Group 1: Macro Research - The global commodity and stock markets have experienced significant declines recently, with the Hang Seng Index dropping by 5.1% and the Shanghai Composite Index down by 3.9% [7][18] - The Chinese stock market is entering a critical phase, referred to as the "strike zone," where it is expected to stabilize and potentially rally due to upcoming policy and economic meetings [2][4] - The report emphasizes that the Chinese capital market is in a period of significant growth, with a projected double-digit profit growth of 10.6% for non-financial A-shares in 2026 [3][4] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The report recommends increasing exposure to sectors such as technology, financial services, and consumer goods, particularly in light of the anticipated policy and liquidity improvements from December to February [4][6] - Specific sectors highlighted for investment include AI-related technologies, financial institutions like brokerages and insurance, and consumer sectors such as food and beverage [4][6] - The report notes that the adjustment in the market presents a good opportunity for investors to increase their positions in the Chinese market [2][4] Group 3: Overseas Market Insights - The Hong Kong stock market has entered a phase of adjustment, primarily due to previous gains and tightening dollar liquidity, but the long-term bull market is expected to continue [10][30] - The report indicates that the AI industry remains a key driver for growth in the Hong Kong market, with significant inflows expected from institutional investors [30][29] - The report also highlights the unique advantages of Hong Kong assets compared to A-shares, particularly in alignment with trends in AI, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals [10][30]

Core Viewpoint - The recent volatility in global markets has led to a significant short-term impact on A-shares, but the long-term bullish trend remains intact [1][2][3]. Short-term Disturbances - The fluctuations in the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy expectations have caused sharp movements in the U.S. dollar and treasury yields, leading to rapid capital shifts between developed and emerging markets, which in turn affects A-shares [2]. - A-shares are expected to oscillate within the range of 3950-4060 points in the short term, with a balanced market style [2]. - Concerns over the valuation bubble in U.S. tech stocks have led to a sell-off, which may suppress the performance of A-share technology stocks [2][3]. Long-term Value of A-shares - Despite the short-term pressures from overseas market fluctuations, A-shares have shown resilience, with key indices experiencing less than 3% volatility since October, significantly lower than indices like the Nasdaq [3]. - The strong resilience of A-shares is viewed as a positive signal for long-term investment, supported by ongoing technological upgrades and industrial transformation [3]. - Continuous support for hard technology and high-end manufacturing, along with sustained inflows of medium to long-term capital, enhances the long-term bullish narrative for A-shares [3][4]. Future Market Performance - Positive drivers for the A-share market are expected to persist through 2025, including advancements in innovation sectors like AI, supportive policies for private enterprises, fiscal expansion, and ample liquidity in a loose monetary environment [4].

Group 1: Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with the ChiNext Index dropping over 1%, and the total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reaching 1.71 trillion, a decrease of 17.7 billion from the previous trading day [1] - By the end of the trading session, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.4%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.76%, and the ChiNext Index declined by 1.12% [1] Group 2: Agricultural Sector Insights - Galaxy Securities highlighted that the focus for the agricultural sector in 2026 will be on waiting for and capturing industry turning points, emphasizing the importance of tracking core indicators and finding entry points within a relatively reasonable valuation range [1] - The livestock sector is expected to balance offense and defense, with a shift from a defensive stance in 2025 to a greater emphasis on potential future elasticity in 2026 [1] - The pet sector is anticipated to experience a recovery in performance growth after a period of valuation correction, presenting new investment opportunities [1] Group 3: Lithium Battery Industry Outlook - Huaxi Securities expressed a positive outlook on the lithium battery industry, driven by rapid development in domestic and international energy storage and demand for dynamic storage, which is expected to lead to continued expansion in the lithium battery supply chain [1] - Certain segments, such as lithium hexafluorophosphate and VC, are experiencing significant price increases due to supply tightness, confirming the industry's high prosperity [1] - As prices rise, segments that previously faced low profitability or losses are expected to enter a phase of simultaneous volume and profit growth, with a continued focus on energy storage cells, lithium hexafluorophosphate/VC & electrolytes, copper foil, anode and cathode materials, and separators [1] Group 4: Securities Industry Prospects - CITIC Securities projected that the securities industry is likely to enter a new upward cycle, contributing to the construction of a strong financial nation [2] - The core drivers for this cycle are three major policy opportunities: 1. Policy guidance for capital markets to serve new productive forces, enhancing the value creation capability of investment banks through reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and ChiNext [2] 2. Improvement of the long-term investment ecosystem, facilitating the entry of long-term funds like social security and insurance into the market, which will activate brokerage asset management and institutional business growth [2] 3. Policies promoting the cultivation of top-tier investment banks and internationalization, allowing Chinese brokers to leverage the Hong Kong market and cross-border policies for international business expansion [2]

Core Insights - The Sohu Finance Annual Forum will be held on November 27, 2025, in Beijing, featuring over twenty experts from academia, industry, and investment sectors discussing key topics such as macro policies, industrial upgrades, corporate internationalization, capital market reforms, and international dynamics [2][6] - The forum aims to address the challenges of restoring consumer confidence and enhancing economic resilience amid global geopolitical shifts and domestic structural transformations [2][3] Industry Insights - The morning session will focus on practical insights from industry experts regarding policy guidance, market mechanisms, and corporate strategies, particularly addressing the "involution and efficiency trap" [3] - The real estate sector is transitioning from high-leverage expansion to high-quality operations, with discussions on industry breakthroughs and future trends led by prominent figures from major real estate companies [3][4] - In the consumer sector, companies like Xiaobuxiang will share strategies for achieving growth through product innovation and organizational change despite price competition and weak demand [4] Financial Sector Insights - The financial investment segment will feature seasoned professionals discussing asset allocation, pharmaceutical and biotechnology sectors, chip technology, and gold as a hedge against uncertainty [4] - The afternoon session will delve into macroeconomic resilience and strategic directions, with discussions on the evolution of the global macroeconomic landscape and the transformation of China's capital market towards a more regulated and transparent wealth management system [5] - Experts will also explore new consumption drivers and the potential of emerging trends like concerts and IP blind boxes to stimulate significant consumer spending [5] Forum Impact - The Sohu Finance Annual Forum has evolved into a significant high-end financial dialogue platform, aiming to break down information barriers, promote cross-sector collaboration, and connect policies with market dynamics, which is crucial for China's economic development [6]

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with a total trading volume of 1.71 trillion yuan, a decrease of 177 billion yuan from the previous trading day. The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.4%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.76%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.12% [1] Sector Performance - The computing power sector was active in trading, while sectors such as banking and building materials saw gains. Conversely, coal and electricity sectors faced pressure [1] Computing Power Insights - Despite the active trading in the computing power sector, many stocks opened high but closed lower. The main catalyst was NVIDIA's quarterly report, which showed revenue of $57 billion, a year-over-year increase of 62% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 22%. The data center revenue was $51.2 billion, exceeding market expectations [2] Mergers and Acquisitions in Securities Industry - The securities industry continues to see mergers, with China International Capital Corporation planning to absorb Dongxing Securities and Xinda Securities through A-share issuance. If successful, the combined assets of the three firms will reach 1,009.583 billion yuan, with revenues of 27.39 billion yuan and net profits of 9.52 billion yuan [3] Future Outlook - The overall market sentiment remains optimistic for the upcoming year, driven by factors such as capital market reforms and policies aimed at stabilizing growth. Investors are encouraged to maintain confidence in the market [1]

资本市场关系千家万户，中小投资者合法权益保护更是重中之重。中国证监会近日发布《关于加强 资本市场中小投资者保护的若干意见》（以下简称《若干意见》）。这份资本市场投资者保护领域的综 合性政策文件，为中小投资者保护提供了新的行动指南。 加强投资者保护，是资本市场监管永恒的主题，也是推动资本市场高质量发展的关键一环。党中 央、国务院对此高度重视。2024年9月召开的中央政治局会议明确提出，"研究出台保护中小投资者的政 策措施"；党的二十届三中全会强调，"健全投资者保护机制"；国务院《关于加强监管防范风险推动资 本市场高质量发展的若干意见》明确提出，"必须始终践行金融为民的理念，突出以人民为中心的价值 取向，更加有效保护投资者特别是中小投资者合法权益，助力更好满足人民群众日益增长的财富管理需 求"。 在信息披露方面，提升披露质量。针对中小投资者的信息劣势，《若干意见》要求严格落实信息披 露简明清晰、通俗易懂要求，健全招股说明书信息披露指引体系，加大对公司首次公开发行股票项目涉 及的保荐机构、律师事务所、会计师事务所的检查督导力度，实现现场监管全覆盖。 严厉打击侵害中小投资者利益的违法行为。对欺诈发行、财务造假、内幕交 ...

□ 截至2025年三季度，深圳辖区A股上市公司达424家，总市值突破11万亿元，规模位居全国第二。 2025年前三季度，深圳上市公司营业收入5.20万亿元，净利润4577.97亿元，同比分别增长7.36%和 3.98%，营收增速高于全国水平 □ 截至2025年9月底，深圳私募股权创投基金规模近1.37万亿元，投资中小企业1.38万个、高新技术企业 1.11万个、种子期和起步期企业近万个，持续为实体经济注入源头活水 "十四五"期间，深圳市场经营主体创新活力与综合竞争力同步提升，上市公司、证券公司、基金公司、 期货公司、私募机构等多层次主体协同发展，形成了结构优化、动能充沛的市场生态。 股权融资超4000亿元、债券融资(含ABS)超2.4万亿元、上市公司市值超11万亿元、头部机构加速集 聚……"十四五"期间(数据统计时间为2021年到2025年10月底)，深圳资本市场在服务实体经济、支持科 技创新、培育市场经营主体等方面交出亮眼答卷。 一系列成绩的背后，是深圳上市公司群体鲜明的结构特色：一是高科技企业占比高，新增上市公司中约 80%为科创板、创业板企业；二是民营经济占主体地位，民营企业贡献了全市90%以上的就业； ...

Market Overview - The domestic market indices showed a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,939.81, down 0.81% [2] - During the period from November 10 to November 14, major indices experienced a downturn, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.18% and the ChiNext Index down 3.01% [6] Industry Insights - The report highlights the improvement in the fundamentals of the brokerage sector, with significant performance recovery in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by enhanced investment policies and ongoing reforms in the STAR Market and ChiNext [4][6] - The coal industry saw a mixed performance in October, with a year-on-year increase in coal production of 1.5% for the first ten months, but a decline in October production by 2.3% [8] - The demand for thermal power showed an unexpected increase in October, with a growth rate of 7.3%, contrasting with the overall decline in fixed asset investment [8] Company Analysis - The report on Yilian Network (300628.SZ) indicates a positive trend in its third-quarter performance, with a sequential improvement in revenue and a strong growth momentum in cloud office terminals [7] - Five Continents Spring (603667.SH) reported stable performance in Q3 2025, with revenue reaching 7.67 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.33% [13] - The company is focusing on upgrading its high-end bearing and screw products, with significant growth in the new energy vehicle bearing sector and ongoing expansion into high-value markets [13] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a favorable outlook for the coal sector in Q4, with expectations of price support due to limited supply and increased demand during the winter peak [8] - For Yilian Network, the introduction of AI capabilities and a focus on high-end markets are expected to enhance its competitive position and market share [10] - Five Continents Spring is projected to continue its growth trajectory, with an emphasis on high-value product upgrades and market expansion in the aerospace and gas turbine sectors [13]

Group 1 - As of Q3 2025, the number of A-share listed companies in Shenzhen reached 424, with a total market capitalization exceeding 11 trillion yuan, ranking second nationwide [2][6] - In the first three quarters of 2025, Shenzhen's listed companies generated operating income of 5.20 trillion yuan and net profit of 457.8 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 7.36% and 3.98% respectively, with revenue growth outpacing the national average [2][6] - Shenzhen's private equity and venture capital fund size approached 1.37 trillion yuan, investing in approximately 13,800 small and medium-sized enterprises and over 11,100 high-tech companies, continuously injecting capital into the real economy [2][4] Group 2 - The structure of Shenzhen's listed companies is characterized by a high proportion of high-tech enterprises, with about 80% of newly listed companies being from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market [3] - The private sector plays a dominant role, contributing over 90% of employment in the city, and Shenzhen has around 20 companies with a market value exceeding 100 billion yuan [3] - Shenzhen's capital market has shown significant achievements in supporting the real economy, with equity financing exceeding 400 billion yuan and bond financing (including ABS) surpassing 2.4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [4][5] Group 3 - The Shenzhen capital market has enhanced its role as a hub for high-level circulation of technology, capital, and industry, with 213 companies listed on the Growth Enterprise Market and Sci-Tech Innovation Board, the highest among major cities in China [4][5] - Since the introduction of the "Merger and Acquisition Six Guidelines," Shenzhen listed companies have executed 497 mergers and acquisitions, involving amounts exceeding 90 billion yuan [5] - The bond market in Shenzhen has seen steady growth, with companies raising over 2.4 trillion yuan through bonds since 2021, and the introduction of innovative mechanisms such as the "Tech Board" for bonds [5][6] Group 4 - The market ecosystem in Shenzhen has been strengthened with the simultaneous enhancement of innovation vitality and comprehensive competitiveness among market entities, including listed companies, securities firms, and private equity institutions [6][7] - In the first three quarters of 2025, 24 securities firms in Shenzhen achieved operating income exceeding 100 billion yuan and net profit exceeding 45 billion yuan, leading the nation [6] - Shenzhen's public fund management companies reached an asset management scale of 12.3 trillion yuan, with public fund management scale at 8.36 trillion yuan, ranking second nationwide [6] Group 5 - Looking ahead to the 15th Five-Year Plan, Shenzhen's capital market aims to focus on serving new productive forces and deepening reform and innovation, striving to build a globally influential industrial financial center [3][8] - Venture capital institutions are seen as catalysts for technological innovation, effectively addressing the financing challenges faced by technology enterprises during their growth phases [8] - Shenzhen plans to guide patient capital towards high-tech and high-quality sectors, promoting technological breakthroughs and industrial upgrades while enhancing the multi-level market system [9]

非银行金融 行业周报（20251110-20251114） 领先大市-A(维持)) 提升资本市场内在稳定性，券商基本面持续向好 2025 年 11 月 18 日 行业研究/行业周报 | 彭皓辰 | | --- | | 执业登记编码：S0760525060001 | | 邮箱：penghaochen@sxzq.com | | 刘丽 | | 执业登记编码：S0760511050001 | | 电话：0351--8686985 | | 邮箱：liuli2@sxzq.com | | 孙田田 | | 执业登记编码：S0760518030001 | | 电话：0351-8686900 | | 邮箱：suntiantian@sxzq.com | 资料来源：最闻 提升资本市场内在稳定性。上海证券交易所国际投资者大会 11 月 12 日正式启幕，开幕式上证监会副主席表示，资本市场平稳健 康运行，具备良好的基础条件，证监会将深化投融资综合改革，着 力提升资本市场制度的包容性、适应性。融资端，纵深推进两创板 改革，加快落实科创板"1+6"政策举措，推动科创成长层平稳运 行。抓紧启动实施深化创业板改革，积极发展多元股权融资。投资 端 ...