国的出口在上个月意外增长，官方数据显示，向欧盟和其他市场的出货量增加，弥补了对美国出口的下 降。 这些数据出现在北京和华盛顿在脆弱的贸易战休战状态下，预计将为中国领导人提供提振信心，帮助他 们推动一个受低迷的国内消费困扰的经济。 数据显示，7月份出口同比增长7.2%，较前一个月有所改善，比彭博社对经济学家的调查预期的5.6%好 出许多。 报告显示，面向美国的货物同比下降21.7%，因为特朗普的关税虽然有所减轻，但仍在影响着贸易。 然而，向欧盟的出口增长了9.2%，而向东南亚国家联盟的出口增长了16.6%。 然而，这两个经济超级大国正在努力达成协议，以降低贸易紧张局势。 对于中国领导人来说，另一个积极的信号是，作为衡量国内需求的关键指标，7月份的进口同比增长 4.1%，而彭博社的预期则是下降1%。 Pinpoint资产管理公司的首席经济学家王志伟表示，这些数据表明"今年到目前为止，出口在强有力地支 撑经济"。 "由于美国关税的前置采购效应消退，预计出口增长可能在未来几个月放缓，"他说。 "关键问题是，中国的出口将放缓多少，以及这将如何影响整个经济，"他补充道。 北京已设定今年经济增长的官方目标为约5%。 但是， ...

消息面上，彩星玩具发盈警，预期集团2025年6月30日止6个月的未经审核收入约1.86亿港元，相对于 2024年同期的收入为4.45亿港元；预期集团取得净亏损约2600万港元，相对于2024年同期净溢利9100万 港元。 本文源自：智通财经网 智通财经获悉，彩星玩具(00869)跌超3%，截至发稿，跌3.28%，报0.59港元，成交额120.01万港元。 董事会认为，收入减少主要是由于"哥斯拉X金刚"的产品付运量按预期回落；"忍者龟"品牌并无大型娱 乐活动推动，致使"忍者龟"产品系列需求放缓；及为配合即将推出的新产品做准备，产品开发、模具及 媒体制作费用增加；由于贸易紧张局势加剧，今年4月付运至美国市场的货品受到阻碍，并自今年第二 季起需支付对进口美国的商品所实施的关税等。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company expects a significant decline in revenue and a net loss for the first half of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to various market and operational challenges [1] Revenue Summary - The company anticipates unaudited revenue of approximately HKD 186 million for the six months ending June 30, 2025, down from HKD 445 million in the same period of 2024 [1] - The decrease in revenue is attributed to the lack of a major film release like "Godzilla x Kong: New Empire" in March 2024, which previously boosted sales [1] - The demand for the "Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles" product line has slowed due to the absence of significant entertainment events [1] Net Loss Summary - The company expects to incur a net loss of approximately HKD 26 million for the first half of 2025, compared to a net profit of HKD 91 million in the same period of 2024 [1] - Increased costs related to product development, molds, and media production in preparation for new product launches have contributed to the expected losses [1] Market and Trade Challenges - Trade tensions have intensified, causing delays in shipments to the U.S. market starting from April 2025, along with the introduction of tariffs on imported goods [1] - The company's treasury investments in listed securities yielded unrealized and realized net gains of approximately HKD 9 million, down from HKD 21 million in the same period of 2024 [1]

格隆汇8月4日丨彩星玩具(00869.HK)发布公告，截至2025年6月30日止六个月("该期间")，集团的未经审 核收入约港币1.86亿元，相对于2024年同期的收入为港币4.45亿元；预期集团录得净亏损约港币2600万 元，相对于2024年同期净溢利港币9100万元。 按年比较的主要原因是由于：(1)诚如上一份公布所披露，(A)收入减少原因是(i)不能如去年般受惠于 2024年3月上映"哥斯拉X金刚：新帝国"电影所带动，"哥斯拉X金刚"的产品付运量按预期回落；(ii)"忍 者龟"品牌并无大型娱乐活动推动，致使"忍者龟"产品系列需求放缓；及(B)为配合即将推出的新产品做 准备，产品开发、模具及媒体制作费用增加；(2)由于贸易紧张局势加剧，2025年4月付运至美国市场的 货品受到阻碍，并自2025年第二季起需支付对进口美国的商品所实施的关税；及(3)该期间集团库务投 资的上市证券出现未变现及已变现净收益约港币900万元，相对于2024年同期的未变现及已变现净收益 为港币2100万元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Berkshire Hathaway's financial results for Q2 showed significant fluctuations, with revenue exceeding market expectations but net profit experiencing a dramatic decline compared to the previous year [2][5]. Financial Performance - Q2 revenue reached $92.515 billion, surpassing market expectations of $91.963 billion, but down from $93.653 billion year-over-year [2][4]. - Net profit for Q2 was $12.370 billion, exceeding market expectations of $10.703 billion, but down 59% from $30.348 billion in the same quarter last year [2][4]. Investment Performance - Investment net income for Q2 was $4.97 billion, a significant drop from $18.75 billion in the same period last year [5]. - Berkshire's top five holdings accounted for 67% of its total portfolio value as of June 30, 2025, including American Express, Apple, Bank of America, Coca-Cola, and Chevron [5]. Market Context - In Q2, U.S. stock indices showed mixed performance, with the Dow Jones up 4.98%, Nasdaq up 17.75%, and S&P 500 up 10.57%, while Berkshire's stock price fell 8.72% [7]. - Trade tensions and concerns over Warren Buffett's retirement have negatively impacted investor sentiment [7]. Stock Trading Activity - Berkshire sold approximately $3 billion worth of stocks in Q2, marking the 11th consecutive quarter of net stock sales [9]. - The company held $344.1 billion in cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q2, slightly down from $347.7 billion in the previous quarter [9]. Strategic Outlook - Buffett emphasized a cautious approach to investing, indicating that while cash levels are high, the company is actively seeking investment opportunities [9]. - The preference for equity investments over cash equivalents remains unchanged, with a focus on acquiring good businesses [9].

Core Viewpoint - Berkshire Hathaway's financial results for Q2 showed significant fluctuations, with revenue exceeding market expectations but net profit experiencing a dramatic decline compared to the previous year [2][5]. Financial Performance - Q2 revenue reached $92.515 billion, surpassing market expectations of $91.963 billion, but down from $93.653 billion year-over-year [2][4]. - Q2 net profit was $12.370 billion, exceeding market expectations of $10.703 billion, but down 59% from $30.348 billion in the same quarter last year [2][4]. Investment Performance - Investment net income for Q2 was $4.970 billion, a significant drop from $18.750 billion in the same period last year [5]. - The fair value of Berkshire's top five holdings accounted for 67% of its portfolio, including American Express, Apple, Bank of America, Coca-Cola, and Chevron [5]. Market Conditions - In Q2, U.S. stock markets experienced volatility due to tariff uncertainties, with the Dow Jones up 4.98%, Nasdaq up 17.75%, and S&P 500 up 10.57%, while Berkshire's stock price fell 8.72% [6]. - Trade tensions accelerated in the first half of 2025, posing threats to Berkshire's diversified businesses, with revenue declines reported in its clothing and toy brands [6]. Leadership Transition - Warren Buffett announced plans to retire by the end of the year, raising concerns among investors despite having named Greg Abel as his successor in 2021 [7]. Stock Management - In Q2, Berkshire sold approximately $3 billion in stocks, marking the 11th consecutive quarter of net stock sales, and did not engage in stock buybacks [8]. - As of the end of Q2, Berkshire's cash and cash equivalents stood at $344.1 billion, slightly down from $347.7 billion in the previous quarter, with Buffett indicating a cautious approach to investment opportunities [8].

周五（8月1日）欧盘时段，黄金期货向上冲高，沪金主力重返770元关口，美国对多国加征10-41%关税 引发的贸易紧张局势，为金价提供避险支撑。北京时间周五20:30，美国将于周五公布7月非农就业报 告，黄金大行情箭在弦上！ 打开APP，查看更多高清行情>> 【要闻速递】 【技术分析】 基本面上，虽然美联储7月会议保持利率不变，鲍威尔也表示继续观望，打压金价走低，但美联储理事 沃勒、鲍曼投下反对票并主张降息，特朗普也再度呼吁降息，年内也仍存降息概率，只是时间早晚的问 题。 昨夜公布的美国经济与通胀数据具备韧性，黄金价格持续承压。美联储货币政策表态转鹰派，金价短期 将面临较强回调压力，但基于后续就业数据以及关键票委表态所具备的不确定性，暂时观望，沪金主力 合约参考运行区间760-794元/克，今日沪金主力上方阻力关注775-780，下方支撑看750-760。 所以，鲍威尔对于降息泼冷水产生的利空压力，也只是一时的打压。金价下跌之后，也仍是入场看涨机 会。 另外，美国贸易协定8月1日即将到期，并再度对各国开启加征关税政策，即便是欧美及中美等达成协 议，鉴于目前已有所消化，全球贸易也依然处于高关税的政策环境中，而会增 ...

Consolidated sales of € 1.9 billion (-5.2%) Volumes were -2.6% or € -54 million down Impacts from pass-through of lower input costs and price-mix was -2.2% or € -46 million Currency impact of -1.1% or € -24 million Sales from acquisitions +0.8% or € +16 million Underlying gross profit margin was 16.6% (vs 18.4% in H1 2024), with underlying gross profit at € 325 million (vs € 379 million in H1 2024) Robust margin performance in difficult markets EBITDAu of € 259 million (-10.2%), delivering a margin on sales ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain the interest rate target range at 4.25%-4.5% during the upcoming meeting, with a very low probability of a rate cut at only 3% [1][2] Group 1: External Pressures - President Trump has been vocally critical of the Federal Reserve, questioning its spending on renovations and pressuring for rate cuts to alleviate government debt costs [1] - The White House's proximity to the Federal Reserve has intensified the scrutiny and criticism directed at Chairman Powell [2] Group 2: Internal Dissent - There is a possibility that multiple Federal Reserve governors may vote against the decision for the first time in over 30 years, with the last occurrence dating back to 1993 [2] - Analysts predict that governors Waller and Bowman may cast dissenting votes due to concerns over high interest rates amid rising employment risks [7][8] Group 3: Upcoming Meeting Highlights - Key changes in the Federal Reserve's statement are anticipated, particularly regarding the assessment of economic uncertainty, which may remain at a high level [4][5] - The upcoming GDP data release is expected to influence the Federal Reserve's economic outlook, with a potential downgrade from "solid" to "moderate" growth [6] Group 4: Rate Cut Signals - The likelihood of Powell signaling a September rate cut during the meeting is considered low, but investors will look for clues during his press conference [9][10] - Current market pricing suggests a greater than 60% probability of a rate cut in September, although the Federal Reserve may be cautious about raising these expectations before key economic data is released [12] Group 5: Trade and Tariff Impacts - Powell may face questions regarding the impact of upcoming tariffs on inflation and economic conditions, as uncertainty continues to affect business decisions [14][15] - The delayed implementation of tariffs is expected to have a gradual impact on prices, with businesses currently absorbing some of the costs [15] Group 6: Political Pressures - Powell is likely to be questioned about the influence of political pressures on monetary policy decisions, particularly in light of recent scrutiny from the Trump administration [16][17] - The potential for an internal review of the Federal Reserve's non-monetary policy functions has been suggested, indicating a need for clarity on the institution's mission [17]

高盛：对欧盟的15%基准关税低于经济学家的预期。欧洲经济在应对贸易紧张局势方面也表现出了出人 意料的韧性。 ...