Economic Overview - Zhejiang's GDP for the first half of 2023 reached 45,004 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.8% [1] - The primary industry added value was 1,131 billion yuan, growing by 3.5%; the secondary industry added value was 16,952 billion yuan, increasing by 5.6%; the tertiary industry added value was 26,921 billion yuan, with a growth of 6% [1] Industrial Performance - Among 37 industrial sectors, 31 sectors experienced growth, resulting in an overall growth rate of 83.8% [2] - High-tech manufacturing, core digital economy manufacturing, and equipment manufacturing saw added value growth of 12.7%, 12%, and 11.1% respectively [2] - Production of high-value-added products such as industrial robots, lithium-ion batteries, laptops, and new energy vehicles increased by 85.7%, 65.2%, 47.3%, and 43.3% respectively [2] Service Sector and Consumption - The service sector's added value grew by 6%, with the information transmission, software, and IT services sector showing a strong growth of 9.3% [2] - Retail sales of consumer goods reached 18,979 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 5.3%, with significant growth in various categories such as home appliances and new energy vehicles [2] Investment and Employment - Fixed asset investment in Zhejiang increased by 1.4%, with notable growth in infrastructure and high-tech industries [3] - The average urban unemployment rate was 4.7%, with 588,000 new urban jobs created [3] - Per capita disposable income for residents was 37,813 yuan, reflecting a nominal growth of 5.1% year-on-year [3]

Economic Growth - Malaysia's GDP grew by 4.5% year-on-year in Q2, exceeding market expectations and slightly higher than the previous quarter's 4.4% [1] - The growth was primarily driven by strong domestic consumption, with significant contributions from the services and agriculture sectors [1] Sector Performance - The services sector was the main driver of economic growth in Q2, growing by 5.3% compared to 5.0% in Q1, supported by wholesale and retail trade, transportation, and business services [1] - Agriculture showed notable improvement with a 2.0% growth in Q2, up from 0.6% in Q1, largely due to increased palm oil production [1] - The construction industry continued its strong growth, achieving an 11% increase in Q2, despite a slowdown from 14.2% in Q1, driven by non-residential and specialized construction activities [2] - Manufacturing growth slowed to 3.8% in Q2 from 4.1% in Q1, but key sectors like electrical, electronic, and food processing remained robust [2] - The mining and quarrying sector faced challenges, contracting by 7.4% in Q2, worsened from a 2.7% decline in Q1, primarily due to falling oil and gas production [2] Domestic Consumption - Strong domestic consumption was a key factor in Q2 economic growth, supported by a stable labor market and low unemployment rates, which bolstered household spending [2] - Government cash assistance programs, such as SARA and STR, provided additional support to household spending, alleviating economic pressure on families [3] Trade and Policy Challenges - Despite exceeding growth expectations, Malaysia's economy faces challenges from global trade uncertainties, with exports unexpectedly declining by 3.5% in June [3] - Potential tariffs from the U.S. on Malaysian exports, particularly a proposed 25% tariff effective August 1, could significantly impact the export market [3] - The slowdown in major export markets may also affect export demand, alongside domestic policy adjustments that could pressure economic growth [3] Future Outlook - The central bank anticipates a slowdown in economic growth in the second half of the year but expects the annual growth rate to exceed 4.5% [4] - Continued domestic demand growth and government policy support are expected to provide some buffer for the economy [4] - The central bank is closely monitoring trade and tariff developments and is likely to implement further interest rate cuts later in the year to support economic growth [4]

Economic Overview - In the first half of the year, Xinjiang's GDP reached 984.648 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.7% at constant prices [1][2] Sector Performance - The primary industry added value was 64.043 billion yuan, growing by 5.2% [2] - The secondary industry added value was 387.614 billion yuan, with a growth of 5.9% [2] - The tertiary industry added value was 532.991 billion yuan, increasing by 5.5% [2] Agricultural and Industrial Output - The total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery was 129.575 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [2] - The industrial added value above designated size grew by 7.4%, supported by key industries [2] Consumer Market Trends - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 189.358 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.5%, an increase of 0.8 percentage points compared to the first quarter [2] - The "old-for-new" policy showed significant effects, with retail sales of communication equipment, home appliances, furniture, and cultural office supplies increasing by 137.2%, 112.9%, 78%, and 72.8% respectively [2] - The retail sales of automobiles increased by 8.8%, with new energy vehicle sales surging by 47.9% [2] Economic Policy Impact - The macroeconomic policies have shown effectiveness, contributing to a stable and positive economic trend, demonstrating strong resilience and vitality [2]

Group 1 - The interest rate decision was unanimously passed, and no further guidance on rates can be provided at this time [1] - Current inflation stands at 2%, which is considered ideal, with inflation expectations remaining very stable [3] - Economic growth is generally in line with expectations, and may even be slightly better than anticipated [5] Group 2 - Close attention is being paid to the progress of trade negotiations, with an inability to assess the impact of trade disruptions on inflation [2] - A stronger euro may suppress inflation more than expected, without targeting any specific exchange rate level [4]

欧洲央行行长拉加德：增长符合预期，甚至好于基准水平。 ...

欧洲央行行长拉加德：国防和基础设施投资应提振增长。 ...

金十数据7月24日讯，分析师Mark Schroers表示，整体来看，这份简短的声明在通胀与增长方面传递出 相对乐观的基调。声明指出，消费者物价涨幅已达到目标，最新数据大致符合预期，同时"经济迄今表 现出较强韧性"。但其中也提出了一个重要的警示："与此同时，整体环境依然极度不确定，特别是由于 贸易争端所致。" 市场分析：欧洲央行声明整体乐观 ...

Group 1 - The Eurozone private sector growth has reached its fastest pace since August of last year, with the manufacturing sector nearing the end of a three-year downtrend and the services sector showing continued strength [1][2] - The S&P Global Eurozone Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose from 50.6 in June to 51 in July, exceeding analysts' expectations of 50.7 [1] - The manufacturing PMI recorded its highest value since July 2022, approaching the expansion zone, while the services PMI unexpectedly strengthened to 51.2 [2] Group 2 - Economists suggest that the Eurozone economy is gradually regaining momentum, with German factories playing a crucial role, but French industry must also stabilize for robust growth [4] - The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain interest rates after a year of consecutive cuts, with a potential 25 basis point reduction later this year [4] - The Eurozone GDP unexpectedly grew by 0.6% in the first quarter, but the full impact of trade tensions has yet to be realized [4] Group 3 - The PMI survey indicates that while U.S. trade policy uncertainty has impacted Eurozone economic growth, the economy has not collapsed, suggesting stability that may allow the ECB to keep rates unchanged for now [5] - The ECB's baseline scenario assumes tariffs remain at 10%, predicting accelerated economic growth in the coming years, while extreme scenarios involving higher tariffs could significantly slow growth [5] - The ongoing decline in service sector inflation is viewed positively for the ECB [6] Group 4 - Commodity prices did not decline further in July, but the strengthening euro and U.S. tariffs may exert downward pressure on inflation in the coming months [7] - The PMI is closely monitored as it reflects economic trends and turning points, although it may not directly correlate with quarterly GDP [7]

金十数据7月24日讯，据路透对经济学家的最新调查，英国经济今年和明年预计将保持缓慢且稳定的增 长步伐，英国央行8月和11月可能再次降息。对67位经济学家于7月17日至24日进行的调查中位预测，英 国今年和2024年的经济增速均为1.1%，几乎与2月的预测一致，2026年预计增速将略升至1.2%。德银英 国首席经济学家Sanjay Raja表示："一些明确迹象显示，经济在增长动能稍有回落后正在趋于稳定。商 业信心有所回升，消费者信心也在缓慢但持续改善。"受访的75位经济学家中83%（62人）预计今年还 将有两次25个基点的降息，分别在8月和11月，2026年还将进一步降息两次。通胀预计在2026年底前仍 将高于2%的目标，2025年平均通胀为3.2%，2026年为2.4%。 路透调查：经济增长温和 英央行料将继续降息 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided on the industry investment rating in the report. Core Viewpoints The report indicates that economic growth shows a situation of significant price increases but weak demand, with inflation characterized by insufficient momentum for a rebound in pork prices and weak and volatile oil prices [1][2]. Summary by Directory 1. Economic Growth: Significant Price Increases, Weak Demand 1.1 Production: Most Operating Rates Rebound - **Power Plant Daily Consumption Fluctuates at a High Level**: On July 22, the average daily consumption of 6 major power - generating groups was 882,000 tons, a 1.7% decrease from July 15. On July 15, the daily consumption of power plants in eight southern provinces was 2.27 million tons, a 5.7% increase from July 10 [4][11]. - **Blast Furnace Operating Rate Recovers Moderately**: On July 18, the national blast furnace operating rate was 83.5%, a 0.4 - percentage - point increase from July 11; the capacity utilization rate was 90.9%, a 1.1 - percentage - point increase from July 11. In Tangshan, the blast furnace operating rate of steel mills was 92.0% on July 18, a 0.8 - percentage - point increase from July 11 [4][14]. - **Tire Operating Rate Rebounds for Two Consecutive Weeks**: On July 17, the operating rate of all - steel truck tires was 65.1%, a 0.5 - percentage - point increase from July 10; the operating rate of semi - steel car tires was 76.0%, a 3.1 - percentage - point increase from July 10. The operating rate of looms in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions fluctuated within a narrow range [4][16]. 1.2 Demand: Steel and Glass Prices Rise Significantly - **New Home Sales in 30 Cities Turn Negative Month - on - Month**: From July 1 to 22, the average daily sales area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 192,000 square meters, a 21.8% decrease compared to the same period in June, a 21.7% decrease compared to July last year, and a 35.1% decrease compared to July 2023 [4][21]. - **Automobile Market Retail Sales are Stable and Strong**: In July, retail sales increased by 7% year - on - year, and wholesale sales increased by 34% year - on - year [4][23]. - **Steel Prices Strengthen Further**: On July 22, the prices of rebar, wire rod, hot - rolled coil, and cold - rolled coil increased by 6.0%, 5.6%, 6.4%, and 3.4% respectively compared to July 15 [4][30]. - **Cement Prices are Continuously Under Pressure**: On July 22, the national cement price index decreased by 2.1% compared to July 15. The cement prices in the East China and Yangtze River regions decreased by 3.3% and 1.7% respectively [4][31]. - **Glass Prices Rise Significantly**: On July 22, the active glass futures contract price was 1,203 yuan per ton, an 11.2% increase compared to July 15 [4][35]. - **Container Shipping Freight Index Fails to Peak in the Peak Season**: On July 18, the CCFI index decreased by 0.8% compared to July 11, and the SCFI index decreased by 5.0% [4][38]. 2. Inflation: Insufficient Momentum for a Rebound in Pork Prices 2.1 CPI: Insufficient Momentum for a Rebound in Pork Prices - **Pork Price Rebound Lacks Momentum**: On July 22, the average wholesale price of pork was 20.7 yuan per kilogram, remaining stable compared to July 15. Since July, the average wholesale price of pork has increased by 1.2% month - on - month [4][44]. - **Agricultural Product Price Index Fluctuates at the Bottom**: On July 22, the agricultural product wholesale price index decreased by 0.2% compared to July 15. By variety, eggs (up 4.9%) > chicken (up 1.1%) > beef (up 0.3%) > vegetables (up 0.2%) > pork (flat) > mutton (down 0.5%) > fruits (down 3.2%) [4][49]. 2.2 PPI: Oil Prices are Weak and Volatile - **Oil Prices are Weak and Volatile**: On July 22, the spot prices of Brent and WTI crude oil were $70.0 and $65.3 per barrel respectively, a 1.6% and 1.8% decrease compared to July 15 [4][52]. - **Copper and Aluminum Prices Rise**: On July 22, the prices of LME 3 - month copper and aluminum increased by 2.5% and 1.6% respectively compared to July 15 [4][56]. - **Most Industrial Product Prices Rise**: Since July, most industrial product prices have risen. The month - on - month prices of wire rod, cement, and steam coal have decreased, while other industrial product prices have increased month - on - month, with coking coal and coke leading the gains. The year - on - year decline of most industrial product prices has narrowed [4][60].