion in the first half of 2025 [3] Group 2: Infrastructure Challenges - The surge in computing power demand is challenging existing data center infrastructure, which must evolve to meet the needs of AI applications [3][4] - Traditional data centers are unable to meet the requirements of intelligent computing centers (AIDC), necessitating disruptive innovations in computing architecture, materials, and engineering processes [3][4] - The construction of data centers faces challenges related to safety, resilience, high power, and energy consumption, with a need for proactive measures to ensure continuous power supply [4][5] Group 3: Safety and Reliability - Safety is a critical concern for AIDC, as any failure can lead to significant losses and jeopardize a company's competitive edge in AI [5][8] - AIDC requires a comprehensive security framework that covers the entire lifecycle of data centers, moving away from traditional single-point protection [8][9] - Huawei's approach includes a four-layer protection system that ensures reliability from components to systems [8] Group 4: Flexibility and Speed - The need for flexibility in data center construction is paramount, with Huawei proposing a "four modernization" solution to reduce delivery cycles by over 60% [10][12] - Decoupling subsystems in data centers allows for parallel construction, significantly speeding up project timelines [11] - Modular and prefabricated designs are becoming mainstream, enabling faster deployment and reducing on-site construction efforts [12] Group 5: Sustainability and Efficiency - The shift towards green and low-carbon solutions is becoming essential for AIDC, with a focus on enhancing system efficiency rather than merely reducing total energy consumption [13][14] - Innovations in power supply and cooling systems are critical for achieving energy efficiency, with Huawei's UPS achieving an efficiency of 99.1% [14][15] - The integration of renewable energy sources and intelligent energy management is vital for the sustainable operation of data centers [15][16] Group 6: Future Outlook - The evolution of data centers towards ultra-high power, density, and scale is necessary to meet the challenges posed by AI computing demands [16] - The design philosophy is shifting from large systems to standardized and modular distributed architectures, allowing for greater adaptability to future uncertainties [16] - The AI computing wave presents both significant opportunities and challenges, necessitating a robust and professional approach to navigate the transformation [16]