贸易自由化

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经济预期再下行,贸易摩擦难解局,全球合作刻不容缓
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-04 10:17
Core Viewpoint - The OECD has downgraded its global economic growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 2.9%, indicating a weakening growth momentum and increasing risks in the global economy [1][10]. Group 1: Trade Barriers and Economic Policies - Trade barriers and economic policy uncertainty are identified as primary reasons for the global economic slowdown, with increased tariffs and trade restrictions disrupting supply chains and diminishing business and consumer confidence [3][4]. - The report highlights a notable slowdown in growth among North American economies, particularly the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, due to trade tensions impacting the largest economies [3][4]. - The U.S. inflation forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised to 3.2% and 2.8%, respectively, indicating persistent inflationary pressures that could lead to continued tight monetary policies by the Federal Reserve [3][4]. Group 2: Impact of Protectionism - The rise of protectionism and trade barriers is harming global supply chain efficiency, increasing business costs, and ultimately affecting consumer prices, leading to constrained economic vitality and reduced global trade and investment flows [4][6]. - The fragmentation of trade is undermining the stability of the multilateral trading system, with historical evidence suggesting that rising protectionism hampers economic growth and leads to a "zero-sum game" scenario [6][7]. Group 3: Call for Cooperation - OECD Chief Economist Pereira emphasizes the necessity for countries to engage in sincere negotiations to avoid further trade fragmentation, advocating for multilateral cooperation and trade liberalization as essential for sustainable global economic growth [9][10]. - The report warns that the ongoing trade barriers could exacerbate international tensions and complicate global political dynamics, highlighting the need for stable and rule-based economic development rather than short-term protective measures [7][10].
全球金融论坛|清华五道口焦捷:构建开放包容的经济与金融体系推动全球共同繁荣
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-05-17 09:36
Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Tsinghua Wudaokou Global Financial Forum emphasizes the need for an open and inclusive economic and financial system to enhance resilience amid global economic uncertainties [1][2] Group 1: Economic and Financial Stability - The forum aims to address the challenges posed by a rapidly changing international environment, economic transformations, and technological innovations [1] - Strengthening economic and financial stability is deemed crucial for improving resilience during uncertain times [1] Group 2: China's Role in Global Economy - China has been a major contributor to global economic growth and stability, advocating for true multilateralism and actively participating in global economic governance [1][2] - The country is transitioning from a rule follower to a reformer in global governance, focusing on high-quality development to counter external uncertainties [1] Group 3: Financial Development Initiatives - The Central Financial Work Conference has introduced five key areas for financial development: technology finance, green finance, inclusive finance, pension finance, and digital finance [2] - These areas are seen as new driving forces for high-quality financial development in China [2] Group 4: Forum Significance - The Tsinghua Wudaokou Global Financial Forum, initiated in 2014, has become a significant platform for international academic and policy exchange in finance [2] - This year's forum attracted nearly a hundred high-level political and economic leaders and experts to discuss pressing topics such as the global monetary system and challenges of economic fragmentation [2]
欧盟也要加入CPTPP?美国急了:盟国不需要我们了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-16 08:47
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of the Trump administration's tariff policies on traditional alliances and the potential shift in trade dynamics, particularly with Sweden advocating for the EU to join the CPTPP to counteract U.S. tariffs [1][4]. Group 1: Trade Dynamics - Sweden's Foreign Aid and Trade Minister Benjamin Dusa stated that if the EU joins the CPTPP, it would create the world's largest free trade area, highlighting a significant opportunity for Europe amid U.S. self-isolation [2][4]. - Dusa emphasized the importance of expanding markets for Swedish exporters to maintain affordable healthcare and social services in Sweden [2][4]. Group 2: U.S. Economic Policy Concerns - The article notes that the U.S. Congress held a hearing to address the negative implications of the current trade environment, with lawmakers expressing concerns about the exclusion of the U.S. from global trade agreements [6][8]. - Former U.S. Trade Representative Wendy Cutler warned that U.S. economic partners are moving forward without American participation, which was previously unthinkable [6][8]. Group 3: CPTPP Background - The CPTPP, originally the TPP, was established to promote trade liberalization in the Asia-Pacific region, with the U.S. initially aiming to exclude China from this economic grouping [5][6]. - Following the U.S. withdrawal from the TPP, 11 countries signed the CPTPP in March 2018, with the UK recently becoming the 12th member [5].
电话被打爆!中美贸易复苏48小时:有企业接到数十个美国客户询盘
21世纪经济报道· 2025-05-14 14:19
Core Viewpoint - The recent joint statement from the US and China regarding tariff reductions has sparked a significant revival in trade activities, particularly among foreign trade enterprises in Guangdong, leading to increased inquiries and orders from American clients [1][2][3]. Group 1: Trade Resurgence - Following the announcement of tariff reductions, many foreign trade companies in Guangdong, such as Guangdong Shengqiang Technology Co., have reported a surge in inquiries from American clients, indicating a strong willingness to collaborate [1]. - Companies like Dongguan Guanrui Furniture Co. have quickly mobilized to respond to customer demands, resulting in immediate shipping actions and increased operational activity [2]. - The overall sentiment among manufacturers is that American clients are eager to resume business, likening the situation to clients returning from a long vacation [3]. Group 2: Operational Challenges - Despite the positive outlook, companies are facing challenges such as tight shipping space and rising freight costs, which are being passed on to customers due to the FOB pricing model [2]. - Many companies, including Zhuhai Zero Degree Technology Co., are prioritizing the fulfillment of backlogged orders while also preparing for new orders as the market begins to recover [5]. Group 3: Market Diversification - In light of ongoing uncertainties in US-China trade relations, many companies are actively seeking to diversify their markets beyond the US, with some already establishing operations in regions like Vietnam [10][12]. - Companies are increasingly focusing on European and Southeast Asian markets to mitigate risks associated with reliance on the US market, as seen in the strategies of firms like Shenzhen Rilifeng Technology Co. [11][12]. Group 4: Economic Indicators - Guangdong's foreign trade in the first four months of the year reached 2.96 trillion yuan, a 4.9% increase year-on-year, although trade with the US saw a decline of 3.8% [13]. - The overall sentiment is that while the US market remains significant, there is a growing emphasis on building a high-standard free trade network globally to enhance trade resilience [13].
加拿大温哥华举行第八届进博会推介会
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-05-01 07:23
Core Viewpoint - The eighth China International Import Expo (CIIE) promotion event was held in Vancouver, Canada, highlighting China's commitment to high-level opening-up and its significant contribution to global economic growth, which stands at around 30% [1][3]. Group 1: Event Overview - The promotion event attracted over 250 representatives from local business, academia, and government institutions [1][3]. - The event is part of a series of promotional activities for the eighth CIIE, which have already taken place in Ottawa, Montreal, and Toronto, collectively attracting over 500 participants [3]. Group 2: Economic Significance - The Chinese Consul General in Vancouver, Yang Shu, emphasized that China plays a crucial role as a global economic engine, contributing significantly to world economic growth [1]. - The event serves as an important platform for China-Canada economic and trade cooperation, as highlighted by the President of Bank of China (Canada), Deng Jun [3]. Group 3: Trade Relations - The Mayor of Prince George, Canada, Yu Xingyou, shared his positive experiences from the seventh CIIE, noting the vibrant energy of the Chinese market and the spirit of shared development [3]. - Attendees expressed their commitment to actively engage in the eighth CIIE to explore new opportunities in China-Canada trade [3].
中方拟解除对5名欧洲议会议员制裁?外交部:望中欧立法机构相向而行
news flash· 2025-04-30 07:51
中方拟解除对5名欧洲议会议员制裁?外交部:望中欧立法机构相向而行 金十数据4月30日讯,外交部发言人郭嘉昆主持例行记者会。法新社记者提问,根据美媒Politico的一份 报道,中方准备解除对5位欧洲议会议员的制裁,这一制裁是2021年因为这些议员批评中国的人权状况 而实施的。中方是否认为这是促进中欧关于关税谈判的一步措施吗?郭嘉昆表示,当前,中欧关系呈现 向好势头。今年是中国同欧盟建交50周年,双方关系发展面临重要机遇,中欧经贸合作优势互补、互利 共赢。作为世界主要经济体,中欧在当前形势下共同维护多边贸易体制,促进贸易自由化、便利化,将 为世界经济和全球贸易注入宝贵的稳定性和确定性。"中欧立法机构交往是中欧关系的重要组成部分, 我们希望双方相向而行、加强交往,欢迎欧洲议会议员多到中国走走、看看。"郭嘉昆说。 (澎湃) ...
中国挺身捍卫多边贸易体制
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-04-29 22:00
为确保政策法规和相关措施符合世贸组织规则,中国在加入世贸组织后大规模清理和修订贸易、投资和 知识产权保护等方面的法律法规、部门规章和地方性法规。其中,中央政府清理2300多件,地方政府清 理19万多件。中国还进一步发布相关意见和实施办法,确保新出台政策法规和措施与世贸组织规则相 符。为更好地履行世贸组织裁决,商务部还发布了《执行世界贸易组织贸易救济争端裁决暂行规则》。 这些积极参与和全面践诺体现了中国坚定不移支持市场经济和贸易自由化的决心,以及与各成员共同强 化多边贸易体制的意愿。世贸组织成员也普遍高度肯定中国在推动全球经济增长、维护多边贸易体制, 以及支持发展中成员,尤其是最不发达成员融入多边贸易体制方面作出的重要贡献,认为中国是负责任 和可信赖的合作伙伴。 中国始终是多边贸易体制的坚定维护者,针对美国政府严重践踏世贸组织规则的行为,中国多次旗帜鲜 明地捍卫多边贸易体制。今年4月份,中国先后发布《中国政府关于反对美国滥施关税的立场》和《关 于中美经贸关系若干问题的中方立场》白皮书,强烈谴责美国以各种借口对所有贸易伙伴滥施关税。中 国呼吁各国秉持共商共建共享原则,坚持真正的多边主义,共同反对各种形式的单边主义 ...
深化周边外交与中欧合作——政策周观察第25期
一瑜中的· 2025-04-14 14:08
文 : 华创证券研究所副所长 、首席宏观分析师 张瑜(执业证号:S0360518090001) 联系人: 陆银波(15210860866) 袁玲玲(微信 Yuen43) 报告摘要 近一周,主要关注外交层面变化。一方面,美国继续升级贸易摩擦。另一方面,我国积极与周边国家 及欧盟等经济体开展外交活动。 (一)美国继续升级贸易摩擦,中方根据国际法基本原则和法律法规坚决采取反制措施维护自身权 益。 4 月 9 日, 商务部将 6 家美国企业列入不可靠实体清单,将 12 家美国实体列入出口管制管控 名单。 4 月 11 日, 国务院关税税则委员会发布公告,对美关税"由 84% 提高至 125% ","如果美 方后续对中国输美商品继续加征关税,中方将不予理会"。 (二)我国与其他非美国家积极开展外交活动 1 、周边外交 : 4 月 8 日 ,总书记出席中央周边工作会议并发表重要讲话。 4 月 14 日至 18 日 , 总书记将对越南、马来西亚、柬埔寨进行国事访问。 2 、对欧外交 : 4 月 8 日, 总理同欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩通电话,欧方提出,"欧方期待适时举行 新一次欧中领导人会晤"。 4 月 11 日 ,总书记会 ...
外交部:中方愿同欧盟在内的国际社会共同捍卫国际贸易规则和公平正义
Xin Hua She· 2025-04-14 09:12
新华社北京4月14日电(记者刘杨)外交部发言人林剑14日表示,美方将关税作为极限施压、谋取私利 的武器,严重损害包括中国和欧盟在内的世界各国利益。中方愿同包括欧盟在内的国际社会一道,共同 捍卫国际贸易规则和公平正义。 当日例行记者会上,有记者问:当前,全世界都非常关注特朗普政府对全球各国加征关税造成的破坏性 影响,中国和欧盟是全球主要经济体,近期中欧之间高层交往很多,请介绍双方就美国加征关税进行沟 通协调的情况。 林剑表示,美方将关税作为极限施压、谋取私利的武器,将一己私利凌驾于国际社会公利,这是典型的 单边主义、保护主义、经济霸凌行径,严重损害包括中欧在内的世界各国利益。 林剑指出,中国和欧盟是世界第二和第三大经济体,双方经济总量超过世界经济总量三分之一,贸易体 量超过全球贸易四分之一。中欧都是经济全球化和贸易自由化的倡导者、世界贸易组织的坚定维护者和 支持者。欧盟领导人表示,世界经济良好运行需要稳定性、确定性。欧中致力于维护以世贸组织为核 心、公平自由的多边贸易体制,维护全球经济贸易关系健康稳定发展,符合双方和世界共同利益。 林剑表示,作为负责任大国,中方已经并将继续采取坚决措施,维护自身正当利益。中方愿 ...
东盟决定不对美国实施报复关税
日经中文网· 2025-04-11 03:23
Group 1 - ASEAN held a special online meeting of economic ministers on April 10 to seek negotiations with the U.S. government and discuss strengthening relationships with other countries and regions [1][2] - ASEAN countries unanimously agreed not to implement retaliatory tariffs against the U.S. tariffs announced by the Trump administration, aiming to promote trade within and outside the region [2][3] - The joint statement from the meeting expressed concerns that the U.S. unilateral tariffs could affect the lives of ASEAN people and hinder economic development and long-term trade relations with the U.S. [2] Group 2 - Malaysia's Minister of Investment, Trade and Industry welcomed the U.S. decision to suspend some tariffs for 90 days but noted that the overall tariffs would still impact the global economy and trade [2] - ASEAN finance ministers and central bank governors discussed the risks of increased capital flow and exchange rate volatility due to U.S. tariffs and agreed to respond to market fluctuations if necessary [2] - As of 2023, the U.S. accounts for approximately 15% of ASEAN's total exports, making it the third-largest trading partner after intra-ASEAN trade and China [2] Group 3 - Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar expressed the need for ASEAN to rely more on itself amid the "tariff storm" and the shifting global order [3] - ASEAN has been promoting trade liberalization since the establishment of the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) in 1992, with the average tariff rate in the region dropping to below 1% since 2011 [3] - Malaysia proposed to unify regulations, improve cross-border logistics, and advance the digital economy to support intra-ASEAN trade [3]